FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01928 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 8,093,379,566 | | 0 | | 8,093,379,566 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 8,093,379,566 | | 0 | | 8,093,379,566 | 第 2 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 公司名稱: 金沙中國有限公司 (於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) 呈交日期: 2025年9月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 ...

Core Insights - Morgan Stanley reported that Macau's gaming revenue in August increased by 12% year-on-year, aligning with the bank's and market expectations [1] - After three consecutive months of double-digit growth, the bank anticipates that operating leverage will begin to take effect in the second half of the year, driving margin expansion and profit adjustments [1] - The bank projects a 16% year-on-year increase in gaming revenue for September, indicating a 16% rise in the third quarter [1] - Morgan Stanley has assigned "overweight" ratings to Sands China (01928), MGM China (02282), and Wynn Macau (01128) [1]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's gaming revenue in August increased by 12% year-on-year, aligning with the bank's and market expectations [1] - After three consecutive months of double-digit growth, the operating leverage is expected to start playing a role in the second half of the year, driving margin expansion and profit correction [1] - The bank anticipates a 16% year-on-year increase in gaming revenue for September, indicating a 16% rise in the third quarter [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley maintains "overweight" ratings for Sands China (01928), MGM China (02282), and Wynn Macau (01128) [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue in August increased by 12% year-on-year, aligning with the bank's and market expectations [1] Group 1: Revenue Growth - After three consecutive months of double-digit growth, the operating leverage is expected to start playing a role in the second half of the year, driving margin expansion and profit correction [1] - The bank anticipates a 16% year-on-year growth in gaming revenue for September, suggesting a 16% year-on-year increase for the third quarter [1] Group 2: Company Ratings - Morgan Stanley has assigned "Overweight" ratings to Sands China, MGM China, Wynn Macau, and Melco Resorts [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue (GGR) reached a post-pandemic high in August, growing 12% year-on-year to MOP 22.2 billion, aligning with market expectations [1] - Compared to pre-pandemic levels, August's gaming revenue has recovered to 91% of the figures [1] - The report suggests that the performance in August reflects a turning point for the Macau gaming industry, driven by wealth effects and ample liquidity in the Hong Kong market [1] Group 2 - The company anticipates that the strong momentum will continue for some time, projecting a year-on-year growth of 15% in gaming revenue and 21% in EBITDA for the first quarter of next year [1] - In terms of stock recommendations, the company prefers Galaxy Entertainment and MGM China, with target prices set at HKD 54 and HKD 23 respectively [1] - Sands China is the second choice with a target price of HKD 24.5, all rated as "buy," while Melco International Development is rated as "sell" with a target price of HKD 4.5 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Macau gaming sector shows strong performance with record monthly gross gaming revenue and increased tourist arrivals, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [1] Group 1: Gaming Revenue - Macau's gross gaming revenue for August reached 22.16 billion MOP, marking a new monthly high for the year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.14% and a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [1] - From January to August, the total gross gaming revenue amounted to 163.05 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.2% [1] Group 2: Tourist Arrivals - The Macau Public Security Police reported that the number of inbound tourists during the summer of 2025 (July to August) reached 7.68 million, averaging 123,000 visitors per day, which is a year-on-year increase of 15.2% [1] Group 3: Stock Performance - Major gaming stocks in Hong Kong saw gains, with SJM Holdings up 2.40%, Galaxy Entertainment up 2.14%, and Sands China up 1.29% among others [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant increase in the stock price of Melco International Development, which rose over 14%, leading the gains in Macau gaming stocks [1] - Melco International Development reported a net revenue of HKD 19.965 billion for the six months ending June 30, 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.38% [1] - The company achieved a profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 351 million, marking a turnaround from a loss in the previous year, with basic earnings per share of HKD 0.18 [1] Group 2 - The Macau hotel and tourism industry anticipates a boost in tourism due to upcoming major events such as the National Day Golden Week, the 15th National Games, and the Grand Prix, which are expected to drive visitor numbers close to 2019 levels [1] - Analysts suggest that the concentration of large events in Macau during the second half of the year will directly enhance tourist volume and stimulate gaming demand, providing fundamental support for gaming stocks [1]

Group 1 - UBS raised the forecast for Macau's 2025 second half gaming gross revenue (GGR) growth from 7% to 12%, compared to a 4% growth in the first half of this year [1] - The gaming market dynamics in Macau are shifting, with hotel room growth no longer being the main driver of market share growth; instead, table distribution and high-end products and services are becoming key factors [1] - Mid to low-end gaming operations are expected to face challenges from domestic tourism competition and the macroeconomic environment in China [1] Group 2 - UBS anticipates that high-end gaming companies like Wynn Macau (01128) and MGM China (02282) will maintain or expand their market share, with their valuation discounts compared to larger gaming companies expected to narrow [1] - For the third quarter, UBS estimates Wynn Macau's market share at 12.2% (up 0.5 percentage points from previous forecasts) and MGM China's market share at 16.4% (up 0.7 percentage points) [1] - Sands China (01928) and Galaxy Entertainment (00027) are projected to have market shares of 24.5% (down 0.2 percentage points) and 19.5% (down 0.1 percentage points) respectively for the third quarter [1] Group 3 - UBS upgraded Wynn Macau's rating from "Neutral" to "Buy," raising the target price from HKD 6.1 to HKD 8.4, reflecting a projected enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 9.5 times for next year [1] - UBS maintained a "Buy" rating for MGM China, increasing the target price from HKD 15.9 to HKD 19.8, also reflecting a projected enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 9.5 times for next year [1] - UBS maintained a "Neutral" rating for Sands China, raising the target price from HKD 17.8 to HKD 21.6, corresponding to a projected enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 11.5 times for next year [2] - UBS maintained a "Buy" rating for Galaxy Entertainment, increasing the target price from HKD 43.9 to HKD 46.9, reflecting a projected enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 11.7 times for next year [2]

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