Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 44.31 CNY per share based on a 31x PS valuation for 2026 [7]. Core Insights - The company, Gaolun Electronics, focuses on device modeling and circuit simulation, leveraging the DTCO methodology to drive its operations. It has established a competitive product system in key EDA tool areas and aims to build a regional EDA platform through ecosystem development [7][13]. - The EDA industry is expected to grow faster than the economic cycle, driven by increasing chip complexity, advancements in process technology, and the expansion of the ASIC market. Domestic EDA companies are currently in a phase of consolidation and integration, enhancing their growth potential [7][63]. - The company has a robust project pipeline and is actively pursuing mergers and acquisitions to strengthen its product offerings and market position. Recent acquisitions include companies like Boda Micro and Entasys, which are expected to enhance its semiconductor IP capabilities [7][13]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Gaolun Electronics, established in 2010, is the first listed EDA company in China, providing manufacturing and design EDA tools, semiconductor device testing systems, and technical development solutions. The company has formed long-term partnerships with leading global IC design and manufacturing firms [13][14]. Main Business - The company’s EDA tools cover both manufacturing and design phases, with a focus on device modeling and circuit simulation. Its revenue is primarily generated from EDA tool licensing, semiconductor testing systems, and one-stop technical development solutions, with respective revenue shares of 61.38%, 28.02%, and 10.14% in 2024 [14][17]. Financial Analysis - Revenue has steadily increased from 137 million CNY in 2020 to 419 million CNY in 2024, with a CAGR of 32.13%. The company is expected to turn profitable in 2025 after experiencing losses in 2023 and 2024. The gross margin has remained above 80%, indicating strong pricing power and technical barriers [51][58]. - The company’s R&D expenses have peaked but are expected to decline as revenue scales up, improving overall profitability [59]. EDA Industry - The global EDA market is projected to grow from under 10 billion USD in 2018 to over 15 billion USD currently, while the domestic market is expected to expand from approximately 5 billion CNY in 2016 to nearly 20 billion CNY by 2025, reflecting a double-digit growth rate [63]. - The demand for EDA tools is driven by the increasing complexity of chips, advancements in process technology, and the rapid expansion of the ASIC market, which collectively enhance the usage intensity and budget allocation for EDA tools [66][75].

Market Overview - Major indices showed mixed performance with the STAR 50 up by 1.51%, ChiNext Index up by 0.71%, Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.18%, Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.09%, and North Exchange 50 down by 0.05% [1] - TMT sector led the gains with SW discrete devices up by 5.70%, SW analog chip design up by 3.60%, and SW integrated circuit packaging and testing up by 3.59% [1] - TMT sector faced declines with SW security equipment down by 1.11%, SW other computer equipment down by 1.07%, and SW education publishing down by 1.03% [1] Domestic News - Lanke Technology announced the launch of high-performance active electrical cable solutions based on PCIe 6.x/CXL 3.x standards, aimed at supporting data centers transitioning from single-rack to multi-rack architectures [2] - The Chinese semiconductor market is projected to grow by 31.26% by Q4 2026, reaching a market size of $546.5 billion [2] - Guokewai announced price adjustments for its solid-state storage chips and SSD controllers, with increases ranging from 20% to 80%, particularly for enterprise-grade SSDs and high-end DDR products [2] - Hefei Guoxian's 8.6-generation AMOLED production line project is 65% complete, with cleanroom delivery expected in Q2 this year [2] Overseas News - Micron has begun construction on an advanced wafer manufacturing facility in Singapore, planning to invest approximately $24 billion over 10 years, with production expected to start in the second half of 2028 [2] - Counterpoint Research forecasts that global shipments of AI server-specific ASICs will triple by 2027 compared to 2024, driven by strong demand for Google's TPU infrastructure and AWS Trainium clusters [2] - Microsoft launched the new AI accelerator, Microsoft Azure Maia 200, with a peak FP4 computing power of 10 petaflops, three times that of Amazon's Trainium3 [2] - The U.S. Patent and Trademark Office rejected Yangtze Memory Technologies Co.'s request to invalidate two core patents of Micron related to 3D NAND flash memory manufacturing processes [2] AI Insights - DeepSeek released OCR 2, utilizing an innovative DeepEncoder V2 method to dynamically adjust visual token distribution based on image content [3] - Vidu launched the world's first video generation model supporting "everything can be referenced," allowing users to replicate effects and edit videos with ease [3] - Kimi released the open-source K2.5 model, achieving state-of-the-art performance in various benchmarks and supporting multi-modal inputs [3] - Alibaba introduced the Qwen3-Max-Thinking model, with over 1 trillion parameters and significant improvements across multiple dimensions, comparable to leading models like GPT-5.2-Thinking [3] Industry Tracking - Guoxing Aerospace disclosed plans for the world's first space computing network serving silicon-based intelligences, aiming to establish a comprehensive computing infrastructure by 2035 [4] - The "Stone Worker Zhuoling" ultrasonic Lamb wave scanning imaging logging instrument has been successfully applied in major oil fields, enhancing wellbore integrity diagnostics [4] - China's machine tool exports surged by 18% year-on-year, capturing a 21.6% global market share, surpassing Germany for the first time [4] - Zhejiang Renxing completed a 450 million yuan Pre-A round financing for its humanoid robots, which are already deployed in leading companies across various sectors [4] Earnings Updates - Gallen Electronics expects 2025 revenue of approximately 487 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.21%, with a projected net profit of 36 million yuan [5] - Lante Optical anticipates a net profit of 375 to 400 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 70.04% to 81.38% [5] - Nanya New Materials forecasts a net profit of 220 to 260 million yuan for 2025, a significant increase of 337.20% to 416.69% year-on-year [5] - Shijia Photon expects 2025 revenue to reach 2.129 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of approximately 98.13%, with a projected net profit of 342 million yuan [5]

Mergers and Acquisitions - Evert plans to acquire equity in Shengpu Co., with the stock suspended. Shengpu focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of precision fluid control equipment and core components, including automatic glue spraying machines and coating equipment [1] - Zijin Mining intends to acquire 100% equity of United Gold for 28 billion yuan, with United Gold holding gold resources of 533 tons as of the end of 2024 [1] - Dinglong Co. plans to acquire 70% equity in Haofei New Materials for 630 million yuan. Haofei is a leading domestic company in new lithium battery dispersants [1] External Investments and Daily Operations - Haike New Source signed a long-term cooperation agreement with BYD Lithium Battery to supply at least 100,000 tons of electrolyte solvent annually [2] - Chuanhuan Technology plans to invest 1.1 billion yuan to build a manufacturing headquarters in East China, focusing on automotive fuel systems and cooling systems [2] - Changyuan Donggu received a notification letter for a designated sales project, with a total lifecycle sales amount expected to be between 2.2 billion and 3 billion yuan [2] Performance Changes - Rockchip expects a net profit of 1.023 billion to 1.103 billion yuan in 2025, representing a growth of 71.97% to 85.42% year-on-year, driven by rapid growth in AIoT computing platforms and breakthroughs in key product lines [3] - Duofuduo anticipates a net profit of 200 million to 280 million yuan in 2025, recovering from a loss of 308 million yuan in the previous year, benefiting from the rapid growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage [3] - Lante Optics expects a net profit of 375 million to 400 million yuan in 2025, an increase of 70.04% to 81.38% year-on-year, supported by its core customer base and diversified product layout [4] - Litong Electronics forecasts a net profit of 270 million to 330 million yuan in 2025, a significant increase of 996.83% to 1240.57% year-on-year, attributed to improved profitability in computing business and reduced losses in manufacturing [4] - Suotong Development expects a net profit of 730 million to 850 million yuan in 2025, an increase of 167.98% to 212.03% year-on-year, driven by favorable market conditions and rising prices in the prebaked anode sector [4] - Chunzong Technology anticipates a net profit of 265 million to 290 million yuan in 2025, a growth of 208.86% to 238.00% year-on-year, with significant gains from investments in Muxi shares [4] - China Rare Earth expects a net profit of 143 million to 185 million yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [5] - Gallen Electronics anticipates a net profit of 36 million yuan in 2025, also indicating a turnaround from losses [6]

报告期内，公司持续加大产品研发和技术提升力度，积极拓展产品种类，不断提升产品技术水平和市场 竞争力，EDA软件授权、技术开发解决方案等业务均实现较快增长。 概伦电子(688206.SH)发布2025年年度业绩预盈公告，预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利 润与上年同期(法定披露数据)相比，将实现扭亏为盈，实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润3,600万元左 右。 ...

智通财经APP讯，概伦电子(688206.SH)发布2025年年度业绩预盈公告，预计2025年年度实现归属于母 公司所有者的净利润与上年同期(法定披露数据)相比，将实现扭亏为盈，实现归属于母公司所有者的净 利润3,600万元左右。 报告期内，公司持续加大产品研发和技术提升力度，积极拓展产品种类，不断提升产品技术水平和市场 竞争力，EDA软件授权、技术开发解决方案等业务均实现较快增长。 ...

免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。 每日经济新闻 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——国际金价冲破5000美元！7年涨了280%，什么时候才见顶？专家：关键还 看美元，重点关注国际货币体系、降息和科技革命 （记者 曾健辉） 每经AI快讯，概伦电子1月26日晚间发布业绩预告，预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润 与上年同期相比，将实现扭亏为盈，实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润3600万元左右。业绩变动主要原 因是，主营业务影响。报告期内，公司持续加大产品研发和技术提升力度，积极拓展产品种类，不断提 升产品技术水平和市场竞争力，EDA软件授权、技术开发解决方案等业务均实现较快增长。成本费用 管控优化的影响。报告期内，公司以提升经营质量为核心，通过精细化管控与结构性优化，实现销售及 管理费用的有效管控。公司严控非必要支出，强化预算与绩效导向，提升费用使用效益，提升本期盈利 能力；同时，确保资源向核心业务与人才建设倾斜，为中长期发展夯实基础。 ...

证券代码：688206 证券简称：概伦电子 公告编号：2026-002 上海概伦电子股份有限公司 2025 年年度业绩预盈公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 12 月 31 日（以下简称"报告期"）。 （二）业绩预告情况 （一）营业收入：公司实现营业收入 41,908.02 万元，实现主营业务收入 41,713.19 万元； 1. 经上海概伦电子股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）财务部门初步测算， 预计 2025 年年度实现营业收入 48,700 万元左右，与上年同期相比，将增加 6,791.98 万元左右，同比增长约 16.21%。 2. 预计 2025 年年度实现主营业务收入 48,000 万元左右，与上年同期相比， 将增加 6,286.81 万元左右，同比增长约 15.07%。 3. 预计 2025 年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润与上年同期（法定披 露数据）相比，将实现扭亏为盈，实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润 ...

【概伦电子：预计2025年净利润3600万元 同比扭亏为盈】《科创板日报》26日讯，概伦电子 (688206.SH)公告称，预计归属于上市公司股东的净利润为3600万元左右，上年同期为-9597.08万元，实 现扭亏为盈。业绩变动原因：公司加大产品研发与技术提升，拓展产品种类，EDA软件授权及技术开 发解决方案业务增长；加强成本费用管控；非经常性损益（如政府补助、金融资产投资收益等）带来积 极影响。 转自：智通财经 ...

格隆汇1月26日丨概伦电子(688206.SH)公布，公司财务部门初步测算，预计2025年年度实现营业收入 48,700万元左右，与上年同期相比，将增加6,791.98万元左右，同比增长约16.21%。预计2025年年度实 现主营业务收入48,000万元左右，与上年同期相比，将增加6,286.81万元左右，同比增长约15.07%。预 计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润与上年同期（法定披露数据）相比，将实现扭亏为盈， 实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润3,600万元左右。预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者扣除非经 常性损益后的净利润-5,900万元左右。 报告期内，公司持续加大产品研发和技术提升力度，积极拓展产品种类，不断提升产品技术水平和市场 竞争力，EDA软件授权、技术开发解决方案等业务均实现较快增长。报告期内，公司以提升经营质量 为核心，通过精细化管控与结构性优化，实现销售及管理费用的有效管控。公司严控非必要支出，强化 预算与绩效导向，提升费用使用效益，提升本期盈利能力；同时，确保资源向核心业务与人才建设倾 斜，为中长期发展夯实基础。 ...

格隆汇1月23日｜有投资者在互动平台向概伦电子提问：近期存储芯片量价齐升，贵司作为存储EDA工 具厂商，对公司业绩是否有正面影响如何？概伦电子回复称，公司在存储芯片相关EDA技术与产品方 面拥有长期的技术积累和市场布局，相关产品已应用于行业内主流客户的研发与生产环节。 ...