Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is a leading domestic manufacturer of harmonic reducers, poised to benefit from the growth of the industrial robot market and the increasing demand for humanoid robots [3][5] - The company has a high technical barrier and significant potential for expansion in application scenarios, particularly in humanoid robots, where it has a competitive advantage over planetary and RV reducers [3][4] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been deeply engaged in the reducer field for over 30 years, with a comprehensive product line and has become a standard setter in the industry [14] - The company has developed its own P gear design and has broken the foreign monopoly in the domestic market, achieving a 26% market share in 2023 [4][9] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 251 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.82%, and a net profit of 53 million yuan, also up 45.87% [4][25] - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 387.41 million yuan in 2024 to 919.38 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits increasing from 118 million yuan to 177 million yuan [5][7] Market Potential - The harmonic reducer market is expected to grow significantly due to the increasing demand for industrial robots, with the market size projected to reach 151 billion yuan by 2025 [47][48] - The company is well-positioned to capture market share as the demand for humanoid robots and automation solutions rises, driven by factors such as population aging and rising labor costs [50][51] Product Segmentation - In 2024, the revenue composition of the company was 3.25 billion yuan from harmonic reducers, 0.53 billion yuan from mechatronic products, and 0.05 billion yuan from intelligent automation equipment, indicating that harmonic reducers are the primary revenue source [20][21] - The gross margin for harmonic reducers is projected to be around 34.33% in H1 2025, while mechatronic products maintain a higher gross margin of approximately 39.58% [28][29] Competitive Landscape - The company holds a significant share of the domestic harmonic reducer market and is expected to continue expanding its customer base, including major global clients [4][5] - The company has a stable and concentrated shareholding structure, which supports governance continuity and strategic stability [23][24]

Group 1: Core Events and Investment Opportunities - Three significant events in technology sectors indicate a clear investment theme: the IPO progress of Moore Threads, the mass production timeline for Tesla's humanoid robot, and the successful key test of the Fujian aircraft carrier [2][5][8] - The successful IPO of Moore Threads marks a milestone for the domestic GPU industry, suggesting a more open capital market for hard tech companies [3][4] - The completion of the key test for the Fujian aircraft carrier signifies a leap in China's carrier technology, creating opportunities in the related industrial chain [8][9] Group 2: Key Companies in GPU Sector - Jingjia Micro (300474) is the only listed company in the domestic GPU market, with its JM9 series nearing the performance level of NVIDIA's RTX 4060, filling gaps in AI training and graphics processing [5] - Haiguang Information (688041) has developed chips compatible with the CUDA ecosystem, catering to the migration needs of NVIDIA users [5] - Cambrian (688256) is expected to see a 4230% year-on-year revenue increase in Q1 2025, benefiting from the acceleration of domestic substitution [5] Group 3: Key Companies in Humanoid Robot Sector - Top Group (601689) is a core supplier for Tesla, investing 5 billion yuan to establish a robot electric drive system base [6] - Greentec Harmonic (688017) leads the domestic market share for harmonic reducers, achieving international product precision [6] - InnoVision (688322) has received an additional 180 million yuan order from Tesla, showcasing its technical strength [6] Group 4: Key Companies in Aircraft Carrier Sector - China Shipbuilding (600150) is a major player in the design and construction of aircraft carriers, providing core technologies for electromagnetic catapults [9] - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (601989) has advantages in aircraft carrier deck steel technology and a comprehensive layout in marine defense equipment [9] - North Special Technology (603009) is investing 1.85 billion yuan to develop products for the aircraft carrier's electromagnetic catapult system [10] Group 5: Investment Strategy for Q4 - Investment strategies for Q4 should balance policy catalysts and performance verification, focusing on companies with strong order fulfillment [11] - The robotics sector is sensitive to event catalysts, with key component companies like Top Group and Greentec Harmonic warranting close monitoring [11] - The aircraft carrier sector's performance is linked to overall military sentiment, with the Fujian carrier's service date being a critical catalyst [11]

Core Insights - The first investment attraction white paper from a township-level government in Suzhou, titled "Suzhou Wuzhong District Mudu Town Investment White Paper (2022-2024)," has been officially released, showcasing the town's transformation from a "manufacturing town" to a "smart manufacturing stronghold" over the past three years [1] Group 1: Investment and Economic Growth - From 2022 to 2024, Mudu Town attracted a total of 2,144 enterprises, including 764 manufacturing companies, with 88 projects signed for over 100 million yuan, totaling an investment of 33.2 billion yuan [1] - The town has revitalized 1,120 acres of inefficient industrial land and added over 2.36 million square meters of industrial space to support quality project implementation [1] Group 2: Industry Focus and Local Development - Mudu Town focuses on the "robotics + smart manufacturing" industry, successfully attracting major enterprises like the East China R&D and manufacturing headquarters of Sanhuan Group and the East China headquarters of OptoVision [1] - The local enterprise Green Harmonic has become a leader in the global harmonic reducer market, holding the second-largest market share, while other traditional companies have successfully transitioned to suppliers of new energy vehicle components [2] Group 3: Strategic Framework and Support Systems - Mudu Town has implemented a "dual-wheel drive" strategy supported by a top-level design and efficient execution system, creating a collaborative industrial ecosystem rather than relying solely on policy incentives [2] - The town has established a cross-departmental joint meeting system involving 12 functional departments to streamline project approval processes, reducing the average project landing time by over 40% [3] Group 4: Talent and Innovation - From 2022 to 2024, Mudu Town introduced 1,120 innovative enterprises and 69 quality talent projects, increasing the total number of leading talents from 127 to 201, a growth of 58% [3] - The town aims to continue its strategic direction of "industry-driven town, innovative development," enhancing the business environment and support services for local enterprises [3]

Core Insights - AI is becoming a key driver for the growth of private enterprises in the Yangtze River Delta region, transforming traditional industries and fostering innovation in emerging sectors [1][2][3] Group 1: AI Integration in Traditional Industries - Wan Shi Li Group has developed the world's first AI textile model to design silk scarf patterns based on user keywords, showcasing AI's role in product design [1] - The company has introduced a waterless dyeing machine that can produce finished products in as little as 2 hours with zero wastewater discharge, emphasizing AI's importance in enhancing competitiveness [1] - The integration of AI in traditional industries is seen as essential for survival and competitiveness, according to Wan Shi Li's chairman [1] Group 2: AI Applications in Emerging Industries - Companies like Hangzhou Yun Shen Chu Technology are leveraging AI for applications in power inspection, emergency rescue, and security patrols, indicating a broadening of AI's application scope [1] - The automotive sector in the Yangtze River Delta is significant, with over 1,500,000 electric vehicles equipped with AI voice interaction systems from companies like Sibili Technology [2] - The region accounts for 40% of China's new energy vehicle production and over 25% globally, providing numerous application scenarios for AI [2] Group 3: Collaborative Ecosystem and Innovation - The Yangtze River Delta has a dense manufacturing ecosystem that fosters rapid growth in AI applications, with companies like Shanghai Heihu Network Technology improving collaboration efficiency for over 4,000 large factories [3] - The region's collaborative innovation ecosystem is exemplified by companies like Suzhou Green's Harmonic Drive Technology, which relies on a network of suppliers and manufacturers [4] - The synergy between AI companies and traditional manufacturing is shortening product development cycles and enhancing overall quality [5] Group 4: Policy Support and Market Environment - Local governments are providing supportive policies that facilitate the growth of AI enterprises, with Suzhou having 32 listed companies and 7 unicorns in the AI sector [8] - The favorable business environment in Zhejiang promotes the development of private enterprises, contributing to market vitality [8] - The Yangtze River Delta's government support is characterized by a service-oriented approach, allowing companies to thrive independently while receiving necessary guidance [8] Group 5: Global Market Expansion - AI companies in the Yangtze River Delta are looking to expand into global markets, leveraging their experience in diverse application scenarios [10] - The shift from reliance on imported components to domestic production of core components has reduced costs and ensured long-term development security [9]

Investment Rating - The mechanical equipment industry is rated as "Standard Allocation" [71] Core Insights - The mechanical equipment sector has shown strong performance, with a bi-weekly increase of 3.47%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.47 percentage points, ranking 4th among 31 sectors [12][13] - The automation equipment sub-sector has the highest growth, with a bi-weekly increase of 6.94%, while the rail transit equipment II sub-sector saw a decline of 2.60% [18] - The overall PE TTM for the mechanical equipment sector is 32.44 times, with automation equipment at 57.97 times, indicating a premium valuation [3][22] Summary by Sections Market Review - The mechanical equipment sector has increased by 5.97% this month and 38.20% year-to-date, ranking 4th and 7th respectively among 31 sectors [12][13] - The top three stocks by bi-weekly increase are Jingzhida (56.66%), World (45.59%), and Weichuang Electric (40.94%) [19] Valuation Situation - The PE TTM for various sub-sectors as of September 25, 2025, includes: - General Equipment: 42.20 times - Specialized Equipment: 32.48 times - Rail Transit Equipment II: 17.49 times - Engineering Machinery: 22.98 times - Automation Equipment: 57.97 times [3][22] Industry Weekly Perspective - The upcoming Tesla production meeting may provide updates on humanoid robot mass production, with significant product launches expected in Q4 2025 [4][67] - Domestic demand for engineering machinery is supported by major national projects and ongoing demand in wind power and other downstream sectors [4][67] Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - Huichuan Technology (300124) for its strong market position in servo products - Green Harmonic (688017) as a leading enterprise in harmonic reducers - Sany Heavy Industry (600031) benefiting from infrastructure investments - Hengli Hydraulic (601100) with a solid market share in hydraulic cylinders [69]

Investment Rating - The mechanical industry is rated as "Outperform" relative to the market, maintaining a strong performance compared to the CSI 300 index [2]. Core Insights - The mechanical sector has shown a positive trend, with a 5.23% increase in the CITIC mechanical sector in September, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.08 percentage points [4][11]. - Key sub-sectors such as lithium battery equipment, semiconductor equipment, and forklifts have experienced significant growth, with increases of 49.22%, 24.73%, and 17.72% respectively [4][11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on domestic demand-driven sectors with stable fundamentals, high dividends, and solid earnings, particularly in engineering machinery and high-speed rail equipment [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Mechanical Sector Performance - As of September 25, 2025, the CITIC mechanical sector rose by 5.23%, ranking 4th among 30 CITIC primary industries [11]. - All three sub-sectors recorded positive growth, with notable increases in lithium battery and semiconductor equipment [4][11]. 2. Engineering Machinery - In August, excavator sales reached 16,523 units, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, with domestic sales growing by 14.8% [21][32]. - Loader sales also increased by 13.3% year-on-year, with total sales of 9,440 units in August [33]. - The report suggests that the engineering machinery sector is in a recovery phase, driven by equipment upgrades and favorable policies [39]. 3. Robotics - Industrial robot production in August was 63,747 units, reflecting a 14.4% year-on-year growth, while metal cutting machine tool production increased by 16.4% [40]. - The report highlights the upward cycle in the robotics industry, with significant growth expected in humanoid robots and automation technologies [46][51]. - Key players in the robotics sector, such as Estun and core component suppliers, are recommended for investment [51].

Core Insights - The AI and robotics industry in China is experiencing rapid development, with significant breakthroughs and advancements among key enterprises, leading to increased global market share [2][3] - Despite progress, there remains a notable gap in scale, long-term viability, and algorithms compared to developed countries, but domestic companies are actively working to close this gap through innovation and collaboration [3][11] AI Computing Foundation Breakthroughs - Companies like Haiguang Information, Baiwei Storage, and Gai Lun Electronics are providing critical support for the acceleration of AI development in China, focusing on chip design, storage, and EDA software [4] - Haiguang Information has successfully commercialized multiple generations of products, widely applied in key industries such as finance and education, and is transitioning from "computing-centric" to "AI-enhanced" solutions [4][12] - Baiwei Storage is expanding into emerging fields like AI wearables and smart vehicles, projecting over 1 billion yuan in revenue from AI-related businesses in 2024 [5][11] Robotics and Applications - Companies such as Green Harmonic, Aifute, and Buke Co. are involved in various aspects of robotics, from core components to system integration, with a focus on adapting to the evolving demands of the industry [7][8] - Green Harmonic has broken Japan's monopoly in harmonic reducers, achieving the second-largest global market share and is expanding into new areas like mechatronic transmission [8][20] - Aifute is focusing on self-developed core technologies and intelligent solutions, with plans to establish an independent company for AI technology development by 2024 [9][17] Challenges and Strategies - The domestic storage industry faces challenges in brand trust, scale, and technological maturity, with less than 10% market share in China and under 5% globally [11][14] - Companies are optimistic about catching up by leveraging new market opportunities in AI and wearable technology while increasing R&D investments [11][14] - EDA companies like Gai Lun Electronics are focusing on enhancing their technical capabilities and collaborating with leading firms to drive growth in the domestic EDA industry [13][16] Long-term Vision and Market Dynamics - The robotics sector is expected to see a consolidation of suppliers, with a focus on building long-term technological barriers and adapting to new market demands [18][19] - Companies are balancing short-term responses to emerging demands with long-term capability building to ensure survival in a competitive landscape [19][21] - The environmental sector is also facing challenges in talent acquisition and developing sustainable business models, particularly in AI applications [23]

Market Overview - The automation equipment sector experienced a decline of 1.61% on September 19, with Bojie Co., Ltd. leading the losses [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3820.09, down 0.3%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13070.86, down 0.04% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the automation equipment sector included: - Huagong Technology: Closed at 91.12, up 4.05% with a trading volume of 991,900 shares [1] - Inno Laser: Closed at 40.88, up 4.05% with a trading volume of 135,000 shares [1] - Anda Intelligent: Closed at 51.71, up 3.63% with a trading volume of 14,500 shares [1] - Significant decliners included: - Bojie Co., Ltd.: Closed at 62.80, down 10.00% with a trading volume of 184,400 shares and a transaction value of 1.197 billion [2] - Kaidi Co., Ltd.: Closed at 110.68, down 10.00% with a trading volume of 26,900 shares [2] - Junpu Intelligent: Closed at 13.52, down 9.57% with a trading volume of 784,400 shares [2] Capital Flow - The automation equipment sector saw a net outflow of 2.271 billion in main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.868 billion [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks showed: - Huagong Technology: Main funds net inflow of 31.2 million, retail net outflow of 22.8 million [3] - Yijiahe: Main funds net inflow of 65.8 million, retail net outflow of 51.9 million [3] - Ruike Laser: Main funds net inflow of 34.1 million, retail net outflow of 15.8 million [3]

Group 1 - The "Second Golden Kylin Best Investment Advisor Selection" event is currently ongoing, with over 3,000 professional investment advisors participating in simulated trading competitions [1][4] - The event aims to provide a platform for investment advisors to showcase their capabilities and enhance communication with the public, thereby promoting the healthy development of China's wealth management industry [1] Group 2 - The top 10 stocks by purchase frequency on September 17 include 华胜天成 (Huasheng Tiancai), 协创数据 (Xiechuang Data), and 绿的谐波 (Green Harmonics) [1] - The top 10 stocks by purchase amount on September 17 include 胜宏科技 (Shenghong Technology), 双环传动 (Shuanghuan Transmission), and 汉宇集团 (Hanyu Group) [2] - The data for the top purchased stocks and ETFs is based on the frequency and amount of purchases made by all participating advisors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Greentech Harmonic has shown significant growth in 2023, with a year-to-date increase of 70.43%, indicating strong market performance and investor interest [1][2]. Company Overview - Greentech Harmonic, established on January 13, 2011, and listed on August 28, 2020, is located in Suzhou, Jiangsu Province. The company specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of precision transmission devices [1]. - The main revenue sources for the company are harmonic reducers and metal components (78.33%), mechatronic products (16.56%), intelligent automation equipment (3.24%), and others (1.87%) [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Greentech Harmonic reported a revenue of 251 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 45.82%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 53.42 million yuan, also reflecting a growth of 45.87% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 194 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 85.79 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 11.24% to 20,800, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 12.67% to 8,115 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include notable entities such as Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with some shareholders increasing or decreasing their holdings [3].