证券代码：001289 证券简称：龙源电力 公告编号：2025-033 龙源电力集团股份有限公司 关于公司 2025 年度第一期绿色中期票据发行的公告 1 本 期 发 行 中 期 票 据 的 相 关 文 件 已 在 中 国 货 币 网 （ http://www.chinamoney.com.cn ） 和 上 海 清 算 所 网 站 （http://www.shclearing.com.cn）上刊登。 特此公告。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导 性陈述或者重大遗漏。 龙源电力集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2024 年 6 月 6 日召开 的 2023 年度股东大会审议通过了《关于龙源电力集团股份有限公司在境内申请 注册及发行债务融资工具一般性授权的议案》，批准并同意授权董事会决定及处 理公司以统一注册或分品种注册的形式在中国银行间市场交易商协会注册、发行 不超过人民币 800 亿元（含 800 亿元）的债务融资工具的相关事宜，类型包括但 不限于超短期融资券、短期融资券、中期票据（含中长期含权票据）、永续票据、 定向债务融资工具、资产支持票据、项目收益票据、权 ...

Group 1 - Insurance capital is increasing equity investments through various methods such as shareholding and long-term stock investment trials due to low interest rates and supportive policies [1][2] - Analysts expect insurance companies to continue increasing equity investments, which will reduce the impact of stock market fluctuations on current profit statements [1][3] - The focus is shifting towards the CSI A500 index, which emphasizes technology and emerging industry leaders [1][3] Group 2 - Recent actions include China Ping An Life Insurance increasing its stake in China Merchants Bank to 12% and Ruizhong Life Insurance raising its stake in Longyuan Power to 16.04% [2] - The long duration of traditional insurance accounts makes them suitable for investing in low-valuation, stable-growth targets, benefiting from capital gains and high dividends in a low-interest environment [2] - Insurance funds are actively seeking long-term stock investment trials to address asset allocation issues and take advantage of relatively low A-share market valuations [4][5] Group 3 - The introduction of policies has expanded investment space for insurance funds, allowing for a reduction in risk capital requirements for equity assets [3][5] - The long-term stock investment trial allows insurance funds to invest through private equity funds, which can stabilize market value accounting and provide more flexible dividend options [4][5] - Regulatory approval for long-term stock investment trials has reached a total of 222 billion yuan, with significant funds expected to flow into the capital market [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental protection sectors [6][9]. Core Views - The environmental sector's revenue in 2024 is projected to decline by 0.6% to CNY 364.236 billion, with net profit decreasing by 14.7% to CNY 23.058 billion. However, in Q1 2025, the sector is expected to see a revenue increase of 3.5% to CNY 81.243 billion and a net profit growth of 3.8% to CNY 8.232 billion [3][21]. - The report highlights the impact of the new market-oriented pricing reforms for renewable energy in Shandong, aiming for full market integration by the end of 2025 [2][16]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the carbon neutrality context, recommending investments in the new energy industry chain and comprehensive energy management [41][42]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.00%, while the public utility index increased by 2.22%, and the environmental index rose by 2.93% [1][43]. Important Policies and Events - Shandong's new pricing reform aims for full market integration of wind and solar energy by 2025, with differentiated policies for existing and new projects [2][16]. Financial Overview of the Environmental Sector - In 2024, only the solid waste management and water treatment sectors showed positive growth, while the environmental equipment sector saw a decline of over 30% [3][21]. - The atmospheric governance sector reported a loss increase, while the comprehensive environmental governance sector shifted from profit to loss [21][24]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major thermal power companies like Huadian International and regional electricity firms like Shanghai Electric, as well as leading renewable energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [4][41]. - The report suggests focusing on "utility-like investment opportunities" within the environmental sector, recommending companies like China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities [42][41]. Key Company Profit Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Several companies, including Huadian International and Longyuan Power, are rated as "Outperform" with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth for 2025 [9][41].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for companies such as China Nuclear Power, Funiu Co., and Huaneng Hydropower, while giving a "Cautious Recommendation" to companies like China General Nuclear Power and Longyuan Power [23][3]. Core Insights - The electricity sector outperformed the market this week, with the public utility sector rising by 2.22% and the electricity sub-sector by 2.21%, both exceeding the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [1][7]. - Shandong Province has established a mechanism electricity price that aligns with the benchmark price for coal-fired power, which is expected to stabilize investment returns for renewable energy projects [2][24]. - The report highlights the significant drop in coal prices, which has led to steady growth in thermal power performance in Q1, with expectations for continued improvement as the peak electricity consumption season approaches [3][20]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The public utility sector index closed at 2,377.21 points, up 51.64 points, while the electricity sub-sector closed at 3,171.91 points, up 68.52 points [1][7]. - The sub-sectors showed varied performance, with solar power up 4.01%, thermal power up 4.00%, and wind power up 1.78% [12][19]. Special Topic - Shandong's new pricing mechanism for renewable energy projects is set at 0.3949 yuan per kWh, matching the coal-fired benchmark price, which is expected to mitigate revenue volatility for existing projects [2][24]. - The competitive bidding for new renewable projects starting from June 1, 2025, will determine the mechanism price, enhancing investment predictability [2][24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong growth potential in the thermal and hydropower sectors, particularly Funiu Co., Gansu Energy, and Huaneng International [3][20]. - It also emphasizes the stability of large hydropower companies in a declining interest rate environment, recommending companies like Yangtze Power and Chuanwei Energy [3][20]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for several companies, with China Nuclear Power expected to have an EPS of 0.46 yuan in 2024, while Funiu Co. is projected at 1.07 yuan [23][3].

2025年4月发电量数据公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导 性陈述或者重大遗漏。 龙源电力集团股份有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）2025 年 4 月按合并报 表口径完成发电量 6,906,425 兆瓦时，较 2024 年同期同比增长 4.85%；剔除火电 影响同比增长 17.35%，本月风电发电量同比增长 10.52%，光伏发电量同比增长 76.55%。 证券代码：001289 证券简称：龙源电力 公告编号：2025-032 龙源电力集团股份有限公司 2. 本公告中提供的数字经过整数调整，因此若总计数字与所列各项之和出现尾数差异，皆 因整数调整所致。 以上发电量数据来自本公司内部统计。数据在月度之间可能存在较大差异， 其影响因素包括但不限于天气变化、设备检修、季节性因素和安全检查等。数据 可能与相关期间定期报告披露的数据有差异。投资者应注意不恰当信赖或使用以 上信息可能造成投资风险。 2 龙源电力集团股份有限公司 董 事 会 2025 年 5 月 9 日 3 截至 2025 年 4 月 30 日，本公司 2025 年累计完成发电量 27,192,529 兆瓦时， ...

龙源电力2025年一季度财报披露后，交银国际迅速调整其盈利预测及目标价。数据显示，公司当期净利 润同比下滑21.9%，核心原因直指火电资产剥离带来的利润缺口及经营成本失控。尽管交银国际维 持"买入"评级，但目标价从8港元下调至7.81港元，折射出市场对这家新能源巨头短期业绩的担忧。 交银国际将龙源电力2025-2026年盈利预测各下调2.4%，目标价降至7.81港元，但维持"买入"评级。这 一矛盾操作揭示机构对该公司短期波动与长期价值的权衡。当前股价对应市盈率仅3.17倍，处于历史低 位，部分投资者认为已过度反映利空。 然而，市场分歧犹存。有机构担忧，火电剥离后公司利润结构更依赖风电，但该板块正面临电价市场化 改革冲击。此外，资产减值风险未完全释放——若老旧风场"以大代小"改造进度延迟，减值损失可能拖 累未来财报表现。交银国际强调，估值修复需依赖装机目标兑现及成本控制能力验证，这两大变量将成 为下半年股价的核心催化剂。 装机冲刺政策窗口期：5吉瓦目标能否兑现？ 交银国际预测，龙源电力在6月1日政策节点前将加速装机进程，以锁定政策红利。公司计划2025年新增 投产5吉瓦清洁能源项目，其中风电仍是主力。尽管一季度 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 联合研究丨公司点评丨龙源电力（001289.SZ） [Table_Title] 偏弱来风限制业绩表现，内生外延保障长期成长 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 受偏弱来风影响，一季度公司风电平均利用小时同比下降 55 小时，但新能源装机保持快速扩 张，剔除火电剥离因素，一季度发电量同比增长 8.81%。公司一季度营业收入同比减少 19.00%， 营收的偏弱表现主因系火电资产的剥离影响。随着新能源项目的持续投产，折旧摊销等成本同 比增加，新能源成本增加幅度大于售电收入的增加，新能源板块毛利率预计有所下滑。在火电 业务剥离、新能源经营承压的共同影响下，公司 2025 年一季度实现归母净利润 19.02 亿元， 同比减少 22.07%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 张韦华 邬博华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SAC：S0490523080003 SFC：BQT627 SFC：BQK482 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% ...

交银国际：下调龙源电力(00916.HK)目标价至7.81港元，维持买入评级。 ...

龙源电力（001289.SZ）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 来风偏弱影响业绩，自建+注入增加装机规模 2025 年 04 月 30 日 ➢ 事件：4 月 29 日，公司公告 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报，2024 实现收 入 370.7 亿元，同比-2.58%；归母净利 63.45 亿元，同比+0.66%；扣非归母净 利 57.11 亿元，同比-8.51%。2024 年计提资产减值 9.79 亿元，同比减少 11.55 亿元、信用减值 1.30 亿元，同比+0.29 亿元。单季度来看，24Q4 公司收入 107.19 亿元，同比+12.39%；归母净利 8.7 亿元，同比+515.95%；扣非归母净利 6.01 亿元，同比+251.35%。2025Q1 实现收入 81.4 亿元，同比-19%；归母净利 19.02 亿元，同比-22.07%；扣非归母净利 18.61 亿元，同比-22.34%。 ➢ 24 年风电电价小幅提升，光伏平均电价下行，来风偏弱压制 24 年业绩。 2024 年新能源发电板块实现营业收入 313.70 亿元，同比+6.89%；利润总额 97.19 亿元，同比+10. ...

本次财报公布的各项数据指标表现一般。其中，毛利率42.61%，同比增5.75%，净利率27.71%，同比增 1.18%，销售费用、管理费用、财务费用总计9.44亿元，三费占营收比11.6%，同比增20.38%，每股净资 产9.0元，同比增5.3%，每股经营性现金流0.32元，同比减24.84%，每股收益0.23元，同比减21.42% | 项目 | 2024年一季报 | 2025年一季报 | 同比增幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(元) | 100.49 Z | 81.4亿 | -19.00% | | 归母净利润(元) | 24.4 Z | 19.02亿 | -22.07% | | 扣非净利润(元) | 23.97 亿 | 18.61 亿 | -22.34% | | 货币资金(元) | 36.83 乙 | 31.96亿 | -13.24% | | 应收账款(元) | 4.41亿 | 2.15亿 | -51.28% | | 有息负债(元) | 1183.68亿 | 1408.83亿 | 19.02% | | 毛利率 | 40.29% | 42.61% | 5.75% | ...