Group 1 - A-share market shows mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index being relatively stable while the ChiNext Index is weaker due to a pullback in the technology manufacturing sector [1][11] - The consensus is forming around a potential "rally" in the market as liquidity expectations improve following key overseas events and a positive policy environment from the Central Economic Work Conference [12][13] - The market style is expected to shift towards small-cap and technology growth sectors during the "rally" window from late January to early March 2026, following a period of value-driven performance [12][13] Group 2 - The strong market performance on Wednesday may indicate the start of the 2026 cross-year market trend, supported by significant net subscriptions in stock ETFs [14] - Continued policy support and stable economic growth are anticipated to bolster market confidence and attract various types of capital inflows [14] - The trend of high-net-worth individuals moving their deposits into the stock market is likely to continue, driven by lower expected returns from other asset classes [15] Group 3 - Incremental capital is entering the A-share market through broad-based ETFs, signaling positive market sentiment as investors prepare for the "spring rally" [16] - The technology and small-cap sectors are expected to perform actively as investors increase their positions [16] - The easing of "AI bubble" concerns and the resolution of liquidity uncertainties are providing a recovery opportunity for the market [17] Group 4 - Investment strategies should focus on three key areas: dividend value, high-growth sectors during the upcoming "rally," and active themes driven by policy and technology [18] - In a strengthening RMB environment, sectors such as aviation, gas, and paper are expected to benefit from cost advantages, while upstream resources and consumer goods may see profit margin improvements [20][21] - The non-bank financial sector, particularly insurance stocks, is showing increased elasticity and may outperform if policy catalysts emerge [21]

相关研究 《高弹性标签助力板块"破圈"，看好资负 两端改善趋势——2026 年保险行业策略 报告》 2025/11/18 《证券行业 2026年投资策略:权益浪潮 下的券商机遇：财富扩容，国际增效》 2025/11/17 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 甲万宏源研究微信服务 公司资产负债管理即 非银金融行业周报（2025/12/15-2025/12/19） FEFF State 2025 年 12 月 21 日 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 券商: 本周申万券商 II 指数收涨 1.01%, 跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.29pct。1) 中金吸收东兴、信达 ● 证券提前复牌,重视券商并购重组主线。中金吸收合并东兴、信达证券预案已出（12月 17 日）, 三个标的于 12 月 18 日复 ...

思科瑞9月20日发布关于实施其他风险警示暨停牌的公告。因思科瑞于2025年9月19日收到中国证监 会四川监管局下发的《行政处罚事先告知书》（川证监处罚字【2025】6号）。依据《事先告知书》载 明的内容，根据《上海证券交易所科创板股票上市规则（2025年4月修订)》相关规定，公司股票将被实 施其他风险警示。 思科瑞于2022年7月8日在上交所科创板上市，公开发行的股票数量为2500.00万股，发行价格为 55.53元/股，保荐人（主承销商）为中国银河证券股份有限公司，保荐代表人为陈召军、姚召五。 思科瑞首次公开发行股票募集资金总额为138,825.00万元，募集资金净额为125,250.66万元。思科瑞 最终募集资金净额较原计划多63,394.25万元。思科瑞于2022年7月5日披露的招股说明书显示，该公司拟 募集资金61,856.41万元，分别用于成都检测试验基地建设项目、环境试验中心建设项目、无锡检测试验 基地建设项目、研发中心建设项目、补充流动资金。 思科瑞首次公开发行股票的发行费用总额为13,574.34万元（发行费用均为不含税金额），其中，中 国银河证券股份有限公司获得承销及保荐费用10,760.3 ...

产品聚焦AI推理场景，用于自身Gemini模型 智通财经APP获悉，中国银河证券发布研报称，未来AI芯片的市场竞争将更加激烈，谷歌(GOOGL.US) 有望凭借TPU v7系列产品提升自身AI芯片市占率。该行认为，随着明年谷歌TPU v7的上市，国内液冷/ 电源/PCB领域有望带来新的发展机遇，同时随着AI芯片竞争格局不断深化，国产算力芯片在国产替代 趋势长期上行。 中国银河证券主要观点如下： 谷歌即将上市TPU v7，技术指标比肩英伟达B200 谷歌即将正式上市第七代TPU芯片"Ironwood"，标志着AI算力技术的重大突破。该芯片单芯片峰值算力 达到4614 TFLOPs(FP8精度)，配备192GB HBM3e内存，内存带宽高达7.4TB/s，功耗约1000W。与前代 产品相比，Ironwood的算力提升了4.7倍，能效比达到每瓦29.3 TFLOPs，是前代产品的两倍。服务器散 热方面，采用100%液冷架构，采用大冷板设计，覆盖4 颗TPU及VRM;集群规模上最大支持144 个机架 互联，即9216 个TPU芯片集群。整体技术指标比肩英伟达B200芯片。 风险提示 下游需求不及预期的风险，同业竞争格 ...

备注：以上数据由格隆汇数据中心根据港交所数据加工计算所得，并不保证100%精确。 港股通数据为T+2数据，即今日披露数据为前两个交易日数据。 本文源自：格隆汇 股票名称 港股通五日持仓占比变动 累计持仓占比 净流入金额（百万） 净买入股数（万股) 狮腾控股 (02562) 3.60% 38.8839% 20.201 276.10 招商恒生科技(03423) 2.82% 5.19% 2.636 6.21 GX恒生高股息率 (03110) 2.18% 2.18% -13.421 -45.78 红星美凯龙(01528) 2.04% 52.6233% 57.713 2397.10 昊天国际建投 (01341) 1.74% 63.141% -6.973 7497.60 五日资金流出榜 股票名称 港股通五日持仓占比变动 累计持仓占比 净流入金额（百万） 净买入股数（万股) 长飞光纤光 缆(06869) -9.25% 51.4804% 165.974 351.76 赤峰黄金(06693) -3.01% 44.7385% -158.936 -518.82 第一拖拉 机股份(00038) -1.52% 52.9183% -7. ...

（记者 张明双） 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——海南封关政策红利全解析：零关税、低个税、投资准入放宽、跨境资金自 由、创业扶持…… 每经AI快讯，中国银河12月18日发布研报称，给予茂莱光学（688502.SH，最新价：389.01元）"推 荐"评级。评级理由主要包括：1）深耕精密光学，营业收入稳定增长；2）工业级精密光学高速发展， 价值加速释放；3）公司优势：技术护城河深厚，客户生态多元优质。风险提示：产品验证不及预期的 风险；产能提升不及预期的风险；无人驾驶和AR/VR等新兴领域的发展不及预期的风险；国际贸易的 风险。 ...

截至2025年12月18日收盘，中国银河（06881）报收于10.3元，较前一交易日下跌1.44%。该股当日开盘 价为10.43元，盘中最高触及10.45元，最低下探至10.14元，成交额达2.69亿元。近52周内，公司股价最 高为12.83元，最低为5.91元。 根据近日发布的海外监管公告，中国银河证券股份有限公司于2025年6月16日成功发行2025年度第十三 期短期融资券，发行总额为人民币40亿元，票面利率为1.64%，期限为183天，兑付日期为2025年12月 16日。2025年12月16日，公司已完成本期短期融资券本息的兑付，兑付金额合计人民币4,032,889,863.01 元。相关发行结果已于2025年6月17日在上海证券交易所网站披露。董事会确认本公告内容真实、准 确、完整，无虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 最新公告列表 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 《海外监管公告》 ...

本文源自：市场资讯 资料显示，中国银河证券股份有限公司,是中国证券行业领先的综合金融服务提供商。凭借独特的历 史、品牌和股东优势,公司资本规模、盈利水平、业务实力和风险管理能力位居行业前列。公司为个 人、企业、机构、国际及资本市场客户提供财富管理、投资银行、机构业务、国际业务、投资交易等全 方位、多层次、专业高效的综合金融服务,致力于打造受人尊敬的现代投资银行。 12月18日，上证指数涨0.16%，收报3876.37点，恒生指数涨0.12%，收报25498.13点。 *注：AH股是指同时在A股和港股上市的公司，溢价（A/H）越大，说明H股相比A股越便宜。 中国银河AH溢价达70.04%，位居AH股溢价率第58位。当日收盘，中国银河A股报15.85元，跌幅 1.92%，H股报10.3港元，下跌1.44%。 作者：金股通 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities emphasizes the importance of the medium- to long-term consumption goals outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" and highlights the need for specific consumption policies to be implemented by 2026 [1] Group 1: Consumption Industry Outlook - The global consumption recovery is slow, with high tariffs pushing up prices and high interest rates suppressing credit demand, leading to weakened consumer confidence in Europe and the US [1] - The Central Economic Work Conference has proposed a focus on domestic demand, aiming to build a strong domestic market and implement actions to boost consumption, including plans to increase urban and rural residents' income [1] - The report expresses a more optimistic view on service consumption compared to goods consumption, noting recent policies that enhance the focus on service consumption and the removal of unreasonable restrictions in the consumption sector [1] Group 2: Domestic Demand and Retail Performance - In November, the retail sales growth rate was +1.3% year-on-year, with a month-on-month decline of 1.6 percentage points, marking a continuous decrease since May [2] - The reduction in national subsidies is reflected in the retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment, which saw declines of -14.6% and -19.4% year-on-year in October and November, respectively [2] - Retail sales in the furniture category showed a year-on-year increase of +9.6% in October, while daily necessities experienced a growth of +7.4%, indicating a weakening trend [2] Group 3: Category-Specific Insights - The gold and jewelry category saw significant growth of +37.6% and +8.5% year-on-year in October and November, influenced by new tax policies affecting gold jewelry [3] - The clothing, footwear, and textile categories maintained stable growth rates of +6.3% and +3.5% year-on-year, supported by seasonal changes [3] - The cosmetics sector also showed improvement, with year-on-year growth rates of +9.6% and +6.1% in October and November, aided by promotional activities [3] Group 4: Global Consumer Sentiment - Consumer confidence in Europe and the US remains weak, with the US consumer confidence index at 53.3, close to historical lows, and the EU consumer confidence index at -13.6, indicating a relatively low level of optimism [4] - Overall retail performance in the US has been subdued, with a year-on-year increase of +3.9% in September, reflecting a decline from August [4] - Online sales during the holiday shopping week showed modest growth, with Black Friday and Cyber Monday experiencing increases of +9.3% and +7.1% year-on-year, respectively, amidst intense competition [4]

Group 1: Core Insights - The core growth drivers for the media and internet industry are performance-driven factors and AI empowerment, with a recommendation to focus on increasing AI investments and core internet assets in Hong Kong [1] - The film industry shows stable supply and a recovery in the market, with a notable increase in box office revenue, reaching 3.553 billion yuan in November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 89.29% and a month-on-month increase of 36.03% [1] Group 2: Gaming Sector - The domestic gaming market achieved actual sales revenue of 31.359 billion yuan in October 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.8%, with client games showing strong performance [2] - Self-developed games generated overseas revenue of 1.799 billion USD, marking an 11.9% increase year-on-year, while the number of game licenses issued in November reached 178, with a total of 1,532 licenses issued in the year, up over 29% [2] Group 3: Marketing Trends - The overall advertising market saw a 4.3% year-on-year increase in spending from January to October 2025, with October alone witnessing a 10.6% increase compared to the same month last year [3] - Significant increases in advertising spending were noted in sectors such as telecommunications, personal care, and entertainment, while pharmaceuticals and alcoholic beverages experienced declines [3] - In November, advancements in AI technology focused on long text, multi-modal capabilities, and reasoning efficiency, with major companies releasing updates to enhance their AI systems [3]