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申万宏源证券晨会报告-20260209
| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌(%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | (点) | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 4066 | -0.25 | -0.44 | -1.27 | | 深证综指 | 2650 | -0.04 | 1.21 | -1.27 | | 风格指数 (%) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | -0.59 | -3.66 | 12.69 | | 中盘指数 | -0.12 | 2.43 | 27.18 | | 小盘指数 | -0.09 | 3.15 | 20.55 | | 涨幅居前 行业(%) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 油服工程 | 3.75 | 25.48 | 31.12 | | 饰品 | 3.1 | 14.09 | 4.75 | | 化学纤维 | 2.71 | 4.23 | 24.5 | | 化学制品 | 2.63 | 6.2 | 24.95 | | 电 ...
商业航天深度:太空光伏的技术底层逻辑(附29页PPT)
材料汇· 2026-02-08 15:24
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of a new era in satellite technology, emphasizing the urgent need for efficient power supply systems for satellites as China prepares to launch a significant number of satellites by the end of 2025 [6][9]. Group 1: Satellite Launch and Development - By the end of 2025, China plans to submit approximately 203,000 satellites to the ITU, covering 14 satellite constellations, with the Radio Innovation Institute applying for two constellations, each with 96,714 satellites, totaling nearly 193,000 satellites [7][8]. - Major operators and commercial satellite companies are also advancing medium-scale constellations, with China Mobile applying for 2,520 satellites, Yuxin Satellite for 1,296, and Guodian Gaoke for 1,132 [8][10]. - As of December 2025, the overall launch completion rate for major domestic constellations remains low, indicating they are in the early stages of network formation [13]. Group 2: Starlink Program and Launch Trends - The Starlink program exhibits a clear generational rhythm, with cumulative launches reaching approximately 11,034 satellites and applications totaling about 41,943 as of January 2026 [2][16]. - The annual launch volume has increased significantly, with projections for 2025 reaching around 3,200 satellites, reflecting a trend of accelerating deployment [15][20]. - Starlink's V1 to V3 satellites utilize crystalline silicon technology to prioritize supply chain scalability and system-level cost reduction, while V4 may adopt P-type silicon HJT or P-type silicon HJT-perovskite tandem structures [3][4]. Group 3: Photovoltaic Technology in Space - The current mainstream technology for space photovoltaic applications in China is multi-junction gallium arsenide (GaAs), although there is ongoing testing and validation of perovskite systems by various companies [4][26]. - The high unit price of GaAs photovoltaic cells is becoming a significant factor limiting system economics, prompting the industry to explore lower-cost alternatives such as silicon-based and perovskite technologies [21][34]. - The article highlights the unique requirements for photovoltaic cells in space, including radiation resistance, thermal stability, and long-term reliability under extreme conditions [22][25]. Group 4: Industry Outlook and Recommendations - The acceleration of satellite launches and the continuous validation of new photovoltaic technologies indicate a rising industry outlook and long-term growth potential for the space photovoltaic sector [5][6]. - The article recommends a "buy" rating for the space photovoltaic industry, citing key companies such as Maiwei Co., Aotewi, and others as relevant investment targets [5][6].
计算机行业周报:马斯克构建超级科技矩阵:太空算力时代即将到来
HUAXI Securities· 2026-02-08 13:25
Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - SpaceX completed a full stock acquisition of xAI in February 2026, creating a trillion-dollar space and AI giant with a combined valuation of $1.25 trillion, marking a significant integration of aerospace and AI technologies [1][19][20] - Musk predicts that within 2-3 years, space will become the lowest-cost area for AI computing globally, with annual AI computing in space expected to exceed Earth's total within five years due to significant advantages in energy efficiency and cooling [2][15][35] - China's space computing industry is developing through a state-led strategy, achieving early breakthroughs, including the launch of the first AI model satellite in September 2024 and plans for a network of 2,800 satellites by 2035 [6][47][51] Summary by Sections Section 1: SpaceX Acquisition of xAI - SpaceX's acquisition of xAI is the largest cross-sector integration in tech history, enhancing its capabilities in AI and space operations [1][19] - The merger allows for resource synergy, with SpaceX providing launch and communication support while xAI contributes advanced AI models [21][28] Section 2: Cost of Space Computing - Space is expected to become the lowest-cost area for AI computing due to high solar energy efficiency and low cooling costs, with predictions of significant operational advantages over terrestrial data centers [2][15][35] - Current challenges include high rocket launch costs and equipment radiation resistance [2][46] Section 3: China's Space Computing Layout - China's approach contrasts with the U.S. by focusing on a coordinated national strategy, achieving significant milestones in space computing [6][47] - The "Star Computing Plan" aims to deploy 2,800 satellites by 2035, with ongoing projects demonstrating advanced capabilities in AI processing [51][52] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - Beneficial stocks include SpaceX and North American companies such as Western Materials and Xunwei Communication, as well as satellite and space computing firms like Shunhao Co. and Dongfang Risheng [7][17][18]
马斯克点火A股光伏,奥特维等股价翻倍
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk is significantly influencing the Chinese A-share photovoltaic sector, with his comments on solar energy and its potential to provide substantial power, which has led to a surge in stock prices within the sector [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Reaction - On January 23, 2026, following Musk's remarks at the World Economic Forum, 24 photovoltaic stocks in China hit their daily limit up, with the photovoltaic index rising by 7.46% [2]. - Two weeks later, Musk's interest in Chinese photovoltaic companies, including JinkoSolar and TCL Zhonghuan, further ignited stock price increases, with many stocks reaching their daily limit up again [3]. - The excitement surrounding Musk's "space photovoltaic" vision has injected new vitality into the previously stagnant A-share photovoltaic market [3][4]. Group 2: Industry Context - The photovoltaic industry is currently facing challenges, with nearly 70% of A-share photovoltaic companies reporting losses due to low prices in the supply chain [8]. - Despite some companies showing signs of recovery, the overall market sentiment remained negative, as indicated by a 4.10% decline in the Wind photovoltaic index during a week of earnings announcements [8]. - Musk's "space photovoltaic" concept has shifted the focus of the industry from terrestrial applications to potential space-based solutions, which could represent a new growth avenue for the sector [12]. Group 3: Future Prospects - Analysts predict that the "space photovoltaic" market could become a significant growth area, with estimates suggesting a market size of approximately 295 billion RMB by 2030, which is ten times the current scale [15]. - Musk's plans for deploying 100GW of solar power in space could potentially open up vast opportunities for new technologies and applications in the photovoltaic sector [15]. - However, the current competitive landscape and the need for immediate solutions to existing challenges in the industry remain pressing concerns [16].
Barclays PLC增持钧达股份205.06万股 每股作价约39.96港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 13:36
Group 1 - Barclays PLC increased its stake in JunDa Co., Ltd. (002865) by 2.0506 million shares at a price of HKD 39.955 per share, totaling approximately HKD 81.9317 million [1] - After the increase, Barclays' total shareholding in JunDa Co., Ltd. reached 4.3712 million shares, representing a holding percentage of 5.32% [1]
Barclays PLC增持钧达股份(02865)205.06万股 每股作价约39.96港元
智通财经网· 2026-02-06 13:30
Group 1 - Barclays PLC increased its stake in JunDa Holdings (02865) by 2.0506 million shares at a price of HKD 39.955 per share, totaling approximately HKD 81.9317 million [1] - After the increase, Barclays' total shareholding in JunDa Holdings reached 4.3712 million shares, representing a holding percentage of 5.32% [1]
中国光伏估值,因马斯克重塑?
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk's recent statements and activities have significantly influenced the A-share photovoltaic sector, leading to a surge in stock prices for various companies in this industry [2][3][5]. Group 1: Market Reaction - On January 23, 2026, 24 photovoltaic stocks reached their daily limit up, with the photovoltaic index rising by 7.46%, outperforming the overall market [2]. - Following Musk's remarks about the potential of solar energy in China, several companies, including JinkoSolar and TCL Zhonghuan, saw their stock prices rapidly increase [3][6]. - The A-share photovoltaic sector experienced a collective surge, with stocks like Aotaiwei and Maiwei doubling in price over a two-month period [6]. Group 2: Industry Fundamentals - Despite the recent stock price increases, many photovoltaic companies are still facing financial difficulties, with nearly 70% of 75 companies reporting losses for 2025 [4]. - The photovoltaic industry is currently at a low point, and while some companies are seeing a narrowing of losses, this has not translated into positive market sentiment [4][12]. - The concept of "space photovoltaics" has emerged as a potential new growth area for the industry, driven by the need for new market opportunities amid intense competition in ground-based solar energy [10][13]. Group 3: Future Prospects - Analysts predict that the space photovoltaic market could reach significant sizes, with estimates suggesting a potential market space of 200 billion yuan if 10,000 satellites are launched annually [10]. - Musk's exploration of Chinese photovoltaic companies signals a demand for support from the Chinese supply chain for his space energy ambitions [10][12]. - The push for space photovoltaics may compel companies to focus on new technologies and product quality, potentially leading to a return to value development in the industry [14].
钧达股份反弹逾6% 昨日股价曾重挫逾12%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 02:44
消息面上,据报道,美国联邦通信委员会表示,已受理SpaceX的数据中心申请。另有消息称,马斯克 采用两步合并流程完成SpaceX对xAI的收购。国金证券此前指,马斯克将太空光伏烈火引向整个光伏板 块,除了规划产能规模和达成时间的指引均大幅超预期这一核心驱动力外,光伏板块部分公司业绩预 告"资产负债表提前出清"等,都将成为后续板块股价进一步上行的动力,看好板块表现在2026年迎来新 生。 钧达股份(002865)(02865)反弹逾6%,昨日股价跌超12%。截至发稿,涨6.34%,报41.96港元,成交 额5.81亿港元。 ...
港股异动 | 钧达股份(02865)反弹逾6% 昨日股价曾重挫逾12%
智通财经网· 2026-02-06 02:42
消息面上,据报道,美国联邦通信委员会表示,已受理SpaceX的数据中心申请。另有消息称,马斯克 采用两步合并流程完成SpaceX对xAI的收购。国金证券此前指,马斯克将太空光伏烈火引向整个光伏板 块,除了规划产能规模和达成时间的指引均大幅超预期这一核心驱动力外,光伏板块部分公司业绩预 告"资产负债表提前出清"等,都将成为后续板块股价进一步上行的动力,看好板块表现在2026年迎来新 生。 智通财经APP获悉,钧达股份(02865)反弹逾6%,昨日股价跌超12%。截至发稿,涨6.34%,报41.96港 元,成交额5.81亿港元。 ...
专家:光伏接下来的调整将更剧烈
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 00:41
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 记者丨冉黎黎 毕凤至 编辑丨张星 2月5日晚间,天合光能、协鑫集成这两家A股公司就太空光伏相关业务发布公告。 受马斯克旗下SpaceX团队近日到访中国多家光伏企业的消息影响,2月4日A股太空光伏概念大涨。2月5 日太空光伏概念集体回调,钧达股份、金辰股份、双良节能跌停,高测股份、捷佳伟创、迈为股份、晶 盛机电、海优新材等多股跌超9%。 值得注意的是,2月4日—5日,中国光伏行业协会在北京召开 "光伏行业2025年发展回顾与2026年形势 展望研讨会" 。工业和信息化部电子信息司副司长王世江在会上提到,行业当前正处于新一轮的深度调 整期。2026年是光伏行业治理的攻坚之年,治理行业"内卷"是今年工作的重中之重。 王勃华介绍,"十四五"期间光伏累计新增装机量是"十三五"的4.5倍;"十四五"期间(2021—2025Q3) 光伏累计新增发电量是"十三五"的3.6倍;2023—2025年连续三年,单年光伏新增装机量高于"十三 五"期间累计量;2025年一年发电量高于"十三五"期间累计量;2025年1—3季度,全国光伏发电量持续 增长,光伏发电量 ...