由于农历新年前趋势较预期疲弱，花旗将2月博彩收益预测由200亿元下调至195亿元，按年下跌1%，意 味著本月余下时间的日均博彩收益约为8.67亿元。该行对1月至2月合计的博彩收益预测(撇除今年与去 年农历新年时间不同的因素)现为421亿元，按年增长11%。摩通指出澳门2月赌收好坏参半，微调全月 预测。(格隆汇) | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 涨跌幅 ^ | | --- | --- | --- | | 00200 | 新濠国际发展 | 4.380 -4.78% | | 00027 | 银河娱乐 | 41.640 -3.79% | | 01928 | 金沙中国有限公 | 17.570 -1.95% | | 01128 | 永利澳门 | 5.770 -1.20% | | 02282 | 美高梅中国 | 12.770 -0.70% | 消息上，瑞银研究报告指，根据其渠道调查显示，春节假期(2月16日至22日)期间，澳门日均赌收约为 7.86亿澳门元，低于市场预测每日约9亿至9.5亿澳门元。 港股濠赌股集体下跌，其中，新濠国际发展跌近5%，银河娱乐跌近4%，金沙中国跌2%，永利澳门、美 高梅中国跟跌。 ...

消息面上，瑞银最新报告显示，根据其渠道调查显示，春节假期期间，澳门日均赌收约为7.86亿澳门 元，低于市场预测每日约9亿至9.5亿澳门元。虽然初期需求疲软，但最后三天的成交额增速加快，每日 达到12亿至13亿澳门元，按年上升约10%至15%，令本月至今的日均赌收约为6.5亿澳门元，但仍按年下 跌约8%，按月下跌约11%。 智通财经APP获悉，博彩股继续走低，截至发稿，新濠国际发展(00200)跌4.35%，报4.4港元；银河娱乐 (00027)跌4.02%，报41.54港元；金沙中国(01928)跌2.23%，报17.52港元；永利澳门(01128)跌1.37%，报 5.76港元。 小摩则表示，鉴于农历新年表现好坏参半，该行微调2月博彩总收益预测至按年持平至增长2%(此前预 测增长2%至5%)。撇除季节性及日历因素后，料2026年首两个月博彩总收益增长12%至13%(此前预测增 长13%至14%)，与该行及市场的行业预测一致。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，更新对澳门博彩股的最新偏好次序。首选为银河娱乐 (00027)，给予"增持"评级; 其次为美高梅中国(02282)，同样获"增持"评级; 金沙中国(01928)与永利澳门 (01128)则紧随其后，两者均获"增持"评级。新濠博亚娱乐(MLCO.US)的评级为"中性"，而新濠国际发展 (00200)及澳博控股(00880)则同被评为减持。该行建议投资者在澳门市场保持选择性，聚焦个别股份的 共识风险及估值水平，而非等待广泛的重估。 鉴于农历新年表现好坏参半，该行微调2月博彩总收益预测至同比持平至增长2%(此前预测增长2%至 5%)。撇除季节性及日历因素后，料2026年首两个月博彩总收益增长12%至13%(此前预测增长13%至 14%)，与该行及市场的行业预测一致。 根据该行的查验，2月首22天澳门博彩总收益为143亿澳门元(下同)，即日均6.5亿元。上周的日均收益， 涵盖农历新年假期的淡静及高峰时段为7.85亿元，低于该行预期的8.5亿元。该行表示，假期开始时表现 呆滞，首4至5天日均收益约4.5亿元，同比录得双位数跌幅。但从第6天起，活动急升，每日博彩总收益 突破12亿元 ...

摩根大通发表研报指，根据该行的查验，2月首22天澳门博彩总收益为143亿澳门元，即日均6.5亿澳门 元。假期尚未结束，未来数天至关重要，此假期后的尾随需求阶段通常是高端玩家加速消费的时候。鉴 于农历新年表现好坏参半，该行微调2月博彩总收益预测为按年持平至增长2%(此前预测增长2%至 5%)。撇除季节性及日历因素后，料2026年首两个月博彩总收益增长12%至13%(此前预测增长13%至 14%)，与该行及市场的行业预测一致。 摩通更新对澳门博彩股的最新偏好次序，首选为银河娱乐，给予"增持"评级；其次为美高梅中国，同样 获"增持"评级；金沙中国与永利澳门则紧随其后，两者均获"增持"评级。新濠博亚娱乐的评级为"中 性"，而新濠国际发展及澳博控股则同被评为"减持"。 ...

每经AI快讯，港股博彩股集体走低，截至发稿，美高梅中国(02282.HK)跌4.06%，报13.01港元；新濠国 际发展(00200.HK)跌4.21%，报4.55港元；金沙中国(01928.HK)跌3.04%，报18.18港元；永利澳门 (01128.HK)跌1.68%，报5.84港元。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，博彩股集体走低，截至发稿，美高梅中国(02282)跌4.06%，报13.01港元；新濠国际 发展(00200)跌4.21%，报4.55港元；金沙中国(01928)跌3.04%，报18.18港元；永利澳门(01128)跌 1.68%，报5.84港元。 花旗发布研报称，根据行业消息来源，澳门2月首22天的博彩收益总额可能已达约143亿澳门元，虽然农 历新年第四至第六天的博彩收益表现强劲，每日约12亿至13亿元，但该周首四天的贵宾厅赢率显著低于 正常水平。根据行业消息来源，贵宾厅博彩量按月下跌约8%至10%，中场博彩收益按月下跌约10%至 12%。由于农历新年前趋势较预期疲弱，该行将2月博彩收益预测由200亿元下调至195亿元，按年下跌 1%。 瑞银也表示，根据其渠道调查显示，春节假期(2月16日至22日)期间，澳门日均赌收约为7.86亿澳门元， 低于市场预测每日约9亿至9.5亿澳门元。虽然初期需求疲软，但最后三天(20日至22日)的成交额增速加 快，每日达到12亿至13亿澳门元，按年上升约10%至15%，令本月至今的日均赌收约为6.5亿澳门元，但 仍按年下跌约8%，按月下跌约11%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the transformation of traditional Chinese New Year gifts into cultural symbols, emphasizing the integration of art and heritage in modern celebrations, particularly through the example of Wynn's "Neon Horse" gift set inspired by traditional Dunhuang art [1][5][7]. Group 1: Cultural Significance of New Year Gifts - The "Neon Horse" gift set, designed by artist Chang Shana, reflects rich cultural meanings and serves as a modern cultural symbol for the New Year [3][5]. - The demand for gifts that emphasize emotional value and artistic beauty has increased among younger generations, moving beyond traditional functional items [5][8]. - The integration of traditional customs with contemporary art creates a unique cultural narrative, enhancing the significance of New Year celebrations [5][7]. Group 2: Artistic Integration in Macau - Macau is positioning itself as a cultural hub by blending art with traditional celebrations, exemplified by the "Neon Horse" gift set that incorporates elements of local heritage [7][10]. - The city aims to enhance its tourism experience by merging technology and art, thereby enriching the cultural landscape during festive seasons [16]. - Events like the "Sea Silk Road" digital art exhibition showcase the historical significance of Chinese porcelain and its cultural exchange, further promoting Macau's identity as a world tourism and leisure center [10][12][16].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has issued a report rating Wynn Macau (01128) as "Overweight" with a target price of HKD 7.4, indicating a cautious outlook despite some positive indicators in the gaming sector [1] Financial Performance - Wynn Macau's EBITDA for Q4 2025 is projected at USD 271 million, reflecting a quarterly and year-over-year decline of 12% and 7% respectively; adjusted EBITDA is expected to be USD 287 million, showing a quarterly increase of 1% but a year-over-year decrease of 2%, aligning with Morgan Stanley's expectations but falling short of market expectations [1] - Over the past year, Wynn Macau's corporate EBITDA has decreased by 7% year-over-year, underperforming compared to peers in the industry [1] Market Context - The total gaming revenue in Macau has increased this year, with Wynn Macau's gaming revenue in January surpassing that of Q4 last year [1] - The new Chairman's Club at Wynn Palace is set to open before the Lunar New Year, which may enhance customer experience and revenue potential [1] - Retail rental income in Q4 has increased by 28% quarter-over-quarter, indicating a positive trend in non-gaming revenue streams [1] Investment Considerations - The current valuation of Wynn Macau is below the industry average, suggesting potential for upside; however, investor reluctance towards less liquid stocks persists unless the company can capture market share, which did not occur in Q4 [1] - Simply relying on low valuations may not be sufficient to attract investors to Wynn Macau [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating for Wynn Macau (01128) with a target price of HKD 7.4, despite the company's fourth-quarter performance being weak but in line with expectations [2]. Financial Performance - Wynn Macau's EBITDA for Q4 2025 was USD 271 million, reflecting a quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year decline of 12% and 7% respectively. Adjusted EBITDA was USD 287 million, showing a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1% but a year-over-year decrease of 2%, which met Morgan Stanley's expectations but fell short of market expectations [2]. - Over the past year, Wynn Macau's corporate EBITDA decreased by 7% year-over-year, underperforming compared to peers in the industry [2]. Market Context - The total gaming revenue in Macau increased this year compared to Q4 of the previous year, indicating a positive trend in the overall market [2]. - Wynn Palace's new Chairman's Club is set to open before the Lunar New Year, which may enhance the company's offerings [2]. - Retail rental income in Q4 grew by 28% quarter-over-quarter, indicating a positive trend in non-gaming revenue streams [2]. Investment Considerations - The current valuation of Wynn Macau is below the industry average, suggesting potential for upside if market conditions improve [2]. - Investor reluctance to engage with less liquid stocks like Wynn Macau persists unless the company can capture market share, which did not occur in Q4 [2]. - Simply having a low valuation is insufficient to attract investors without demonstrable market share gains [2].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley views the earnings announcement of Wynn Macau (01128) as a non-material event due to its attractive valuation metrics, maintaining an "Overweight" rating with a target price of HKD 8 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Wynn Macau's Q4 2025 earnings met Morgan Stanley's expectations, with adjusted EBITDA of USD 287 million, remaining roughly flat quarter-on-quarter, compared to the forecast of USD 285 million [1] - Market share performance was also in line with expectations [1] Group 2: Valuation Metrics - The company is valued at an enterprise value multiple of 8 times, a price-to-earnings ratio of 9 times, a free cash flow yield exceeding 15%, and a dividend yield of 6% [1] Group 3: Market Sentiment - The earnings call provided limited incremental information, but the company expressed confidence regarding the upcoming Lunar New Year, consistent with industry peers [1]