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中国银河证券:风光储2026年迎三重动能 全球化与技术革命成主线
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 03:56
智通财经APP获悉,中国银河证券发布研报称,2025年风光储行业在供过于求中修复盈利,海外市场成 为亮点。2026年,在"反内卷"与科技共振下,行业有望开启新周期。投资关注新技术产业化、全球化布 局及供需改善机遇。 风电:量利齐升延续,双海提速打开空间 国内2026年陆风/海风装机或110-120GW/12-16GW,十五五或超120GW/年、海风15GW/年,全球海风 25-30年CAGR达27%。克制内卷+质量意识提升,陆风机组价格企稳,海风下行有限。产业链出海加 速,海外订单密集落地,主机厂盈利修复可期,海缆、桩基出海增量提利,零部件受益产能利用率及出 海。 光伏:反内卷盈利修复,新技术迭代与全球化布局引领增长 中国领跑,2026年装机或230-250GW(乐观),欧回温、美印旺,新兴市场起势。行业反内卷推动全产 业链盈利修复,组件顺价可期,最早春季可显。BC电池产能扩张、钙钛矿迈向量产、少银化技术突 破,技术迭代推溢价降本。 中国银河证券主要观点如下: 2025复盘与2026年展望 2025年风光储供过于求局面依旧,反内卷推动盈利修复,出海提振盈利。截至2025年12月31日,沪深 300指数+17. ...
中国银河证券:量子科技带来新经济增长动能 超前投资领跑可期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 02:47
中国银河(601881)证券发布研报称,量子科技产业正从实验室研发迈向产业化应用,当前投资应聚焦 技术壁垒高、商业化路径清晰的上游核心部件与中游系统集成环节,卡位关键核心公司和产业链。 中国银河证券主要观点如下: 事件 量子科技是建立在量子力学基本原理基础之上,通过对微观粒子量子态(如叠加、纠缠)的主动调控与利 用而形成的前沿技术集群。与传统技术主要依赖经典物理规律不同,量子科技通过对量子态的精确操 控,在信息处理、传输和测量等维度实现了原理性的突破。其中,量子计算具备超越传统计算机的超强 算力,可在新药研发、材料设计、金融建模等领域实现颠覆性突破。量子通信基于量子不可克隆原理, 能提供理论上绝对安全的信息传输,是未来数字经济与国家信息安全的重要保障。量子精密测量则能突 破经典测量极限,广泛应用于导航、能源、医疗等高精度需求场景。各大经济体将量子科技确定为前沿 战略,推动人才、资金、基础设施向量子产业快速集中。在此白热化博弈下,中国量子产业开启"上游 硬件—中游系统—下游应用"的加速国产替代,成为中国等新兴市场经济增长的助推器。部分高端环节 (如测试仪器、测控系统、超低温设备)具备先发和国产化替代红利。 从量 ...
中国银河证券:进口影片表现亮眼 看好26Q1游戏行业表现
智通财经网· 2026-01-07 01:44
Core Viewpoint - The growth of the media and internet industry in China is driven by performance and AI empowerment, with a focus on increasing AI investments and the long-term benefits of core internet assets in the Hong Kong stock market [1] Group 1: Film Industry - The performance of imported films has been strong, with a significant year-on-year increase in box office revenue [2] - In December 2025, the national box office reached 3.713 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57.93% and a month-on-month increase of 4.50% [2] - The film "Zootopia 2" achieved a monthly box office of 2.098 billion yuan, accounting for 56.5% of the total box office for the month [2] - A total of 83 films were released in December, representing a year-on-year increase of 43.10% and a month-on-month increase of 56.60% [2] - An estimated 29 new films are expected to be released in January 2026 [2] Group 2: Gaming Industry - The domestic gaming market achieved a record sales revenue of 350.789 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.68% [3] - The user base reached 683 million, marking a year-on-year increase of 1.35% [3] - The mobile gaming market generated 257.076 billion yuan in revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 7.92% [3] - The client-based gaming market saw a significant revenue increase of 14.97%, totaling 78.16 billion yuan [3] - A total of 1,676 domestic game licenses were issued in 2025, a nearly 30% increase compared to the previous year [3] Group 3: Marketing Industry - The overall advertising market expenditure increased by 5.4% year-on-year from January to November 2025, with November showing a 16.6% year-on-year increase [4] - Specific industries such as telecommunications, personal care, entertainment, and IT services saw significant advertising expenditure growth, with increases of 86.1%, 62.0%, 22.9%, and 17.8% respectively [4] - Conversely, industries like pharmaceuticals, alcoholic beverages, and cosmetics experienced declines in advertising expenditure, with decreases of -14.6%, -10.3%, and -6.3% respectively [4] Group 4: AI Industry - Meta completed the acquisition of Manus, marking its third-largest acquisition since its inception [5] - Domestic AI company DeepSeek released two new models, achieving performance levels comparable to GPT-5 [5] - Two companies, Zhiyu Huazhang and MiniMax, are expected to go public in early 2026 after passing the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's listing hearing [5] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Focus on Hong Kong internet companies with stable growth and improving profitability, particularly in the internet video platform sector and leading domestic AI video tool companies [6] - Emphasize AI applications and related industry chains, as well as content production sectors [6] - Consider traditional publishing companies that are exploring new business opportunities as the Lunar New Year approaches [6]
中国银河证券:医改持续推进 医保月度收支增速回正
智通财经网· 2026-01-07 01:33
智通财经APP获悉,中国银河证券发布研报称,看好2026年医药行业投资机会,近期震荡调整后估值已 回落至相对低位,有望在2026年重启升势,投资思路上寻找医药硬科技和细分赛道α,推荐关注创新药 (BIC和FIC管线龙头)、创新器械(影像、高值耗材、消费器械等)、医疗AI方向,关注医药消费复 苏及独立第三方ICL。 中国银河证券主要观点如下: 继续深化推进医改,优化集采及医改政策 12月中央经济工作会议如期召开,通稿中医药相关内容:"优化药品集中采购,深化医保支付方式改 革。实施康复护理扩容提升工程,加强对困难群体的关爱帮扶。"其中相关投资机会理解可以从以下三 个方面解读。 集采规则优化,国产替代提速 集采提质扩面进入后半程,价格机制与质量监管并重。药品方面,国家集采累计覆盖435个品种,第十 一批聚焦55种临床成熟药物,通过按品牌报量、低价声明、合理性解释和生产质量双重抽检等制度创 新,实现稳临床、保质量、防围标、反内卷,保证中选产品的临床可及性和标准的一致性。整体来看, 随着集采规则持续优化、价格机制更趋合理、质量与供应保障监管均衡重视,国产龙头企业依靠合规和 创新能力,有望实现份额提升及结构性增长。 医改 ...
中国银河1月6日获融资买入2.20亿元,融资余额30.50亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 01:29
融资方面,中国银河当日融资买入2.20亿元。当前融资余额30.50亿元,占流通市值的2.56%,融资余额 低于近一年30%分位水平,处于低位。 1月6日,中国银河涨2.74%,成交额13.66亿元。两融数据显示,当日中国银河获融资买入额2.20亿元, 融资偿还2.50亿元,融资净买入-3063.26万元。截至1月6日,中国银河融资融券余额合计30.51亿元。 责任编辑:小浪快报 融券方面,中国银河1月6日融券偿还2100.00股,融券卖出5700.00股,按当日收盘价计算,卖出金额 9.39万元;融券余量4.75万股,融券余额78.28万元,低于近一年10%分位水平,处于低位。 资料显示,中国银河证券股份有限公司位于北京市丰台区西营街8号院1号楼青海金融大厦,成立日期 2007年1月26日,上市日期2017年1月23日,公司主营业务涉及提供经纪、销售和交易、投资银行和投资 管理等综合性证券服务。主营业务收入构成为:财富管理业务43.11%,投资交易业务28.07%,其他母 子公司一体化业务9.33%,国际业务8.00%,机构业务7.59%,其他2.13%,投资银行业务1.78%。 截至9月30日,中国银河股东 ...
惠州中京电子科技股份有限公司 关于控股股东股份质押的公告
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2026-01-06 23:51
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大 遗漏。 惠州中京电子科技股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于近日收到控股股东惠州市京港投资发展有限公司 (以下简称"京港投资")发来的告知函。根据函件,京港投资向中国银河证券股份有限公司质押1300万 股,具体情况如下: 一、股份质押情况 3、公司控股股东及实际控制人不存在非经营性资金占用、违规担保等侵害上市公司利益的情形。 4、截至本公告披露日,控股股东京港投资及实际控制人杨林具备履约能力,上述质押股份行为不会导 致控制权的变更,所质押的股份不存在平仓风险或被强制平仓的情形,不会对上市公司生产经营、公司 治理产生不利影响。 5、公司将持续关注股东质押情况及质押风险情况,并按规定及时做好相关信息披露工作,敬请投资者 注意投资风险。 ■ 四、其他说明 1、公司控股股东及实际控制人上述质押主要用于其运营发展需要。 2、公司控股股东及实际控制人未来半年内到期的质押股份累计0股;未来一年内到期的质押股份累计 2,715万股,占其所持股份的17.50%,占公司总股本4.43%。还款 ...
港股收盤(01.06) | 恆指收漲1.38% 大金融股發力走高 有色、智駕概念走勢強勁
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 10:47
Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices showed strong performance, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.38% to close at 26,710.45 points, and a total trading volume of HKD 291.76 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.46%, closing at 5,825.26 points, indicating a positive sentiment in the technology sector [1] Blue Chip Performance - China Hongqiao (01378) led the blue-chip stocks, rising by 6.14% to HKD 35.26, contributing 10.84 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable performers included JD Health (06618) up 5.41%, Ping An Insurance (02318) up 4.96%, while Alibaba (09988) fell by 1.31% [2] Sector Highlights - The capital market is heating up, with financial stocks, particularly Chinese brokerage firms, showing significant gains. For instance, Jiufang Zhitu (09636) surged by 18.84% [3] - The non-ferrous metals sector performed strongly, with notable increases in Aluminum Corporation of China (02068) up 8.05% and Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818) up 7.29% [4] Commodity Trends - Commodities such as gold, silver, and copper have seen rising futures prices, driven by geopolitical tensions and supply constraints [5] - The aluminum market is particularly affected by supply threats, with prices expected to remain high due to production risks [5] Autonomous Driving Sector - The autonomous driving sector is gaining traction, with companies like Zhejiang Shibao (01057) rising by 21.53% following announcements from NVIDIA regarding advancements in self-driving technology [6] - NVIDIA's new AI platform is expected to stimulate demand for autonomous taxis, supporting global economic growth [6] Commercial Aerospace Developments - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing growth, with companies like JunDa Co. (02865) rising by 8.01% due to recent developments in the industry [6] - The acceleration of the commercialization of space is anticipated to enhance the performance and valuation of related companies [6] Notable Stock Movements - Xindong Company (02400) increased by 6.04% after announcing a significant share buyback plan worth HKD 400 million [7] - Hesai Technology (02525) rose by 5.9% after being selected as a lidar partner for NVIDIA's platform and announcing plans to double production capacity [8] - Cathay Pacific (00293) faced pressure, declining by 2.6% due to a share placement by China National Aviation [9]
港股收评:香港恒生指数收涨1.38% 恒生科技指数涨1.46% 招商证券涨超12%
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-06 08:36
截至收盘,港股恒生指数涨1.38%,报26710.45点,恒生科技指数涨1.46%,报5825.26点,国企指数涨 1.05%,报9244.24点,红筹指数涨1.33%,报4140.89点。券商板块领涨,招商证券涨超12%,国泰君安 国际涨超11%,中金公司涨超8%,中国银河、国泰海通、申万宏源香港均涨超7%;有色金属板块上 涨,中国大冶有色金属涨超8%,招金矿业涨超7%。 大型科技股中,阿里巴巴-W跌1.31%,腾讯控股涨1.28%,京东集团-SW涨1.58%,小米集团-W跌 1.47%,网易-S涨2.96%,美团-W涨0.66%,快手-W涨2.58%,哔哩哔哩-W涨2.19%。 高盛:料澳门博彩股第四季业绩稳健 高盛发布研报称,澳门上月博彩毛收同比升15%至209亿澳门元,为市场预期下限,部分受贵宾厅赢率 在最后一至两周低于正常水平影响。全年博彩毛收同比升幅略高于9%,对比市场预期的7%至8%。该行 指,中国澳门受惠中日关系紧张下内地旅客从日本分流,去年11月入境旅客同比增长重新加速至 18%(10月增11%),主要由内地旅客同比升22%带动。 银河证券发布研报称,12月人工智能板块维持震荡走势,小幅微跌 ...
中国银河给予美的集团“推荐”评级,2B业务再进一步,收购锐珂医疗国际业务
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 03:51
(记者 张喜威) 每经AI快讯,中国银河1月5日发布研报称,给予美的集团(000333.SZ)"推荐"评级。评级理由主要包 括:1)2B业务再进一步,收购锐珂医疗国际业务;2)家电内销业务:国补持续,美的空调元旦提 价。风险提示:市场需求不及预期的风险,竞争加剧风险,原材料成本上涨风险。 每经头条(nbdtoutiao)——秒光!1499元飞天茅台上线即空,i茅台App冲上苹果购物榜第一,10万用 户已下单!经销商同价做回馈,1000箱很快卖完 免责声明:本文内容与数据仅供参考,不构成投资建议,使用前请核实。据此操作,风险自担。 每日经济新闻 ...
港股券商股快速拉升,国泰君安国际涨超10%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-06 02:11
Group 1 - Hong Kong brokerage stocks experienced a rapid increase on January 6, with Guotai Junan International rising over 10% [1] - Zhongzhou Securities saw an increase of over 6% [1] - Other firms such as China International Capital Corporation, China Galaxy Securities, and CITIC Securities rose by more than 3% [1]