证券研究报告 | 2025年07月28日 公用环保 202507 第 4 期 优于大市 国内首台百万千瓦四代商用快堆初步设计完成，2025Q2 公用环保板块基金持仓 梳理 市场回顾：本周沪深 300 指数上涨 1.69%，公用事业指数下跌 0.27%，环 保指数上涨 1.66%，周相对收益率分别为-1.96%和-0.03%。电力板块子 板块中，火电下跌 0.29%；水电下跌 1.31%，新能源发电上涨 1.24%；水 务板块上涨 2.68%；燃气板块上涨 0.81%。 重要事件：国内首台百万千瓦四代商用快堆初步设计完成，中核集团宣 布我国首台第四代百万千瓦商用快堆 CFR1000 完成初步设计，具备上报 审批条件。这是我国核能发展"热堆-快堆-聚变堆"三步走战略的重大 进展。该商用快堆装机容量达 120 万千瓦，全面满足第四代核能系统对 安全性、可持续性和经济性的要求。8 月江苏电力集中竞价交易结果： 成交价 393.8 元/兆瓦时。2025 年 8 月份江苏电力集中竞价交易共成交 电量 123.53 亿千瓦时，成交价格 393.8 元/兆瓦时。2025 年 7 月 22 日， 中山市发改局官网公告，2025 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月28日 公用环保 202507 第 4 期 优于大市 国内首台百万千瓦四代商用快堆初步设计完成，2025Q2 公用环保板块基金持仓 梳理 市场回顾：本周沪深 300 指数上涨 1.69%，公用事业指数下跌 0.27%，环 保指数上涨 1.66%，周相对收益率分别为-1.96%和-0.03%。电力板块子 板块中，火电下跌 0.29%；水电下跌 1.31%，新能源发电上涨 1.24%；水 务板块上涨 2.68%；燃气板块上涨 0.81%。 重要事件：国内首台百万千瓦四代商用快堆初步设计完成，中核集团宣 布我国首台第四代百万千瓦商用快堆 CFR1000 完成初步设计，具备上报 审批条件。这是我国核能发展"热堆-快堆-聚变堆"三步走战略的重大 进展。该商用快堆装机容量达 120 万千瓦，全面满足第四代核能系统对 安全性、可持续性和经济性的要求。8 月江苏电力集中竞价交易结果： 成交价 393.8 元/兆瓦时。2025 年 8 月份江苏电力集中竞价交易共成交 电量 123.53 亿千瓦时，成交价格 393.8 元/兆瓦时。2025 年 7 月 22 日， 中山市发改局官网公告，2025 ...

证券研究报告|行业周报 2025 年 07 月 28 日 电力及公用事业 行业周报（7.21-7.27）：辽宁发布 136 号文承接方案，中国聚变 能源公司成立 | 股票 | 股票 | 投资 | EPS （元） | | PE | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 名称 | 评级 | 2025E | 2026E | 2025E | 2026E | | 001289.SZ | 龙源电力 | 增持 | 0.79 | 0.88 | 21.44 | 19.25 | | 600163.SH | 中闽能源 | 增持 | 0.4 | 0.42 | 13.45 | 12.81 | | 600674.SH | 川投能源 | 增持 | 1.05 | 1.13 | 15.06 | 13.99 | | 600795.SH | 国电电力 | 买入 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 11.07 | 9.49 | 资料来源：公司财报，长城证券产业金融研究院 板块市场表现： （1）行业估值：本周（2025.7.25）申万公用事业行业指数 PE（TTM） 为 17.82 倍， ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is accelerating its layout both domestically and internationally, with significant breakthroughs expected in AI technology and cost reduction, leading to a strong demand for domestic core components [1][13][15] - The solid-state battery industry is progressing towards commercialization, driven by technological upgrades and the expansion of the supply chain, with companies expected to release new products and increase production capacity [2][18][19] - The photovoltaic industry is expected to return to an orderly competitive state due to the proposed price law amendments aimed at curbing "involution" competition, with upstream material prices rising and benefiting companies like JA Solar and Trina Solar [3][27][30] Summary by Sections Humanoid Robots - The industry is witnessing rapid advancements with major tech companies entering the market, leading to accelerated industrialization [1][14] - Domestic companies are expected to benefit significantly from the demand for localized core components [1][15] - Key players include Tesla, Unitree, and ByteDance, with significant product launches and production plans [14][17] New Energy Vehicles - The solid-state battery technology is identified as the next definitive direction for battery technology, with companies like Funeng Technology and Honeycomb Energy making strides in production [2][18][20] - The industry is experiencing rapid growth, with new models and technologies enhancing performance and reducing costs [20][21] - Companies with technological advantages and those expanding into new applications are expected to benefit [19][22] New Energy - The proposed price law amendments are set to improve market order and reduce excessive competition in the photovoltaic sector [3][26][27] - Upstream material prices are rising, which is expected to positively impact downstream component prices, creating rebound opportunities for companies like JA Solar and Trina Solar [27][30] - The industry is also seeing advancements in battery efficiency and production capabilities, with companies like Aiko Solar and LONGi Green Energy positioned to benefit [27][30] Power Equipment & AIDC - The demand for high-power density servers and cooling systems is expected to grow due to the rapid development of AI, benefiting the AIDC supply chain [8][19] - Companies involved in the production of power equipment and components for AI applications are likely to see increased demand [8][19]

证券研究报告|行业周报 2025 年 07 月 23 日 电力及公用事业 行业周报（7.14-7.20）：雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程开工，6 月全国 用电量同比+5.4% | 股票 | 股票 | 投资 | EPS （元） | | PE | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 名称 | 评级 | 2025E | 2026E | 2025E | 2026E | | 001289.SZ | 龙源电力 | 增持 | 0.79 | 0.88 | 21.49 | 19.3 | | 600163.SH | 中闽能源 | 增持 | 0.4 | 0.42 | 13.58 | 12.93 | | 600674.SH | 川投能源 | 增持 | 1.05 | 1.13 | 15.45 | 14.35 | | 600795.SH | 国电电力 | 买入 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 11.36 | 9.73 | 资料来源：公司财报，长城证券产业金融研究院 板块市场表现： （1）行业估值：本周（2025.7.18）申万公用事业行业指数 PE（TTM） 为 17.2 倍 ...

证券研究报告|公司深度报告 2025 年 07 月 21 日 龙源电力（001289.SZ） 存量焕新夯实基本盘，增量进击开启新增长 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 38,052 | 37,070 | 35,731 | 38,785 | 41,508 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -4.5 | -2.6 | -3.6 | 8.5 | 7.0 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 6,303 | 6,345 | 6,627 | 7,351 | 7,946 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 23.3 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 10.9 | 8.1 | | ROE（%） | 8.1 | 9.6 | 8.8 | 9.2 | 9.2 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.75 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 0.88 | 0.95 | | P/E（倍） | 21.7 | 21.6 | 20.6 | 18.6 | 17.2 | | P/B（倍） | ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月21日 公用环保 202507 第 3 期 优于大市 市场回顾：本周沪深 300 指数上涨 1.09%，公用事业指数下跌 1.37%，环 保指数下跌 0.49%，周相对收益率分别为-2.46%和-1.58%。电力板块子 板块中，火电下跌 1.04%；水电下跌 2.13%，新能源发电下跌 0.68%；水 务板块下跌 0.57%；燃气板块上涨 0.31%。 重要事件：雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程开工仪式 7 月 19 日上午在西藏自治 区林芝市举行。国家领导出席开工仪式，并宣布工程正式开工。雅鲁藏 布江下游水电工程位于西藏自治区林芝市。工程主要采取截弯取直、隧 洞引水的开发方式，建设 5 座梯级电站，总投资约 1.2 万亿元。工程电 力以外送消纳为主，兼顾西藏本地自用需求。国家统计局发布 6 月份发 电量数据，6 月规上工业发电量 7963 亿千瓦时，同比增长 1.7%，增速 比 5 月份加快 1.2 个百分点。 专题研究：甘肃省发改委于 2025 年 7 月 14 日发布《甘肃省关于建立发 电侧容量电价机制的通知（征求意见稿）》，对发电侧容量电价的实施 范围、容量电价标准、容量电费分 ...

证券研究报告 公用事业 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 07 月 20 日 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 戴映炘 SAC：S1350524080002 daiyingxin@huayuanstock.com 邓思平 SAC：S1350524070003 dengsiping@huayuanstock.com 邱达治 SAC：S1350525050001 qiudazhi@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 重视港股电力设备核心资产 6 月能源数据分析 风电设备：（1）风机快速大型化导致新产品的推出周期大幅变短，而大型电力设备的新产品利润率此时 通常会走低（前期更注重份额且成本不易控制）；（2）整机环节集中度持续走高且无新竞争者进入足以 证明风电整机壁垒够高。当前风机大型化速度显著放缓，因此我们看好风电整机利润改善。 投资分析意见：重视港股电力设备核心资产投资机会，煤电核准强度超出预期，抽蓄建设维持高位，风 电需求稳 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [4][22]. Core Insights - The construction of zero-carbon parks is being accelerated, with the release of renewable energy power consumption responsibility weights expected by 2025 [1][17]. - The report highlights the increasing responsibility weights for renewable energy consumption across various provinces, with most provinces expected to exceed 20% by 2025 [17][20]. - The report emphasizes the importance of integrating renewable energy development with energy management systems to achieve carbon neutrality [22][23]. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.82%, while the public utility index increased by 1.11% and the environmental index by 3.17% [1][24]. - Within the electricity sector, coal-fired power increased by 0.41%, hydropower by 0.42%, and renewable energy generation by 1.05% [1][25]. Important Policies and Events - The National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and National Energy Administration issued a notice to accelerate the transformation of energy structures in parks and promote energy conservation and carbon reduction [15][16]. - Hainan Province's implementation plan for market-oriented reform of renewable energy grid prices includes a pricing structure for existing projects and competitive bidding for new projects [16] . Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major coal-fired power companies like Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, as well as leading renewable energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [3][22]. - The report suggests that nuclear power companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power will maintain stable profitability [3][22]. - In the environmental sector, companies like China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [23][22]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Huadian International: Outperform, with an expected EPS of 0.46 in 2024 and 0.62 in 2025 [8]. - Longyuan Power: Outperform, with an expected EPS of 0.75 in 2024 and 0.85 in 2025 [8]. - China Nuclear Power: Outperform, with an expected EPS of 0.46 in 2024 and 0.50 in 2025 [8]. Industry Dynamics and Company Announcements - The report notes that the water and waste incineration sectors are entering a mature phase, with significant improvements in free cash flow [23]. - The report also highlights the potential for domestic waste oil recycling companies to benefit from the EU's SAF blending policy [23]. Industry Key Data Overview - In May, the industrial power generation increased by 0.5% year-on-year, with a total of 737.8 billion kWh generated [49][60]. - The total electricity consumption in May reached 809.6 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.43% [57][60].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" [4][64]. Core Insights - The report highlights the release of renewable energy power consumption responsibility weights and the implementation plans in Zhejiang and Hainan provinces [3][35]. - The public utility sector index increased by 1.11% during the week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index [2][12]. - The report suggests a focus on leading companies in the renewable energy sector due to favorable policies and expected improvements in project performance [8][7]. Market Performance - The public utility sector index's PE (TTM) is 17.43, slightly up from 17.38 the previous week, and down from 18.94 a year ago [23][26]. - The public utility sector index's PB (TTM) is 1.75, up from 1.74 the previous week, and down from 1.98 a year ago [26]. - The top-performing stocks for the week include Huayin Power (+40.89%), YN Energy (+25.1%), and Jingyun Tong (+22.32%) [29][30]. Industry Dynamics - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have set binding indicators for renewable energy consumption responsibility weights for 2025 [35]. - The report discusses the establishment of zero-carbon parks and the implementation of green electricity direct connection plans in Yunnan province [36][37]. - Hainan's pricing mechanism for new energy projects has been clarified, with competitive pricing ranges established for onshore and offshore wind projects [37][38]. Key Data Tracking - As of July 11, 2025, the price of Shanxi mixed coal (5500) is 624 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.3% [42]. - The trading volume of wind and solar energy certificates totaled 5.4 and 3.65 million respectively during the week [45]. - The national CEA trading volume for the week was 51.5 thousand tons, with an average price of 74.30 CNY/ton [49][51].