Core Viewpoint - Investor sentiment is significantly influenced by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and geopolitical situations, leading to rapid rotation of market hotspots and a likely continuation of a volatile trend in the Hong Kong stock market [1] Sector Recommendations - The market's fluctuating risk appetite may drive investors towards dividend stocks for defensive positioning [1] - Concerns regarding the AI bubble are gradually diminishing following recent market corrections, presenting new allocation opportunities in the technology sector [1] - The effects of "anti-involution" policies are becoming evident, with changes in supply and demand dynamics potentially leading to a sustained rebound in cyclical stocks as commodity prices rise [1]

中国银河证券表示，在市场情绪较为谨慎、板块轮动速度加快、热点行情持续性不足的环境下，A股市 场呈现出明显的"高切低"特征。预计短期行情仍以震荡结构为主。同时，近期行情主要受到前期涨幅较 大和市场担忧情绪加重的拖累，企业盈利和产业发展向上趋势并未出现根本性逆转。周五欧美股市多数 收涨也释放边际回暖信号。建议关注近期调整后的布局机会。随着经济转型背景下新兴产业结构性亮点 更加突出，PPI降幅收窄带动企业利润率水平进一步回升，同时市场流动性向上逻辑有望持续演绎，A 股向好趋势不改。 ...

10月28日，中国上城发布公告，配售协议所载的所有条件已获达成，而配售事项已于2025年10月28日完 成。合共7547.43万股配售股份已成功由配售代理根据配售协议的条款及条件按每股配售股份0.180港元 的配售价配售予叁位承配人，陈晖先生为一位投资者；刘晓玲女士为一位投资者；及李艳勇先生为一位 投资者，占公司紧接配售事项后经配发及发行配售股份扩大的公司已发行股本约16.67%。 智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，11月21日，中国上城(02330)股东将股票由中国银河证券 香港转入恒生证券，转仓市值1788.43万港元，占比7.45%。 ...

10月28日，中国上城发布公告，配售协议所载的所有条件已获达成，而配售事项已于2025年10月28日完 成。合共7547.43万股配售股份已成功由配售代理根据配售协议的条款及条件按每股配售股份0.180港元 的配售价配售予叁位承配人，陈晖先生为一位投资者；刘晓玲女士为一位投资者；及李艳勇先生为一位 投资者，占公司紧接配售事项后经配发及发行配售股份扩大的公司已发行股本约16.67%。 香港联交所最新资料显示，11月21日，中国上城(02330)股东将股票由中国银河（601881）证券香港转 入恒生证券，转仓市值1788.43万港元，占比7.45%。 ...

今天分享的是：2025潮玩、谷子、AI玩具，拥抱年轻人爱玩之心-中国银河 报告共计：14页 潮玩、谷子与AI玩具：Z世代消费新浪潮席卷而来 【关于我们】 在当代消费图景中，年轻一代的"爱玩之心"正悄然重塑市场格局。潮玩、谷子与AI玩具作为新兴赛道，凭借其独特的情感价值 与互动体验，迅速成为Z世代追捧的对象。这一现象不仅反映了消费偏好的代际变迁，更揭示出情绪经济在轻工业领域的深远影 响。随着年轻人日益愿意为兴趣与情感买单，玩具不再只是儿童的专属，而是演变为连接社群、表达个性的重要媒介。 潮玩市场近年来展现出强劲的增长势头。以泡泡玛特为代表的品牌，通过IP运营与盲盒模式成功撬动消费者收藏欲望，复购率 持续攀升。数据显示，中国潮玩市场规模从2015年至2022年复合增长率高达34%，2024年预计突破760亿元。Z世代作为消费主 力，其月可支配收入超过3500元，消费力不容小觑。他们不仅追求产品的艺术性与独特性，还通过二手社群交易增强归属感与 认同感。与此同时，潮玩品牌加速线下布局，一线城市门店密集，而下沉市场仍具广阔空间，未来增长潜力显著。 "谷子"作为动漫、游戏衍生产品的统称，亦在年轻群体中掀起热潮。从徽章、海 ...

截至2025年11月21日收盘，中国银河（601881）报收于15.88元，较上周的16.85元下跌5.76%。本周， 中国银河11月20日盘中最高价报17.2元。11月21日盘中最低价报15.8元。中国银河当前最新总市值 1736.38亿元，在证券板块市值排名6/50，在两市A股市值排名85/5167。 本周关注点 公司公告汇总 中国银河：2025年面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券（第一期）发行结果公告 中国银河证券股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券（第一期）于2025年11月17日 发行完毕，实际发行规模为人民币30亿元，期限184天，最终票面利率为1.67%，认购倍数为3.86倍。发 行采用网下面向专业投资者簿记建档方式，发行价格为每张100元。大成基金管理有限公司获配0.2亿 元；主承销商关联方兴业基金和中信银行分别获配3亿元和5亿元，相关认购符合法规要求。 中国银河：2025年度第二十期短期融资券兑付完成的公告 中国银河证券股份有限公司于2025年8月21日发行的第二十期短期融资券，发行额为人民币40亿元，票 面利率1.64%，期限85天，兑付日为2025年11月14日。公司 ...

Group 1 - The company, China Galaxy, reported a total of 125,066 shareholders as of September 30, 2025, which includes 124,499 A-share ordinary shareholders and 567 H-share registered shareholders [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has been strong since July 2025, leading to a significant increase in bond issuance by securities firms, with a year-to-date issuance exceeding 1.6 trillion yuan, a growth of over 50% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Bond Issuance - As of November 21, 2025, 73 securities firms have issued bonds totaling over 1.6 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of more than 50% [1] - China Galaxy, Guotai Junan, and Huatai Securities are the top three firms in terms of bond issuance, with amounts of 134.9 billion yuan, 124.3 billion yuan, and 121.9 billion yuan respectively [1] - China Galaxy began its aggressive bond issuance in May 2025, with a monthly issuance exceeding 10 billion yuan, peaking at 21 billion yuan in August [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - China Galaxy's assets have shown a positive trend, with significant increases in customer deposits and lending activities, reflecting a robust market environment [2] - The company's lending amounts were 101 billion yuan and 132.5 billion yuan at the end of Q2 and Q3 respectively, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 31% in Q3 [2] - Revenue for Q3 2025 reached 9.004 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 55.94%, driven by significant increases in brokerage, proprietary trading, and net interest income [2] Group 3: Risk Management and Credit Business - The annualized return on investment for China Galaxy in Q3 was 4.49%, an increase of 0.64 percentage points year-on-year, ranking 17th among 43 listed securities firms [3] - The company has maintained a balanced approach to risk management, with no significant shift towards equity assets despite the expansion of proprietary trading [3] - Credit impairment losses for the first three quarters of 2025 were negative, indicating a decrease in expected credit risk, contrasting with a significant impairment loss recorded in Q4 2024 [3][4] Group 4: Overall Assessment - China Galaxy's proactive bond issuance strategy and focus on proprietary business have led to strong performance in Q3 2025 [5] - There are concerns regarding the potential lag in credit impairment loss recognition, suggesting that current performance may not fully reflect operational risks [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities emphasizes the importance of identifying and capturing turning points in the agricultural sector in 2026, focusing on core indicators and finding entry points within a relatively reasonable valuation range [1] Group 1: Swine Breeding - The swine breeding sector is expected to benefit from changes in supply and demand, with a continued emphasis on a balanced approach of offense and defense [1] - The investment opportunities in the swine breeding sector arise from changes in production capacity affecting pig price expectations, with a recommendation to focus on major players like Muyuan Foods (002714) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498), as well as smaller companies like Tiankang Biological (002100) and Shennong Group (605296) [1] - Despite a generally pessimistic outlook on pig prices based on current data, there is potential for changes within the industry that could lead to investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Pet Food - The pet food sector is characterized by sustained growth and significant market share expansion potential, with export growth serving as a shield for performance and the development of proprietary brands as a spear for future market share increases [2] - The report suggests that companies in the pet food industry should focus on maintaining or exceeding growth expectations for their proprietary brands while leveraging multi-brand operations [2] - Key companies to watch in the pet food sector include Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891), Guibao Pet (301498), and Petty (300673), with additional attention on Yuanfei Pet (001222) [2]

Group 1: Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the ChiNext Index dropping over 1%, and the total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reaching 1.71 trillion, a decrease of 17.7 billion from the previous trading day [1] - By the end of the trading session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.4%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.76%, and the ChiNext Index declined by 1.12% [1] Group 2: Agricultural Sector Insights - Galaxy Securities highlighted that the focus for the agricultural sector in 2026 will be on waiting for and capturing industry turning points, emphasizing the importance of tracking core indicators and finding entry points within a relatively reasonable valuation range [1] - The livestock sector is expected to balance offense and defense, with a shift from a defensive stance in 2025 to a greater emphasis on potential future elasticity in 2026 [1] - The pet sector is anticipated to experience a recovery in performance growth after a period of valuation correction, presenting new investment opportunities [1] Group 3: Lithium Battery Industry Outlook - Huaxi Securities expressed a positive outlook on the lithium battery industry, driven by rapid development in domestic and international energy storage and demand for dynamic storage, which is expected to lead to continued expansion in the lithium battery supply chain [1] - Certain segments, such as lithium hexafluorophosphate and VC, are experiencing significant price increases due to supply tightness, confirming the industry's high prosperity [1] - As prices rise, segments that previously faced low profitability or losses are expected to enter a phase of simultaneous volume and profit growth, with a continued focus on energy storage cells, lithium hexafluorophosphate/VC & electrolytes, copper foil, anode and cathode materials, and separators [1] Group 4: Securities Industry Prospects - CITIC Securities projected that the securities industry is likely to enter a new upward cycle, contributing to the construction of a strong financial nation [2] - The core drivers for this cycle are three major policy opportunities: 1. Policy guidance for capital markets to serve new productive forces, enhancing the value creation capability of investment banks through reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and ChiNext [2] 2. Improvement of the long-term investment ecosystem, facilitating the entry of long-term funds like social security and insurance into the market, which will activate brokerage asset management and institutional business growth [2] 3. Policies promoting the cultivation of top-tier investment banks and internationalization, allowing Chinese brokers to leverage the Hong Kong market and cross-border policies for international business expansion [2]