Group 1 - Greenme's stock price dropped by 5.1% to 9.31 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 2.328 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 4.83%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 47.512 billion CNY [1] - Greenme, established on December 28, 2001, and listed on January 22, 2010, is based in Shenzhen, Guangdong, and specializes in the recycling of waste cobalt and nickel resources, electronic waste, and the production and sales of cobalt and nickel powder materials and plastic-wood profiles [1] - The main revenue composition of Greenme includes: ternary precursors (38.70%), nickel resources (15.73%), cobalt oxide (12.28%), trade and others (8.35%), cathode materials (7.26%), cobalt recovery (6.74%), tungsten resource recovery (6.01%), comprehensive utilization of power lithium batteries (3.06%), and comprehensive utilization of scrapped automobiles (1.87%) [1] Group 2 - Huatai-PineBridge Fund has one fund heavily invested in Greenme, with the Rare Earth ETF (516780) reducing its holdings by 674,000 shares in the fourth quarter, now holding 16.4929 million shares, which accounts for 5.31% of the fund's net value, ranking as the fourth largest holding [2] - The Rare Earth ETF (516780) was established on February 26, 2021, with a current size of 2.597 billion CNY, yielding 16.06% this year, ranking 301 out of 5548 in its category; over the past year, it achieved a return of 100.8%, ranking 101 out of 4285; and since inception, it has returned 104.82% [2]

格隆汇1月26日｜华鑫证券研报指出，格林美正极材料不断突破，镍钴自供能力强化。伴随eVOTL、人 形机器人、穿戴式AI设备的兴起与固态电池的产业化实践，全球高镍及超高镍三元前驱体出货量占比 提升，公司三元材料业务有望受益。随着镍钴自供比例提升，公司原料成本波动风险降低，在价格上行 周期中的盈利弹性增强，对业绩形成持续支撑。动力电池有望在2026年进入规模化报废阶段，2030年进 入爆发性报废阶段，锂镍钴关键矿产或将依靠循环大量补充，动力电池回收前景市场广阔。考虑到三元 材料需求结构化升级，公司镍钴自供能力增强，给予"买入"投资评级。 ...

Core Insights - The industrial solid waste treatment industry in China is in its early development stage, with low industrialization and market concentration. The market size is projected to grow from 686.84 billion yuan in 2016 to 983.78 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% [1][15] - By 2025, the market size is expected to reach approximately 1,089.92 billion yuan, driven by stricter environmental regulations, the implementation of circular economy strategies, and continuous innovation in treatment technologies [1][15] Industry Overview - Industrial solid waste treatment involves the systematic collection, professional transportation, and final disposal of solid and semi-solid waste generated during industrial production. The main goal is to achieve harmlessness, reduction, and resource recovery [2][4] - The industry includes various treatment methods such as physical, chemical, and biological processes, with applications in raw material utilization, incineration power generation, and pyrolysis gasification [2][6] Market Size and Growth - The market size of the industrial solid waste treatment industry in China is projected to grow from 686.84 billion yuan in 2016 to 983.78 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 5%. By 2025, it is expected to reach approximately 1,089.92 billion yuan [1][15] - The industrial solid waste treatment equipment and engineering market is also expanding, with a projected growth from 73.99 billion yuan in 2019 to 84.57 billion yuan in 2024, and an expected size of 86.86 billion yuan in 2025 [11] Policy Support - The Chinese government has implemented several policies to support the development of industrial solid waste treatment facilities, emphasizing the importance of harmless and resourceful treatment as essential infrastructure for urban development [7][8] - Key policies include the establishment of a waste recycling system by 2025 and the comprehensive management action plan for solid waste, which aims to enhance the management and tracking of industrial solid waste [7][8] Industry Chain - The industrial solid waste treatment industry chain includes upstream equipment manufacturing, midstream specialized collection and treatment, and downstream resource recovery and recycling [9][10] - Key equipment includes waste crushing, incineration, landfill, and recycling equipment, which are crucial for the effective treatment of industrial solid waste [9][11] Key Players - Major companies in the industrial solid waste treatment sector include Hanlan Environment, Greeenmei, Fuchun Environmental Protection, Weiming Environmental Protection, and others, which are competing based on technology integration, operational efficiency, and resource recovery depth [1][15][16] - Hanlan Environment has developed a comprehensive service capability for solid waste treatment, while Fuchun Environmental Protection has expanded its business model to include resource recovery and environmental monitoring [17][18] Challenges - The industry faces challenges such as insufficient treatment capacity, outdated technology, and non-standard management practices, which hinder effective waste treatment and increase environmental risks [19] - Many regions lack adequate treatment facilities, leading to an imbalance in treatment capacity across different areas [19] Future Trends - The industry is expected to evolve towards precision separation and high-value resource recovery, utilizing advanced technologies for better waste management [20][22] - There will be a shift from project-based operations to comprehensive lifecycle management and regional collaborative disposal, enhancing efficiency and reducing environmental risks [20][21] - The value proposition of industrial solid waste treatment companies will transform from being a cost center to creating measurable carbon reduction and sustainability solutions [22]

2026 年 01 月 25 日 正极材料不断突破，镍钴自供能力强化 —格林美（002340.SZ）公司动态研究报告 买入(首次) 投资要点 分析师：黎江涛 S1050521120002 lijt@cfsc.com.cn | 基本数据 | 2026-0 1-2 3 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 9.66 | | 总市值（亿元） | 493 | | 总股本（百万股） | 5103 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 5073 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 5.85-9.66 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 1094.59 | ▌ 三元材料受益于需求结构化升级，技术持续突破 伴随 eVOTL、人形机器人、穿戴式 AI 设备的兴起与固态电池 的产业化实践，全球高镍及超高镍三元前驱体出货量占比提 升，公司三元材料业务有望受益。2025 年前三季度，公司镍 钴前驱体出货 12 万余吨，正极材料实现出货 1.7 万余吨。公 司在高端前驱体方面持续突破，超致密高镍及超高镍前驱体 已通过量产认证并实现数十吨级出货，固态电池用富锂锰基 前驱体进入吨级验证阶段。2025 年 7 月，公司全球首款超高 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of "pilot testing platforms" in China's manufacturing industry, which serve as crucial facilitators for the transition of scientific innovations from the lab to mass production, effectively navigating the challenges of the "Darwinian Dead Sea" in technology commercialization [1][4]. Group 1: Pilot Testing Platforms - Pilot testing platforms are essential for overcoming the technical bottlenecks in large-scale production, allowing for efficient product validation and market acceptance [1]. - These platforms are characterized by their large physical space and significant investment in advanced equipment, enabling comprehensive testing and development across various technologies [5][6]. - The advanced photovoltaic device pilot testing platform by Tongwei has a total area of 68,000 square meters, making it the largest in the photovoltaic industry, capable of parallel research and development of multiple technologies [5][6]. Group 2: Role in Innovation - Pilot testing platforms act as "scouts" for new technologies, enabling companies to explore and develop next-generation technologies while maintaining production efficiency [10]. - They serve as "demolition experts" that help overcome technical challenges in product manufacturing, such as achieving high yield and stability in battery materials [11]. - These platforms also function as "training grounds" for products before they enter the market, allowing for full-process validation and optimization [12]. Group 3: Industry Collaboration and Ecosystem - The platforms are increasingly recognized in national policies, emphasizing their role as "locomotives" for industrial development and collaboration [15]. - By opening their capabilities to the industry, these platforms can drive collaborative innovation and enhance the overall level of the supply chain [15][16]. - The establishment of an ecosystem that includes research and development, incubation, and investment is crucial for fostering technological innovation and market expansion [16]. Group 4: Challenges Faced - The construction and operation of pilot testing platforms face significant challenges, including technical integration, funding, talent acquisition, and trust issues [18][20]. - High investment costs and uncertain returns pose economic challenges, as the platforms require substantial funding for equipment and facilities [20][21]. - The scarcity of skilled personnel who can manage the complex operations of these platforms is a major bottleneck [22][23].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [2][8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the structural upgrade in demand for ternary materials, with continuous technological breakthroughs in high-nickel and ultra-high-nickel ternary precursors [5]. - The company's self-sufficiency in nickel and cobalt is strengthening, showcasing resilience amid tightening supply due to external factors such as export bans [6]. - The recycling of power batteries is projected to grow significantly, with the company actively participating in this emerging market [7]. - Revenue forecasts for the company are optimistic, with projected revenues of 39.27 billion, 48.18 billion, and 59.51 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside increasing earnings per share (EPS) [8][11]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company's stock price has shown a range from 5.85 to 9.66 yuan over the past 52 weeks, with an average daily trading volume of approximately 1.1 billion yuan [2]. Business Operations - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company shipped over 120,000 tons of nickel-cobalt precursors and 17,000 tons of cathode materials, indicating strong operational performance [5]. - The company has achieved significant production milestones, including the mass production of ultra-high nickel precursors and the establishment of a low-carbon recycling innovation lab for power batteries [7]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to see substantial growth in net profit, with estimates of 1.66 billion, 2.31 billion, and 3.53 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [11]. - The report anticipates a decrease in the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 30 times in 2025 to 14 times by 2027, suggesting increasing valuation attractiveness [8][11].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - Short-term raw material supply tightness is expected to support nickel prices, with LME nickel spot price reaching $18,630 per ton, up 5.70% from January 16 [1] - The cobalt market is anticipated to see continued price increases due to structural supply tightness, with electrolytic cobalt priced at 438,000 yuan per ton, down 3.74% from January 16 [2][5] - Domestic antimony supply remains tight, providing price support, with antimony ingot prices at 160,500 yuan per ton [6] - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to continue rising, with a market average of 171,100 yuan per ton, up 8.36% from January 16 [8][19] - Supply uncertainties in the rare earth market are expected to support prices, with significant global supply concentration in China [10][20] - Tin prices are supported by overseas supply uncertainties, with LME tin prices at $54,200 per ton, up 9.66% from January 16 [11][21] - Tungsten market supply-demand imbalance is notable, with white tungsten concentrate prices at 535,500 yuan per ton, up 5.93% from January 16 [13][22] - Uranium supply tightness is expected to persist, with global uranium prices at $63.51 per pound [14][15] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry Update - Nickel prices are supported by supply constraints, with Indonesia's nickel mining production quota expected to be reduced to 250-260 million tons [1][16] - Cobalt supply is projected to tighten further, with Congo's export quotas confirmed to extend into 2026 [2][17] Antimony Industry Update - Antimony supply remains tight, with domestic prices expected to rise due to export restrictions and seasonal supply issues [6][18] Lithium Industry Update - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain strong due to demand support and supply uncertainties, particularly regarding the recovery of key lithium mines [8][19] Rare Earth Industry Update - The rare earth market is facing supply tightening due to export bans and geopolitical factors, with China maintaining a dominant position [10][20] Tin Industry Update - Tin prices are supported by uncertainties in overseas supply, particularly from Myanmar and Congo [11][21] Tungsten Industry Update - The tungsten market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with prices expected to rise due to limited new supply [13][22] Uranium Industry Update - Uranium prices are supported by ongoing supply tightness and geopolitical factors affecting production [14][15]

Core Insights - The rare earth market is experiencing slight price adjustments, with specific products showing mixed trends in pricing [1] - Market sentiment indicates a majority of participants are neutral, with a slight increase in bullish sentiment compared to the previous week [1] - Factors influencing price movements include pre-holiday stockpiling by downstream magnetic material companies, logistics slowdowns due to the upcoming Spring Festival, and essential procurement by metal manufacturers [1] Price Summary - Praseodymium and Neodymium oxide average price is 672,400 CNY/ton, up by 800 CNY/ton [1] - Praseodymium and Neodymium metal average price is 810,100 CNY/ton, up by 500 CNY/ton [1] - Dysprosium oxide average price is 1,430,600 CNY/ton, down by 2,700 CNY/ton [1] - Terbium oxide average price is 6,314,500 CNY/ton, down by 10,100 CNY/ton [1] Market Sentiment - Last week, approximately 23% of market participants were bullish, 14% bearish, and 62% neutral, aligning with current market conditions [1] - This week, bullish sentiment has increased to 25%, while bearish sentiment has decreased to 11% [1] Influencing Factors - Price fluctuations are primarily driven by three factors: pre-holiday stockpiling by downstream companies, logistics slowdowns due to the Spring Festival, and essential procurement by metal manufacturers [1] - The current tight supply of praseodymium and neodymium oxide and metal suggests limited room for price corrections [1] - It is anticipated that mainstream product prices will continue to fluctuate before the holiday, with potential short-term price pressure due to traders liquidating inventory for cash before the holiday [1] Stock Performance - Selected rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks show varied performance: - Yujing Co., Ltd. (002943) latest price: 66.31 CNY, change: +0.01%, turnover: 176 million CNY [1] - Longhua Technology (300263) latest price: 10.54 CNY, change: +7.55%, turnover: 1.015 billion CNY [1] - Grinmei (002340) latest price: 9.66 CNY, change: +6.62%, turnover: 3.981 billion CNY [1] - Hengdian East Magnetic (002056) latest price: 21.85 CNY, change: +6.17%, turnover: 1.319 billion CNY [1] - Ashi Chuang (300706) latest price: 39.08 CNY, change: +5.71%, turnover: 572 million CNY [1]

Group 1 - The metal nickel concept increased by 4.20%, ranking 9th among concept sectors, with 35 stocks rising, including Shengda Resources, Baiyin Nonferrous, and Tongling Nonferrous, which hit the daily limit [1] - Notable gainers in the nickel sector included Xingye Silver Tin, Zhongwei New Materials, and Xiangtan Electrochemical, which rose by 9.91%, 8.49%, and 8.34% respectively [1] - The sector saw a net inflow of 3.959 billion yuan, with 24 stocks receiving net inflows, and 11 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflows, led by Tongling Nonferrous with 630 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top stocks by net inflow ratio included Weilan Lithium Chip, Xiamen Xinda, and Daoshi Technology, with net inflow ratios of 16.74%, 16.45%, and 14.92% respectively [3] - The top stocks in the nickel concept by net inflow included Tongling Nonferrous, Weilan Lithium Chip, and Huayou Cobalt, with respective net inflows of 630.46 million yuan, 501.51 million yuan, and 485.04 million yuan [3][4] - Stocks with significant declines included Blue Sky Technology, Boqian New Materials, and ST Hezhong, which fell by 1.46%, 0.89%, and 0.61% respectively [1][5]

Group 1 - The graphene concept continues to strengthen, with companies such as Yuzhong Sanxia A, Zhongchao Holdings, and ST Xinhua Jin hitting the daily limit up [1] - Other companies like Zhongtian Technology, Mannesmann, Dao's Technology, Water Holdings, Maigemit, and Greenmei also experienced gains [1]