Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the transportation industry, indicating expectations for the industry to outperform the overall market [11]. Core Insights - The shipping sector is expected to see performance improvements driven by a shift in oil production policies and a tightening supply of older vessels, with demand for small container ships increasing due to regional industrial shifts [1][2]. - The shipbuilding market is anticipated to recover as demand is expected to rebound following the easing of trade tensions, with new orders and ship prices likely to rise [2]. - The aviation sector is experiencing steady growth in passenger traffic, with a narrowing decline in ticket prices, suggesting a recovery in airline revenues [2]. - The express delivery industry is facing a decline in growth rates, with increased competition in the mid-to-high-end e-commerce segment, but companies like SF Express are expected to maintain strong growth [2][3]. Shipping Sector Summary - The demand for oil tankers and bulk carriers is improving, with Q2 performance estimates showing significant increases for companies like COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Energy [2]. - The small container ship market is experiencing rising charter rates and second-hand prices, with a tight supply situation expected to persist until at least 2030 [2]. Shipbuilding Sector Summary - The easing of the 301 tariffs is expected to release pent-up demand in the shipbuilding market, with new orders likely to increase as trade relations improve [2]. - The report highlights that China's shipbuilding industry is recovering from previous pressures, with new orders returning to a leading position [2]. Aviation Sector Summary - The aviation market is entering a peak season with stable growth in passenger numbers, and airlines are expected to benefit from improved cost structures due to lower fuel prices [2]. - Recommendations include major airlines such as China Southern Airlines and China Eastern Airlines, which are projected to return to profitability [3]. Express Delivery Sector Summary - The express delivery industry is seeing a decrease in growth rates, with competition intensifying in the e-commerce segment, particularly for mid-to-high-end services [2]. - Despite the overall slowdown, SF Express is expected to continue its high growth trajectory, driven by operational expansions and new service offerings [2]. Road and Rail Sector Summary - The report anticipates stable growth in highway traffic and toll revenues, with recommendations for companies like Zhejiang Expressway and Ninghu Expressway [2]. - Rail passenger traffic is also expected to grow, albeit at a slower pace, with recommendations for high-speed rail companies [2].

Core Viewpoint - International oil prices experienced a significant decline due to the de-escalation of geopolitical tensions, with prices dropping over 8% in a single day, effectively reversing gains made since June 13 [1][2][3] Oil Price Movement - On June 23, international oil prices fell sharply after initial increases due to heightened geopolitical risks, with WTI crude oil futures dropping by $6.61 to $67.23 per barrel (down 8.95%) and Brent crude oil futures falling by $6.36 to $70.65 per barrel (down 8.26%) [2] - Following the announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, oil prices continued to decline, nearly erasing all gains from the previous weeks [1][3] Impact on Oil and Shipping Stocks - The oil and shipping sectors in the A-share market faced significant losses on June 24, with companies like Shandong Molong and Tongyuan Petroleum hitting their daily limit down [1][4] - Prior to the decline, oil-related stocks had surged, with Shandong Molong experiencing a nearly 95.44% increase from June 13 to June 23 [4] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the easing of geopolitical tensions will shift market focus back to fundamental and macroeconomic drivers, with expectations of oil prices stabilizing in the $60-$65 per barrel range for Q3, but facing potential downward pressure in Q4 [6] - The market is also influenced by OPEC's continued production increases and macroeconomic factors such as U.S. tariff policies and inflation risks [6]

Group 1 - The A-share port and shipping sector experienced a significant decline at the beginning of trading, with major companies like China Merchants Energy and Xingtong Co. hitting the daily limit down [1] - China National Aviation's ocean shipping segment fell over 12%, indicating a broader downturn in the industry [1] - Other companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Shipping also followed the downward trend, reflecting a negative sentiment in the market [1]

证券代码：603209 证券简称：兴通股份 公告编号：2025-054 兴通海运股份有限公司 股票交易异常波动公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ? 兴通海运股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股票于 2025 年 6 月 20 日、 交易所交易规则》的有关规定，属于股票交易异常波动的情况。 ? 经公司自查并向公司控股股东、实际控制人书面问询核实，截至本公告 披露日，除公司已披露事项外，确认不存在应披露而未披露的重大事项或重要信 息。 ? 风险提示：公司股票价格短期波动较大，敬请广大投资者注意二级市场 交易风险，审慎决策，理性投资。 一、股票交易异常波动的具体情况 公司股票于 2025 年 6 月 20 日、6 月 23 日连续两个交易日收盘价格涨幅偏 离值累计超过 20%，根据《上海证券交易所交易规则》的有关规定，属于股票交 易异常波动的情况。 二、公司关注并核实的相关情况 （一）生产经营情况 经公司自查，公司目前生产经营活动一切正常。市场环境、行业政策没有发 生重大调整，生产成本和销售等情况没 ...

兴通海运股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股票于 2025 年 6 月 20 日、 6 月 23 日连续两个交易日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过 20%，根据《上海证券 交易所交易规则》的有关规定，属于股票交易异常波动的情况。 经公司自查并向公司控股股东、实际控制人书面问询核实，截至本公告 披露日，除公司已披露事项外，确认不存在应披露而未披露的重大事项或重要信 息。 风险提示：公司股票价格短期波动较大，敬请广大投资者注意二级市场 交易风险，审慎决策，理性投资。 一、股票交易异常波动的具体情况 公司股票于 2025 年 6 月 20 日、6 月 23 日连续两个交易日收盘价格涨幅偏 离值累计超过 20%，根据《上海证券交易所交易规则》的有关规定，属于股票交 易异常波动的情况。 证券代码：603209 证券简称：兴通股份 公告编号：2025-054 兴通海运股份有限公司 股票交易异常波动公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 二、公司关注并核实的相关情况 针对公司股票异常波动情况，公司对有关事项进行了核查， ...

兴通股份（603209）发布异动公告，经公司自查，公司目前生产经营活动一切正常。市场环境、行业政 策没有发生重大调整，生产成本和销售等情况没有出现大幅波动，内部生产经营秩序正常。 ...

一、行情回顾 二、当日热点 1.区块链 区块链概念今日再度大涨，安妮股份、浙江东日、恒宝股份等再度涨停。四方精创一度涨停，再创历史新高。 证券时报6月23日发布头版头条文章《顺应稳定币浪潮 主动作为助推人民币国际化》，文章提到，稳定币浪潮正向全球袭来，对于正在积极提升人民币国际 化地位的中国，主动监管稳定币并顺势而为加速人民币国际化或许是更优解。 此外，在中国人民银行和香港金融管理局的共同推动下，跨境支付通22日正式上线，标志内地与香港快速支付系统实现互联互通，今后两地居民可实时办理 跨境汇款。当天，全国首笔跨境支付通汇款业务落地深圳。 当地时间6月20日，"稳定币第一股"Circle延续疯狂涨势，再度飙升逾20%至240.28美元，自IPO以来累计涨幅超650%。在美国参议院通过GENIUS法案后， 连续第二个交易日大涨。 市场全天低开高走，三大指数集体上涨。稳定币概念股再度大涨，恒宝股份、海联金汇等多股涨停。航运板块全天强势，宁波海运、兴通股份等封板。油气 股再度爆发，山东墨龙、准油股份等涨停。银行股继续走强，工商银行、建设银行等多股创新高。个股涨多跌少，沪深京三市超4400股飘红，今日成交1.15 万亿 ...

Core Viewpoint - The oil shipping market is experiencing a surge in freight rates due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly concerning the Strait of Hormuz, which could lead to a sustained increase in oil transportation costs [1][2]. Group 1: Oil Shipping Market Dynamics - If the Strait of Hormuz is closed, oil shipping rates are expected to continue rising, with VLCC daily charter rates likely to remain above $50,000 per day, indicating a high-level fluctuation [1]. - The Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI) shows a significant increase, with the TD3C TCE reaching $57,758 per day as of June 19, up approximately 154% from $22,764 per day on June 12 [1]. - Companies like Zhongyuan Shipping and China Merchants Energy have a significant portion of their VLCC fleet operating in the Middle East, with Zhongyuan Shipping reporting a 53% operational day share in this region [2]. Group 2: Alternative Shipping Routes - The market is exploring alternative shipping routes, such as the Saudi East-West pipeline and routes through the Suez Canal, which may also lead to increased freight costs due to longer travel distances and regional instability [2]. - Adjustments in shipping demand may occur if trade flows change due to the Middle East situation, prompting companies to reposition their fleets to areas with higher cargo demand, such as West Africa and South America [2]. Group 3: Shipping Companies' Responses - Major shipping companies like Maersk and CMA CGM are currently maintaining operations in the Middle East but are closely monitoring the situation for any necessary adjustments to their routes and safety protocols [3].

Market Overview - A-shares opened lower on June 23, with the ChiNext Index and Shenzhen Component Index turning positive during the session [1] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index opened lower, with JD.com leading the decline among blue chips [1][2] Sector Performance - Oil and gas stocks showed strong performance, with Shandong Molong and MI Energy rising nearly 15% [1][3] - Shipping stocks also performed well, with Ningbo Shipping and Xingtong Co. hitting the daily limit [5][6] Oil and Gas Sector - WTI crude oil futures rose over 6% in early trading, contributing to the rally in oil and gas stocks [3] - Citic Securities predicts that Brent crude oil prices may break $80 per barrel, with a trading range expected between $70 and $100 per barrel [5] Shipping Sector - Shipping and port stocks in Hong Kong also saw gains, with DeXiang Shipping rising over 17% [6] - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East, particularly regarding Iran's potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz, is influencing market sentiment [6] Cobalt and Solid-State Battery Sector - Cobalt-related stocks experienced a surge, with Tengyuan Cobalt rising over 17% [7] - The Democratic Republic of the Congo announced an extension of a temporary ban on cobalt exports, impacting market dynamics [9] - Solid-state battery stocks are gaining traction, with companies reporting advancements in production timelines [9] Semiconductor Sector - Semiconductor and photolithography stocks saw strong performance, with multiple companies hitting daily limits [9]

Market Overview - A-shares opened lower but rebounded, with all three major indices turning positive. As of 9:42 AM, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.03%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.14%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.11% [1] Geopolitical Impact - The geopolitical situation is escalating, with the U.S. bombing Iranian nuclear facilities and Iran's parliament supporting the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a near 6% increase in crude oil prices. Despite external geopolitical pressures, the market's decline has been limited, indicating strong support from market participants [1][10] Sector Performance Shipping and Port Stocks - Shipping and port stocks saw significant gains, with Ningbo Shipping and Xingtong Co. both hitting the daily limit up. Other stocks like COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Energy also experienced upward movement [2][3] Cross-Border Payment Stocks - Cross-border payment stocks surged, with Jida Zhengyuan hitting the daily limit up. Other stocks such as Lakala and Huafeng Super Fiber rose over 5% [4][5] Solid-State Battery and Cobalt Stocks - Solid-state battery concepts continued to perform strongly, with Xiangtan Electrochemical achieving three consecutive limit-up days. Cobalt-related stocks also saw gains, with Tengyuan Cobalt rising over 15% [1] Institutional Insights - Guotai Junan believes that after short-term risk release, the core contradiction in the Chinese stock market remains internal rather than external, maintaining a more optimistic view than consensus [2][8] - CITIC Securities notes that recent adjustments in Hong Kong stocks have affected A-share sectors, with a focus on new consumption and innovative pharmaceuticals [7] - Dongfang Securities highlights that while external geopolitical factors are impacting the market, the decline has been limited, suggesting a potential shift towards technology growth styles [10]