当前，光伏行业洗牌进程显著提速。如何穿越周期，已成为所有光伏从业者必须面对的问题。 "光伏行业用两个词总结，一个是挑战，一个是机遇。"近日，中节能太阳能股份有限公司（以下简 称"太阳能"）董事长张会学在接受《证券日报》记者专访时，深入阐述了企业穿越周期的生存法则与价 值重构之道。 作为深耕光伏领域逾20年的行业老兵，张会学将当前行业的阵痛视为回归理性发展的必经阶段。在他看 来，光伏企业若想在周期波动中站稳脚跟，必须锻造出穿越周期的核心竞争力。今年以来，太阳能一方 面抓主业经营，继续攻关科研与技术突破；另一方面精心布局市值管理战略，通过稳定现金分红与股份 回购等举措，致力于实现公司内在价值与市场估值的动态平衡。 阵痛期在所难免 光伏行业仍具有广阔的发展空间。张会学认为，这同时也意味着竞争加剧，尤其在发电端，各大发电集 团加速扩张，跨界资本纷纷涌入，项目拓展难度直线上升；同时，新能源配储、土地租金等非技术成本 抬高，也给公司发电项目收益率水平带来挑战。 "以电站开发为例，公司去年并网量大幅提升，也是历史上并网量增幅最好的一年，但相比之前，这样 大的并网量取得的收益却降低了一些，折射了行业的变化。"张会学坦言。 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The White House Economic Council Director Hassett stated that President Trump has not punished the solar industry, which will be a component of the power grid [1] Industry Summary - The solar industry is recognized as an integral part of the future power grid, indicating a positive outlook for its growth and integration into the energy sector [1]

Group 1 - The White House Economic Council Director Hassett stated that solar energy can be part of the broader energy landscape [1]

Group 1: Event Overview - The 17th World Solar Photovoltaic and Energy Storage Industry Expo will take place from August 8 to 10, 2025, in Guangzhou, attracting over 2,000 companies and covering an exhibition area of 180,000 square meters, with more than 200,000 professional visitors expected [1][3][10] Group 2: Technological Innovations - The expo will showcase advanced photovoltaic technologies such as TOPCon, HJT, and perovskite cells, with conversion efficiencies exceeding 26%. A leading company demonstrated an N-type TOPCon module that increases energy output by 15% in low-light conditions and reduces costs by 8% compared to traditional PERC modules [3][4] - New generation large-capacity storage batteries with energy densities surpassing 300Wh/kg and cycle lives exceeding 8,000 times will be unveiled by companies like BYD and CATL. A domestic company's sodium-ion storage system offers a 30% cost reduction compared to lithium batteries and excels in low-temperature performance [3][4] Group 3: Application Scenarios - The "Photovoltaic+" innovation zone will highlight how photovoltaic technology integrates into various sectors, including BIPV products that meet aesthetic needs while generating power. An agricultural photovoltaic solution designed for South China's humid climate has reportedly tripled annual returns per unit area [4][6] Group 4: Global Collaboration - The expo serves as a bridge for international cooperation, with 35% of exhibitors from traditional photovoltaic powerhouses like Germany, Japan, and the USA, and a 40% increase in exhibitors from emerging markets in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Africa [6][10] - Chinese companies are accelerating their internationalization, with leading firms like LONGi Green Energy and JinkoSolar showcasing solutions that capture over 40% of the international market share [6][10] Group 5: Business Opportunities - The expo is expected to generate over 10 billion yuan in transaction intentions, with the previous year's figure surpassing 8 billion yuan. The event's online pre-matching service has already secured 120 million yuan in orders for a company targeting the Southeast Asian market [10][11]

Core Insights - The research team from the Changchun Institute of Applied Chemistry has made significant breakthroughs in the design of new organic self-assembling molecular materials for perovskite solar cells, enhancing their efficiency, stability, and uniformity in large-area processing [1][2][3] Group 1: Research Breakthroughs - A new type of double radical self-assembling molecular material has been developed, which shows high efficiency, stability, and excellent dispersion, significantly improving the photoelectric conversion efficiency of perovskite solar cells [1][2] - The new material exhibits a carrier transport rate more than twice that of traditional materials and demonstrates exceptional stability under simulated working conditions, with minimal performance degradation after thousands of hours of operation [2][3] Group 2: Technical Innovations - The introduction of a receptor conjugate design strategy has led to a self-assembling molecule with a spin concentration nearly three orders of magnitude higher than traditional self-assembling molecules, enhancing carrier transport capabilities [2] - The unique design of steric groups effectively suppresses molecular stacking phenomena, achieving high uniformity in large-area solution processing, which is crucial for the advancement of perovskite photovoltaic technology [2][3] Group 3: Performance Metrics - The efficiency of the perovskite solar cells using the new material has reached world-class levels, with small-area devices achieving a photoelectric conversion efficiency of 26.3%, micro-components at 23.6%, and perovskite-silicon tandem cells exceeding 34.2% [2] - The new materials and devices exhibit superior stability, maintaining performance levels far beyond those of traditional materials and devices [2][3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5][8]. Core Views - The company is the only solar energy platform under China Energy Conservation, focusing on photovoltaic power generation and manufacturing, with a stable operation and prioritizing efficiency [7][10]. - The company has a robust financial structure, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 52% as of the end of 2024, which is considered excellent in the industry [53]. - The company has a significant project reserve of 17GW and is actively managing its projects to optimize costs and enhance operational efficiency [50][45]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price as of June 27, 2025, is 4.38 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 17.16 billion yuan [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The projected revenue for 2023 is 9.54 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.29%. However, a decline is expected in the following years, with 2024 revenue estimated at 6.04 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 36.70% [6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1.58 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected decline in subsequent years [6][8]. Business Overview - The company operates approximately 6.08GW of photovoltaic power generation capacity and has 2.08GW under construction, with a focus on maintaining a balance between scale and efficiency [20][21]. - The photovoltaic power generation segment contributed 72% of the company's revenue in 2024, indicating its core business focus [20]. Project Management and Development - The company has locked in approximately 17GW of high-quality self-built and acquisition projects, focusing on regions with favorable solar resources and policies [50][45]. - The company is also expanding its overseas presence, particularly in emerging markets along the Belt and Road Initiative [52]. Financial Health - The company has a solid financial foundation, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 52%, which is lower than its peers, indicating effective financial management [53]. - The company has received 13.66 billion yuan in electricity subsidies, with a significant portion of its projects included in the first batch of compliant directories, reducing compliance risks [58]. Management and Governance - The company has implemented a stock option incentive plan to align the interests of management and minority shareholders, enhancing its operational dynamism [60].

华源证券股份有限公司刘晓宁,查浩,邓思平近期对太阳能进行研究并发布了研究报告《中节能旗下光伏平 台经营稳健效益优先》，首次覆盖太阳能给予增持评级。 太阳能(000591) 最新盈利预测明细如下： 136号文推动新能源优质发展，公司优选项目精细化管理。我们预计136号文后，优选项目与成本管控(运 营能力)或为新能源运营商核心优势。公司储备17GW优质项目，同时通过区域管理人才与智能运维、数据 化转型等降本。截至2024年底，公司重要在建项目均为光伏电站项目，无光伏设备产品类项目。另外，公 司聚焦海外新兴市场优质光伏项目，已与多国建立合作联系。 财务质量稳健，国补发放有望缓解现金压力。截至2024年底，公司资产负债率为52%，较2020年底下降12 个百分点，处于同业优秀水平。公司带补贴项目中有63%已纳入第一批合规目录，无合规风险；2024年底 国补拖欠118亿元，国补与市值比约70%。当前新能源电价补贴拖欠仍为压制整个绿电板块的关键因素之 一，若国补发放，将为公司注入现金流，并有望解除部分估值压制。 股权激励+央企考核，主观能动性突出。公司于2020年发布股权激励方案，当前正处于第三个行权期，行 权价4.19 ...

债券代码：148296.SZ 债券简称：23 太阳 GK02 债券代码：148295.SZ 债券简称：23 太阳 GK01 债券代码：149812.SZ 债券简称：22 太阳 G1 中节能太阳能股份有限公司 （住所：重庆市渝中区中山三路 131 号希尔顿商务中心 19 楼 G） 中节能太阳能股份有限公司公司债券 受托管理事务报告 （2024 年度） 债券受托管理人 （住所：北京市朝阳区建国门外大街 1 号国贸大厦 2 座 27 层及 28 层） 二〇二五年六月 重要声明 本报告依据《公司债券发行与交易管理办法》（以下简称《管理办法》）、 《公司债券受托管理人执业行为准则》（以下简称《执业行为准则》）、证券交 易所公司债券上市规则（以下简称"上市规则"）或证券交易所公司债券挂牌转让 规则（以下简称"挂牌转让规则"）、发行人与中国国际金融股份有限公司（以下 简称"中金公司"或"受托管理人"）签订的债券受托管理协议（以下简称"受托管理 协议"）及其它相关信息披露文件以及中节能太阳能股份有限公司（以下简称"发 行人"或"公司"）出具的相关说明文件和提供的相关资料等，由受托管理人中金 公司编制。中金公司编制本报告的内容 ...

Core Insights - China's rapid growth in renewable energy capacity reflects its commitment to climate change and green development, with over 1000 GW of solar capacity, accounting for half of the global total [1][3][4] - In the first five months of this year, China added 198 GW of solar and 46 GW of wind capacity, enough to meet the electricity needs of countries like Indonesia or Turkey [1][3] - The installation rate is astonishing, with 93 GW of solar capacity added in May alone, equivalent to nearly 100 solar panels installed every second [1][3] Renewable Energy Capacity - As of May 2023, China's total installed power generation capacity reached 3.61 billion kW, a year-on-year increase of 18.8% [3] - The solar photovoltaic capacity has surpassed 1 billion kW, reaching 1.08 billion kW, which is equivalent to the total capacity of approximately 48 Three Gorges Dams [4][5] - The annual output from over 1 billion kW of solar capacity can generate 1.2 trillion kWh of clean energy, replacing 152 million tons of standard coal [5] Wind Energy Growth - Wind power generation accounted for over 12% of China's total electricity generation, with cumulative installed wind capacity reaching 15.5% of the total [7] - In the first four months of this year, wind power generation reached 381.43 billion kWh, representing 12.78% of the total power generation [7] - The rapid growth in wind power capacity is expected to lead to decreasing costs for wind energy [7] Global Context and Comparisons - The data highlights China's significant advancements in renewable energy compared to the U.S., especially in light of past political tensions regarding climate agreements [7][8] - China's investment in clean energy is projected to surpass that of the U.S., EU, and UK combined by 2024, indicating a strong competitive edge in the global clean energy market [8]

5月用电量增速小幅下降，三产、居民生活用电量实现高增长。5月全社会用电量8096亿 千瓦时，同比增长4.4%，增速较4月放缓0.3pct；其中一产/二产/三产/居民生活用电量分别为 119/5414/1550/1013亿千瓦时，同比分别增长8.4%/2.1%/9.4%/9.6%。其中，三产用电量高增 长主要得益于充换电服务业等新业态，其中5月全国充换电服务业用电量同比增长45.1%， 增速较4月提高0.8pct，全国互联网和相关服务用电量同比增长29.8%，增速较4月提高 2.0pct。居民生活用电量高增长主要受到高温影响，5月份全国平均气温高于常年，宁夏、广 东、福建等多地居民生活用电实现两位数增长。 投资建议：绿电：十四五收官之年能耗目标考核有望催化绿电需求，同时新能源可持续 发展价格结算机制建立后行业未来的收益预期更为明朗，建议把握板块拐点性机会，个股建 议关注全国龙头企业龙源电力、三峡能源等。火电：近期煤价急速下跌有望扭转市场对于火 电2025年悲观的基本面预期，建议关注市场煤敞口大，且布局25年年度长协电价下调幅度较 小区域的企业，个股建议关注大唐发电、华能国际等。水核：利率下行周期中，红利属性较 ...