股票简称：广州发展 股票代码：600098 公告编号：临 2025-058 号 公司债券简称：21 穗发 01、21 穗发 02、22 穗发 01、22 穗发 02 公司债券代码：188103、188281、185829、137727 广州发展集团股份有限公司 估值提升计划 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记 载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和 完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 估值提升计划的触发情形及审议程序：自2024年7月1日至2025 年6月30日，广州发展集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股票 连续12个月每个交易日收盘价均低于最近一个会计年度经审计的每 股归属于公司普通股股东的净资产，根据《上市公司监管指引第 10 号——市值管理》有关规定，属于应当制定估值提升计划的情形。本 估值提升计划已经公司第九届董事会第十七次会议审议通过。 估值提升计划概述：公司以进一步提高公司质量和高质量发展 为基础，为提升公司投资价值和股东回报能力，结合公司战略规划及 业务发展，从经营提升、优化治理结构、并购重组、股权激励、现金 分红、投资者关系管理、信息披露、股份回购及股 ...

Group 1 - A total of 170 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced net financing inflows for five consecutive days or more as of August 26 [1] - The stocks with the longest consecutive net inflows are Qilu Bank and Guangzhou Development, both achieving 14 consecutive trading days of net inflows [1] - Other notable stocks with significant consecutive net inflows include Lingyi iTech, Zhongyan Technology, Hangjin Technology, Sichuan Changhong, Chengdi Xiangjiang, China Steel International, Meishuo Technology, and Jiu Gui Jiu [1]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for the electricity and natural gas sectors, recommending specific companies for investment based on their performance and market conditions [4][16]. Core Insights - In July, the national electricity consumption exceeded 1 trillion kWh for the first time, reaching 10,226 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 8.6% [4][7]. - The increase in electricity consumption was primarily driven by urban and rural residents, contributing 38% to the total growth, with significant contributions from the secondary and tertiary industries as well [8][9]. - The report highlights the impact of high temperatures on electricity demand, noting that July was the hottest month since 1961, which significantly boosted residential electricity usage [8][9]. - Natural gas prices in Europe have rebounded due to geopolitical tensions, while prices in Asia and the US have decreased, indicating a mixed market environment [16][20]. - The report emphasizes the potential for improved profitability in the biomass energy sector following the introduction of new methodologies for carbon emissions reduction [4][16]. Summary by Sections Electricity - July's total electricity consumption reached 10,226 billion kWh, marking a historic milestone with an 8.6% year-on-year growth [4][7]. - The first, second, and third industries, along with urban and rural residents, contributed to the overall electricity consumption growth, with the second industry showing a recovery in electricity usage [8][9]. - Recommendations include investing in hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, and thermal power companies such as Guodian Power and Huaneng International [14][15]. Natural Gas - The report notes a stable supply-demand balance in the natural gas market, with US prices dropping to $2.76/mmBtu, while European prices have seen fluctuations due to geopolitical risks [16][20]. - Recommendations for investment include companies in the city gas sector and integrated natural gas traders, highlighting firms like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy [41][42]. Environmental Sector - The introduction of new methodologies for biomass energy projects is expected to enhance profitability, with a focus on companies like Evergreen Group and China Everbright [4][16]. Market Performance - The report reviews market performance from August 18 to August 22, indicating that the gas, public utility, electricity, and environmental sectors underperformed compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [43][44].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the electricity and gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment [5]. Core Insights - In July, the national electricity consumption exceeded 1 trillion kWh for the first time, reaching 10,226 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 8.6% [10][11]. - The increase in electricity consumption was primarily driven by urban and rural residents, contributing 38% to the total growth, while the secondary and tertiary industries contributed 33% and 25%, respectively [11]. - The report highlights the impact of high temperatures in July, which were 1.3°C above the historical average, leading to increased electricity demand from residential sectors [11]. - In the gas sector, European gas prices have rebounded due to geopolitical tensions, while Asian and US gas prices have declined [19][30]. - The report suggests that the gas supply-demand balance remains loose, with US gas production at historical highs, contributing to lower prices [22][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: July National Electricity Consumption Exceeds 1 Trillion kWh - The national electricity consumption reached 10,226 billion kWh in July, marking a historic milestone [10]. - The first industry saw a 20.2% increase in electricity consumption, while the second and third industries grew by 4.7% and 10.7%, respectively [12]. - Cumulative electricity consumption from January to July was 58,633 billion kWh, a 4.5% year-on-year increase [14]. 2. Gas: Gas Supply-Demand Remains Loose, Geopolitical Tensions Affect European Gas Prices - As of August 22, the Henry Hub spot price in the US was $2.76/mmBtu, a weekly decrease of 7.19% [19]. - The TTF spot price in Europe rose to €33.10/MWh, reflecting an 8.17% increase due to geopolitical tensions [20]. - The report notes that European gas inventories are significantly lower than last year and the five-year average, raising concerns about supply stability [30]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The report indicates that the gas, public utilities, electricity, and environmental sectors underperformed relative to the CSI 300 index during the period from August 18 to August 22 [47]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - The report mentions the release of a notice regarding the bidding arrangement for new energy projects in Gansu Province, indicating ongoing developments in the renewable energy sector [54]. - Key announcements from companies such as Guodian Power and Kunlun Energy highlight their financial performance and strategic initiatives [55][58]. 5. Key Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the public utility sector, indicating buy ratings for several firms, including China Nuclear Power and Huaneng International [59].

Core Insights - As of August 22, a total of 162 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced net financing inflows for five consecutive days or more [1] - The stocks with the longest consecutive net inflow days are Heimu Dan, Guangzhou Development, and Qilu Bank, each with 12 consecutive trading days of net inflows [1] - Other notable stocks with significant consecutive net inflow days include Xinyi Sheng, Hangjin Technology, Zhongyan Co., Sanyuan Biological, Sinan Navigation, Chengdi Xiangjiang, Rongke Technology, and Guoxin Securities [1]

Group 1 - The combustible ice concept rose by 3.12%, ranking first among concept sectors, with 12 stocks increasing, including ShenKong Co., which hit the daily limit, and others like QianNeng HengXin, XinJin Power, and China Oilfield Services showing gains of 6.41%, 5.90%, and 2.77% respectively [1] - The main capital inflow into the combustible ice sector was 364 million yuan, with 8 stocks receiving net inflows, and 5 stocks seeing inflows exceeding 10 million yuan, led by ShenKong Co. with a net inflow of 239 million yuan [1] - The top three stocks by net inflow were ShenKong Co., China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, and China Oilfield Services, with net inflows of 239 million yuan, 111 million yuan, and 32 million yuan respectively [1] Group 2 - In terms of capital inflow ratios, ShenKong Co., China Oilfield Services, and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation had the highest net inflow rates at 26.96%, 8.97%, and 6.54% respectively [2] - The capital inflow leaderboard for the combustible ice concept showed ShenKong Co. with a daily increase of 10.00% and a turnover rate of 24.14%, followed by China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation with a 2.45% increase and a turnover rate of 0.31% [2] - Other notable stocks included QianNeng HengXin with a 6.41% increase and a turnover rate of 10.84%, and XinJin Power with a 5.90% increase and a turnover rate of 23.00% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Tianfeng Securities highlights the significant differentiation in profitability among thermal power units in Guangdong Province due to low electricity prices, with high-capacity coal power units performing better. It also anticipates limited downward space for electricity prices by 2025, predicting a relatively stable overall electricity price level for coal power units in 2026 [1][2][3]. Group 1: Current Situation - The profitability of thermal power assets is showing clear differentiation under low electricity prices [1]. - There are significant regional differences in electricity demand within Guangdong, leading to variations in spot electricity prices based on local consumption capabilities [1]. Group 2: Asset Differentiation - High-efficiency coal power units, particularly those with a capacity of 1 million kilowatts, exhibit the best profitability, with net profit per kilowatt-hour exceeding 0.01 yuan, and some units reaching over 0.02 yuan [2]. - Smaller capacity units, such as those below 300,000 kilowatts, are generally facing losses, indicating higher profitability pressure [2]. Group 3: Outlook - The annual long-term electricity price in Guangdong is nearing its bottom, with limited potential for further decline. The average transaction price for electricity in 2025 is reported at 0.392 yuan per kilowatt-hour, with a downward adjustment of 15.67% [3]. - Starting in 2026, the capacity price for coal power units is set to be adjusted to 165 yuan per kilowatt per year, which is expected to stabilize overall profitability for coal power units in Guangdong [3].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Tianfeng Securities highlights a significant divergence in the profitability of coal-fired power plants in Guangdong Province due to low electricity prices, with high-capacity coal power units performing better. The long-term electricity price for coal power plants is expected to stabilize by 2026, with limited downside potential in the near term [1][2][3]. Group 1: Current Situation - The profitability of thermal power assets is showing clear differentiation under low electricity price conditions [1]. - There are significant regional differences in electricity demand within Guangdong, leading to variations in spot electricity prices based on local consumption capabilities [1]. - The spot electricity prices in the Pearl River Delta region are notably higher compared to other areas, with the western region facing more pricing pressure [1]. Group 2: Asset Differentiation - High-efficiency coal power units, particularly those with a capacity of 1 million kilowatts, exhibit the best profitability, with net profits exceeding 0.01 yuan/KWh [2]. - Smaller coal power units (30,000 kilowatts and below) are generally operating at a loss, indicating greater profitability pressure [2]. - Gas-fired power units face higher fuel costs and lower average utilization hours, contributing to their profitability challenges compared to coal units [2]. Group 3: Outlook - The annual long-term electricity price in Guangdong is nearing its bottom, with limited room for further decline [3]. - The average transaction price for electricity in Guangdong is 0.392 yuan/KWh, with a downward adjustment of 15.67%, indicating proximity to the price floor [3]. - Starting in 2026, the capacity price for coal power units is set to increase to 165 yuan per kilowatt per year, which is expected to support stable profitability for coal power plants in the long term [3].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [4] Core Viewpoints - The profitability of thermal power assets in Guangdong is differentiated under low electricity prices, with significant regional disparities in electricity demand affecting node prices [1][10] - High-efficiency coal power units are expected to perform better in profitability compared to lower capacity units, with 1 million kW units showing net profits above 0.01 yuan/KWh [2][30] - The average electricity price in Guangdong is expected to remain stable, with limited downward potential, while capacity prices are anticipated to increase, enhancing profitability for coal power units [3][51] Summary by Sections Current Situation: Profitability Differentiation of Thermal Power Assets - Regional differences in electricity demand lead to varying node prices across Guangdong, with the Pearl River Delta region experiencing higher prices compared to other areas [1][15] - Different capacity levels of coal power units exhibit significant differences in profitability, with 1 million kW units showing the best performance [2][30] - Gas power units face greater profitability pressure due to higher fuel costs and lower utilization hours compared to coal units [2][32] Outlook: Stable Electricity Price Expectations - The annual long-term electricity price in Guangdong is nearing its bottom, with limited room for decline, as the average transaction price for 2025 is projected at 0.392 yuan/KWh [3][51] - Capacity price adjustments are expected to positively impact the profitability of coal power units starting in 2026 [3][51] Investment Recommendations - Focus on high-capacity coal power units in Guangdong, as they are expected to maintain better profitability under the current low electricity price environment [4][30] - Recommended stocks include Baoneng New Energy, China Resources Power (H shares), Guangdong Power A, Guangzhou Development, Shenzhen Energy, and Suihengyun A [4]

| 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量( * ) 买入营业部 | | | | | 卖出营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-08-15 | 广州发展 | 600098 | 6.65 | 465.5 | 70 | 招商证券股份有限 | 平安证券股份有限 公司广州番禺环城 | | | | | | | | | 公司深圳西丽留仙 | | | | | | | | | | 00 -- | 六中三世出了名字 | | 8月15日，广州发展大宗交易成交70万股，成交额465.5万元，占当日总成交额的3.25%，成交价6.65元，较市场收盘价6.58元溢价1.06%。 ...