Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% compared to the CSI 300 index [1][10]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a 18.65% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2024, reaching 1.772 billion yuan, and a 61.20% increase in net profit to 215 million yuan [4][6]. - The company maintains a robust growth strategy focused on core products, with a significant emphasis on its "big single product" strategy, which has led to stable growth in key product categories [5][7]. - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 2.473 billion yuan in 2024, 2.956 billion yuan in 2025, and 3.490 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 19.75%, 19.53%, and 18.05% respectively [8][7]. Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a gross margin of 30.06% in Q3, with a net profit margin of 11.17%, reflecting improvements in cost management and operational efficiency [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.66 yuan in 2024 to 0.93 yuan in 2026, indicating strong profitability growth [8][7]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 19.27 in 2024 to 13.72 in 2026, suggesting an attractive valuation as earnings grow [8][7].

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 1.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.7%, with net profit attributable to the parent company of 210 million yuan, up 61.2% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 640 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.9%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 70 million yuan, up 42.6% year-on-year [1] - The company is expected to launch a new product, "溏心鹌鹑蛋" (soft-boiled quail eggs), in Q4 2024, which is anticipated to drive category upgrades [2] - The company's gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 30.3%, an increase of 3.8 percentage points year-on-year, driven by lower raw material costs and optimized supply chain efficiency [2] - The net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 12.2%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting high-quality development [2] Product and Channel Development - The company continues to focus on three major healthy protein categories: leisure fish products, poultry products, and bean products, with product innovation such as deep-sea anchovies and short-shelf-life bean curd [2] - Sales growth for small fish products, quail eggs, and meat products in the first three quarters of 2024 was approximately 15%+, 30%+, and 15%+, respectively [2] - The company is advancing its omnichannel strategy, with traditional distribution channels seeing increased coverage, modern channels boosting brand momentum, and snack channels achieving growth through SKU expansion [2] Supply Chain Strengthening - The company has established an upstream quail breeding base through related parties, providing customized, high-quality raw materials for quail egg products [3] - The company's subsidiary in Kenya, established in 2018, has successfully imported wild anchovies to China, marking a breakthrough in global supply chain construction [3] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 320 million yuan, 400 million yuan, and 500 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [3] - EPS for 2024-2026 is projected to be 0.70 yuan, 0.88 yuan, and 1.11 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18x, 14x, and 11x [3] - The company's revenue growth rate for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be 18.76%, 23.68%, and 22.27%, respectively [4] - Net profit growth rates for 2024-2026 are expected to be 50.87%, 25.86%, and 25.61%, respectively [4] Financial Performance - The company's gross profit margin is expected to increase from 28.17% in 2023 to 31.87% in 2026 [8] - The net profit margin is projected to rise from 10.27% in 2023 to 13.48% in 2026 [8] - ROE is expected to grow from 16.15% in 2023 to 24.23% in 2026 [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1]. Core Views - The company has shown robust revenue growth, achieving a year-on-year increase of 61.2% in revenue, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 0.71 billion, reflecting a growth of 77.83% [1]. - The company has successfully expanded its product categories, with significant growth in key products such as fish products, poultry, and vegetable products, all achieving double-digit growth [1]. - The company is expected to maintain strong performance in the coming years, with projected revenues of 2.485 billion in 2024 and 3.318 billion in 2026, indicating a compound annual growth rate [1][2]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2022 was 1.462 billion, with a growth rate of 31.6%, and is projected to reach 2.065 billion in 2023, representing a growth rate of 41.3% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2022 was 125 million, with a year-on-year growth of 46.7%, expected to increase to 210 million in 2023, reflecting a growth of 68.2% [2]. - The gross margin improved to 28.2% in 2023 from 25.6% in 2022, with further increases projected in subsequent years [2]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow from 0.28 in 2022 to 0.46 in 2023, and further to 0.66 in 2024 [2]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is recognized as a typical large single-product company, successfully launching major products like small fish and quail eggs, which are expected to drive long-term growth [1]. - The company is actively expanding its offline channels while adjusting its online strategies to enhance brand presence and sales performance [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][5] Core Insights - The company achieved total revenue of 1.772 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders of 215 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, reflecting year-on-year growth of 18.65% and 61.2% respectively [3] - Online sales are experiencing a slight decline, while fish products continue to show double-digit growth. The company is addressing the underperformance in e-commerce by enhancing its team and product strategy, expecting better results in Q4 [3][4] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 30.28%, an increase of 3.81 percentage points year-on-year, indicating strong cost management [4] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are maintained at 24.97 billion, 31.46 billion, and 38.65 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.91%, 25.98%, and 22.85% respectively [5][6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 291 million, 370 million, and 459 million yuan for 2024-2026, with growth rates of 38.80%, 27.10%, and 24.03% respectively [5][6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the next three years are projected to be 0.65, 0.82, and 1.02 yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 20, 15, and 12 times [5][6]

| --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------|-----------------------------------------|--------------| | 2024 | 年 10 月 27 日 | 公司研究 | | 研究所： 证券分析师： | 刘洁铭 S0350521110006 liujm@ghzq.com.cn | | | 证券分析师： | 秦一方 S0350523120001 qinyf@ghzq.com.cn | ——劲仔食品（ | 评级：买入(维持) 最近一年走势 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------------|--------------------|-------|-------|-------------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 642 million yuan in Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.94%, while the net profit reached 71 million yuan, up 42.58% year-on-year [1] - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 1.772 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.65%, and a net profit of 215 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 61.20% [1] - The report highlights that the revenue growth rate has slowed down in Q3 2024 compared to Q2 2024, but the net profit continues to show high growth due to lower raw material costs and improved profitability [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - Q3 2024 revenue growth slowed to 12.94% from 20.90% in Q2 2024, while the net profit growth accelerated to 77.83% from 64.28% in Q2 2024 [1] - The gross margin and net margin for Q3 2024 were 30.06% and 11.17%, respectively, both showing year-on-year increases of 3.26 percentage points and 2.17 percentage points [1] - The company maintains a stable expense structure with sales, management, financial, and R&D expense ratios of 12.24%, 3.40%, -0.28%, and 1.99%, respectively [1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 2.540 billion yuan, 3.132 billion yuan, and 3.871 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.00%, 23.28%, and 23.61% [2] - The forecasted net profits for the same years are 303 million yuan, 384 million yuan, and 487 million yuan, with growth rates of 44.71%, 26.50%, and 26.90% [2] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 18.8X, 14.8X, and 11.7X, respectively, indicating a favorable outlook compared to peer companies [2][3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate - A" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in offline channels and optimized costs leading to significant profit increases. In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.772 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.65%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 215 million yuan, up 61.20% year-on-year [1] - The revenue growth in Q3 2024 was 12.94% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 42.58% year-on-year, indicating strong performance despite a slight slowdown in growth [1] - The company is focusing on product innovation and channel expansion, particularly in the snack food sector, which is expected to support continued growth [1] Revenue Analysis - The company reported a revenue of 1.772 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 18.65%. Q3 growth was 12.94%, reflecting a slowdown attributed to weak market consumption and slightly weaker online sales [1] - Key product categories such as snack fish products, poultry products, bean products, and vegetable products all achieved double-digit stable growth [1] - The company has successfully expanded its offline distribution channels, covering over 100 clients and 30,000 stores, with major products performing well [1] Profit Analysis - The gross profit margin for Q3 2024 was 30.06%, an increase of 3.26 percentage points year-on-year, driven by scale effects and supply chain optimization [1] - The company maintained controllable sales expenses despite an increase in brand promotion costs, with a sales expense ratio of 12.24% [1] - The net profit margin for Q3 2024 was 11.17%, up 2.17 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [1] Future Outlook - The company is committed to a strategy focused on major products and multi-channel development, enhancing brand strength and market competitiveness [1] - The company plans to continue strengthening product innovation and supply chain management to adapt to different channel developments [1] Financial Data and Valuation - The projected revenue for 2024-2026 is adjusted to 2.467 billion yuan, 2.995 billion yuan, and 3.593 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.4%, 21.4%, and 20.0% respectively [2][3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 299 million yuan, 374 million yuan, and 457 million yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 42.5%, 25.2%, and 22.2% respectively [2][3] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve to 30.9% in 2024, with a net margin of 12.1% [2][3]

公 司 研 究 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------|-------|-----------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2024 年 | 日 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | 公司点评 | | | | | 买入/维持 | | 劲仔食品(003000) 目标价: 16.02 昨收盘:13.81 劲仔食品：线下渠道保持稳健，线上略有承压 ◼ 走势比较 (10%) 6% 22% 38% 54% 70% 23/10/2324/1/424/3/1724/5/2924/8/1024/10/22 劲仔食品 沪深300 ◼ 股票数据 总股本/流通(亿股) 4.51/3.04 总市值/流通(亿元) 62.28/42 12 个月内最高/最低价 (元) 16.01/10.14 相关研究报告 <<劲仔食品：业绩符合预期，鹌鹑蛋 增长亮眼>>--2024-08-22 <<收入稳健增长，净利率持续改 善>>--2024-04-26 <<顺利完成三年倍增目标，四季度净 ...

[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/食品 证券研究报告 劲仔食品（003000）公司季报点评 2024 年 10 月 25 日 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------------------------------|-------------|-------| | 股票数据 | | | | 10 [ Table_StockInfo 月 25 日收盘价（元） ] | 12.65 | | | 52 周股价波动（元） | 10.14-16.01 | | | 总股本 / 流通 A 股（百万股） | 451/304 | | | 总市值 / 流通市值（百万元） | 5705/3847 | | | 相关研究 | | | | [Table_ReportInfo] 《全品类稳健成长，单二季度盈利能力继续大 | | | | 幅提升》 2024.08.23 | | | | 《收入较快成长，盈利表现亮眼》 | 2024.04.28 | | | 《四季度利润大幅增长，完成三年倍增目标 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (Maintain) [2] Core Views - The company has achieved steady revenue growth with a 18.7% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2024, reaching 1.77 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 61.2% to 210 million yuan [2][3] - The third quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 640 million yuan, reflecting a 12.9% year-on-year growth, with net profit increasing by 42.6% to 71 million yuan [2][4] - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 310 million, 390 million, and 480 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 46.5%, 26.1%, and 22.9% [2] Revenue Growth - The company focuses on core products and develops across all channels, enhancing brand building and improving service levels for distributors [3] - Continuous investment in modern distribution networks and traditional channels has improved overall distribution rates [3] Product Development - The company is advancing new products, particularly in the leisure fish, poultry, and bean products segments, with innovations in quail egg products [3] Profitability - The gross margin for Q3 2024 reached 30.1%, up 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in raw material prices [4] - The net profit margin for Q3 2024 was 11.2%, an increase of 2.2 percentage points year-on-year, indicating strong profit performance [4] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 2.63 billion, 3.29 billion, and 4.07 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 27.4%, 24.9%, and 23.7% respectively [4] - The company’s net profit for the same period is projected to be 307 million, 387 million, and 476 million yuan, with growth rates of 46.5%, 26.1%, and 22.9% [4]