Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the industry, indicating a stable outlook for textile manufacturing and a positive trend for gold and jewelry sectors [3]. Core Insights - Textile manufacturing is expected to gradually improve due to stable overseas demand and low inventory levels, despite short-term production efficiency issues and order delays from existing clients [7][11]. - Brand apparel is facing pressure due to weak domestic consumption, with only a few companies showing positive performance through strong product and channel strategies [7][38]. - The gold and jewelry sector is experiencing high growth driven by low base effects, rising gold prices, and product structure upgrades, with leading brands showing significant revenue growth [7][49]. Summary by Sections Textile Manufacturing - Overseas demand remains stable, with low inventory levels in the U.S. indicating a healthy supply chain [12]. - Major global brands like NIKE are seeing recovery after two years of channel optimization, with orders expected to improve as major sporting events approach in 2026 [11][18]. - Key companies to watch include Shenzhou International, Yuyuan Group, and others with Southeast Asian production capabilities [34]. Brand Apparel - The performance of brand apparel companies is generally under pressure, with most reporting low single-digit revenue growth and declining profits [38]. - Notable exceptions include Mercury Home Textiles and Luolai, which reported significant revenue and profit increases due to product expansion and multi-channel strategies [38]. - Companies like Mercury Home Textiles and Li Ning are recommended for their positive brand momentum and strategic changes [48]. Gold and Jewelry - The gold and jewelry sector saw a 11.5% increase in retail sales in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by rising gold prices and product upgrades [49]. - Leading brands such as Chao Hong Ji and Man Ka Long reported substantial revenue growth, with Chao Hong Ji's revenue increasing by nearly 50% in Q3 2025 [54]. - Investment recommendations focus on brands with strong market positioning and ongoing product and channel upgrades, such as Chow Tai Fook and Chao Hong Ji [67].

第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 九興控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月6日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01836 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 HKD | | 500,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 HKD | | 500,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： HKD 500,000,000 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share apparel sector has shown a positive revenue growth in Q3 2025, with significant net profit growth, primarily due to a lower base in Q3 2024. The home textile segment performed particularly well, while the textile manufacturing sector saw a narrowing decline in both revenue and profit [1][3]. Industry Review - Demand Side: - Online retail sales of clothing in China from January to September increased by 2.8% year-on-year, accelerating compared to the previous months [2]. - In the U.S., retail sales of clothing and accessories rose by 8.3% year-on-year in August, marking an acceleration from July, with continuous month-on-month growth since May [2]. - Export Side: - China's textile and apparel exports in September decreased by 1.5% year-on-year, with textile exports up by 6% and garment exports down by 8% [2]. - Vietnam's textile and footwear exports in September increased by 9% year-on-year, showing an acceleration compared to August [2]. Apparel Sector Q3 2025 Summary - Performance Review: - The A-share apparel sector's revenue growth turned positive in Q3 2025, with a net profit increase of 10.6% compared to a decline of 22.0% in Q2 [3]. - The home textile segment, particularly brands like Luolai and Mercury, showed significant revenue and profit growth [3]. - Operational Efficiency: - Most brands experienced an increase in inventory turnover days year-on-year, except for Ge Li Si, Youngor, Luolai Life, and Mercury Home Textile, which saw a decrease [3]. Textile Manufacturing Q3 2025 Summary - Performance Review: - The revenue decline in the A-share textile manufacturing sector narrowed in Q3 2025, with a decrease of 0.4% compared to 1.9% in Q2 [5]. - Profit decline also narrowed, with a decrease of 11.2% in Q3 compared to 20.4% in Q2, with companies like Nanshan Zhishang and Fuchun Dyeing leading in growth [5]. - Future Outlook: - The impact of short-term tariffs is expected to end by year-end, with future order demand being a key variable. Most overseas brands completed price increases in Q3, making Q4 U.S. consumption trends an important observation [5]. - The concentration of orders and capacity advantages for midstream OEMs with mature overseas production capabilities will become more prominent [5]. - The efficiency of new production capacity and the pace of improvement need to be monitored, with a balanced production line allocation mechanism being crucial [5]. Investment Recommendations - For 2026, the performance recovery logic for the export manufacturing sector appears clearer, driven by the implementation of U.S. tariff policies, reduced pressure on brands, and ongoing efficiency improvements [6]. - Recommended stocks include: - For home textiles: Luolai Life, Mercury Home Textile, and Fuanna [6]. - For light luxury: Prada and Samsonite [6]. - For undervalued high-dividend stocks: Bosideng, Jiangnan Buyi, and Taobo [6].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a year-on-year revenue increase of 3.7% in Q3 2025, driven by growth in manufacturing revenue and shipment volume, despite a decline in average selling price (ASP) [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue reached $400 million, with manufacturing revenue at $390 million, and shipment volume increased by 7.8% to 13.9 million pairs [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of $1.18 billion, with manufacturing revenue at $1.15 billion and total shipment volume up by 5.1% to 41.4 million pairs [1] - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of approximately 70% in 2025 and 2026, returning up to $60 million annually to shareholders through share buybacks and special dividends [1] Group 2: Production Capacity and Strategy - The company is set to expand its total production capacity by 20 million pairs starting in 2025, focusing on enhancing capacity at its new factory in Indonesia and launching a second factory in Bangladesh [1][2] - The company aims to improve production efficiency at its Indonesian and Philippine facilities by the second half of 2025, although profitability may face short-term pressure [2] - The company is committed to developing its handbag and accessories manufacturing business as a core growth driver, having recently acquired a small handbag factory in Vietnam to enhance production quality and efficiency [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company is on track to achieve its three-year plan (2023-2025) with a target of 10% operating profit margin and low double-digit compound annual growth rate for after-tax profits, having exceeded these targets in 2023 and 2024 [2] - The company continues to diversify its product mix and expand its customer base, with expectations of strong demand for its product development and production capacity despite current market uncertainties [2] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to $1.58 billion, $1.66 billion, and $1.76 billion, with net profits projected at $160 million, $170 million, and $190 million respectively [3]

Group 1 - The overall probability of achieving long-term excess returns in the consumer sector is greater compared to other industries, with consumer stocks serving as a stable "ballast" [1][18][19] - The food and beverage, and home appliance sectors show a trend of excess returns that can be divided into two phases: pricing boom and pricing stability, with ROE growth surpassing the overall market [1][19] - The electrical equipment sector benefits from sustained demand and has a higher historical probability of achieving long-term excess returns compared to other cyclical industries [1][19] Group 2 - Recent industry trends indicate that coal, oil and petrochemicals, electrical equipment, machinery, electronics, pharmaceuticals, textiles, automotive, non-bank finance, public utilities, and retail are on an upward trajectory, while food and beverage, home appliances, banking, real estate, and environmental protection are declining [2][22] - The report predicts that industries such as rail transit equipment, automotive parts, commercial vehicles, and lighting equipment will perform well in the next four weeks [2][22] Group 3 - The convertible bond market saw an increase this week, with the China Securities convertible bond index rising by 1.47% and the weighted average rising by 1.37% [3][28] - The overall market weighted average conversion value increased to 101.05 yuan, with a conversion premium rate of 40.44% [3][28][29] - The report highlights that sectors like defense, electronics, and computers led the market gains, while communications and beauty care lagged [3][28] Group 4 - The report on Dinglong Co. indicates a projected revenue of approximately 945 million yuan for Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of about 4.20% [7] - The CMP polishing pad business is expected to continue growing, with a 51% increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 compared to the previous year [7] - The semiconductor display materials segment is also seeing a steady increase in market share, with new products receiving positive feedback [7] Group 5 - Yangjie Technology reported a revenue of 5.348 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.89% [8] - The company is focusing on expanding its market presence in automotive electronics and artificial intelligence, which are driving order and shipment growth [8] - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 is set at 1.256 billion, 1.485 billion, and 1.728 billion yuan respectively [8]

Core Viewpoint - Tianfeng Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiu Xing Holdings (01836), adjusting profit forecasts due to a relatively weak consumer environment while still expecting revenue and net profit growth in the coming years [1][2] Group 1: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are adjusted to $1.58 billion, $1.66 billion, and $1.76 billion, respectively, down from previous estimates of $1.62 billion, $1.71 billion, and $1.81 billion [1] - Net profit estimates for the same years are maintained at $160 million, $170 million, and $190 million, consistent with prior forecasts [1] - Corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 11x, 10x, and 9x for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to achieve a 10% operating profit margin and a low double-digit compound annual growth rate in after-tax profits by the end of its three-year plan (2023-2025), having already exceeded these targets in 2023 and 2024 [1] - Continuous improvement in product category mix, diversification, and expansion of the customer base are key strategies moving forward [1] - The company plans to optimize production capacity between luxury, high-end fashion categories, and new sports category clients, with new client shipments expected to begin in the second half of the year [1] Group 3: Business Development - The company is committed to making its handbag and accessories manufacturing business a core growth driver, targeting the introduction of more high-end clients [2] - Accelerating the development of this business will be a focus in the next three-year plan starting in 2026 [2] - A recent acquisition of a small handbag and accessories factory in Vietnam aims to leverage high-end production expertise and enhance the quality and efficiency of the company's manufacturing operations [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price set at HKD 16.33, indicating a potential upside of 10%-20% over the next six months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue increase of 3.7% year-on-year to USD 400 million in Q3 2025, driven by demand in the sports category and new customer acquisitions [1]. - The company aims to expand its total production capacity by 20 million pairs starting in 2025, focusing on enhancing production efficiency in Indonesia and Bangladesh [2]. - The three-year plan (2023-2025) is on track to achieve a 10% operating profit margin and a low double-digit compound annual growth rate in after-tax profits [3]. - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of approximately 70% in 2025 and 2026, returning up to USD 60 million annually to shareholders through share buybacks and special dividends [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue increase of 1.7% year-on-year to USD 1.18 billion, with manufacturing revenue up 1.6% to USD 1.15 billion [1]. - The average selling price (ASP) decreased by 3.1% to USD 27.7 due to a lower average price in the sports category [1]. Production Capacity Expansion - The company is set to enhance its production capacity by 20 million pairs, with new facilities expected to be operational by the second half of 2026 [2]. - The production efficiency in Indonesia and the Philippines is anticipated to improve gradually starting in the second half of 2025 [2]. Strategic Goals - The company is focused on diversifying its product mix and expanding its customer base, particularly in the luxury and high-end fashion categories [3]. - The acquisition of a small handbag and accessories factory in Vietnam aims to elevate the quality and efficiency of its manufacturing capabilities in this segment [3]. Profit Forecast Adjustments - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to USD 1.58 billion, USD 1.66 billion, and USD 1.76 billion respectively, with net profits projected at USD 160 million, USD 170 million, and USD 190 million [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing steady revenue growth despite short-term challenges, with a strong medium to long-term order certainty and a gradual recovery in profitability expected [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of $400 million, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, with manufacturing revenue at $390 million, also up 3.6% year-on-year [1] - The shipment volume reached 13.9 million pairs, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.8%, while the average selling price (ASP) was $28.2, down 3.8% year-on-year [1] - The company slightly adjusted its profit forecast, expecting net profits of $161 million, $179 million, and $198 million for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of -6%, 11%, and 11% respectively [2] Group 2: Production Capacity and Efficiency - The company is addressing short-term production efficiency issues, with improvements noted since June 2025, leading to a resolution of efficiency problems and better preparation for future capacity expansions [1] - The company plans to add 20 million pairs of new capacity to support business growth over the next three years, driven by strong customer orders, particularly in the sports sector [2] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The company maintains a strong recommendation rating, supported by its position as a leading manufacturer in the sports fashion footwear sector, with stable core customer orders and ongoing new customer acquisition [2] - The company is committed to a fixed dividend policy of over 70% and plans to repurchase or issue special dividends of $60 million annually [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [1][4]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company experienced a revenue growth of 4%, with shipment volume increasing by 8% but average selling price (ASP) decreasing by 4%. The short-term impact on production efficiency is gradually being resolved, and while short-term profitability is under pressure, medium to long-term order certainty is strong, leading to an expected gradual recovery in profitability [1][7]. - The company has slightly adjusted its profit forecast, expecting net profits of $161 million, $179 million, and $198 million for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of -6%, 11%, and 11% respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected at 11X for 2025 and 10X for 2026 [1][7]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue is projected to be $1.578 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 2%. The operating profit is expected to be $160 million, reflecting a slight decrease of 2% compared to the previous year. Net profit is forecasted at $161 million, down 6% year-on-year [3][9]. - The company maintains a fixed dividend payout of over 70% and plans to repurchase or distribute special dividends of $60 million annually [7]. Performance Metrics - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately HKD 13.3 billion, with a current share price of HKD 15.87. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 15.8%, and the debt-to-asset ratio is 24.6% [4][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at $0.19, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 10.8 [10].

智通财经APP获悉，浙商证券发布研报称，维持九兴控股(01836)"买入"评级，预计25-27年公司实现收 入15.7/16.4/17.5亿美元，归母净利润分别为1.5/1.7/1.9亿美元，预计25年分红率维持70%，且公司承诺 2025-2026年均有6000万美元的回购或特别股息，对应股息率10%。公司产能稀缺客户订单充沛保障收 入稳健成长，印尼和孟加拉新产能有序扩张，短期产能爬坡利润率波动不改长期向好趋势。 报告中称，九兴2026年客户反馈积极，订单需求旺盛，新客户拓展顺利，且规模较大订单充沛，同时第 一大客户订单稳健。目前产能拓展成关键变量，公司预计新增2000万双新产能支持未来3年计划的业务 增长，印尼梭罗新工厂预计仍有700万双产能逐步提升，孟加拉新工厂预计仍可扩充300万双，印尼最大 客户专属工厂新产能预计26H2投产，贡献1000-1500万双新产能。 ...