Core Viewpoint - Shandong Gold (600547.SH) currently does not export any products to EU countries, focusing primarily on gold, small gold bars, and quality gold business [1] Company Summary - The main business of Shandong Gold includes gold, small gold bars, and quality gold [1] - There are no current exports of related products to EU countries [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant increase in domestic gold ETF holdings, with a year-on-year growth of 164.03% in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 79.015 tons [1] - As of September 2025, China's gold reserves amounted to 2303.52 tons, with the central bank increasing its gold holdings for 12 consecutive months, indicating a strategic focus on enhancing gold's proportion in foreign exchange reserves [1] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange is expected to gain international influence, potentially driving gold prices upward amid ongoing de-dollarization and the internationalization of the Renminbi [1] Group 2 - Despite recent price increases leading to a 2-3 month consolidation period for precious metals, the long-term de-dollarization process remains intact, and gold's strategic allocation value is still prominent [2] - The gold stock ETF fund has shown a strong performance, with a 36.00% increase in net value over the past six months and a 21.91% rise over the last three months [4][5] - The gold stock ETF fund has a Sharpe ratio of 1.74, ranking in the top 33% of comparable funds, indicating higher returns for the same level of risk [6] Group 3 - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong and Shanghai Gold Industry Index account for 67.97% of the index, with Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold being the most significant contributors [6][7] - The gold stock ETF fund has a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%, reflecting its cost structure [6]

Group 1 - Gold stocks continue to rise, with notable increases in shares of companies such as珠峰黄金 (5.94% increase), 招金矿业 (4.68% increase), 赤峰黄金 (3.81% increase), and 山东黄金 (3.66% increase) [1] - As of the end of October, the central bank's gold reserves reached 74.09 million ounces, an increase of 30,000 ounces from the end of September, marking the 12th consecutive month of accumulation [1] - UBS reported that central bank gold purchases totaled 634 tons by the end of the third quarter, slightly lower than the same period last year, but showing signs of recovery in the fourth quarter, aligning with their forecast of 900 to 950 tons for the entire year of 2025 [1] Group 2 - According to 中金公司, gold is expected to maintain its upward trend next year, with structural and cyclical opportunities likely to resonate [1] - The trend of de-globalization and strategic security demands may continue to support the accumulation of gold reserves by central banks in emerging markets, with higher requirements for physical gold inventory construction in regional markets by 2025 [1] - Economic growth pressures in the U.S. may persist into the first half of next year, with the Federal Reserve having restarted interest rate cuts in September and potentially ending balance sheet reduction by year-end, suggesting a continuation of the liquidity easing cycle [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold stocks experienced significant gains, driven by signs of economic weakness in the U.S. and rising gold prices in the international market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On November 10, Hong Kong gold stocks saw notable increases, with Zhu Feng Gold rising by 5.5% and Tongguan Gold by approximately 5% [1] - Other companies such as Lingbao Gold, Chifeng Gold, Shandong Gold, and Zhaojin Mining also reported gains of nearly 4% [1] - The latest data shows that the price of gold reached $4,050 per ounce in the New York market, marking a daily increase of 1.01%, while spot gold rose to $4,040 per ounce, up 0.97% [1] Group 2: Central Bank Actions - The central bank's latest report indicated that as of the end of October, its gold reserves amounted to 74.09 million ounces, an increase of 30,000 ounces from the end of September, marking the 12th consecutive month of accumulation [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - According to a report from China International Capital Corporation (CICC), gold is expected to maintain its upward trend next year, with structural and cyclical opportunities likely to continue to resonate [1] - State Street has raised its most optimistic forecast for gold prices to between $4,100 and $4,500 per ounce [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold stocks have generally risen, driven by signs of economic weakness in the U.S. and an increase in gold prices, with forecasts suggesting continued upward momentum for gold in the coming year [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Hong Kong gold stocks saw significant increases, with notable gains including: - Zhenfeng Gold up 5.5% - Tongguan Gold up approximately 5% - Lingbao Gold, Chifeng Gold, Shandong Gold, and Zhaojin Mining each up nearly 4% [1] - The latest prices and percentage changes for selected gold stocks are as follows: - Zhenfeng Gold (01815): 2.130, +5.45% - China Silver Group (00815): 0.650, +4.84% - Lingbao Gold (03330): 17.090, +3.89% [1] Group 2: Gold Price Movement - As of the Asian morning session, New York futures gold reached $4,050 per ounce, up 1.01%, while spot gold surpassed $4,040 per ounce, up 0.97% [1] - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of October, its gold reserves stood at 74.09 million ounces, an increase of 30,000 ounces from September, marking the 12th consecutive month of accumulation [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - According to a report from China International Capital Corporation (CICC), gold is expected to maintain its upward trend next year, with structural and cyclical opportunities likely to continue to resonate [1] - State Street has raised its most optimistic gold price forecast to between $4,100 and $4,500 per ounce [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold stocks are experiencing a significant increase in share prices, indicating a positive trend in the gold mining sector [2] Group 1: Company Performance - Everest Gold (01815.HK) has risen by 5.94%, reaching HKD 2.14 [2] - Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818.HK) has increased by 4.68%, now priced at HKD 30.86 [2] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693.HK) has seen a rise of 3.81%, with shares at HKD 29.96 [2] - Shandong Gold Mining (01787.HK) has grown by 3.66%, trading at HKD 33.96 [2]

Group 1 - Gold stocks continue to rise, with notable increases in shares of companies such as Zhenfeng Gold (+5.94%), Zhaojin Mining (+4.68%), Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (+3.81%), and Shandong Gold (+3.66%) [1] - As of the end of October, the central bank's gold reserves reached 74.09 million ounces, an increase of 30,000 ounces from the end of September, marking the 12th consecutive month of accumulation [1] - UBS reported that central bank gold purchases totaled 634 tons by the end of Q3 this year, slightly lower than the same period last year, but showing signs of recovery in Q4, aligning with their forecast of 900 to 950 tons for the entire year of 2025 [1] Group 2 - According to CICC's research report, gold is expected to maintain its upward trend next year, with structural and cyclical opportunities likely to resonate [1] - The trend of de-globalization and strategic security concerns may continue to support the accumulation of gold reserves by central banks in emerging markets, with higher demands for physical gold inventory construction in regional markets by 2025 [1] - Economic growth pressures in the U.S. may persist into the first half of next year, with the Federal Reserve having restarted interest rate cuts in September and potentially ending balance sheet reduction by year-end, suggesting a continuation of the liquidity easing cycle [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has seen a significant rise in the prices of non-ferrous metal stocks, indicating positive market sentiment in this sector [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) experienced a notable increase of 9.11% [1] - Tianqi Lithium (09696.HK) rose by 7.04% [1] - Shandong Gold (01787.HK) saw an increase of 2.87% [1] - Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) increased by 3.34% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The gold stocks are actively rising in a bearish market, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts due to worsening employment conditions in the U.S. [1] Group 1: Gold Stocks Performance - Zhumeng Gold (01815) increased by 4.71%, closing at 2 HKD [1] - Zijin Mining (02899) rose by 2.37%, closing at 32.82 HKD [1] - China National Gold International (02099) gained 1.86%, closing at 131.1 HKD [1] - Shandong Gold (01787) went up by 1.61%, closing at 32.9 HKD [1] - Zhaojin Mining (01818) increased by 1.58%, closing at 29.56 HKD [1] Group 2: U.S. Employment Data - In October, the U.S. non-farm employment decreased by 9,100, compared to an increase of 33,000 in the previous month [1] - The number of layoffs reported by Challenger Companies in October reached 153,100, a year-on-year increase of 175.3%, marking the highest level for the same period since 2003 [1] Group 3: Interest Rate Expectations - The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates again in December exceeds 70%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool [1] - CITIC Futures emphasizes the importance of the trading window in December, suggesting potential discussions around next year's interest rate cuts [1] - The nomination of a new Federal Reserve chair is expected to be confirmed before Christmas, which may introduce risks related to independence and could act as a bullish driver [1] Group 4: Long-term Outlook for Gold - Long-term factors such as excessive debt and de-globalization are driving the decline of the dollar's credit [1] - Gold is viewed as a preferred asset to hedge against dollar credit risk, with a sustained trend of global central banks purchasing gold [1] - The long-term price center for gold is expected to maintain an upward trajectory [1]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive," indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 5% over the next six months [10]. Core Insights - The new tax policy on gold, effective from November 1, 2025, introduces a differentiated VAT system based on the purpose of gold usage, which is expected to reshape the industry landscape [2][3]. - The policy aims to enhance regulatory oversight and prevent tax evasion through a "firewall" mechanism that restricts the transfer of tax credits [3]. - The impact of the new tax policy is expected to increase costs for gold jewelry retailers and shift market dynamics towards larger trading platforms [4][7]. Summary by Sections Tax Policy Changes - The new tax classification divides gold transactions into "investment purposes" and "non-investment purposes," with different VAT treatments [2]. - For on-exchange transactions, VAT exemption applies only to non-physical delivery trades, while physical delivery is taxed based on usage [3]. - Non-investment gold incurs a 13% VAT, significantly affecting cost structures for businesses [3]. Impact on Industry Segments - Gold jewelry retailers face increased costs due to reduced VAT deductions, leading to potential price hikes for consumers [4]. - The market response has been negative, with gold jewelry stocks dropping over 4% in the first week following the announcement [4]. - Industrial gold users are expected to increase their use of hedging tools due to rising costs [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading members of the exchange, such as Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold, which are expected to benefit from cost advantages and high compliance barriers [8]. - Investment in gold ETFs is recommended as they are exempt from VAT, providing a way to avoid tax disruptions [8]. - Long-term prospects favor larger mining companies benefiting from market share increases due to the exit of smaller players [8].