高盛发布研报称，多间澳门博彩股即将公布2025年第四季业绩，预期投资者将关注公司的利润趋势，因 不同公司均表达对11月全运会额外开支及竞争激烈的忧虑。该行料期内行业EBITDA按季及同比分别升 4%及13%，相较于博彩总收入按季及同比升6%及14%，基于经营开支增加，以及博彩收入占比向利润 较低的贵宾厅业务倾斜。 展望2026年，该行料整体博彩收入同比升8%，EBITDA升10%，令行业EBITDA及经常性自由现金流分 别达91亿及64亿美元，接近新冠疫情前水平。该行认为目前行业估值仍属吸引，重申对银娱、美高梅中 国及金沙中国的"买入"评级。 该行料去年第四季，银河娱乐(00027)EBITDA将按季升28%至5.5亿美元，基于贵宾赢率较高;美高梅中 国(02282)EBITDA按季升8%至3.28亿美元，因博彩收入稳健复苏。至于金沙中国(01928)，该行料 EBITDA将按季升4%至6.28亿美元，因零售收入的增长被更高的经营开支及推广费用所抵消。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that several Macau gaming stocks are set to announce their Q4 2025 earnings, with investors expected to focus on profit trends amid concerns over additional spending for the November National Games and intense competition [1] Industry Summary - The firm anticipates a quarterly and year-on-year increase in industry EBITDA by 4% and 13% respectively, compared to a quarterly and year-on-year rise in total gaming revenue of 6% and 14% [1] - The increase in operating expenses and the shift of gaming revenue towards the lower-margin VIP segment are noted as contributing factors [1] Company-Specific Insights - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is expected to see its EBITDA rise by 28% quarter-on-quarter to $550 million, driven by a higher VIP win rate [1] - MGM China (02282) is projected to have an EBITDA increase of 8% quarter-on-quarter to $328 million, attributed to a robust recovery in gaming revenue [1] - Sands China (01928) is forecasted to experience a 4% quarter-on-quarter EBITDA increase to $628 million, as retail revenue growth is offset by higher operating expenses and promotional costs [1] Future Outlook - For 2026, the overall gaming revenue is expected to increase by 8% year-on-year, with EBITDA rising by 10%, leading to industry EBITDA and recurring free cash flow reaching $9.1 billion and $6.4 billion respectively, nearing pre-COVID levels [1] - The firm believes that the current industry valuations remain attractive and reiterates a "buy" rating for Galaxy Entertainment, MGM China, and Sands China [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the overseas pharmaceutical sector, highlighting significant developments and collaborations in the industry [1]. Core Insights - The collaboration between Insilico Medicine and Heng Tai Biologics to develop an innovative brain-penetrating NLRP3 inhibitor is a key highlight, with potential applications in treating central nervous system diseases [2][7]. - The approval of full circulation for Fuhong Hanlin's H shares is noted, which involves a significant number of shares and stakeholders [2][7]. - The report emphasizes the strong revenue growth projections for companies like MicroPort Robotics and King’s Ray Biotech, with expected revenue increases of approximately 110%-120% year-on-year for 2025 [6][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Overseas Pharmaceuticals - Insilico Medicine and Heng Tai Biologics have entered a partnership to develop ISM8969, a novel oral NLRP3 inhibitor, with a 50% global rights share and potential milestone payments exceeding HKD 500 million [2][7]. - Fuhong Hanlin's H shares have received approval for full circulation, involving 182,645,856 shares, which represents about 33.61% of the company's total issued shares [2][7]. 2. Company Performance Updates - MicroPort Robotics anticipates a revenue increase of 110%-120% for 2025, with adjusted net losses expected to narrow by over 50% [6][10]. - King’s Ray Biotech's joint venture, Legend Biotech, is projected to generate approximately USD 555 million in trade sales for the quarter ending December 31, 2025 [6][10]. 3. Recent Developments in Overseas Pharmaceutical Companies - GSK has reached an agreement to acquire RAPT Therapeutics for approximately USD 2.2 billion, focusing on a long-acting IgE monoclonal antibody currently in clinical trials [3][8]. - Corvus has reported positive results from a Phase I trial of its ITK inhibitor for moderate to severe atopic dermatitis, showing good safety and efficacy [3][9]. - Eli Lilly's FRα ADC has received breakthrough therapy designation from the FDA for treating platinum-resistant ovarian cancer [3][9]. 4. Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring innovative drug companies with active commercialization and business development opportunities, including companies like BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and Fuhong Hanlin [13]. - It also highlights the importance of ongoing clinical progress in innovative pipelines for pharmaceutical companies transitioning towards innovation [13].

Core Insights - The Macau gaming industry is undergoing a significant transformation, marked by the closure of satellite casinos by the end of 2025 and a widespread salary increase for nearly 100,000 employees in early 2026, reflecting the industry's shift from decentralization to concentration [1][3][4] Salary Increase and Employee Impact - Six major integrated tourism and leisure companies in Macau announced bonus and salary increase plans, with a uniform raise of 500 MOP for employees earning 16,000 MOP or less, and approximately a 2% increase for those earning above that threshold, benefiting about 99% of frontline employees [2][3] - The total number of employees affected by this salary increase is close to 100,000, emphasizing the industry's commitment to team contributions and shared success [2][3] Closure of Satellite Casinos - The last satellite casino, the Landmarks Casino, will close on December 31, 2025, marking the end of an era for this model that has been part of Macau's gaming landscape for nearly 50 years [4][5] - The closure of satellite casinos, which involved around 5,600 local employees, is seen as a pivotal moment in the industry's transition towards a more concentrated operational model [4][5] Industry Transformation and Regulatory Changes - The new gaming regulations have reinforced the legal status of satellite casinos and provided a framework for their phased exit, indicating a shift towards a more regulated and concentrated gaming environment [5][6] - The closure of satellite casinos is viewed as a necessary step for the growth of integrated resorts, which have become the preferred model for tourism in Macau [5][6] Tourism Growth and Non-Gaming Investments - Macau's tourism sector achieved a record-breaking 40 million visitors in 2025, a 14.7% increase year-on-year, contributing to the overall recovery of the gaming industry [7][8] - Non-gaming investments and activities have increased significantly, with major companies hosting nearly 600 events in 2025, indicating a strategic shift towards diversifying revenue sources beyond gaming [9] Future Outlook and Key Performance Indicators - The upcoming three-year assessment period starting in 2026 will evaluate the performance of gaming companies in terms of their non-gaming investments, which are crucial for the industry's structural transformation [9] - The growth of international visitors and the focus on non-gaming elements are expected to be key indicators of the industry's success in adapting to new market demands [9]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates a slight decline in profit margins for the Macau gaming industry in Q4 2025 due to unfavorable business mix changes (higher proportion of VIP customers) and increased operating expenses [1] Industry Summary - The average adjusted property EBITDA for the industry is expected to increase by 4% quarter-on-quarter and 13% year-on-year in Q4, aligning with market expectations [1] Company Summary - Morgan Stanley is optimistic about Galaxy Entertainment and Sands China, both rated "Overweight" [1] - The rating for Melco Resorts China was downgraded to "In Line with the Market" in December due to high royalty expenses [1] - A "Underweight" rating was assigned to SJM Holdings [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a rebound in Hong Kong's gaming stocks, particularly in the Macau gaming sector, with significant increases in stock prices for companies like Melco International Development and Galaxy Entertainment [1] - According to a report by Jefferies, Macau's gaming revenue has shown strong growth, with an average daily revenue of 693 million MOP as of January 11, reflecting an 18% year-on-year increase [1] - Jefferies' industry survey suggests that Macau's gaming revenue is expected to grow by 15% to 21% year-on-year for the entire month of January [1] Group 2 - Specific stock performance includes Melco International Development rising by 3.5%, Galaxy Entertainment and Huayi Tencent Entertainment increasing by over 3%, and Sands China and Wynn Macau rising by over 2% [2] - The report highlights a shift in investor preference towards U.S. regional gaming stocks, although Jefferies maintains that the fundamentals of stocks primarily operating in Macau are superior to their peers [1] - Jefferies continues to favor Wynn and Sands in the U.S. market, as well as Galaxy Entertainment and Sands China in the Hong Kong market [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong gaming stocks, which have been experiencing a continuous decline, are now witnessing a rebound in the market [1] - Notable gains include SJM Holdings rising by 3.5%, while Galaxy Entertainment, Melco International Development, and MGM China all increased by over 3% [1] - Sands China and Wynn Macau saw increases of over 2%, and both Genting Hong Kong and Amax Holdings rose by 1% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that Macau's gaming revenue is expected to show strong growth starting in 2026, with recent data supporting this trend [1][2] - According to a report from Jefferies, Macau's gaming revenue averaged MOP 693 million per day as of January 11, reflecting an 18% year-on-year increase [1] - The industry survey suggests that January's gaming revenue could achieve a year-on-year growth of 15% to 21%, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [1] Group 2 - UBS noted that the average daily gaming revenue in Macau over the past seven days was approximately MOP 693 million, which is lower than the MOP 800 million average in the first four days of January [2] - Year-to-date, Macau's gaming revenue has reached a solid average of MOP 732 million per day, representing a year-on-year growth of about 24% and a month-on-month growth of approximately 9% [2] - This performance is significantly better than the seasonal growth of about 2% observed from 2015 to 2019 [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a rebound in Hong Kong gaming stocks, with notable increases in share prices for companies such as Melco International Development, Galaxy Entertainment, and MGM China [1] - According to a report by Jefferies, Macau's gaming revenue is expected to show strong growth, with an average daily revenue of MOP 693 million for the first seven days of January, representing an 18% year-on-year increase [1] - Jefferies' industry survey suggests that Macau's gaming revenue for January could achieve a year-on-year growth of 15% to 21% [1] Group 2 - Specific stock performance includes Melco International Development rising by 3.5%, Galaxy Entertainment and Huayi Brothers Media increasing by over 3%, and Sands China and Wynn Macau rising by over 2% [2] - The report highlights a shift in investor preference towards U.S. regional gaming stocks, although Jefferies maintains that the fundamentals of stocks primarily operating in Macau are superior to their peers [1] - Jefferies continues to favor Wynn and Sands in the U.S. market, as well as Galaxy Entertainment and Sands China in the Hong Kong market [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a strong upward trend in Macau's gaming stocks, with significant increases in share prices for major companies such as Melco International Development, Galaxy Entertainment, MGM China, Sands China, and Wynn Macau [1] - According to a report by Jefferies, Macau's total gaming revenue is expected to show robust growth in early 2026, with an average daily revenue of MOP 693 million from January 1 to January 11, representing an 18% year-on-year increase [1] - UBS noted that due to calendar effects, the average daily gaming revenue in Macau over the past week was approximately MOP 693 million, lower than the MOP 800 million average in the first four days of January, but the total revenue for January so far stands at a solid average of MOP 732 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 24% and a month-on-month growth of about 9% [1] Group 2 - Jefferies' industry survey indicates that the entire month of January is expected to achieve a year-on-year growth of 15% to 21%, despite a recent shift in investor preference towards U.S. regional gaming stocks [1] - The reported figures support Jefferies' view that stocks with primary operations in Macau have stronger fundamentals compared to their peers [1] - The monthly growth rate of Macau's gaming revenue in January is significantly better than the seasonal performance observed from 2015 to 2019, which averaged around 2% month-on-month growth [1]