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趋势研判!2025年中国锂离子电池三元前驱体行业产量、装车量、竞争格局及未来发展趋势分析:三元前驱体产量下滑,高镍转型突围增长[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2026-01-13 01:11
Core Insights - The article discusses the critical role of ternary precursors in the lithium battery industry, particularly in the context of the rapid expansion driven by the electric vehicle and energy storage markets. It highlights the expected growth in lithium battery shipments in China, reaching 1,175 GWh in 2024 and projected to rise to 1,700 GWh in 2025. However, the production of ternary precursors is expected to decline due to competition from lithium iron phosphate batteries and reduced overseas demand [1][5][6]. Industry Overview - Ternary precursors are composite metal hydroxides used to synthesize ternary cathode materials, connecting upstream metal raw materials with downstream battery manufacturing [2][3]. - The lithium-ion battery ternary precursor market is categorized into NCM (nickel-cobalt-manganese) and NCA (nickel-cobalt-aluminum) types, with further subdivisions based on nickel content and microstructure [3]. Production Trends - The global production of ternary precursors is forecasted to decline by 1.7% in 2024, with China's production expected to grow by only 0.7% to 850,000 tons. In the first half of 2025, production is anticipated to drop by 7.3% in China and 6.8% globally [6][7]. - The product structure is shifting towards high-nickel precursors, with the 6-series products expected to dominate the market, increasing their share to 46.93% by 2025, while the 5-series products are significantly reduced due to competition from lithium iron phosphate [7][8]. Competitive Landscape - The Chinese ternary precursor industry is characterized by an oligopolistic structure, with leading companies like Zhongwei Co., Greenmech, and Huayou Cobalt dominating the market. The top five companies are projected to hold a 75% market share by 2024 [8]. - Companies are leveraging integrated supply chains and technological advantages to maintain market dominance, particularly in high-end markets, while smaller players are being squeezed out [8][9]. Future Development Trends - The industry is expected to focus on technological upgrades, including high-nickel and single-crystal structures, as well as digital manufacturing processes to enhance product quality [9][10]. - There will be a continued emphasis on integrated supply chains, with companies extending upstream to secure key resources and downstream to strengthen customer relationships [10][11]. - International expansion is becoming increasingly important, with companies establishing local production bases in key markets like Europe and Southeast Asia to adapt to regional trade policies and environmental regulations [11].
A股现天量,两市成交超3.6万亿元创新高!电池50ETF(159796)逆市爆量收跌,电池出口退税政策调整,影响几何?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-12 08:55
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant surge on January 12, with over 4,100 stocks closing in the green and a record trading volume of 3.64 trillion yuan, surpassing the previous high on October 8, 2024. The adjustment of export tax rebate policies for batteries has influenced market dynamics, leading to a notable increase in trading activity for the Battery 50 ETF (159796), which closed down 0.69% despite a trading volume nearing 600 million yuan [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) saw most of its constituent stocks decline, with notable drops including Sunshine Power and Xian Dao Intelligent, both down over 3%, while Ningde Times and Guoxuan High-Tech fell over 2% [3]. - The trading volume of the Battery 50 ETF (159796) surged to nearly 600 million yuan, indicating heightened investor interest despite the ETF's decline [1][3]. Group 2: Policy Impact - On January 9, two departments announced adjustments to export tax rebate policies, effective from April 1, 2026, which will reduce the VAT export rebate rate for battery products from 9% to 6%, and eliminate it entirely by January 1, 2027 [4][5]. - The previous reduction in export tax rebates for certain photovoltaic and battery products from 13% to 9% in November 2024 had already triggered a rush in exports, and the latest adjustments may lead to a similar surge, benefiting the lithium carbonate sector [5]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Global demand for energy storage is expected to grow steadily, with projections indicating that global energy storage installations will reach 404 GWh by 2026, representing a 38% year-on-year increase [5]. - The battery sector is experiencing a sustained upward trend, driven by the growth of the global electric vehicle market, with domestic battery installations expected to maintain high growth rates through 2026 [5][6]. - Solid-state battery technology is advancing, with potential for significant industry upgrades, as companies that can provide stable supply and mature processes are likely to benefit [6]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) is positioned to benefit from its high content in energy storage (18.7%) and solid-state batteries (45%), making it a strong candidate for investors looking to capitalize on these growing segments [7][9]. - The ETF's focus on battery chemicals, which account for 31% of its weight, positions it well to benefit from the recovery of upstream material prices, enhancing the overall industry outlook [9][12].
锂电回收行业迎来转机 能源金属涨价推升“城市矿山”价值
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-12 03:03
Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery recycling industry is transitioning from a rough development phase to a more refined, standardized, and globalized stage, driven by rising prices of lithium and cobalt, supportive policies, and increasing demand for energy metals [1][2][6]. Industry Overview - Lithium battery recycling is likened to the development of "urban mines," converting waste batteries into valuable, recyclable resources [1]. - The industry is witnessing a transformation, with a market size exceeding 100 billion yuan, reshaping the resource supply landscape in the new energy sector [1][7]. Profitability and Market Dynamics - The profitability of lithium battery recycling businesses has improved significantly, with a reported 59% year-on-year increase in battery dismantling volume, reaching 36,000 tons in the first three quarters of 2025 [2]. - The rise in prices of lithium, cobalt, and nickel has enhanced cash flow for recycling companies, shifting the profit model from reliance on subsidies to the intrinsic value of recycled materials [2][3]. Policy and Regulatory Environment - The Chinese government has relaxed import policies for recycled materials, allowing certain types of black powder to be imported, which addresses previous challenges in the industry [3]. - This regulatory change is expected to secure domestic strategic resource supply and integrate China's battery recycling industry into global resource allocation [2][3]. Capacity Expansion and Capital Operations - Leading companies are adopting a dual strategy of capacity expansion and capital operations to capture market opportunities, with significant investments in new facilities and technology partnerships [4][5]. - Companies like Grinmei and Tianqi are actively pursuing acquisitions and financing to enhance their operational capabilities and market presence [4][5]. Technological Advancements and Lifecycle Integration - The industry is evolving from merely end-of-life disposal to playing a crucial role in the entire battery lifecycle, with companies developing comprehensive value chains from recycling to remanufacturing [6]. - Grinmei has achieved a lithium recovery rate exceeding 96.5% through innovative technologies, establishing partnerships with over 1,000 automotive and battery manufacturers [6]. Future Outlook - The lithium battery recycling market is projected to grow at an annual rate exceeding 50% over the next 3 to 5 years, with the domestic market expected to surpass 100 billion yuan by 2030 [7]. - The industry is moving towards a more regulated and competitive environment, with non-compliant players gradually exiting the market, signaling a positive trend for sustainable practices [7].
头部企业大动作!锂电回收行业迎来转机 能源金属涨价推升“城市矿山”价值
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 05:54
Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery recycling industry is transitioning from extensive development to a new phase characterized by refinement, standardization, and globalization, driven by rising prices of lithium and cobalt, along with supportive policies [1][9]. Industry Overview - Lithium battery recycling is likened to the development of "urban mines," converting waste batteries into valuable, recyclable resources [1]. - The industry is witnessing a transformation that is reshaping the resource supply landscape of the new energy sector, with a green circular market exceeding 100 billion yuan already formed [1][9]. Profitability and Market Dynamics - Since 2025, the prices of key metals like lithium, cobalt, and nickel have remained high, positively impacting the cash flow and profitability of recycling companies [3]. - For instance, a company reported a 59% year-on-year increase in battery recycling volume, reaching 36,000 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, leading to improved profit margins due to increased retired battery volumes and rising metal prices [3][9]. Policy and Regulatory Changes - In June 2025, a joint announcement by the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and the State Administration for Market Regulation stated that recycled black powder meeting national standards is not classified as solid waste, facilitating imports [3][4]. - This policy change addresses previous challenges in importing materials and allows the domestic battery recycling industry to participate in global resource allocation [3][4]. Capital and Capacity Expansion - Leading companies are adopting a dual strategy of "capacity + capital" to seize market opportunities, including new base construction, technological cooperation, and capital financing [4][5]. - For example, a company announced a 400 million yuan acquisition to enhance its circular economy strategy, while another company has established a processing capacity of 100,000 tons for waste lithium batteries [5][7]. Technological Advancements and Industry Collaboration - The industry is evolving from merely end-of-life disposal to becoming a crucial player in the entire battery lifecycle, with companies developing comprehensive value chains from battery recycling to remanufacturing [8]. - One company has achieved a lithium recovery rate exceeding 96.5% and has established partnerships with over 1,000 automotive and battery manufacturers, creating a closed-loop supply chain [8]. Market Outlook - The lithium battery recycling market is expected to grow significantly, with an annual growth rate exceeding 50% projected over the next 3 to 5 years, potentially reaching a market size of over 100 billion yuan by 2030 [9].
能源金属涨价引爆千亿市场,头部企业加码锂电回收布局
Huan Qiu Wang· 2026-01-11 02:40
Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery recycling industry is undergoing a value reassessment driven by high energy metal prices, increased demand for energy storage, and supportive policies, leading to the formation of a green circular market exceeding 100 billion yuan by 2025 [1][6]. Industry Overview - The prices of key metals such as lithium, cobalt, and nickel are expected to remain high due to global mineral development cycles and a second surge in downstream energy storage demand [1]. - The industry is transitioning from extensive development to a more refined, standardized, and globalized phase, with a market size projected to exceed 100 billion yuan [1]. Company Performance - Companies like Greeenme and Tianqi have reported significant improvements in profitability due to increased retirement volumes and rising metal prices, with Greeenme's battery recycling volume reaching 36,000 tons, a 59% year-on-year increase [2]. - Tianqi's lithium battery recycling segment has turned profitable, aided by the lifting of black powder import restrictions and rising metal prices [2]. Strategic Initiatives - Leading companies are adopting a "capacity + capital" dual-drive strategy to capture market opportunities, with Greeenme planning to invest 400 million yuan to acquire shares in Henan Recycling Group and pursue a Hong Kong listing [4]. - Tianqi has established a processing capacity of 100,000 tons of used lithium batteries, with another 100,000 tons under construction, indicating a strong commitment to expanding its recycling capabilities [4]. Technological Advancements - Greeenme has achieved a lithium recovery rate exceeding 96.5% through its nine global recycling bases and has established partnerships with over 1,000 automotive and battery manufacturers [5]. - The industry is focusing on technological iteration and collaboration across the supply chain, with non-compliant small operations exiting the market, leading to a concentration of market share among companies with technological and environmental advantages [5]. Market Outlook - The lithium battery recycling industry is expected to experience accelerated growth over the next 3 to 5 years, with an annual growth rate projected to exceed 50%, potentially surpassing 100 billion yuan by 2030 [5][6]. - The industry's growth is not only driven by short-term fluctuations in energy metal prices but also by the necessity of closing the loop in the new energy industry chain, ensuring resource security and alleviating mining pressures [6].
年度榜单丨2025全球钠电池正极材料出货量TOP20排行榜!
起点锂电· 2026-01-10 10:43
Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article is the significant growth forecast for the global sodium-ion battery industry, particularly in the production and shipment of cathode materials by 2025, as detailed in the "2026 Global Sodium Battery Industry White Paper" published by Qidian Research Institute SPIR [2]. Group 1: Industry Overview - By 2025, the global shipment of sodium-ion battery cathode materials is expected to reach approximately 20,000 tons, representing a year-on-year growth of 122.2% [2]. - Among the cathode materials, the shipment of polyanionic cathode materials is projected to exceed that of layered oxides, with an estimated shipment of 14,000 tons, marking a staggering year-on-year increase of 366.6%. In contrast, the shipment of layered oxide cathode materials is expected to be 5,000 tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 16.6% [2]. Group 2: Price Trends - The average price of layered oxide cathode materials in 2025 is forecasted to be 38,000 yuan per ton, which is a decrease of 26.3% compared to the previous year [3]. - The average price for polyanionic cathode materials is expected to be 28,000 yuan per ton, showing a decline of 22.2% year-on-year [3]. Group 3: Leading Companies - The top 10 companies in the global sodium-ion battery cathode materials shipment for 2025 include: 1. Qiana Energy 2. Rongbai Technology 3. Sodium Innovation Energy 4. Yingna New Energy 5. Wanrun New Energy 6. Sodium Science Energy 7. Dangseng Technology 8. Jiangsu Xiangying 9. Sodium Far New Materials 10. Jinguang Energy [7]. - The next tier, companies ranked 11-20, includes: 11. Ruiyang New Energy 12. Green Beauty 13. Zhenhua New Materials 14. Yangguang Technology 15. Tongxing Haosheng 16. Taihe Technology 17. Better Energy 18. Shengna Energy 19. Chaona New Energy 20. Xinna New Materials [7]. Group 4: Market Segmentation - The top 10 companies in the shipment of polyanionic cathode materials include: 1. Qiana Energy 2. Rongbai Technology 3. Yingna New Energy 4. Wanrun New Energy 5. Jinguang Energy 6. Sodium Science Energy 7. Sodium Far New Materials 8. Ruiyang New Energy 9. Tongxing Haosheng 10. Taihe Technology [9]. - The top 10 companies in the shipment of layered oxide cathode materials include: 1. Sodium Innovation Energy 2. Rongbai Technology 3. Dangseng Technology 4. Jiangsu Xiangying 5. Zhenhua New Materials 6. Sodium Science Energy 7. Green Beauty 8. Better Energy 9. Yangguang Technology 10. Changyuan Lithium Technology [9].
锂电回收行业迎来转机能源金属涨价推升“城市矿山”价值
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-09 23:02
Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery recycling industry is transitioning from extensive development to a new phase characterized by refinement, standardization, and globalization, driven by rising prices of lithium and cobalt, along with supportive policies [1][8]. Industry Overview - The lithium battery recycling sector is being recognized as a "urban mine," converting waste batteries into valuable, recyclable resources [1]. - A green circular market exceeding 100 billion yuan has emerged, reshaping the resource supply landscape in the new energy industry [1]. Profitability and Market Dynamics - The profitability of lithium battery recycling businesses has improved significantly due to increased retirement volumes and rising prices of lithium and cobalt [2]. - The price surge of energy metals has shifted the profit model from relying on subsidies to focusing on the intrinsic value of recycled materials, expanding profit margins for companies [2][3]. Policy Developments - New regulations have eased the import of recycled materials, allowing certain types of black powder to be imported without being classified as solid waste, thus facilitating the global resource allocation for China's battery recycling industry [2][3]. Capacity Expansion and Capital Operations - Leading companies are adopting a dual strategy of capacity expansion and capital operations to seize market opportunities, including new base construction and technology partnerships [4][6]. - Companies like Greeenme and Tianqi are actively pursuing acquisitions and financing to enhance their operational capabilities and market presence [4][5][6]. Technological Advancements and Industry Collaboration - The industry is evolving from merely end-of-life disposal to playing a crucial role in the entire battery lifecycle, with companies establishing comprehensive value chains [7]. - Greenme has achieved a lithium recovery rate exceeding 96.5% and has formed partnerships with over 1,000 automotive and battery manufacturers to create a closed-loop supply chain [7]. Market Outlook - The lithium battery recycling market is expected to grow at an annual rate exceeding 50% over the next 3 to 5 years, with the domestic market projected to surpass 100 billion yuan by 2030 [8].
锂电回收行业迎来转机 能源金属涨价推升“城市矿山”价值
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-09 17:44
Core Insights - The lithium battery recycling industry is evolving from a rough development phase to a more refined, standardized, and globalized stage, driven by rising prices of lithium and cobalt, along with supportive policies [1][7] - Major companies like Tianqi Co., Ltd. and Greeenme are expanding their capacities and capital operations to build competitive barriers through technological upgrades and industry chain extensions [1][2] Industry Trends - The prices of key metals such as lithium, cobalt, and nickel are expected to remain high due to global mining cycles and increased downstream energy storage demand, positively impacting cash flow and profitability for recycling companies [2][3] - The recycling business of Greeenme saw a significant increase in dismantling volume, reaching 36,000 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year surge of 59% [2] Policy Developments - In June 2025, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and the State Administration for Market Regulation announced that recycled black powder for lithium-ion batteries meeting national standards would not be classified as solid waste, facilitating imports [2][3] - The gradual relaxation of import policies for recycled resources reflects the government's emphasis on recycling and lithium battery recovery [3] Company Strategies - Greeenme is actively pursuing a dual strategy of capacity expansion and capital operation, including a planned acquisition of Henan Recycling Group to enhance its circular economy strategy [4][5] - Tianqi Co., Ltd. has established a processing capacity of 100,000 tons for waste lithium batteries, with plans for further expansion [5][6] Technological Advancements - Greeenme has developed a complete lifecycle value chain for battery recycling, achieving a lithium recovery rate exceeding 96.5% through innovative technologies [6] - The company collaborates with over 1,000 automotive and battery manufacturers to create a closed-loop supply chain, reducing risks associated with supply chain and metal price fluctuations [6] Market Outlook - The lithium battery recycling industry is expected to grow at an annual rate exceeding 50% over the next 3 to 5 years, with the market size projected to surpass 100 billion yuan by 2030 [7] - The industry is undergoing a transformation driven by price, demand, and policy changes, moving towards a more refined and standardized development phase [7]
格林美取得包覆掺杂双改性正极材料专利
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 04:04
格林美股份有限公司,成立于2001年,位于深圳市,是一家以从事计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业 为主的企业。企业注册资本512429.9057万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,格林美股份有限公司共对 外投资了27家企业,参与招投标项目29次,财产线索方面有商标信息237条,专利信息1434条,此外企 业还拥有行政许可22个。 声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成,仅供参考,不构成个人投资建议。 来源:市场资讯 国家知识产权局信息显示,荆门市格林美新材料有限公司、格林美股份有限公司取得一项名为"一种包 覆掺杂双改性的正极材料及其制备方法和应用"的专利,授权公告号CN119943915B,申请日期为2025年 1月。 天眼查资料显示,荆门市格林美新材料有限公司,成立于2003年,位于荆门市,是一家以从事有色金属 冶炼和压延加工业为主的企业。企业注册资本843963.754883万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,荆门 市格林美新材料有限公司共对外投资了26家企业,参与招投标项目202次,专利信息1534条,此外企业 还拥有行政许可460个。 ...
格林美:2025年公司镍资源产能迎来全面释放
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2026-01-08 11:13
Core Viewpoint - The company Greenme (002340) is set to significantly increase its nickel resource production capacity by 2025, with a projected shipment of over 110,000 tons of nickel resource MHP, marking a year-on-year growth of over 110% compared to 2024 [1] Group 1 - In 2025, the company's nickel resource production capacity will fully release, with shipments exceeding 110,000 tons (including equity interests) [1] - From July 2025, the company will maintain full production at a capacity of 150,000 tons per year for nickel resources [1] - The company anticipates that the 150,000 tons per year nickel resource capacity will continue to operate at full capacity into 2026 [1]