Group 1 - Dongwu Securities has initiated coverage on Cao Cao Mobility (02643) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting its integrated platform for Robotaxi services, which combines vehicle manufacturing, operational capabilities, and technology [1] - The Chinese ride-hailing market is transitioning from "wild growth" to "compliant intelligence," with a focus on autonomous driving technology and the restructuring of human-vehicle relationships [1] - Cao Cao Mobility aims to replicate the success of ride-hailing by leveraging its partnership with Geely Group to create an optimal Robotaxi system [1] Group 2 - Revenue projections for Cao Cao Mobility from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 20.67 billion, 26.24 billion, and 32.37 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 41.0%, 26.9%, and 23.4% respectively [2] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of -1.1 billion, -270 million, and 890 million yuan from 2025 to 2027, with a potential return to profitability by 2027 [2] - Cao Cao Mobility is set to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 25, 2025, and is anticipated to be included in the Hang Seng Composite Index on September 8, attracting additional mainland capital [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Cao Cao Mobility is positioned as a unique integrated platform for Robotaxi services in China, leveraging Geely's manufacturing capabilities, advanced autonomous driving technology, and operational experience to achieve competitive advantages [1] - The Chinese ride-hailing market is undergoing a significant transformation from "wild growth" to "compliance and intelligence," with the focus shifting from capital subsidies to the restructuring of autonomous driving technology and human-vehicle relationships [1] - The report highlights that with L4-level autonomous driving technology, decreasing hardware costs, and an improving policy framework, the commercialization of Robotaxi services is accelerating [1] Group 2 - The analyst projects that Cao Cao Mobility's revenue will reach 20.67 billion, 26.24 billion, and 32.37 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 41.0%, 26.9%, and 23.4% respectively [2] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of -1.1 billion, -270 million, and 890 million yuan for the same period, with a potential turnaround to profitability by 2027 [2] - Cao Cao Mobility is set to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 25, 2025, and is anticipated to be included in the Hang Seng Composite Index, which is expected to attract additional capital from mainland investors [2]

Group 1 - The Chinese ride-hailing market is transitioning from "wild growth" to "regulated intelligence," with the core conflict shifting from capital subsidies to the institutional reconstruction of autonomous driving and human-vehicle relationships [1] - The market is expected to reach nearly 1 trillion yuan by 2030, with aggregation platforms and multi-location "non-one-car-one-platform" policies creating opportunities for other players [1] - Robotaxi, leveraging L4 autonomous driving technology, is seen as a key breakthrough, with leading companies like Waymo reducing accident rates by over 80% compared to human drivers [1] Group 2 - The company is actively seizing industry opportunities by deepening cooperation with aggregation platforms, leading to a rapid expansion of market share and driver income above industry averages from 2022 to 2024 [2] - In H1 2025, the company reported 544,000 active drivers (up 53.5% YoY) and 38 million orders (up 49.0% YoY), indicating strong market penetration through a light-asset model [2] - The company’s customized vehicle fleet reached 37,000 units, the largest in the industry, enhancing service comfort and standardizing the travel experience [2] Group 3 - The integration of vehicle technology and operations is accelerating the rollout of Robotaxi, with the company planning to launch the Zeekr RT in collaboration with Waymo in 2025 [3] - The company is evolving into an integrated Robotaxi platform, combining vehicle manufacturing, operational services, and technology research and development, aiming to replicate the success of its ride-hailing business [3] - A strategic integration within the Geely Group aims to enhance R&D efficiency and accelerate the commercialization of L4 technology [3] Group 4 - The company is expected to improve brand strength and market share in first- and second-tier cities, with projected revenues of 20.67 billion, 26.24 billion, and 32.37 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [4] - The average PS ratios for comparable companies from 2025 to 2027 are projected to be 22.4, 15.0, and 7.1 times, respectively [4] - The company is given a "buy" rating based on steady development in ride-hailing and broad opportunities in the Robotaxi business [4]

Group 1 - The core event was the "Policy Project Promotion Conference" aimed at supporting private enterprises in participating in the construction of Hainan Free Trade Port, attended by over 100 company representatives [1] - Geely Holding Group's Chairman Li Shufu announced the company's investments in new energy commercial vehicles and smart mobility in Hainan, with its subsidiary Cao Cao Mobility operating in six cities [1] - Cao Cao Mobility aims to become a leading global technology mobility platform, leveraging Robotaxi as a key commercial vehicle [1] Group 2 - Cao Cao Mobility is positioned as a strategic platform for Geely's intelligent shared mobility ecosystem, having launched the "Cao Cao Smart Travel" autonomous driving platform earlier this year [6] - The company has begun deploying a new generation of Robotaxi, integrating advanced design and capabilities in autonomous dispatch, remote safety assurance, and digital asset management [6] - As of June 30, the company completed over 15,000 kilometers of autonomous driving tests in Suzhou and Hangzhou [6] Group 3 - Cao Cao Mobility formed a strategic partnership with a commercial aerospace company to utilize satellite technology for enhancing autonomous driving services, ensuring vehicles remain "always online" [6] - The Robotaxi market is projected to reach several hundred billion yuan by 2030, with Cao Cao Mobility expected to lead in large-scale operations due to its unique ecosystem and experience [7] - The company was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, becoming the largest technology mobility platform in the market and is anticipated to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, attracting more mainland investment [7]

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the strategic initiatives of Geely Holding Group and its subsidiary Cao Cao Mobility in the development of Robotaxi services and the broader smart transportation ecosystem in Hainan Free Trade Port, emphasizing their technological advancements and market positioning [1][2]. Group 1: Company Initiatives - Geely Holding Group has established a presence in Hainan with investments in new energy commercial vehicles and smart mobility, with Cao Cao Mobility operating in six cities including Haikou [1]. - Cao Cao Mobility launched the "Cao Cao Zhixing" autonomous driving platform, creating a comprehensive self-research closed-loop intelligent driving ecosystem, making it the only domestic company with a full-chain capability similar to Tesla [1][2]. - The company has begun deploying a new generation of Robotaxi vehicles, integrating advanced features such as automatic dispatch and remote safety assurance [2]. Group 2: Strategic Partnerships and Market Outlook - Cao Cao Mobility has formed a strategic partnership with aerospace company Shikong Daoyu to leverage satellite technology for enhancing autonomous driving capabilities, aiming for continuous vehicle connectivity [2]. - Multiple institutions, including Dongwu Securities, predict that the Robotaxi market will reach several hundred billion yuan by 2030, positioning Cao Cao Mobility to lead in the large-scale deployment of Robotaxi services [2]. Group 3: Market Recognition - Cao Cao Mobility went public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in June, becoming the largest tech mobility platform in the market and was subsequently included in the Hang Seng Composite Index [3]. - The company is expected to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect on September 8, which will broaden its investor base and attract additional capital from mainland investors [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the strategic development of Geely Holding Group's subsidiary, Cao Cao Mobility, in the Robotaxi sector, aiming to establish a leading technology transportation platform in the global market [1][2]. - Cao Cao Mobility has launched the "Cao Cao Zhixing" autonomous driving platform, creating a comprehensive self-research closed-loop intelligent driving ecosystem, which is currently the only domestic company with a full-chain capability similar to Tesla [1][2]. - The company has completed over 15,000 kilometers of autonomous driving testing in Suzhou and Hangzhou as of June 30, and is collaborating with aerospace companies to enhance its autonomous driving capabilities [2]. Group 2 - Cao Cao Mobility was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in June, becoming the largest technology transportation platform in the Hong Kong market and has been included in the Hang Seng Composite Index [3]. - The company is expected to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect on September 8, which will broaden its investor base and attract additional capital from mainland investors [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the strategic positioning of Geely Holding Group and its subsidiary Cao Cao Mobility in the development of the Robotaxi market and the broader smart transportation ecosystem in Hainan Free Trade Port [1][2][3] Group 2 - Cao Cao Mobility has launched the "Cao Cao Zhixing" autonomous driving platform, establishing a comprehensive self-research closed-loop intelligent driving ecosystem, which is currently the only company in China with a full-chain capability similar to Tesla [1] - As of June 30, 2023, Cao Cao Mobility has completed over 15,000 kilometers of autonomous driving testing in Suzhou and Hangzhou, indicating significant progress in its autonomous vehicle deployment [2] - The company is expected to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect on September 8, 2023, which will broaden its investor base and attract additional capital from mainland investors [3]

Group 1 - Cao Cao Mobility is partnering with Geely's company Space-Time Daoyu to launch the "Cao Cao Zhixinghao" satellite, expanding its presence in the smart mobility sector into aerospace [2] - The strategic cooperation was established on July 22, focusing on the application of satellite IoT communication and high-precision positioning technology for the management and operation of autonomous vehicle fleets [2] - Geely Holding Group's chairman, Li Shufu, stated that Cao Cao Mobility will serve as the most important commercial vehicle for Robotaxi, aiming to create a globally leading technology mobility platform [2]

Core Insights - The event "Policy Project Promotion Conference to Support Private Enterprises in Participating in Hainan Free Trade Port Construction" was held in Haikou, attracting over 100 company representatives to explore opportunities in Hainan's free trade port development [1] - Geely Holding Group's Chairman Li Shufu announced the company's investments in new energy commercial vehicles and smart mobility in Hainan, with its subsidiary Cao Cao Mobility operating in six cities [1] - Cao Cao Mobility aims to become a leading global technology mobility platform, focusing on Robotaxi commercialization [1] Company Developments - Cao Cao Mobility is positioned as Geely Holding Group's strategic platform for intelligent shared mobility, having launched the "Cao Cao Zhixing" autonomous driving platform earlier this year [3] - The company has developed a comprehensive self-research closed-loop intelligent driving ecosystem, making it the only domestic company with capabilities across manufacturing, intelligent driving, and operations [3] - As of June 30, the company completed over 15,000 kilometers of autonomous driving testing in Suzhou and Hangzhou [3] Strategic Partnerships and Future Plans - In July, Cao Cao Mobility formed a strategic partnership with commercial aerospace company Shikong Daoyu to leverage satellite technology for autonomous driving, ensuring vehicles remain "always online" [3] - The company plans to deploy a new generation of Robotaxi starting April 2025, integrating advanced safety and operational capabilities [3] Market Outlook - Multiple institutions, including Dongwu Securities, predict that the Robotaxi market will reach several hundred billion yuan by 2030 [4] - Cao Cao Mobility's deep collaboration with Geely and its decade-long experience in ride-hailing positions it to lead in the Robotaxi market, providing a model for the transformation of the mobility industry [4] - Following its listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Cao Cao Mobility has gained recognition in the capital market and is expected to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect on September 8, broadening its investor base [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leading shared mobility platform in China, leveraging technology to reshape the industry and enhance service reputation [12]. - The report highlights the significant growth potential in the ride-hailing market, driven by the integration of Robotaxi technology and the expansion of service areas [2][8]. - The company's revenue is expected to grow substantially, with projections indicating a rise from 20.67 billion CNY in 2025 to 32.37 billion CNY by 2027 [1]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is the second-largest shared mobility platform in China, founded in 2015 as part of Geely's strategic investment in the "new energy vehicle sharing ecosystem" [12]. - It operates in 163 cities, with a monthly active driver count of 554,000 and a market share of 5.4% as of 2024 [12]. Market Dynamics - The ride-hailing market is transitioning from "barbaric growth" to "compliant intelligence," with a focus on automated driving and regulatory restructuring [8]. - The market is expected to reach nearly 1 trillion CNY by 2030, with significant growth opportunities for second-tier platforms [32]. Business Model and Growth Strategy - The company is expanding its customized vehicle fleet, which has reached 37,000 units, enhancing the standardization of service experiences [13]. - The integration of Robotaxi services is a key growth driver, with plans for mass production and deployment of autonomous vehicles [8][12]. Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to increase significantly, with 2024 revenue expected to reach 14.66 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37.4% [1]. - The company is expected to narrow its losses, with net profit projections improving from -1.25 billion CNY in 2024 to a profit of 891.83 million CNY by 2027 [1]. Competitive Landscape - The report notes the competitive dynamics in the ride-hailing market, with major players like Didi holding over 70% market share, creating opportunities for other platforms [32]. - The rise of aggregation platforms is reshaping the market, allowing for better resource allocation and service integration [56].