Core Insights - The industrial solid waste treatment industry in China is in its early development stage, with low industrialization and market concentration. The market size is projected to grow from 686.84 billion yuan in 2016 to 983.78 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% [1][15] - By 2025, the market size is expected to reach approximately 1,089.92 billion yuan, driven by stricter environmental regulations, the implementation of circular economy strategies, and continuous innovation in treatment technologies [1][15] Industry Overview - Industrial solid waste treatment involves the systematic collection, professional transportation, and final disposal of solid and semi-solid waste generated during industrial production. The main goal is to achieve harmlessness, reduction, and resource recovery [2][4] - The industry includes various treatment methods such as physical, chemical, and biological processes, with applications in raw material utilization, incineration power generation, and pyrolysis gasification [2][6] Market Size and Growth - The market size of the industrial solid waste treatment industry in China is projected to grow from 686.84 billion yuan in 2016 to 983.78 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 5%. By 2025, it is expected to reach approximately 1,089.92 billion yuan [1][15] - The industrial solid waste treatment equipment and engineering market is also expanding, with a projected growth from 73.99 billion yuan in 2019 to 84.57 billion yuan in 2024, and an expected size of 86.86 billion yuan in 2025 [11] Policy Support - The Chinese government has implemented several policies to support the development of industrial solid waste treatment facilities, emphasizing the importance of harmless and resourceful treatment as essential infrastructure for urban development [7][8] - Key policies include the establishment of a waste recycling system by 2025 and the comprehensive management action plan for solid waste, which aims to enhance the management and tracking of industrial solid waste [7][8] Industry Chain - The industrial solid waste treatment industry chain includes upstream equipment manufacturing, midstream specialized collection and treatment, and downstream resource recovery and recycling [9][10] - Key equipment includes waste crushing, incineration, landfill, and recycling equipment, which are crucial for the effective treatment of industrial solid waste [9][11] Key Players - Major companies in the industrial solid waste treatment sector include Hanlan Environment, Greeenmei, Fuchun Environmental Protection, Weiming Environmental Protection, and others, which are competing based on technology integration, operational efficiency, and resource recovery depth [1][15][16] - Hanlan Environment has developed a comprehensive service capability for solid waste treatment, while Fuchun Environmental Protection has expanded its business model to include resource recovery and environmental monitoring [17][18] Challenges - The industry faces challenges such as insufficient treatment capacity, outdated technology, and non-standard management practices, which hinder effective waste treatment and increase environmental risks [19] - Many regions lack adequate treatment facilities, leading to an imbalance in treatment capacity across different areas [19] Future Trends - The industry is expected to evolve towards precision separation and high-value resource recovery, utilizing advanced technologies for better waste management [20][22] - There will be a shift from project-based operations to comprehensive lifecycle management and regional collaborative disposal, enhancing efficiency and reducing environmental risks [20][21] - The value proposition of industrial solid waste treatment companies will transform from being a cost center to creating measurable carbon reduction and sustainability solutions [22]

2026 年 01 月 25 日 正极材料不断突破，镍钴自供能力强化 —格林美（002340.SZ）公司动态研究报告 买入(首次) 投资要点 分析师：黎江涛 S1050521120002 lijt@cfsc.com.cn | 基本数据 | 2026-0 1-2 3 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 9.66 | | 总市值（亿元） | 493 | | 总股本（百万股） | 5103 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 5073 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 5.85-9.66 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 1094.59 | ▌ 三元材料受益于需求结构化升级，技术持续突破 伴随 eVOTL、人形机器人、穿戴式 AI 设备的兴起与固态电池 的产业化实践，全球高镍及超高镍三元前驱体出货量占比提 升，公司三元材料业务有望受益。2025 年前三季度，公司镍 钴前驱体出货 12 万余吨，正极材料实现出货 1.7 万余吨。公 司在高端前驱体方面持续突破，超致密高镍及超高镍前驱体 已通过量产认证并实现数十吨级出货，固态电池用富锂锰基 前驱体进入吨级验证阶段。2025 年 7 月，公司全球首款超高 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of "pilot testing platforms" in China's manufacturing industry, which serve as crucial facilitators for the transition of scientific innovations from the lab to mass production, effectively navigating the challenges of the "Darwinian Dead Sea" in technology commercialization [1][4]. Group 1: Pilot Testing Platforms - Pilot testing platforms are essential for overcoming the technical bottlenecks in large-scale production, allowing for efficient product validation and market acceptance [1]. - These platforms are characterized by their large physical space and significant investment in advanced equipment, enabling comprehensive testing and development across various technologies [5][6]. - The advanced photovoltaic device pilot testing platform by Tongwei has a total area of 68,000 square meters, making it the largest in the photovoltaic industry, capable of parallel research and development of multiple technologies [5][6]. Group 2: Role in Innovation - Pilot testing platforms act as "scouts" for new technologies, enabling companies to explore and develop next-generation technologies while maintaining production efficiency [10]. - They serve as "demolition experts" that help overcome technical challenges in product manufacturing, such as achieving high yield and stability in battery materials [11]. - These platforms also function as "training grounds" for products before they enter the market, allowing for full-process validation and optimization [12]. Group 3: Industry Collaboration and Ecosystem - The platforms are increasingly recognized in national policies, emphasizing their role as "locomotives" for industrial development and collaboration [15]. - By opening their capabilities to the industry, these platforms can drive collaborative innovation and enhance the overall level of the supply chain [15][16]. - The establishment of an ecosystem that includes research and development, incubation, and investment is crucial for fostering technological innovation and market expansion [16]. Group 4: Challenges Faced - The construction and operation of pilot testing platforms face significant challenges, including technical integration, funding, talent acquisition, and trust issues [18][20]. - High investment costs and uncertain returns pose economic challenges, as the platforms require substantial funding for equipment and facilities [20][21]. - The scarcity of skilled personnel who can manage the complex operations of these platforms is a major bottleneck [22][23].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [2][8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the structural upgrade in demand for ternary materials, with continuous technological breakthroughs in high-nickel and ultra-high-nickel ternary precursors [5]. - The company's self-sufficiency in nickel and cobalt is strengthening, showcasing resilience amid tightening supply due to external factors such as export bans [6]. - The recycling of power batteries is projected to grow significantly, with the company actively participating in this emerging market [7]. - Revenue forecasts for the company are optimistic, with projected revenues of 39.27 billion, 48.18 billion, and 59.51 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside increasing earnings per share (EPS) [8][11]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company's stock price has shown a range from 5.85 to 9.66 yuan over the past 52 weeks, with an average daily trading volume of approximately 1.1 billion yuan [2]. Business Operations - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company shipped over 120,000 tons of nickel-cobalt precursors and 17,000 tons of cathode materials, indicating strong operational performance [5]. - The company has achieved significant production milestones, including the mass production of ultra-high nickel precursors and the establishment of a low-carbon recycling innovation lab for power batteries [7]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to see substantial growth in net profit, with estimates of 1.66 billion, 2.31 billion, and 3.53 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [11]. - The report anticipates a decrease in the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 30 times in 2025 to 14 times by 2027, suggesting increasing valuation attractiveness [8][11].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - Short-term raw material supply tightness is expected to support nickel prices, with LME nickel spot price reaching $18,630 per ton, up 5.70% from January 16 [1] - The cobalt market is anticipated to see continued price increases due to structural supply tightness, with electrolytic cobalt priced at 438,000 yuan per ton, down 3.74% from January 16 [2][5] - Domestic antimony supply remains tight, providing price support, with antimony ingot prices at 160,500 yuan per ton [6] - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to continue rising, with a market average of 171,100 yuan per ton, up 8.36% from January 16 [8][19] - Supply uncertainties in the rare earth market are expected to support prices, with significant global supply concentration in China [10][20] - Tin prices are supported by overseas supply uncertainties, with LME tin prices at $54,200 per ton, up 9.66% from January 16 [11][21] - Tungsten market supply-demand imbalance is notable, with white tungsten concentrate prices at 535,500 yuan per ton, up 5.93% from January 16 [13][22] - Uranium supply tightness is expected to persist, with global uranium prices at $63.51 per pound [14][15] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry Update - Nickel prices are supported by supply constraints, with Indonesia's nickel mining production quota expected to be reduced to 250-260 million tons [1][16] - Cobalt supply is projected to tighten further, with Congo's export quotas confirmed to extend into 2026 [2][17] Antimony Industry Update - Antimony supply remains tight, with domestic prices expected to rise due to export restrictions and seasonal supply issues [6][18] Lithium Industry Update - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain strong due to demand support and supply uncertainties, particularly regarding the recovery of key lithium mines [8][19] Rare Earth Industry Update - The rare earth market is facing supply tightening due to export bans and geopolitical factors, with China maintaining a dominant position [10][20] Tin Industry Update - Tin prices are supported by uncertainties in overseas supply, particularly from Myanmar and Congo [11][21] Tungsten Industry Update - The tungsten market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with prices expected to rise due to limited new supply [13][22] Uranium Industry Update - Uranium prices are supported by ongoing supply tightness and geopolitical factors affecting production [14][15]

Core Insights - The rare earth market is experiencing slight price adjustments, with specific products showing mixed trends in pricing [1] - Market sentiment indicates a majority of participants are neutral, with a slight increase in bullish sentiment compared to the previous week [1] - Factors influencing price movements include pre-holiday stockpiling by downstream magnetic material companies, logistics slowdowns due to the upcoming Spring Festival, and essential procurement by metal manufacturers [1] Price Summary - Praseodymium and Neodymium oxide average price is 672,400 CNY/ton, up by 800 CNY/ton [1] - Praseodymium and Neodymium metal average price is 810,100 CNY/ton, up by 500 CNY/ton [1] - Dysprosium oxide average price is 1,430,600 CNY/ton, down by 2,700 CNY/ton [1] - Terbium oxide average price is 6,314,500 CNY/ton, down by 10,100 CNY/ton [1] Market Sentiment - Last week, approximately 23% of market participants were bullish, 14% bearish, and 62% neutral, aligning with current market conditions [1] - This week, bullish sentiment has increased to 25%, while bearish sentiment has decreased to 11% [1] Influencing Factors - Price fluctuations are primarily driven by three factors: pre-holiday stockpiling by downstream companies, logistics slowdowns due to the Spring Festival, and essential procurement by metal manufacturers [1] - The current tight supply of praseodymium and neodymium oxide and metal suggests limited room for price corrections [1] - It is anticipated that mainstream product prices will continue to fluctuate before the holiday, with potential short-term price pressure due to traders liquidating inventory for cash before the holiday [1] Stock Performance - Selected rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks show varied performance: - Yujing Co., Ltd. (002943) latest price: 66.31 CNY, change: +0.01%, turnover: 176 million CNY [1] - Longhua Technology (300263) latest price: 10.54 CNY, change: +7.55%, turnover: 1.015 billion CNY [1] - Grinmei (002340) latest price: 9.66 CNY, change: +6.62%, turnover: 3.981 billion CNY [1] - Hengdian East Magnetic (002056) latest price: 21.85 CNY, change: +6.17%, turnover: 1.319 billion CNY [1] - Ashi Chuang (300706) latest price: 39.08 CNY, change: +5.71%, turnover: 572 million CNY [1]

Group 1 - The metal nickel concept increased by 4.20%, ranking 9th among concept sectors, with 35 stocks rising, including Shengda Resources, Baiyin Nonferrous, and Tongling Nonferrous, which hit the daily limit [1] - Notable gainers in the nickel sector included Xingye Silver Tin, Zhongwei New Materials, and Xiangtan Electrochemical, which rose by 9.91%, 8.49%, and 8.34% respectively [1] - The sector saw a net inflow of 3.959 billion yuan, with 24 stocks receiving net inflows, and 11 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflows, led by Tongling Nonferrous with 630 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top stocks by net inflow ratio included Weilan Lithium Chip, Xiamen Xinda, and Daoshi Technology, with net inflow ratios of 16.74%, 16.45%, and 14.92% respectively [3] - The top stocks in the nickel concept by net inflow included Tongling Nonferrous, Weilan Lithium Chip, and Huayou Cobalt, with respective net inflows of 630.46 million yuan, 501.51 million yuan, and 485.04 million yuan [3][4] - Stocks with significant declines included Blue Sky Technology, Boqian New Materials, and ST Hezhong, which fell by 1.46%, 0.89%, and 0.61% respectively [1][5]

Group 1 - The graphene concept continues to strengthen, with companies such as Yuzhong Sanxia A, Zhongchao Holdings, and ST Xinhua Jin hitting the daily limit up [1] - Other companies like Zhongtian Technology, Mannesmann, Dao's Technology, Water Holdings, Maigemit, and Greenmei also experienced gains [1]

Summary of the Conference Call for Greenme (格林美) Company Overview - Greenme operates primarily in three business segments: 1. Key metal resources, including nickel and cobalt business and material recycling 2. Power battery recycling, which also includes recycling of new energy vehicles 3. New energy material manufacturing, covering ternary precursors, cobalt tetroxide, and cathode materials [3][4] Nickel and Cobalt Business - The nickel resource project in Indonesia is in stable production, with Q4 nickel shipments around 30,000 tons and cobalt shipments approximately 3,000 tons, significantly contributing to profits [2][5] - The new 66,000-ton project is expected to commence production in the second half of 2026, with total MHP shipments projected to reach 170,000-180,000 tons by 2027 [2][5] - Current ownership of the existing 150,000-ton nickel project is about 50%-55%, which is expected to decrease to around 30% after the new project starts, with new shareholders like Echo Pro and Indonesian equity funds joining [2][6] - Nickel resources are primarily shipped in MHP form, sold at a 10% discount to market prices, with production costs estimated at $8,500-$9,000 per ton (excluding financing costs) [2][7] - Cobalt revenue is used to offset nickel production costs, with Q4 cobalt prices calculated at 400,000 RMB per ton, allowing for a cost offset of approximately $5,000 per ton of nickel [2][8] - Q4 average nickel price was approximately $15,000 per ton, leading to a profit of over $5,000 per ton after costs [2][9] Cost Management and Profitability - Greenme aims to reduce costs by $100-$200 per ton by 2025 and to achieve similar reductions in 2026 through raw material improvements, process optimization, and depreciation dilution [2][11] - Q1 production is expected to be around 36,000 tons, with optimistic profit expectations if nickel prices remain high at $17,000 per ton [2][12] - The company avoids using financial instruments for hedging, focusing instead on manufacturing profits [4][13] Tungsten Recovery Business - Tungsten recovery is projected to reach 7,000-8,000 tons in 2025 and potentially 10,000 tons in 2026, with a net profit of about 20,000 RMB per ton [4][16] - The tungsten business is expected to contribute approximately 140 million RMB in profits in 2026, based on a 70% ownership stake [4][18] Market Dynamics and Price Expectations - Nickel prices are expected to fluctuate between $16,000 and $20,000 per ton, with the Indonesian government likely to maintain a price floor [4][22] - The MHP discount coefficient has increased to 90%, with potential for further increases due to tightening cobalt supply [4][27] - The stainless steel market has limited impact on Greenme's business, as it primarily uses nickel iron rather than MHP [4][28] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a 20% increase in ternary precursor sales in 2026 and an additional 10,000 tons of cathode materials [4][35][32] - Greenme plans to list on the Hong Kong stock market in Q2 2026 to enhance its market performance [4][38] - The lithium battery recycling segment is expected to achieve significant profit growth, targeting tens of millions to potentially 100 million RMB in 2026 [4][37] - Overall, the nickel and cobalt market outlook remains positive, with expectations of price increases due to government policies and supply constraints [4][39]

证券代码：002340 证券简称：格林美 公告编号：2026-003 格林美股份有限公司 关于部分回购股份注销完成暨股份变动的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整， 没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 2025年2月25日，公司首次通过回购专用证券账户以集中竞价交易方式回购 公司股份。截至2026年1月14日，公司通过回购专用证券账户以集中竞价交易方 式累计回购公司股份20,358,500股，占公司当时总股本的0.40%，最高成交价为 7.01元/股，最低成交价为5.85元/股，成交总金额为136,743,597元（不含交易费用）， 本次回购股份方案已实施完毕。具体内容详见公司在指定信息披露媒体《中国证 券报》《证券时报》《上海证券报》《证券日报》和巨潮资讯网（www.cninfo.com.cn） 披露的《关于回购公司股份方案实施完毕暨回购实施结果的公告》（公告编号： 2026-002）。 二、本次部分回购股份注销情况 公司本次实际回购股份总量为 20,358,500 股，回购总金额为 136,743,597 元。 本次注销的回购股份数量为实际回购股份总量的 60%，即 12,21 ...