Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that while the Macau gaming industry is expected to see a 14% year-on-year increase in EBITDA for the fourth quarter, Sands China (01928) is projected to have only an 8% increase due to additional operational expenses from events like the NBA China Games and the National Games in November [1] - Citi believes that Sands China's potential EBITDA growth is below the industry average, which may lead to a decline in the stock price in the short term [1] - The stock is rated as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 24.25, and it has been placed on a 30-day watchlist for downward catalysts [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citi has initiated a 30-day downward catalyst observation for Sands China (01928), anticipating that the company's EBITDA growth in Q4 will underperform the overall Macau gaming industry [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The Macau gaming industry is expected to see a year-on-year EBITDA growth of 14% in the fourth quarter [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Sands China's EBITDA growth is projected at only 8% for the same period, attributed to additional operational expenses from events like the NBA China Games in October and the National Games in November [1] - Citi believes that Sands China's potential EBITDA growth is below the industry average, which may lead to a decline in the stock price in the short term [1] - The stock is rated as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 24.25, and it has been included in the 30-day downward catalyst observation list [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citi's report indicates that the operating leverage of the Macau gaming sector should have significantly improved in Q4 2022, if not for additional operational expenses related to the NBA China Games and the 15th National Games, as well as costs associated with the closure of satellite casinos by SJM Holdings [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - The gaming sector's gross gaming revenue is expected to increase by 15% year-on-year, leading to an estimated EBITDA growth of 13% to $2.246 billion for the quarter [1] - The industry EBITDA margin is projected to rise by half a percentage point year-on-year to 27.5% [1] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) are likely to show the most significant quarter-on-quarter improvement in market share, while Sands China (01928) is also expected to see a quarter-on-quarter increase [1] - SJM Holdings is anticipated to experience the largest market share loss in the quarter, primarily due to the closure of its satellite casinos [1] - Wynn Macau's market share is expected to remain stable quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 3: EBITDA Projections - Among the six gaming operators, Galaxy Entertainment is expected to see the largest EBITDA improvement, with a year-on-year increase of 31% to HKD 4.239 billion, benefiting from concert events and favorable VIP win rates [1] - Sands China's EBITDA is projected to grow by 8% year-on-year to $616 million, which is about 5% lower than market expectations, mainly due to additional operational expenses from the NBA China Games in October and the National Games in November [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citi's report indicates that the profitability preview for Macau gaming stocks in Q4 last year shows that operational leverage in the industry should have significantly improved, excluding additional operational expenses related to the NBA China Games and the 15th National Games, as well as costs associated with the closure of satellite casinos by SJM Holdings (00880) [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - The industry’s EBITDA is expected to increase by 13% year-on-year to $2.246 billion, supported by a 15% year-on-year rise in gross gaming revenue [1] - The EBITDA margin for the industry is projected to rise by half a percentage point year-on-year to 27.5% [1] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) are likely to see the largest quarter-on-quarter improvement in market share among operators [1] - Sands China (01928) is also expected to see a quarter-on-quarter increase in market share, while SJM is anticipated to experience the largest market share loss due to the closure of satellite casinos [1] - Wynn Macau's market share is expected to remain stable quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 3: EBITDA Projections - Among the six gaming operators, Galaxy Entertainment is expected to show the most significant EBITDA improvement, with a year-on-year increase of 31% to HKD 4.239 billion, benefiting from concert events and favorable VIP win rates [1] - Sands China’s EBITDA is projected to grow by 8% year-on-year to $616 million, which is about 5% lower than market expectations, primarily due to additional operational expenses from the NBA China Games in October and the National Games in November last year [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that while the Macau gaming industry is expected to see a year-on-year EBITDA growth of 14% in the fourth quarter of last year, Sands China is projected to have a lower EBITDA growth of only 8% during the same period [1] - The lower growth forecast for Sands China is attributed to additional operational expenses incurred from the NBA China Games in October and the National Games in November [1] - Citi believes that Sands China's potential EBITDA growth is below the industry average, which may lead to a decline in the stock price in the short term [1] Group 2 - Despite the lower growth expectations, Citi maintains a "Buy" rating on Sands China, setting a target price of HKD 24.25 [1] - Sands China has been included in the 30-day downside catalyst watch list by Citi [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the Macau gaming industry is experiencing significant growth, with a 15% increase in gaming revenue, and an expected EBITDA growth of 16% to $2.2 billion in the fourth quarter [1] - The report anticipates that the revenue shares of Galaxy Entertainment (00027), Sands China (01928), and MGM China (02282) will increase compared to the previous year [1] - Investors are expected to focus on EBITDA profit margins and dividends ahead of the earnings releases [1] Group 2 - The target price for Wynn Macau (01128) has been revised down from HKD 8.4 to HKD 8.2, while the target price for Galaxy Entertainment has been raised from HKD 49.1 to HKD 49.5 [1] - Both Galaxy Entertainment and MGM China are highlighted as preferred stocks in the industry [1]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.17% or 309.64 points, closing at 26,149.31 points, and a total trading volume of 268.275 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 1.05%, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index decreased by 1.09% [1] - Everbright Securities noted that domestic policy support and a weaker US dollar may lead to continued fluctuations and potential upward movement in the Hong Kong market, highlighting strong overall profitability and relatively low valuations [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - New World Development (00016) led blue-chip stocks with a rise of 3.21%, closing at 102.8 HKD, contributing 7.39 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - China Shenhua (01088) increased by 2.56%, while Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692) rose by 1.75% [2] - Sands China (01928) fell by 4.49%, and Tingyi (00322) dropped by 4.18%, negatively impacting the index [2] Sector Highlights - Large tech stocks faced pressure, with Alibaba and Tencent both declining [3] - The commercial aerospace sector saw significant gains, with Asia Pacific Satellite rising over 20% [4] - Semiconductor stocks performed well, with Tian Shuo Zhi Xin (09903) increasing by 8.44% and Shanghai Fudan (01385) rising by 5.27% [3] - The brain-computer interface sector gained attention, with companies like Brainhole Technology (02203) and Micro-Innovation Brain Science (02172) seeing notable increases [4][5] New Listings and Market Movements - New listings included Zhipu AI (02513), which rose by 13.17% on its debut, becoming known as the "first stock of large models" [7] - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) saw a strong performance, increasing by 7.09% amid rising demand for legal oil tankers due to geopolitical dynamics [8] - Xindong Company (02400) also performed well, rising by 6.46% following the global launch of its mobile game [9] HSBC Holdings Update - HSBC Holdings (00005) faced pressure, declining by 2.28% as it held a court meeting and shareholder meeting to vote on a privatization proposal valued at approximately 290.3 billion HKD [10] - The proposed buyout price is set at 155 HKD per share, representing a 30.3% premium over the previous closing price [10]

Core Viewpoint - The gaming stocks are under pressure, with significant declines observed in major companies such as New World Development, Sands China, Wynn Macau, and MGM China, following the release of Macau's gaming revenue data for December 2025 [1] Group 1: Market Performance - New World Development (00200) fell by 3.31% to HKD 4.09 [1] - Sands China (01928) decreased by 3.16% to HKD 19 [1] - Wynn Macau (01128) dropped by 2.5% to HKD 5.84 [1] - MGM China (02282) declined by 1.84% to HKD 12.28 [1] Group 2: Revenue Insights - Macau's gross gaming revenue for December 2025 was MOP 20.89 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.8% [1] - The total gross gaming revenue for the first 12 months of 2025 reached MOP 247.404 billion, up 9.1% year-on-year [1] - Factors driving the revenue performance included the continued rollout of high-end property projects and increased visitor numbers due to various entertainment activities and promotional plans [1] Group 3: Future Projections - CICC forecasts that total gaming revenue for January 2026 will range from MOP 20.2 billion to MOP 21.7 billion, with daily gaming revenue expected to be between MOP 650 million and MOP 700 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10% to 19% [1] - However, compared to January 2019, the revenue is projected to decline by 13% to 19% [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong gaming stocks are experiencing a downturn, with notable declines in shares such as Melco International Development down nearly 4%, Sands China down 3%, and others like Wynn Macau and Amax Holdings down over 2% [1] - The Macau Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau reported that the gross gaming revenue for December 2025 reached 20.89 billion MOP, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.8% [1] - Cumulative gross gaming revenue for the first 12 months of 2025 in Macau was 247.404 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.1% [1] Group 2 - Citigroup's research indicated that the December 2025 gaming revenue in Macau was 20.888 billion MOP, averaging approximately 674 million MOP per day, which is a 15% increase year-on-year and about 91% of the levels seen in December 2019 [1] - The reported figures were approximately 5% lower than Citigroup's forecast and about 3% below market expectations [1] - Some institutions noted that while the performance of the Macau gaming industry in Q4 2025 and for the entire year was strong, there has been a profound structural change, leading to a cautious outlook for growth in 2026 [1]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 金沙中國有限公司 (於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) 呈交日期: 2026年1月7日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01928 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 16,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.01 USD | | 160,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | USD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 16,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.01 USD | | 160,000,000 | ...