Core Viewpoints - The non-bank financial sector, including brokerage and insurance, shows continued improvement in fundamentals, highlighting the investment value of the non-bank sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 31, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index reported 4117.95 points, down 0.44%, while the Shenzhen Component Index was at 14205.89, down 1.62% [10] - The CSI 300 Index increased by 0.08%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.09% [10] - The CITIC II Securities Index fell by 0.71%, while the CITIC II Insurance Index rose by 5.41% [10] Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - Listed insurance companies are expected to maintain high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest rate spreads [15] - As of January 30, 2026, the 10-year government bond yield was 1.81%, down 2 basis points from the previous week, indicating a cautious risk preference in the equity market [12] - The insurance sector is benefiting from a stable long-term interest rate environment and an upward trend in the equity market, which is expected to drive performance growth in Q1 2026 [15] Securities Sector - The securities market is showing positive core indicators, with a projected high growth in Q1 2026, supported by improved trading volume and margin financing [16] - As of January 30, 2026, 17 brokerages reported a total net profit of 1153.44 billion CNY for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 60.27% [19] - The average daily trading volume of all A and B shares reached 2.90 trillion CNY, a 144.26% increase compared to the same period in 2025, indicating a significant rise in market activity [21] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The launch of commercial real estate REITs is expected to expand business opportunities, with the first three products anticipated to raise over 13 billion CNY [27] - The REITs initiative aims to activate existing commercial real estate assets and enhance the supply of capital market products, indicating strong market demand [27] - The insurance sector is advised to focus on companies like China Ping An, China Life, and New China Life, which are expected to benefit from favorable market conditions [15]

Core Insights - The evaluation results for the 2025 annual performance quality of securities companies were released by the Beijing Stock Exchange and the National Equities Exchange and Quotations, assessing 115 firms on their professional capabilities, compliance levels, and business operations [1] Group 1: Overall Industry Performance - The majority of securities companies scored above the baseline score of 100, indicating a positive accumulation in industry performance quality [1] - Guotai Junan ranked first with a total score of 145.04, followed by Huatai Securities (143.41), China Merchants Securities (140.49), Shenwan Hongyuan Securities (136.43), and CITIC Securities (135.49), showcasing strong performance in professional quality [1] Group 2: Distribution of Scores - The score distribution shows a "large middle, small ends" pattern, with a few top-tier firms leading the industry while the majority fall into the second and third tiers, indicating overall compliance and notable business highlights [1] - Some firms scored in the fourth tier due to low professional scores or high compliance deductions, suggesting a need for improvement in specific business areas or risk management capabilities [1] Group 3: Business Structure and Specialization - The evaluation system detailed scores for various sub-items within the Beijing Stock Exchange and National Equities Exchange, revealing differences in business structures among firms [2] - Certain firms, like Huatai Securities and Dongfang Securities, achieved high scores through deep engagement in Beijing Stock Exchange business, particularly in sponsorship and mergers and acquisitions [2] - Other firms, such as Kaiyuan Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan, excelled in the National Equities Exchange business, especially in recommending listings and ongoing supervision, demonstrating their service capabilities for new three-board enterprises [2] Group 4: Contribution of Brokerage and Research - Brokerage and research services, which connect investors with the market, contributed significantly to the professional quality scores of firms like Galaxy Securities and Guotai Junan [2]

Core Insights - The securities industry is experiencing a significant transformation, with a reduction in workforce and a shift towards a more professional and service-oriented model [3][10]. Workforce Changes - By the end of 2025, the total number of employees in the securities industry is projected to decrease by 5,897, bringing the total to 320,000, marking three consecutive years of decline since 2023 [13]. - The number of employees in general securities business and securities brokers has significantly decreased, with both categories losing over 5,000 employees [10]. - Conversely, the number of analysts increased by 336, and investment advisors saw a net increase of 5,754, indicating a shift towards specialized roles [10][12]. Analyst Growth - The analyst workforce has seen a notable increase, surpassing 6,000 by 2025, doubling from around 3,000 before 2022 [12]. - Despite pressures in other business lines, competition for research talent among brokerages has intensified, with several prominent analysts switching firms [12]. - The top ten firms with the largest increases in analyst numbers include Guotai Junan Securities, CITIC Securities, and Founder Securities, with Guotai Junan adding 43 analysts [14]. Decline in Sponsoring Representatives - The number of sponsoring representatives has decreased for the first time in eight years, totaling 8,526 by the end of 2025, down by 180 from the previous year [15]. - This decline is attributed to a slowdown in equity financing and stricter regulatory requirements, leading to a "project drought" in the market [15].

智通财经APP获悉，中国银河证券发布研报称，2025Q3以来，资金对银行板块青睐程度维持在相对低 位，近期被动资金流出对银行资金面形成扰动，预计申赎流出空间收敛，银行估值低位配置窗口开启。 在低利率与中长期资金加速入市的环境下，银行板块高股息、低估值的红利属性仍对险资等长线资金具 备持续吸引力，加速估值定价重构。同时，北向资金年初活跃，有望增配银行板块，其中偏好度较高的 部分股份行获增配可能性更大。该行继续看好银行板块红利价值，维持推荐评级。 中国银河证券主要观点如下： 长线资金对银行定价的影响力进一步凸显，北向资金影响也值得关注 随着资金扰动加速出清，长线资金对银行板块定价影响力上升，主动型和被动型公募资金影响力减弱。 从中长期来看，险资等中长期资金主导定价有望稳定银行板块估值中枢并推动其进一步提升，带来超跌 反弹机遇，开启配置窗口。对于以险资为代表的长线资金来说，在低利率环境与资产荒延续背景下，银 行分红稳健、股息率高，可计入OCI以应对业绩波动，也可以权益法入账分享高ROE区域行的利润增 长，进一步提升投资收益。当前A股银行股息率平均为4.62%，红利价值仍有吸引力;年初开门红节奏前 置，全年信贷投放有 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent developments indicate that several securities firms, including CITIC Securities, China Merchants Securities, GF Securities, Galaxy Securities, and Ping An Securities, have launched "insurance zones" on their apps, focusing on wealth management and promoting dividend insurance products that offer both guaranteed returns and potential floating returns [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - A total of 11 securities firms have obtained insurance intermediary licenses from the financial regulatory authority [1] - Compared to the mature insurance distribution channels of banks, securities firms face limitations due to client investment styles and channel development, making it difficult for them to become significant players in insurance commission revenue in the short term [1] Group 2: Client Perception - Industry insiders believe that securities firms have inherent disadvantages as their clients tend to be more aggressive and have a stronger demand for wealth appreciation [1] - The defensive attributes of insurance products, such as "risk protection and long-term savings," conflict with the positioning of securities firms in the minds of clients, leading to a psychological disconnect regarding the sale of insurance by securities firms [1]

截至2026年1月28日，当月申赎带来的股票型ETF净流出规模达7579.9亿元，根据目前各指数中银行板 块权重，测算申赎带来的银行板块资金净流出约831.4亿元。结合规模与权重来看，沪深300ETF规模变 动对银行板块影响较大，1月以来沪深300ETF申赎净流出约5438亿元，测算带来银行板块资金净流出约 654亿元。规模最大的四只沪深300ETF持有结构集中，前十大持有人平均持有比例约90%，其中市场化 金融机构持有人主要为险资和头部券商。目前四大沪深300ETF市场份额已低于2025年上半年前十大持 有人持有份额，平均减少约43%。预计卖盘压力虽然仍存，但申赎流出空间收敛，对银行板块的影响预 计减弱。 长线资金对银行定价的影响力进一步凸显，北向资金影响也值得关注 随着资金扰动加速出清，长线资金对银行板块定价影响力上升，主动型和被动型公募资金影响力减弱。 从中长期来看，险资等中长期资金主导定价有望稳定银行板块估值中枢并推动其进一步提升，带来超跌 反弹机遇，开启配置窗口。对于以险资为代表的长线资金来说，在低利率环境与资产荒延续背景下，银 行分红稳健、股息率高，可计入OCI以应对业绩波动，也可以权益法入账分享 ...

Core Viewpoint - The financial system is becoming a key support for energy resource security, with China Galaxy Securities innovating financial tools and optimizing capital allocation to enhance financial services for energy and resource sectors [1] Group 1: Energy Security and Financial Support - China Galaxy Securities has established a comprehensive financial service system covering the entire energy and resource industry chain, supporting energy supply and resource security [1] - The company played a crucial role in the restructuring project of Huadian International, which is the largest restructuring project in the thermal power industry for 2025, involving over 16 million kilowatts of operational capacity [2] - The restructuring project aims to stabilize the power grid by enhancing the peak-shaving capabilities of thermal power, thus ensuring national electricity security [2] Group 2: Financing and Investment Activities - In 2025, China Galaxy Securities assisted multiple energy companies in direct financing to strengthen national energy security, including helping Jiadeng Co. complete over 1.1 billion yuan in refinancing [3] - The company also supported State Grid New Energy in completing a 36.5 billion yuan capital increase project, which is significant for the pumped storage sector [3] - China Galaxy Securities customized financing solutions for these projects, achieving record cash fundraising in state asset transactions [3] Group 3: Resource Development and International Cooperation - China Galaxy Securities acted as the lead underwriter for Jinchengxin's convertible bond issuance, raising 2 billion yuan to enhance copper mining efficiency in Zambia [4] - The project aligns with China's status as the largest refined copper producer and consumer, aiming to deepen economic and resource cooperation with Belt and Road Initiative countries [4] - The company also supported the listing of leading tungsten mining company Jiaxin International in Hong Kong and facilitated the issuance of a pioneering bond for Xibu Mining [5] Group 4: Global Expansion and Market Integration - As Chinese energy companies expand internationally, China Galaxy Securities has been instrumental in facilitating overseas financing, including a significant share placement for Ruipu Lanjun in Hong Kong [6] - The company successfully led the underwriting of a panda bond for Shandong-based Water Development Energy, marking a significant entry into the interbank bond market [6] - Overall, China Galaxy Securities has developed a comprehensive service capability across private equity, A-shares, H-shares, and bond markets, demonstrating its role in supporting the national energy resource security system [6]

纯债规模承压，杠杆久期策略分化 ——Q4 债券基金季报分析 核心观点 基金规模：债基规模回升，其中纯债基收缩。 2025 年债基规模扩张但纯债基收缩。配置上，利率债减、信用债增。全 年来看，截至 Q4，全市场公募基金总规模为 36.38 万亿元，其中债基规 模扩张 0.64 万亿元，但纯债基规模收窄 0.8 万亿元。四季度来看，在基金 规模具体变动方面，2025Q4 仅混合型基金规模较 Q3 收缩，规模回落 0.14 万亿元至 3.62 万亿元、其余类型基金均规模回升，尤其债券型基金和货 币市场型基金规模扩张幅度最大，分别增加 0.47 万亿元、0.34 万亿元至 11.03 万亿元、15.01 万亿元。在基金发行与到期方面，Q4 纯债基金（封 闭型+开放型）新发数量 11 只，发行规模为 85.45 亿元；到期数量 28 只， 到期规模为 204.98 亿元；目前来看 2026Q1 可能到期纯债基金约有 3 只， 规模在 2.82 亿元左右。券种配置方面， Q4 纯债基金的债券持仓市值占 基金总值比为 96.87%，（高于基金整体债券占比的 53.44%），相较 Q3 环比增加 0.12 个百分点，近年来整 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Galaxy Securities is optimistic about the pharmaceutical industry's investment opportunities in 2026, focusing on hard technology in medicine, innovation, and overseas expansion, while seeking alpha in niche segments [1] Group 1: Investment Trends - In Q4 2025, public fund holdings in pharmaceuticals decreased, indicating an overall low allocation level [1] - The market value of pharmaceutical theme funds decreased by 9.73% to 205.9 billion yuan, which is 66.54% higher than the average since 2019 [1] - The market value of the pharmaceutical biotechnology sector fell by 18.81% to 312.5 billion yuan, with a holding ratio of 8.12%, below the historical average by 3.89 percentage points [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - The top five pharmaceutical stocks held by public funds in Q4 2025 saw significant reductions in both the number of funds and total market value, with notable declines in stocks like Heng Rui Medicine and WuXi AppTec [2] - The concentration of holdings has shifted from innovative drugs to medical devices and services, indicating a change in market investment focus [2] Group 3: Industry Data Overview - The pharmaceutical manufacturing industry's revenue has shown a slight decline, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.2% in Q4 2025 [3] - Medical service volumes remained stable, with a total of 1.86 billion outpatient visits in early 2025, reflecting a 0.1% year-on-year decrease [3] - The overall operation of the medical insurance fund has been stable, with total income of 2.632 trillion yuan and total expenditure of 2.110 trillion yuan from January to November 2025 [3] Group 4: Market Comparison - The pharmaceutical industry has underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with a rolling P/E ratio of 38.19 compared to 14.14 for the CSI 300, indicating a premium of 170.14% over the index [3] - The SW pharmaceutical biotechnology index increased by 1.44% from early 2024 to January 28, 2026, while the CSI 300 rose by 37.15%, showing a relative underperformance of 35.71% for the pharmaceutical sector [3]

每经AI快讯，港股中资券商股普遍上扬，截至发稿，中国银河(06881.HK)涨4.49%，报10.94港元；光大 证券(06178.HK)涨3.4%，报9.13港元；招商证券(06099.HK)涨3.41%，报15.15港元；中信证券 (06030.HK)涨3.1%，报29.9港元。 ...