Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for specific companies in the agricultural chemicals sector, including Yangnong Chemical and Runfeng Co., while recommending "Hold" for others like Haier and Guangxin Co. [20] Core Insights - The recent explosion incident has tightened the supply-demand dynamics for K-amine and other intermediates, which is expected to accelerate the recovery of the pesticide industry and potentially drive up nitrocellulose prices [5][12] - The agricultural chemicals sector is gradually returning to rationality, with high-priced inventories being depleted and procurement demand recovering, although supply-side pressures remain [5][12] - The report highlights the potential for stricter safety and environmental regulations following the recent incidents, which could further enhance the agricultural chemicals industry's cyclical recovery [5][12] Industry Dynamics - Current macroeconomic judgments indicate that oil prices are under pressure due to geopolitical factors and OPEC+ production increases, while coal prices are expected to decline in the medium to long term [6] - The chemical industry is experiencing a gradual recovery in PPI, with April's chemical industry PPI showing a year-on-year decline of 3.2% [8] - The report notes that the recent explosion at a chemical facility has led to increased prices for K-amine and related products, with recommendations to focus on companies like Hongyang and Lier Chemical [5][12] Chemical Product Prices and Trends - The report provides detailed pricing trends for various chemical products, including a stable price for urea at 1830 RMB/ton and fluctuations in pesticide prices, with some herbicides seeing price increases [12][22] - The report indicates that the price of nitrocellulose has risen significantly, with export prices increasing from 2.06 USD/kg in October 2021 to 4.75 USD/kg in April 2025 [5][12] Company Recommendations - Specific companies are highlighted for investment based on their market positions and growth potential, including Yangnong Chemical, Runfeng Co., and others in the agricultural chemicals sector [20] - The report suggests monitoring companies with mature nitrochemical processes, such as Yangnong Chemical and Guangxin Co., due to expected regulatory changes [5][12]

Group 1: Company Performance - The company's Q1 2025 performance improved due to increased sales volume and prices, along with cost reduction efforts, resulting in a year-on-year growth [2] - The agricultural pesticide industry is showing signs of improvement in supply and demand, although competition remains fierce and prices are still low [2] Group 2: Sales and Market Impact - In 2024, international sales accounted for 47% of the company's revenue, with exports to over 30 countries including the USA, Canada, Brazil, Argentina, Australia, and India [3] - The company’s main raw materials were exempt from the previous "reciprocal tariffs" imposed by the US, and recent adjustments in US-China tariff policies are expected to have minimal short-term impact [3] Group 3: Future Plans and Developments - The company is focused on completing key projects in Jingzhou and Yueyang on schedule and accelerating product registration [2] - The chlorantraniliprole project is progressing well, with a 5,000 tons/year production facility under construction [3] - The enzyme-based precision glyphosate project in Hunan has been commissioned and is operating normally [3] Group 4: Corporate Governance and Acquisitions - The company is in communication with its controlling shareholder regarding potential changes, which will follow necessary approval processes [3] - The acquisition of Shandong Huimeng is still in the due diligence phase, with information disclosure to be handled according to regulations [3]

Group 1 - The pesticide sector continues to show strong performance with stocks like Hailier, Huillong, Lianhua Technology, and Lier Chemical hitting the daily limit up [1] - On May 27, a major explosion occurred at Shandong Youdao Chemical, the largest producer of chlorantraniliprole raw materials globally, which significantly impacts domestic production capacity [1] - Shandong Youdao Chemical's chlorantraniliprole raw materials account for a substantial portion of the domestic market, leading to increased stock prices for related companies [1]

Core Viewpoint - The glyphosate sector has seen a significant increase of 6.09%, leading the concept sectors in terms of growth, with 18 stocks rising, including notable gains from Zhongqi Co., Ltd. and Guangxin Co., Ltd. reaching their daily limit up [1][2]. Group 1: Sector Performance - The glyphosate concept sector topped the daily performance with a rise of 6.09%, while other sectors like dairy and AI indices experienced declines of 3.55% and 1.38% respectively [2]. - Major stocks within the glyphosate sector, such as Zhongqi Co., Ltd. and Guangxin Co., Ltd., achieved daily limit increases, with Jiangtian Chemical and Yingtai Biological also showing strong performance with increases of 8.30% and 5.85% respectively [1][2]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The glyphosate sector attracted a net inflow of 661 million yuan from main funds, with 14 stocks receiving net inflows, and five stocks exceeding 50 million yuan in net inflow [2]. - Leading the net inflow was Lier Chemical, which saw a net inflow of 163 million yuan, followed closely by Guangxin Co., Ltd. and Nuofeng Co., Ltd., each with net inflows of 113 million yuan [2][3]. Group 3: Stock-Specific Data - The top stocks by net inflow ratio included Zhongnong United, Guangxin Co., Ltd., and Lier Chemical, with net inflow ratios of 30.85%, 29.14%, and 22.70% respectively [3]. - Specific stock performance data shows Lier Chemical with a daily increase of 9.98% and a turnover rate of 8.03%, while Guangxin Co., Ltd. rose by 10.02% with a turnover rate of 3.69% [3][4].

作 者丨 见习记者李益文 编 辑丨 陈思颖 5月27日，A股市场全天震荡调整，但农药板块午后强势拉升，板块整体大涨5.79%。截至收 盘，海利尔（603639.SH）、利尔化学（002258.SZ）、ST红太阳（000525.SZ）等多只个股 涨停。 利尔化学 回应称，公司有布局氯虫苯甲酰胺，但具体产能与销售情况暂无法提供，目前公司 客户较为稳定。对于相关事故的影响方面，利尔化学表示，公司将专注于自身生产经营。 据农药资讯网介绍，氯虫苯甲酰胺是由美国杜邦公司（现科迪华）开发的双酰胺类杀虫剂， 具有高效、低毒、广谱的特点。其上市后，2013年全球销售额就超过了10亿美元，2022年销 售额突破20亿美元大关，增长迅猛。目前已成为全球市场销售额第一的杀虫剂品种。 SFC 本期编辑 金珊 市场异动或源于山东高密突发爆炸事故。据央视新闻报道，今日上午11时57分左右，山东高 密友道化学有限公司（以下简称"友道化学"）一车间发生爆炸事故，正全力组织救援救治。 公开资料显示，友道化学成立于2019年8月，为豪迈集团股份有限公司控股子公司。该公司聚 焦于高效低毒类农药及其专用中间体，目前主要产品包括氯虫苯甲酰胺原药及其中间 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with a focus on dividend stocks, particularly in the consumption, electricity, and banking sectors, which showed strength [1][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.18%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 0.61%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.68% [2] Sector Performance - The beverage manufacturing, chemical fiber, IP economy, and traditional Chinese medicine sectors performed well in the morning, while pesticide and solid-state battery stocks saw declines in the afternoon [4] - The consumption sector showed strong performance, with traditional consumption stocks like dairy, liquor, and pharmaceuticals, alongside new consumption concepts like cultivated diamonds and IP economy, all rising [4] - The grass herbicide sector saw a surge, with the Tonghuashun grass herbicide index rising over 6%, and several stocks hitting the daily limit [6][12] Grass Herbicide Sector - The latest price for glyphosate is reported at 23,297 yuan/ton, an increase of 100 yuan/ton from the previous week, indicating a slight upward trend from a historically low price range [12] - The demand for glyphosate is strong, with good inquiries from downstream and robust formulation orders, contributing to a bullish market atmosphere [12] Electricity Sector - The electricity sector saw a strong afternoon performance, with Leshan Electric hitting the daily limit and showing a year-to-date increase of over 170% [14][16] - The electricity index has risen approximately 12% since April 8, 2023, supported by seasonal demand due to the summer peak and declining coal prices, which positively impact profit margins for thermal power companies [18] - Analysts expect significant growth in the performance of thermal and hydropower companies in the second quarter and throughout the year, reversing earlier pessimistic expectations [18]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the potential impact of Bayer's legal issues regarding the Roundup herbicide on the domestic glyphosate industry in China, suggesting that if Bayer's settlement fails, domestic glyphosate producers may benefit from increased demand [2][4] - Glyphosate is currently the most widely used herbicide globally, with significant market shares in North America and South America, particularly for the Roundup product produced by Monsanto [2][3] - If Bayer's Roundup faces restrictions in sales, it is expected that domestic glyphosate production in China will see a boost in export demand, positively impacting the domestic glyphosate industry in the short term [4] Group 2 - The historical price trends of glyphosate show significant fluctuations influenced by production capacity changes, environmental regulations, and market demand, with prices peaking at 100,000 yuan/ton in 2008 and later dropping to around 20,000 yuan/ton [3] - As of May 25, 2025, the prices for domestic glyphosate (95%) and glufosinate ammonium (95%) are reported at 23,500 yuan/ton and 46,000 yuan/ton respectively, indicating they are at low levels compared to recent years [4] - The inventory levels for glyphosate and glufosinate ammonium have decreased from their peak, with current stocks at 60,300 tons and 9,870 tons respectively, suggesting a potential tightening of supply [4]

Group 1 - The glyphosate sector is experiencing a significant upward movement, with companies like Lier Chemical (002258) hitting the daily limit, and Guangxin Co. (603599) previously reaching the limit as well [1] - Other companies such as Zhongqi Co. (300575) saw an increase of over 10%, while Jiangtian Chemical (300927), Jiangshan Co. (600389), and others also reported gains [1] - According to Baichuan Information, the latest price for glyphosate is 23,297 yuan/ton, reflecting an increase of 100 yuan/ton compared to last week [1] Group 2 - The price of acetochlor continues to rise, with the latest quotation at 140,000 yuan/ton, marking a weekly increase of 7.7% [1] - The movement in the glyphosate sector indicates a potential shift in market dynamics, attracting attention from investors [1]

Group 1: YunTu Holdings - YunTu Holdings introduced its integrated development strategy for nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer supply chains, aiming for stable growth in compound fertilizer sales during the peak spring farming season in Q1 2025 [1] - The company has nearly 6,000 primary distributors and is enhancing channel construction and marketing integration [1] - The production of various phosphate compound fertilizer products through graded utilization of phosphoric acid is expected to become a new profit point, with a 700,000-ton synthetic ammonia project enhancing the nitrogen fertilizer supply chain and adding 1 million tons of compound fertilizer capacity [1] Group 2: Lier Chemical - Lier Chemical anticipates a recovery in performance in Q1 2025, with some product sales and prices increasing year-on-year, and cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures showing results [2] - The pesticide industry supply-demand situation is improving, although competition remains fierce; the market demand for glyphosate is growing, but prices are low [2] - The company is optimistic about the market prospects for refined glyphosate, expecting sustained demand growth, and is currently conducting due diligence on the acquisition of Shandong Huimeng [2]

Group 1: Research Basic Information - The research object is Lier Chemical, belonging to the pesticide and veterinary medicine industry, and the reception time is May 22, 2025. The listed company's reception staff includes Deputy General Manager and Board Secretary Liu Jun, and Liu Yu from the Board Office [16] Group 2: Detailed Research Institutions - The research institutions include securities companies such as Everbright Securities, Tianfeng Securities, Orient Securities, and CITIC Construction Investment; asset management companies like Ruijun Asset and Taikang Asset; fund management companies including Penghyang Fund, Invesco Great Wall, and Huatai-PineBridge Fund; and investment companies such as Hezhong Yisheng and Zhongrui Heyin [17][18] Group 3: Proportion of Research Institutions - Securities companies account for 36%, asset management companies 7%, fund management companies 36%, and investment companies 14% [20] Group 4: Main Content Information - The company's Q1 2025 performance rebounded due to increased sales and prices of some products and effective cost - reduction and efficiency - improvement measures. Some peer companies also had good Q1 performance, indicating improved supply - demand for some pesticide products, but the overall industry trend still needs close observation [23] - As the price of glufosinate - ammonium technical gradually declines, the market demand and the company's sales volume are increasing. However, the industry competition is still fierce, and the price is at a historical low [24] - The company is optimistic about the market space of refined glufosinate - ammonium. As more enterprises obtain product registrations, promote the market, and improve production technology, market demand will continue to grow. The company, as the largest domestic producer of refined glufosinate - ammonium technical, will accelerate overseas registration and market layout [26] - In 2024, the company's international sales accounted for 47%, with exports to over thirty countries and regions including the US. The company's main technical products were on the exemption list during the previous US "reciprocal tariff" policy, and recent Sino - US tariff policy adjustments have little short - term impact on the company [27] - The company is not currently considering an incentive plan [28] - The acquisition of Shandong Huimeng is in the due - diligence and demonstration process [29] - The change of the company's controlling shareholder and actual controller is based on the notice from Jiuyuan Group. The progress needs to go through a series of operations and state - owned asset approval processes, and the company believes it will promote further development [30][31]