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智通港股解盘 | 中美会谈超预期 短期估值修复是主旋律
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-12 12:32
【解剖大盘】 既然关税回到正常水平,那么市场就要纠错了,反响最强烈的就是消费电子,尤其是果链,在中国有大 规模的采购和供应链布局,关税降低受益最大。高伟电子(01415)、瑞声科技(02018)、比亚迪电子 (00285)、舜宇(02382)、丘钛科技(01478)均涨超13%。再是在北美业务占比较高的汽配股敏实集团 (00425)、泉峰控股(02285)涨近10%,出口家电类的海信家电(00921)、电脑业务占比高的联想集团 (00992)也涨超9%。上次提到的航运类如德翔海运(02510)、东方海外国际(00316)继续涨超5%;今天发 酵的中远海控(01919)涨超8%。 利好有点多,都有点不习惯,尤其是中美这次会谈居然大超预期,恒指直接暴涨2.98%,量能更是大幅 放大到了3224亿。 先说一下周末的利好,首先是印度和巴基斯坦同意停火。上周五判断印巴冲突会"市场倾向于会逐步降 温。"但直接停火是没想到的。印度这么能装的国家都装不下去了,只能说明实力真不允许,或许是背 后的军火供应商扛不住了,再打就彻底要玩脱了。停火当然是好事,周一,印度和巴基斯坦股市强势上 涨。巴基斯坦基准股指KSE-30指数一度飙升 ...
港股、中概股大爆发!黄金跌超3%,避险情绪降温,最新解读来了
5月12日,中美资产双双大涨,避险资产出现回落。 消息面上,《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》今日发布。 中泰国际策略分析师颜招骏在接受南财快讯记者采访时表示,中美双方关税税率短时间内的大幅下调超 出了市场预期,对港股、美股及全球资产均会产生积极影响。此举可能会降低美国通胀反弹风险,为美 联储六月降息创造空间,进一步利好中国资产。 具体来看,恒生科技指数一度涨超6%,恒生指数、恒生国企指数也一度涨超3.5%。截至收盘,香港恒 生指数涨2.98%,恒生国企指数涨3.01%,恒生科技指数涨5.16%。 港股科技股巨头涨幅持续扩大,阿里巴巴-W(09988.HK)、京东集团(09618.HK)涨超6%,腾讯控股 (00700.HK)涨超4.5%。 港股苹果指数也直线拉升,收涨13.40%。成分股份中高伟电子(01415.HK)涨超18%,瑞声科技 (02018.HK)涨超15%,比亚迪电子(00285.HK)、舜宇光学科技(02382.HK)、丘钛科技 美股期货走高,纳指期货涨超3.4%,道指期货涨近2%,标普500指数期货也涨超2.5%。 美股盘前热门中概股普涨,万国数据(GDS)涨超10%,小鹏汽车(XPEV)涨超 ...
这个千亿制造业不会回流美国!
第一财经· 2025-05-10 09:44
2025.05. 10 本文字数:3457,阅读时长大约6分钟 作者 | 第一财经 彭海斌 "我们也做了很多测算,在美国制造的话,成本至少增加50%。美国市场没办法消化,没有人买单的。"泉峰控 股(02285.HK)董事长兼CEO潘龙泉近日对第一财经表示。 泉峰控股是一家生产电动工具和户外动力设备的公司,比如电钻、角磨机以及割草机。工具类产品包罗万象, 中国是最大制造基地,美国是最大消费市场。根据沙利文数据,美国电动工具和户外动力设备市场规模在2020 年就超过1700亿人民币。美国加征关税前后,中国企业与其美国经销商联合,一方面积极备货,一方面扩充越 南工厂产能。尽管美国关税政策的一个目标是实现制造业回流,但在工具类生产制造,这几乎是不可能的任 务。 实际上,美国最大工具制造商史丹利百得(SWK.NYSE)在特朗普第一任任期内新建的美国工厂,也已经在 2023年关闭了。泉峰控股几年前就在内部讨论过美国生产的可行性,但潘龙泉经营德国工厂十余年得到的宝贵 经验是:"在高成本的地区去搞制造,我们会非常地谨慎小心。" 泉峰控股与美国合作伙伴对关税的警惕,开始于特朗普参选的时候。2024年第四季度,客户和泉峰控股就启 ...
中国出口企业放言,这个千亿制造业不会回流美国 | 海斌访谈
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-10 06:50
泉峰控股是一家生产电动工具和户外动力设备的公司,比如电钻、角磨机以及割草机。工具类产品包罗 万象,中国是最大制造基地,美国是最大消费市场。根据沙利文数据,美国电动工具和户外动力设备市 场规模在2020年就超过1700亿人民币。美国加征关税前后,中国企业与其美国经销商联合,一方面积极 备货,一方面扩充越南工厂产能。尽管美国关税政策的一个目标是实现制造业回流,但在工具类生产制 造,这几乎是不可能的任务。 实际上,美国最大工具制造商史丹利百得(SWK.NYSE)在特朗普第一任任期内新建的美国工厂,也 已经在2023年关闭了。泉峰控股几年前就在内部讨论过美国生产的可行性,但潘龙泉经营德国工厂十余 年得到的宝贵经验是:"在高成本的地区去搞制造,我们会非常地谨慎小心。" "正常的工具制造业,美国永远回不到过去的。" "我们也做了很多测算,在美国制造的话,成本至少增加50%。美国市场没办法消化,没有人买单 的。"泉峰控股(02285.HK)董事长兼CEO潘龙泉近日对第一财经表示。 中美企业联手激活越南产能 泉峰控股在美国的销售渠道既有美国家居建材类的大商超劳氏、综合类零售商沃尔玛,也包括在线销售 平台亚马逊。 美国最初加征 ...
24、25Q1工具板块综述:加速全球布局,危中亦有机
Xinda Securities· 2025-05-07 09:17
24&25Q1 工具板块综述:加速全球布局,危中亦有机 [Table_Industry] 轻工制造 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 07 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业专题研究(普通) 龚轶之 新消费行业分析师 执业编号:S1500525030005 邮 箱:gongyizhi@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编:100031 [Table_Title] 24&25Q1 工具板块综述:加速全球布局,危中 亦有机 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 07 日 本期内容提要: 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 2 [Table_S [➢Table_Summary 24ummar 年底行业已处周期底部,特朗普关税带来变数。 y] ] 工具板块需求主要 依赖美国,24 年底已呈现周期底部复苏状态:①24 年 10 月起美国成 屋销售同比企稳回升;②下游关键家居零售 ...
港股收评:科网股领跑!恒生科技指数大涨3%,机器人、医药外包表现活跃
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-02 08:46
今日,港股又乘假期抢跑,主要指数集体收涨,恒生指数涨1.74%,国指涨1.92%,恒生科技指数涨3.08%。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 800000 | 恒生指数 | O | 22504.68 | +385.27 | 1.74% | | 800100 | 国企指数 | | 8231.04 | +154.78 | 1.92% | | 800700 | 恒生科技指数 | | 5244.06 | +156.64 | 3.08% | 科网股全线大涨,小米集团涨超6%,阿里巴巴、京东涨超3%,腾讯涨超2%,美团、网易、百度涨超1%。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | 总市值v | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00700 | 腾讯控股 | O | 487.800 | +10.600 | 2.22% | 44894.05亿 | | 09988 | 阿里巴巴-W | | 122.000 | +4.500 | 3.83 ...
机械行业周报:低空经济应用加速,出口机械增长良好-20250429
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-04-29 06:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the mechanical industry [7]. Core Insights - The low-altitude economy is accelerating, with significant growth in export machinery. The report highlights strong performance in the mechanical sector, with a 2.69% increase in the Shenwan Mechanical Equipment Index, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.31 percentage points [2][12]. - The report emphasizes the resilience of domestic and export sales in the excavator market, with a total of 61,372 units sold in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.8% [4]. Weekly Market Review - From April 21 to April 25, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.56%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.38%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.74%. The Shenwan Mechanical Equipment Index outperformed these indices with a 2.69% increase, ranking 4th among 31 Shenwan primary industries [2][12]. - The sub-sectors of general equipment, specialized equipment, rail transit equipment II, engineering machinery, and automation equipment experienced varied performance, with increases of 4.65%, 2.32%, 0.43%, 1.30%, and 2.45% respectively [12][15]. Key Sector Tracking - The low-altitude economy is characterized by deepening policies and accelerated application scenarios. The government has included low-altitude consumption in its top-level design, with cities like Shenzhen and Hefei promoting industrialization through substantial subsidies [3]. - The mechanical equipment sector is significantly influenced by the ongoing U.S.-China tariff negotiations, with a recommendation to focus on companies with strong overseas production capabilities and diversified customer bases [4]. Investment Recommendations - For the low-altitude economy, recommended companies include Deep City Transportation, Sujiao Technology, Huasheng Group, and Nairui Radar. In the complete machine sector, focus on Wan Feng Ao Wei, Yihang Intelligent, Zongheng Co., and Green Energy Hui Charge [5]. - In the mechanical equipment sector, recommended companies include Juxing Technology, Quan Feng Holdings, and Nine Companies for the export chain, and Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Anhui Heli for engineering machinery [5].
泉峰控股(02285) - 2024 - 年度财报
2025-04-25 08:52
Financial Performance - Revenue for the year 2024 was reported at $1,773,773 thousand, showing a 29% increase from $1,374,714 thousand in 2023[20] - Profit before taxation for 2024 was $132,763 thousand, recovering from a loss of $48,856 thousand in 2023[20] - Profit for the year attributable to equity shareholders was $112,474 thousand in 2024, compared to a loss of $37,137 thousand in 2023[20] - Earnings per share for 2024 were reported at 22 cents, a recovery from a loss of 7 cents in 2023[20] - Net profit for 2024 was approximately US$112.7 million, representing a 403.4% growth compared to a net loss of US$37.2 million in 2023[42] - The Group recorded a profit before taxation of US$132.8 million in 2024, a significant recovery from a loss of US$48.9 million in 2023[85] - The company recorded a profit for the year of US$112.7 million in 2024, compared to a loss of US$37.2 million in 2023, resulting in a net profit margin of 6.4%[87] - The effective tax rate for 2024 was 15.1%, with an income tax expense of US$20.1 million, compared to a tax income of US$11.7 million in 2023[89] Revenue Growth - Revenue increased by 29.0% to reach US$1,773.8 million in 2024, driven by strong points-of-sale performance and a rebound in customer orders[26] - Revenue growth was observed across all regions: North America (+37.5%), Europe (+11.2%), China (+9.8%), and the rest of the world (+8.9%)[38] - Revenue from OPE products rose by 24.2% from US$811.4 million in 2023 to US$1,007.5 million in 2024, while revenue from power tools increased by 36.3% from US$548.5 million to US$747.6 million[64] - Revenue from North America surged by 37.5% from US$940.2 million in 2023 to US$1,293.1 million in 2024, with Europe and China also showing increases of 11.2% and 9.8% respectively[65] Product Development and Innovation - The company has a diversified product portfolio with five well-recognized brands: EGO, FLEX, SKIL, DEVON, and X-TRON, targeting various market segments[4] - Approximately 200 new products were launched in 2024, with lithium-ion battery-powered products making up about 90% of these launches[29] - FLEX achieved a growth rate exceeding 50% in 2024, launching over 50 new products, including nine new nailers and staplers[52][55] - FLEX's flagship product, the polisher, won the 2024 Plus X Award, highlighting its innovation[52][55] - DEVON's new 12V product line on the lithium battery platform was exceptionally successful during the reporting period[54][57] - The focus on lithium-ion battery technology has driven significant growth and innovation within the company[5] - The company is committed to becoming a global leader in power tools and outdoor power equipment through continuous innovation[7] Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to expand its market share through user-centric innovation and a robust multi-channel sales network[5] - The strategic acquisition of FLEX Scandinavia AB expanded FLEX's presence in the Swedish and Scandinavian markets[29] - The company is relocating production capacity from Nanjing to Vietnam and closing its facility in Germany to enhance supply chain flexibility[30] - Looking ahead to 2025, the company plans to mitigate external trade frictions through capacity relocation and adaptive pricing strategies[31] - The company aims to divest non-core assets to improve resource allocation to high-potential core businesses[31] Financial Position and Management - Cash and cash equivalents increased to US$328.8 million as of December 31, 2024, up from US$296.3 million in 2023[96] - The company's bank loans decreased to US$295.6 million as of December 31, 2024, from US$323.6 million in 2023, with a gearing ratio of 0.3[100][101] - Inventories rose to US$608.3 million as of December 31, 2024, compared to US$531.0 million in 2023, while inventory turnover days improved to 180 days[102] - Trade and bills receivables turnover days increased to 87 days in 2024, up from 77 days in 2023, reflecting strong sales performance in Q4 2024[103] - Trade and bills payables turnover days decreased to 86 days in 2024, compared to 96 days in 2023, aligning with supplier credit terms[104] - The company maintains a strong financial position and regularly reviews funding requirements to support current operations and future expansion plans[99] Employee and Management Overview - The number of employees increased to 6,481 as of December 31, 2024, from 6,173 in 2023, with total staff costs rising to $240.2 million from $208.9 million[132] - The Group's largest customer accounted for approximately 39.1% of total revenue in 2024, up from 34.5% in 2023, while the top five customers accounted for 63.3% of total revenue, up from 59.3%[130] - The Group is committed to providing equal employment opportunities and aims to achieve a relative balance between male and female employees in the future[137] - The Group's strategic focus includes hiring, retaining, and enhancing top talent globally, supported by competitive compensation and specialized training programs[137] - The management team comprises experienced professionals with backgrounds in various industries, contributing to the Group's growth and innovation[189][196]
泉峰控股20250326
2025-04-15 14:30
我们2024年度的业绩线上发布会衷心的感谢大家长期以来对公司的关心和支持那么今天和我一起在线上的呢还有公司的董事长和CEO张龙泉先生大家晚上好谢谢以及公司的CFO胡宇安先生大家晚安好 我们首先将邀请公司的管理层就2024年度我们的财务和业绩表现进行一个介绍那么并且会分享一下公司对于未来的战略展望之后呢我们就投资者所关心的一些话题来进行这个问答的环节那首先我们先邀请胡总来给我们回顾一下今年的这个财务表现好的那个各位投资的朋友晚上好我首先代表公司的管理层向大家汇报一下全峰公股2024年代主要的财务数据2024年 公司实现销售收入17.74亿美元于去年相上一年同期相比增长了29%第二项更重要的更亮眼的应该是我们的Gross margin的这个表现Gross margin绝对额达到了6.16亿美元同期增长了59%Gross margin ratio也达到了34.7% 这个良好的表现最后主要的原因是因为公司的销售规模的增长带来的规模效应以及公司在博士多年智能制造方向投入带来的生产运营阶段的效率的提升同时2024年供给侧的主要成本要素包括达成材料点心价格还有人民币汇率对我们都相对比较有利所以这些因素综合影响给我们2024 ...
泉峰控股(02285):经营走出底部,盈利快速修复
Guoxin Securities· 2025-03-28 08:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4]. Core Views - The company has shown a significant recovery in operations and profitability, with a revenue of $1.77 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.0%. The second half of the year saw a revenue of $950 million, up 49.5% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached $112 million, marking a turnaround from losses [1][2]. - All business lines have experienced strong growth, particularly in North America, where revenue rebounded significantly post-inventory destocking [1]. - The company plans to sell its entire stake in a subsidiary, which will allow it to focus on its core business and enhance shareholder value. A special dividend of HKD 1.1905 per share is proposed, totaling approximately HKD 608 million [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the gross margin improved by 6.6 percentage points to 34.7%, driven by scale recovery and operational efficiency. The net profit margin increased by 9.0 percentage points to 6.3% [2]. - The company reported a significant reduction in expense ratios across sales, management, and R&D, contributing to improved profitability [2]. Revenue Breakdown - The Outdoor Power Equipment (OPE) segment generated $1.01 billion, a 24.2% increase, while the electric tools segment saw revenue of $750 million, up 36.3% [1]. - Revenue by region for 2024 was $1.29 billion in North America (+37.5%), $310 million in Europe (+11.2%), $110 million in China (+9.8%), and $56 million in other regions (+8.9%) [1]. Future Projections - The company expects net profits of $121 million, $143 million, and $168 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7%, 19%, and 17% [4][5]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are $0.24, $0.28, and $0.33, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 10, 9, and 7 [4][5].