Summary of the Conference Call for Mao Geping Brand Industry and Company Overview - The conference call discusses the Mao Geping brand, which operates in the high-end beauty and skincare market in China. The brand has established a strong presence with over 400 counters in more than 120 cities and employs over 2,800 beauty consultants, emphasizing its offline channel advantage [2][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Brand Recognition and Positioning**: Mao Geping has built a unique brand identity through its personal makeup IP, which is difficult to replicate. The brand focuses on Oriental aesthetics and high-end positioning, creating a strong brand recognition that can extend into skincare and fragrance categories [2][4]. - **Skincare Product Performance**: The brand's high-end skincare line, particularly the luxury caviar mask, has achieved significant sales, with retail sales exceeding 800 million yuan, accounting for over 55% of its total skincare revenue. This success is attributed to the brand's emphasis on high-end aesthetic values rather than just product efficacy [2][8]. - **Fragrance Market Potential**: The fragrance business is seen as a crucial area for expansion. The "Smell of the East" series, inspired by cultural elements, is positioned at a price point of 680 yuan for 45ml, appealing to both entry-level and high-end consumers. The Chinese fragrance market is projected to exceed 58.8 billion yuan by 2030, and achieving a 3% market share could yield over 600 million yuan in sales for Mao Geping [3][9]. - **Growth Projections**: Mao Geping anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30% to 35% over the next few years, with profit growth expected to outpace revenue growth. The brand also aims to maintain double-digit growth in cosmetic art training and related sales [4][10]. Additional Important Insights - **Competitive Advantage**: The brand's competitive edge lies in its ability to meet the specific skin characteristics and aesthetic needs of Asian consumers through a comprehensive offline experience and personalized service [4][5]. - **Learning from International Brands**: The brand can draw lessons from successful international cases like Chanel, which has successfully transitioned from makeup to skincare by maintaining a classic and elegant brand image, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing youth-oriented trends [6][7]. - **Market Dynamics**: The call highlights that many international makeup brands have struggled to transition into skincare due to conflicting brand identities focused on youth and trendiness, which do not align with the high-end skincare market's requirements [7]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the Mao Geping brand's strategy, market potential, and growth outlook in the high-end beauty and skincare industry.

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market's new consumption concept stocks experienced a widespread decline, with notable drops in several companies [1] - Blucco (00325) saw a significant decrease of 8.27%, closing at 112.000 [2] - Other companies such as Laopu Gold (06181) and Pop Mart (09992) also faced declines of 3.44% and 2.32% respectively [2] Group 2 - Additional companies in the new consumption sector, including Qi (02517) and Weilon Delicious (09982), reported declines of 2.50% and 2.12% respectively [2] - Xpeng Motors (09868) and Li Auto (02015) experienced minor declines of 1.66% and 1.51% [2] - Other companies like Juzhi Biotechnology (02367) and Mijue Group (02097) also showed slight decreases, indicating a broader trend in the market [2]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a high-end beauty brand in China, leveraging its founder's expertise in Eastern aesthetics and professional quality to create a competitive edge in the cosmetics market [5][6]. - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with projected revenues reaching 3.885 billion yuan in 2024, up 34.6% year-on-year, and net profits expected to hit 881 million yuan, reflecting an 88% increase [4][6]. - The brand's strong market presence is supported by a family-run business model, extensive experience in the beauty industry, and effective marketing strategies that resonate with younger consumers [5][6][25]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - The Chinese cosmetics market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.4% from 2023 to 2028, reaching 175.2 billion yuan by 2028 [10]. 2. Company Profile - Founded in 2000, the company has established itself as a leader in high-end domestic cosmetics, with a focus on integrating art and product development [5][14]. - The company operates under a family business model, with significant ownership held by the founder and family members, ensuring a cohesive strategic direction [22][24]. 3. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 2.886 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected increase to 3.885 billion yuan in 2024, and net profits expected to rise from 662 million yuan to 881 million yuan in the same period [4][6][26]. - The gross margin remains high, with cosmetic products achieving over 80% gross margin, indicating strong profitability compared to peers [29][30]. 4. Brand Development and Marketing - The brand has successfully built a strong identity through collaborations with cultural institutions and participation in major events, enhancing its market positioning [36][37]. - The company has expanded its online presence significantly, with online sales accounting for 47.8% of total revenue in 2024, reflecting a strategic shift towards digital marketing [5][6][9]. 5. Product and Channel Expansion - The company has diversified its product offerings, with color cosmetics generating 2.304 billion yuan in sales in 2024, and skincare products contributing 1.429 billion yuan [5][6]. - The company continues to explore new product categories, including the introduction of a fragrance line in 2025, which is expected to drive future growth [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - 毛戈平 is positioned as a high-end beauty brand in China, with a focus on offline high-end department store channels, holding a 3.7% market share in the Chinese color cosmetics market in 2024, ranking 6th overall and 4th among brands [1] Sales and Revenue - In 2024, 毛戈平's total revenue is projected to be 3.88 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.6% [5] - The revenue from offline channels slightly exceeds 50%, reaching 1.949 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 21.6% [1] - Online sales are rapidly growing, with an expected revenue share of 48% in 2024 [1] Product Composition - Color cosmetics account for approximately 60% of 毛戈平's revenue, while skincare products make up about 40% [1] - The company has around 400 SKUs in total, with approximately 350 in color cosmetics and 50 in skincare [3] Market Position and Competition - 毛戈平's market share in the color cosmetics sector is 3.7%, surpassing brands like Nars, Mac, and Bobbi Brown [3] - The brand's pricing strategy is aligned with high-end brands like Chanel and Dior, but it faces limited room for price increases [3] Customer Engagement - 毛戈平's membership base grew by 46.6% in 2024, reaching 1.51 million members, indicating improved customer loyalty [2] - The offline member repurchase rate is 34.9%, higher than the online rate of 27.5%, with an overall repurchase rate increasing from 26.8% to 30.9% [2] Future Projections - 毛戈平's operating profit and net profit attributable to shareholders are expected to continue growing, with projected revenues of 5.19 billion yuan, 6.66 billion yuan, and 8.36 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with growth rates of 34%, 28%, and 26% respectively [5][6] - The gross profit margin is expected to remain stable around 84% through 2027 [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - The company is a leading high-end beauty group in China, demonstrating strong revenue growth and high profitability, with a projected revenue increase to 3.88 billion yuan by 2024 and a CAGR of 35.0% from 2021 to 2024 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Founded in 2000 by renowned makeup artist Mao Geping, the company owns two major beauty brands, MGP and Zhi Ai Zhong Sheng, along with a makeup training business [1] - MGP is the only domestic brand among the top fifteen high-end beauty brands in the Chinese market [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - Revenue is expected to reach 3.88 billion yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 35.0% from 2021 to 2024 [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to increase to 880 million yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 38.6% [1] - The gross margin is forecasted to be 84.4% and the net profit margin is expected to be 22.7% in 2024 [1] Group 3: Brand Analysis - MGP's brand value has long-term growth potential, with increasing brand awareness through its unique Eastern characteristics [2] - The brand has established strong perception quality with significant sales in key products, such as over 400 million yuan in retail sales for the Light Sensation Powder and over 800 million yuan for the Luxury Caviar Mask in 2024 [2] - The brand's loyalty is supported by a comprehensive membership system, with a total of 15.1 million registered members and a repurchase rate of 30.9% by the end of 2024 [2] Group 4: Growth Drivers - The company's growth is driven by product matrix expansion and systematic channel development [3] - The introduction of new product categories, such as perfume, is expected to enhance brand positioning and create new growth points [3] - The company is optimizing its offline stores in high-end shopping areas and enhancing online channel operations to achieve synergistic growth [3] Group 5: Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 5.15 billion, 6.68 billion, and 8.43 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 32.6%, 29.6%, and 26.2% respectively [4] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.19 billion, 1.55 billion, and 1.99 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.6%, 30.7%, and 28.2% respectively [4] - The estimated PE ratio for 2026 is 27.5X, indicating a reasonable valuation considering the brand's competitive advantages and growth potential [4]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The company is recognized as a leading high-end beauty group in China, with strong revenue growth and high profitability [1][4] - The brand MGP is the only domestic brand among the top fifteen high-end beauty brands in China, indicating a unique market position [1][33] - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth driven by product matrix expansion and systematic channel development [4] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company was founded in 2000 by renowned makeup artist Mao Geping and operates two major beauty brands, MGP and "Zhi Ai Zhong Sheng," along with makeup training services [13][16] - The company has shown impressive revenue growth from 1.58 billion RMB in 2021 to 3.88 billion RMB in 2024, with a CAGR of 35.0% [17][1] Brand Value - The brand value of MGP is expected to continue to rise, supported by its unique positioning and strong consumer recognition [2][33] - MGP has established a solid reputation in the market, with flagship products achieving significant sales, such as the "Light and Shadow" powder series and luxury caviar masks [2][35] Growth Drivers - The company's growth is primarily driven by the expansion of its product matrix and the establishment of a systematic channel strategy [3][4] - The product range includes makeup, skincare, and upcoming fragrance lines, with a focus on high-quality offerings tailored to Chinese consumers [3][20] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 5.15 billion, 6.68 billion, and 8.43 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 32.6%, 29.6%, and 26.2% [4][5] - The company is expected to maintain high profitability, with a gross margin of 84.4% and a net profit margin of 22.7% in 2024 [1][4]

格隆汇8月15日丨毛戈平(01318.HK)宣布，将于2025年8月27日（星期三）举行董事会会议，以（其中包 括）考虑及批准本公司及其附属公司截至2025年6月30日止六个月的中期业绩及其发布，并考虑有关派 付中期股息的建议（如有）。 ...

MAO GEPING COSMETICS CO., LTD. 毛戈平化妝品股份有限公司 （於 中 華 人 民 共 和 國 註 冊 成 立 的 股 份 有 限 公 司） 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內 容 概 不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 （股 份 代 號:1318） 董事會會議日期 毛 戈 平 化 妝 品 股 份 有 限 公 司（「本公司」）董 事 會（「董事會」）謹 此 宣 佈，將 於 2025年8月27日（星 期 三）舉 行 董 事 會 會 議，以（其 中 包 括）考 慮 及 批 准 本 公 司及其附屬公司截至2025年6月30日 止 六 個 月 的 中 期 業 績 及 其 發 佈，並 考 慮 有 關 派 付 中 期 股 息 的 建 議（如 有）。 承董事會命 毛戈平化妝品股份有限公司 董事長兼執行董事 毛戈平 香 港 2025年8月15日 截 至 本 公 告 日 期，本 公 司 董 事 會 包 括： ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an OUTPERFORM rating for Mao Geping Cosmetics, with a target price of HK$124.50, indicating a potential upside of 26.4% from the current price of HK$95.70 [2][7]. Core Insights - Mao Geping is positioned as a high-end beauty brand in China, ranking 4th in the color cosmetics market with a market share of 3.7% as of 2024. The brand's primary revenue source is color cosmetics, accounting for approximately 60% of total product revenue [3][20]. - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a projected revenue of RMB 5.19 billion for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 34% [7]. - Mao Geping's product sales are primarily driven by offline channels, with online sales growing rapidly, accounting for 48% of total revenue in 2024 [24][34]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Mao Geping Cosmetics was founded by renowned makeup artist Mao Geping, who has over 30 years of experience in the industry. The brand is known for its high-quality products and strong cultural heritage [9][10]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of RMB 3.885 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 34.6%. The net profit for the same year was RMB 881 million, also reflecting a growth of 33% [7][20]. - The gross profit margin has remained stable at around 84%, with a slight decrease to 84.4% in 2024 [7][27]. Product and Market Positioning - Mao Geping's product range includes approximately 400 SKUs, with color cosmetics making up about 350 SKUs. The brand faces limited pricing power in the high-end market but has significant room for growth in SKU offerings [4][6]. - The average selling price for color cosmetics is below RMB 180, while skincare products have a higher average price of RMB 312 [20]. Sales Channels - The company primarily utilizes high-end department stores for offline sales, with a focus on providing a premium customer experience through well-trained beauty advisors. As of 2024, Mao Geping has over 409 counters across more than 120 cities in China [3][29]. - Online sales have been increasing rapidly, with a year-on-year growth of 51.2% in 2024, driven by enhanced marketing efforts on e-commerce platforms [24][34]. Customer Engagement - The company has seen a significant increase in membership, with a total of 1.51 million members as of 2024, representing a 46.6% year-on-year growth. The overall repurchase rate improved from 26.8% to 30.9% [39][40].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [2][17]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 665-675 million RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 35%-37%, slightly exceeding expectations. The net profit margin continues to improve, indicating strong brand power and robust growth across categories and channels [3][9]. - The company has shown a significant increase in revenue, with a projected total revenue of 5.18 billion RMB for 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 33.3% compared to the previous year [6][10]. - The company has successfully expanded its online presence, with a reported growth of over 70% during the 618 shopping festival, making it one of the fastest-growing brands [9][10]. - The launch of the "Wen Dao Dong Fang" perfume series marks the company's entry into the fragrance category, aiming to leverage its brand influence and product quality to capture market share in high-end beauty [9][10]. Financial Summary - The projected financials for the company are as follows: - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 5,180 million RMB, with a growth rate of 33.3% [6]. - Gross profit is expected to reach 4,374 million RMB, with a gross margin of approximately 84.44% [10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,189 million RMB for 2025, reflecting a growth of 35.1% [6][10]. - The company maintains a strong financial position with a projected PE ratio of 37.62 for 2025 and a PB ratio of 9.53 [6][10].