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瑞银:澳门10月博彩收入胜预期 料11月同比升10%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 06:41
Core Insights - UBS reports that Macau's total gaming revenue for October reached approximately 24.1 billion MOP, representing a year-on-year increase of 16% and a month-on-month increase of 32%, exceeding market expectations [1] - The average daily gaming revenue for October was about 777 million MOP, driven by strong performance following the Golden Week [1] - From October 6 to 31, the average daily gaming revenue was approximately 715 million MOP, which, despite a 35% decline from the peak during the Golden Week, was still higher than September's 610 million MOP and better than the historical average decline of 40% [1] Market Expectations - The market anticipates that November's total gaming revenue will normalize, with an expected average daily revenue of around 673 million MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10% but a month-on-month decline of 13%, aligning with the seasonal patterns observed from 2015 to 2019 [1] Stock Recommendations - UBS's preferred stocks in the sector include Wynn Macau (01128), MGM China (02282), and Galaxy Entertainment (00027), all rated as "Buy" with target prices set at 8.4 HKD, 19.8 HKD, and 46.9 HKD respectively [1]
小摩:澳门10月博彩收入存潜在上行趋势 短期偏好永利澳门
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 08:03
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue for the first 26 days of October reached 20.4 billion MOP, with an average daily revenue of 785 million MOP, reflecting pent-up demand during the Golden Week due to previous disruptions from a typhoon and the Mid-Autumn Festival [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The report suggests a significant upward trend in gaming revenue, with total revenue for October potentially reaching 23 billion MOP, marking a 71-month high [1] - Starting from December, due to a low base, the firm anticipates double-digit growth in gaming revenue, maintaining low double-digit increases into the first quarter of next year [1] Group 2: Company Ratings - The company is optimistic about Wynn Macau (01128), assigning an "Overweight" rating, expecting its Q3 performance to exceed expectations [1] - For the medium term, Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is also viewed positively, receiving an "Overweight" rating [1] - The company holds a negative outlook on SJM Holdings (00880) and Melco International (00200), assigning "Neutral" and "Underweight" ratings respectively, citing high valuations relative to fundamentals and limited shareholder returns over the next 12 months [1]
小摩:澳门10月博彩收入存潜在上行趋势 短期偏好永利澳门(01128)
智通财经网· 2025-10-28 07:59
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's gaming revenue for the first 26 days of October reached 20.4 billion MOP, indicating a potential upward trend in gaming revenue due to pent-up demand from the Golden Week holiday [1] Industry Summary - The average daily gaming revenue for October is 785 million MOP, with last week's revenue accelerating to 793 million MOP, reflecting increased activity post-typhoon and mid-autumn festival [1] - The total gaming revenue for October could reach 23 billion MOP, potentially marking a 71-month high [1] - Starting from December, a low base is expected to drive double-digit growth in gaming revenue, continuing into the first quarter of next year with low double-digit increases [1] Company Summary - Wynn Macau (01128) is viewed positively in the short term, with an "Overweight" rating and expectations for third-quarter performance to exceed forecasts [1] - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is also favored in the medium term, receiving an "Overweight" rating [1] - The outlook for SJM Holdings (00880) and Melco International (00200) is less favorable, with "Neutral" and "Underweight" ratings respectively, as their valuations are considered high relative to fundamentals, and shareholder returns over the next 12 months are expected to be limited [1]
大行评级丨摩根大通:澳门10月赌收存在明显潜在上行趋势 短期看好永利澳门
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-28 07:44
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates a significant potential upward trend in Macau's gaming revenue, with October's total revenue possibly reaching 23 billion MOP, marking a 71-month high [1] Group 1: Gaming Revenue Insights - As of October 26, Macau's gaming revenue reached 20.4 billion MOP, with an average daily revenue of 785 million MOP, showing an acceleration to 793 million MOP in the previous week [1] - The report suggests that the increased revenue may reflect pent-up demand during the Golden Week, as many players shortened their trips due to the typhoon and Mid-Autumn Festival [1] - Morgan Stanley forecasts that starting from December, gaming revenue is expected to record double-digit growth, maintaining low double-digit increases in the first quarter of next year [1] Group 2: Company Ratings - Morgan Stanley has a positive short-term outlook on Wynn Macau, assigning an "Overweight" rating, anticipating that its third-quarter performance may exceed expectations [1] - The firm also maintains an "Overweight" rating on Galaxy Entertainment, indicating a favorable mid-term outlook [1] - Conversely, Morgan Stanley is less optimistic about SJM Holdings and Melco International, assigning "Neutral" and "Underweight" ratings respectively, citing their valuations as high relative to fundamentals and limited shareholder returns over the next 12 months [1]
港股异动丨濠赌股盘初继续反弹 金沙中国涨超4% 银河娱乐涨超3%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-24 01:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the continued rebound of Hong Kong gaming stocks, with significant gains observed in companies such as Sands China and Galaxy Entertainment [1] - The Macao Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau reported that the lucky gaming revenue for Q3 this year reached 62.57 billion Macao Patacas, marking a 12.53% increase compared to 55.602 billion Patacas in the same period last year, and a 2.4% quarter-on-quarter rise [1] - According to a report from Credit Lyonnais, the growth in industrial profits in mainland China is expected to sustain the growth of Macao's gaming revenue, with investors favoring high-quality enterprises [1] Group 2 - The gaming sector is currently trading at an enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiple of 9.4 times for 2026, which is below the normalized range of 11 to 12 times for the sector in Macao [1] - Credit Lyonnais maintains its existing forecasts and ratings, identifying Galaxy Entertainment and MGM China as preferred stocks within the sector [1] - The article lists the latest stock prices and percentage changes for various gaming companies, with Sands China up 4.11%, Galaxy Entertainment up 3.37%, and others showing modest gains [1]
港股收盘(10.20) | 恒指收涨2.42% 科技股悉数反弹 再揽亿元大单、优必选(09880)大涨近10%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 09:03
Group 1: Market Overview - The US-China trade relations show signs of easing, and China's GDP growth for the first three quarters is reported at 5.2% year-on-year [1] - Hong Kong's three major indices rebounded collectively, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.42% to close at 25,858.83 points, and a total trading volume of HKD 239.16 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index increased by 3%, indicating a strong performance in the tech sector [1] Group 2: Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Alibaba (09988) saw a significant increase of 4.86%, closing at HKD 161.9, contributing 113.55 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip stocks include NetEase (09999) up 5.18%, China Petroleum (00857) up 5.05%, while Orient Overseas International (00316) and Chow Tai Fook (01929) experienced slight declines [2] Group 3: Sector Highlights - Major technology stocks rebounded, with Alibaba rising nearly 5%, and Baidu and Tencent both increasing over 3% [3] - The aviation sector continued its upward trend, with China Eastern Airlines (00670) surging over 9% [3] - Semiconductor stocks also saw gains, driven by the acceleration of domestic self-sufficiency and AI advancements [4] Group 4: Robotics and Gaming Sector - Robotics stocks performed well, with UBTECH (09880) rising by 9.77% after winning a significant contract worth HKD 126 million [5][6] - Gaming stocks collectively increased, with Wynn Macau (01128) up 4.44% and Sands China (01928) up 4.37% [5][7] Group 5: Gold Stocks and Market Sentiment - Gold stocks faced declines, with notable drops including Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) down 6.18% [7] - Recent volatility in gold prices, including a drop from a historical high of USD 4,379 to a low of USD 4,185, has affected market sentiment [7] Group 6: Notable Stock Movements - Haixi Pharmaceutical (02637) debuted with a 20.6% increase, closing at HKD 104.2 [8] - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) reached a new high, closing up 7.91% at HKD 10.09, supported by strategic developments in the shipping sector [9] - Leap Motor (09863) saw a rise of 6.19% after significant insider buying [10] - YF Financial (00376) and Yao Cai Securities (01428) declined, attributed to regulatory actions affecting stablecoin projects [11]
博彩股集体走高 金沙中国(01928.HK)涨超5%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-20 03:40
Group 1 - The gaming stocks experienced a collective rise, indicating positive market sentiment in the sector [1] - Sands China (01928.HK) increased by 5.04%, reaching HKD 18.98 [1] - Wynn Macau (01128.HK) rose by 4.6%, trading at HKD 6.59 [1] - Melco International Development (00200.HK) saw a gain of 4.45%, priced at HKD 4.69 [1] - Galaxy Entertainment (00027.HK) climbed by 3.94%, with a share price of HKD 38.48 [1]
港股异动丨濠赌股反弹 中金维持今年澳门总博彩收入预测、上调2026年预测
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-20 03:38
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a rebound in Hong Kong's gaming stocks, with significant increases in share prices for major companies such as Melco International Development, Sands China, and Wynn Macau, all rising by 4.6% [1] - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) maintains its forecast for total gaming revenue in Macau for 2025 while raising the forecast for 2026, expecting annual growth of 9% and 5% for the next two years, respectively, recovering to 84% and 88% of 2019 levels [1] - The expected growth in mass gaming revenue is projected at 7% and 6% for the next two years, recovering to 119% and 126% of 2019 levels, while VIP gaming revenue is expected to grow by 19% in 2025 and decline by 5% in 2026, recovering to 29% and 28% of 2019 levels [1] Group 2 - CICC is particularly optimistic about MGM China and Sands China, forecasting adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter at HKD 2.352 billion and USD 590 million, representing year-on-year increases of 19% and 1%, respectively [1] - Target prices for MGM China and Sands China are set at HKD 19.8 and HKD 23.8, with both companies rated as "outperforming the industry" [1]
港股异动 | 博彩股集体走高 金沙中国(01928)涨超5% 永利澳门(01128)涨超4%
智通财经网· 2025-10-20 03:31
Core Insights - The gaming stocks have collectively risen, with Sands China up 5.04%, Wynn Macau up 4.6%, Melco International Development up 4.45%, and Galaxy Entertainment up 3.94% [1] Industry Summary - CICC maintains its forecast for total gaming revenue in Macau for 2025 while raising the forecast for 2026, expecting a year-on-year growth of 9% and 5% respectively, recovering to 84% and 88% of 2019 levels [1] - The brokerage anticipates mass gaming revenue to grow by 7% and 6% in the next two years, reaching 119% and 126% of 2019 levels [1] - VIP gaming revenue is projected to increase by 19% in 2025 but decrease by 5% in 2026, recovering to 29% and 28% of 2019 levels [1] Company Insights - Huatai Securities notes that despite temporary disruptions from typhoons during the National Day holiday and late September, the number of visitors to Macau has met government expectations and exceeded levels from the same period in 2019 when excluding weather impacts [1] - The daily gaming revenue during the National Day holiday showed a slight year-on-year increase [1] - Key drivers for the sector post-holiday include policies like "one permit, multiple entries" between Zhuhai and Macau, the wealth effect from "gold stocks," and the synergistic effects of non-gaming events such as the NBA China Games and the National Games [1]
博彩股集体走高 金沙中国涨超5% 永利澳门涨超4%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 03:31
Group 1 - The gaming stocks collectively rose, with Sands China increasing by 5.04% to HKD 18.98, Wynn Macau up by 4.6% to HKD 6.59, Melco International Development rising by 4.45% to HKD 4.69, and Galaxy Entertainment gaining 3.94% to HKD 38.48 [1] - CICC maintains its forecast for total gaming revenue in Macau for 2025 while raising the forecast for 2026, expecting total gaming revenue to grow by 9% and 5% year-on-year for the next two years, recovering to 84% and 88% of 2019 levels [1] - The firm anticipates mass gaming revenue to grow by 7% and 6% year-on-year for the next two years, recovering to 119% and 126% of 2019 levels, while VIP gaming revenue is expected to grow by 19% in 2025 and decline by 5% in 2026, recovering to 29% and 28% of 2019 levels [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities estimates that the number of visitors to Macau, after excluding weather impacts, aligns with government expectations and exceeds levels from the same period in 2019, with daily gaming revenue during the National Day holiday showing a slight year-on-year increase [1] - The core drivers for the gaming sector post-holiday include policy benefits from the "one permit, multiple entries" scheme, the wealth effect from "gold stocks," and the synergistic effects of non-gaming events such as the NBA China Games and the National Games [1]