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机械行业2026年策略:聚焦新市场、新场景、新周期
Dongxing Securities· 2025-12-16 06:17
Group 1 - The mechanical sector has shown strong performance in 2025, with the Shenwan Mechanical Equipment Index rising by 36.11%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 19.74 percentage points and the Shenzhen Component Index by 8.78 percentage points [4][16][19] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the mechanical industry reported revenues of 15,135.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1,080.76 billion yuan, up 16.80% year-on-year [4][22][27] - The public fund allocation ratio for the mechanical equipment sector increased by 0.25 percentage points in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, indicating improved fundamentals and positive policy impacts [29] Group 2 - The equipment manufacturing industry has maintained export resilience, with significant growth in new overseas markets. From January to October 2025, the export delivery value of general equipment, specialized equipment, and transportation equipment reached 6,173.20 billion yuan, 5,319.30 billion yuan, and 4,124 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.5%, 9.3%, and 24.20% [5][33][36] - The overseas sales of engineering machinery continued to grow, with a year-on-year increase of 11.84% in export value from January to October 2025, driven by technological innovation and diversified market strategies [37][41] - The motorcycle industry has established a strong competitive advantage in overseas markets, with exports reaching 1,101.85 million units and 7.278 billion USD in value from January to October 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.28% and 28.2% respectively [42][43] Group 3 - The emergence of new manufacturing scenarios signifies a profound transformation from "single technology upgrades" to "systematic ecological restructuring," enhancing production efficiency, product quality, and innovation capabilities [5][46] - Human-shaped robots are expected to address customization challenges in traditional manufacturing, with a market space projected to expand significantly as they transition from industrial applications to household use [47][54] - The intelligent logistics equipment market in China is expected to grow rapidly, with a projected market size of 1,261 billion yuan in 2025, driven by advancements in IoT and AI technologies [64][72]
上海制造的“硅基生命”与其背后的长三角供应链
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 09:45
在上海张江科学会堂举行的 2025 全球开发者先锋大会(GDPS)机器人 MAX 工坊内,一台被解剖式展 示的 "爆炸机器人" 成为全场目光的焦点。几十上百个精密部件通过透明线束悬浮排布,从核心的一体 化关节到细微的传感器,每个零件表面都清晰镌刻着 "上海制造" 或长三角城市标识。这具 "裸露" 的机 械躯体,如同一张立体的产业地图,从芯片算法到金属骨骼,从视觉之眼到触觉皮肤,在上海以及其背 后的长三角经济区,都能找到对应的供应链企业。 本文图片 均为主办方供图 "打开一个机器人" 能展示些什么?从上游核心零部件的自主研发,到中游算法算力的协同创新,再到 下游场景应用的规模化落地,展示的正是上海及长三角地区早早布局构建的国内最完整、最具韧性的机 器人产业生态。 核心零部件:供应链的硬核根基 在长三角的供应链体系中,从机械臂、减速器到视觉传感器,一批企业正突破关键核心技术,为机器人 产业筑牢根基。 睿感机器人在 GDPS 展上带来的 TG62-B 具身智能机械臂,具有 1.5kg 负载能力和高精度操控性能。这 款机械臂集成了企业自研的视觉感知系统与运动控制算法,可精准完成物料抓取、装配协作等复杂任 务,其核心技 ...
绿的谐波大宗交易成交400.64万元,买方为机构专用席位
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-12 17:01
进一步统计,近3个月内该股累计发生4笔大宗交易,合计成交金额为7550.56万元。 绿的谐波12月12日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交,成交量2.61万股,成交金额400.64万元,大宗交易成交 价为153.50元。该笔交易的买方营业部为机构专用,卖方营业部为瑞银证券有限责任公司上海花园石桥 路证券营业部。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示,绿的谐波今日收盘价为153.50元,下跌0.22%,日换手率为2.79%,成交额 为7.82亿元,全天主力资金净流出8261.30万元,近5日该股累计下跌2.53%,近5日资金合计净流出2.99 亿元。 两融数据显示,该股最新融资余额为10.77亿元,近5日减少3427.10万元,降幅为3.08%。 12月12日绿的谐波大宗交易一览 成交量(万股) 成交金额(万元) 成交价格(元) 相对当日收盘折溢价 (%) 买方营业部卖方营业部 2.61 400.64 153.50 0.00 机构专用 瑞银证券有限责任公司上海花园石桥路证券营业部 注:本文系新闻报道,不构成投资建议,股市有风险,投资需谨慎。 ...
绿的谐波大宗交易成交400.64万元,买方为机构专用席位
(原标题:绿的谐波大宗交易成交400.64万元,买方为机构专用席位) 绿的谐波12月12日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交,成交量2.61万股,成交金额400.64万元,大宗交易成交 价为153.50元。该笔交易的买方营业部为机构专用,卖方营业部为瑞银证券有限责任公司上海花园石桥 路证券营业部。 进一步统计,近3个月内该股累计发生4笔大宗交易,合计成交金额为7550.56万元。 证券时报•数据宝统计显示,绿的谐波今日收盘价为153.50元,下跌0.22%,日换手率为2.79%,成交额 为7.82亿元,全天主力资金净流出8261.30万元,近5日该股累计下跌2.53%,近5日资金合计净流出2.99 亿元。 两融数据显示,该股最新融资余额为10.77亿元,近5日减少3427.10万元,降幅为3.08%。(数据宝) 12月12日绿的谐波大宗交易一览 | 成交量 | 成交金 | 成交价 | 相对当日 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (万 | 额 | 格 | 收盘折溢 | 买方营业 | 卖方营业部 | | 股) | (万 | (元) | 价 | 部 | | | | 元 ...
沪指弱势三连阴,机器人板块三连阳后首度回调,机器人ETF基金(159213)收跌1.79%,资金逆势涌入!人形机器人明年迎“量产大考”,怎么看?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 09:28
12月11日,A股市场再度回调,沪指弱势三连阴。截至收盘,机器人ETF基金(159213)收跌1.79%,终结三连阳!资金逆势涌入,机器人ETF基金 (159213)盘中获300万份净申购,合计净流入超340万元! 机器人ETF基金(159213)标的指数成分股多数回调,云天励飞跌超3%,石头科技、中控技术等跌超2%,双环传动、汇川技术等跌超1%,科大讯飞等回 调。 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 申万一级行业 | 涨跌幅 | 估算权重 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 300124 | 汇川技术 | 机械设备 | -1.29% | 10.63% | | 2 | 002230 | 科大讯飞 | 计算机 | -0.59% | 8.95% | | 3 | 002236 | 大华股份 | 计算机 | -1.90% | 5.07% | | 4 | 688169 | 石头科技 | 家用电器 | -2.51% | 4.48% | | 5 | 688777 | 中控技术 | 机械设备 | -2.01% | 4.46% | | 6 | 002008 | 大族激光 ...
制造成长周报(第37 期):特朗普政府聚焦机器人行业,Tiktok 拟投资380 亿美元建数据中心-20251209
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-09 01:27
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the machinery equipment industry [5][12]. Core Views - The focus on humanoid robots and AI infrastructure is expected to drive significant growth in the industry, with the U.S. government under Trump prioritizing the development of the robotics sector [2][19]. - TikTok plans to invest $38 billion in building a data center in Brazil, indicating a strong commitment to AI infrastructure [20]. - Jerry Holdings has secured contracts exceeding $100 million for generator sets, highlighting its competitive advantage in the data center power supply sector [21]. Humanoid Robots - Humanoid robots are seen as a crucial carrier for AI, with ongoing advancements expected to continue. The report suggests focusing on companies with strong positions in the supply chain, particularly those linked to Tesla [2][9]. - Key companies to watch include: - Core suppliers: Feirongda, Longxi Co., Weiman Sealing, Hengli Hydraulic, Huichuan Technology, Green Harmony, Lens Technology, and Wuzhou New Spring [2]. - Incremental opportunities: Weiman Sealing, Longxi Co., Feirongda, Weike Technology, and Hanwei Technology [2][9]. AI Infrastructure - AI computing power is identified as a high-growth investment theme, with a focus on the energy supply chain for AI data centers. Gas turbines are expected to benefit significantly from the demand for data center power [3][9]. - Key companies in the gas turbine supply chain include: - Gas turbine hot-end blades: Yingliu Co., Wanze Co. - Gas turbine generator sets: Jerry Holdings. - Other components: Haomai Technology, Liande Co., and supporting heat recovery steam generators [3][9]. Key Company Earnings Forecast and Investment Ratings - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, all rated as "Outperform": - Green Harmony: 2024 EPS of 0.33, PE of 474 [12][29]. - Mingzhi Electric: 2024 EPS of 0.19, PE of 370 [12][29]. - Huichuan Technology: 2024 EPS of 1.60, PE of 46 [12][29]. - Hengli Hydraulic: 2024 EPS of 1.87, PE of 60 [12][29]. - Longxi Co.: 2024 EPS of 0.31, PE of 91 [12][29]. - Yingliu Co.: 2024 EPS of 0.42, PE of 97 [12][29].
机械设备行业周报:关注AI基建、人形机器人、工程机械等板块投资机会-20251208
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Recommended" for the mechanical equipment industry [2][3]. Core Views - The mechanical equipment industry saw a 2.9% increase last week, ranking second among 31 primary industries. Sub-industries such as engineering machinery (+6%) and specialized equipment (+3.45%) showed strong performance, while rail transit equipment experienced a decline of 0.82% [3][14]. - The report suggests that with the completion of the third-quarter reports, market risk appetite is expected to improve. It recommends a balanced approach between technology growth and cyclical investments, focusing on sectors and stocks with performance support [3][4]. - Key areas of focus include humanoid robots, PCB equipment, semiconductor equipment, and cyclical recovery in engineering machinery and general equipment [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Recent Trends - In November 2025, excavator sales reached 20,027 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.9%. Domestic sales were 9,842 units (+9.11%), while exports were 10,185 units (+18.8%). Cumulatively, from January to November, 212,162 excavators were sold, marking a 16.7% increase year-on-year [5][44]. - The report highlights a structural recovery in the industry, driven by domestic demand from large projects and a new round of replacement cycles [5][44]. 2. Sub-Industry Performance - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing a significant recovery, with excavator sales showing strong growth. The report emphasizes the importance of technological upgrades and global expansion for leading companies [5][44]. - The industrial robot sector saw a production increase of 17.9% in October 2025, indicating potential investment opportunities as the industry adjusts to new demands [28][44]. 3. Key Companies and Recommendations - The report identifies several companies for investment consideration, including XCMG Machinery (000425.SZ), SANY Heavy Industry (600031.SH), and Huazhong CNC (688697.SH), which are expected to benefit from the ongoing recovery and technological advancements in the industry [7][44]. - The semiconductor equipment sector is highlighted as a critical area for investment, with companies like North Huachuang (002371.SZ) and Zhongwei Company (688012.SH) recommended due to their strong market positions and growth potential [4][7]. 4. Policy and Market Drivers - The report notes that government policies are strongly supporting the high-end machine tool sector, with initiatives aimed at accelerating domestic production and technological breakthroughs [5][46]. - The global demand for high-end manufacturing is recovering, as indicated by Japan's machine tool orders, which have seen continuous growth driven by exports [5][46].
靠一枚“关节” 进出口翻番
Xin Hua Ri Bao· 2025-12-07 23:27
□ 本报记者宋晓华 位于苏州市吴中区的绿的谐波传动科技股份有限公司内,自动导向车沿着预设路径精准穿梭运送物料, 六轴机械臂"指尖"轻提齿轮坯料,稳稳对接高速旋转的数控机床。机床旁闪烁着蓝光的智能检测台,仅 需3秒即可完成产品验核。 "作为机器人关节的'运动中枢',它的精度直接决定了机器人的运动灵活度。"该公司副总经理李谦拿起 一枚通体银亮的减速器介绍,"全球机器人产业升级,'双脑架构'等前沿技术落地应用,我们啃下了材 料工艺和精度控制两大难题,凭借高精度、高可靠性和低转动惯量等优势,产品进一步适配这套架 构。" 翩翩起舞、精准踢球、熟练做家务……多才多艺的机器人是外贸领域新焦点,而让机器人动作灵活起来 的"秘密"藏在一枚枚手掌大的谐波减速器里。 人工智能浪潮下,全球机器人产业格局深度重构,核心部件的研发和迭代是推动产业变革与发展的关 键。"创新势能"持续转化为"经济动能",该公司减速器年产能接近50万台,市场占有率持续提升,并进 入国内外多家人形机器人厂商供应链。今年1—10月,公司进出口货值同比增长超100%。 放眼吴中区,当地不仅集齐工业机器人三大核心零部件——伺服电机、减速器、控制器,而且锚定"全 国机 ...
机器人板块探底回升!大族激光涨超4%,机器人ETF基金(159213)微涨,昨日小幅吸金!美国目光移向机器人板块,有何影响?基金经理火线解读
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 04:22
近期有关于人形机器人的利好新动态不断涌现。消息方面,世界人形机器人运动会组委会今日发布"关于2026世界人形机器人运动会赛项征集的公 告"。公告显示,竞赛项目应具有前瞻性、创新性,能够体现对人形机器人产业技术水平的考察,同时应具备一定的可实现性,大部分报名赛队经 研发测试及赛前训练后可达到参赛水平。 12月5日,A股市场走势分化,航空板块涨幅居前,机器人板块低开后震荡走强!截至11:30,机器人ETF基金(159213)微涨0.52%,资金昨日小 幅涌入机器人ETF基金(159213)超170万元!此外,航空ETF基金(159257)爆量涨超1.31%,冲击两连阳! 机器人ETF基金(159213)标的指数成分股多数冲高,大族激光涨超4%,绿的谐波涨超1%,中控技术、双环传动微涨,机器人、云天励飞等跌超 1%,汇川技术、科大讯飞等微跌。 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 申万—级行业 | 涨跌幅 | 估價权重 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 300124 | 汇川技术 | 机械设备 | -0.51% | 10.50% | | 2 | 002230 ...
突发!赛道涨停潮来袭
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-04 09:10
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.06%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.4%, and the ChiNext Index unexpectedly rebounding over 1%, driven primarily by a surge in humanoid robot stocks [1][3]. Group 1: Humanoid Robot Sector Performance - The humanoid robot sector experienced a significant rally, with leading stocks such as Hengerdai and Haichang New Materials hitting the daily limit up [1]. - The humanoid robot ETF from E Fund (159530) rose over 3.06% today, with a year-to-date increase of 24.29% [3]. - Key stocks in the humanoid robot sector include Hengerdai (+20.01%), Haichang New Materials (+19.99%), and others showing substantial gains [4]. Group 2: Government Support and Industry Dynamics - The Trump administration is reportedly shifting focus towards robotics, considering an executive order on the subject, indicating a significant governmental push for the industry [3][5]. - The emphasis on robotics is linked to the broader strategy of manufacturing reshoring, suggesting a potential arms race in the robotics sector [5]. - Tesla's humanoid robot, Optimus, has demonstrated improved capabilities, enhancing market confidence in the industry's progress towards commercialization [5][18]. Group 3: Market Trends and Future Projections - The humanoid robot industry is transitioning from speculative hype to tangible business opportunities, with increasing orders and product launches [12][19]. - Morgan Stanley reports that orders from Chinese humanoid robot manufacturers have exceeded 2 billion yuan since mid-2025, with a significant percentage of companies likely to adopt humanoid robots in the next three years [14]. - The market for humanoid robots is projected to reach 600 million units sold globally by 2035, with a market size exceeding $120 billion [18]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities and ETF Insights - The humanoid robot sector is entering a phase of differentiation, with a focus on companies that can deliver real orders and production capabilities [9][20]. - The E Fund humanoid robot ETF (159530) has seen significant capital inflows, indicating strong investor interest and liquidity in the sector [19]. - The ETF tracks a diversified portfolio of companies in the humanoid robot supply chain, providing a lower barrier to entry for investors looking to capitalize on the industry's growth [24][25].