证券代码：300836 证券简称：佰奥智能 公告编号：2025-039 昆山佰奥智能装备股份有限公司 2025 年前三季度业绩预告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 1、业绩预告期间：2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 9 月 30 日。 2、业绩预告情况：预计净利润为正值且属于同向上升情形 单位：万元 项 目 本报告期 上年同期 归属于上市公司 股东的净利润 4,700.00 — 5,650.00 比上年同 1,821.39 期增长 158.04% — 210.20% 扣除非经常性损 益后的净利润 4,400.00 — 5,350.00 比上年同 1,855.73 期增长 137.10% — 188.30% 同时，公司智能技术创新与产品迭代升级，不断推动对产品结构的优化，公司 消费电子领域的盈利能力稳步上升。 3、公司火工品及含能材料相关领域业务产能持续释放，带动营业收入稳 定增长。伴随订单的稳定交付，公司产能利用率持续提高，规模化效应显现， 公司盈利能力显著提升。 4、公司继续加大研发投入，加速多元化业务战略布 ...

Core Viewpoint - Baiao Intelligent experienced a 5% increase in stock price, reaching 56.04 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 255 million CNY and a turnover rate of 7.49%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 5.194 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Baiao Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. is located in Kunshan, Jiangsu Province, established on January 6, 2006, and listed on May 28, 2020 [1] - The company specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of intelligent equipment and its components, providing complete equipment and related components for customers to achieve intelligent manufacturing [1] - The revenue composition of the main business includes: intelligent assembly equipment 97.86%, others 1.01%, components 0.96%, and other (supplementary) 0.17% [1] Fund Holdings - According to data, one fund under Bosera Fund holds Baiao Intelligent as a significant position [2] - Bosera CSI 2000 ETF (159533) held 3,000 shares in the second quarter, accounting for 0.68% of the fund's net value, ranking as the third-largest holding [2] - The fund has achieved a year-to-date return of 44.75%, ranking 878 out of 4,220 in its category, and a one-year return of 59.92%, ranking 304 out of 3,855 [2] - The fund manager, Tang Yibing, has a cumulative tenure of 3 years and 85 days, with a total asset scale of 9.874 billion CNY [2]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the Federal Reserve's resumption of interest rate cuts may lead to increased foreign investment in China's export-advantaged assets, particularly in high-end manufacturing sectors such as new energy, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals [1][13] - The "anti-involution" policy in China is expected to enhance the financial returns of the manufacturing sector, with a focus on high-end manufacturing capital expenditure (CAPEX) expansion since 2019, which solidifies global export competitiveness [2][14] - The report suggests that cross-border capital is accelerating its return to China, leading to a "re-inflation bull market" as China's net export scale rises and the RMB enters a long-term appreciation cycle [3][15] Group 2 - The report anticipates a shift in the A-share bull market towards consumption-driven growth, moving from an investment-driven model to one where consumption becomes the primary economic driver [4][16] - It highlights a potential "ice-fire conversion" in market dynamics, where technology sectors may lead the rally, followed by export-oriented high-end manufacturing, and eventually consumer sectors [5][17] Group 3 - The report recommends a stock portfolio for October 2025, including companies such as Dongfang Tower (Chemicals), Huafeng Aluminum (Non-ferrous), China Hongqiao (Non-ferrous), Luoyang Molybdenum (Non-ferrous), Dongfang Tantalum (Non-ferrous), Xinnengda (Electric New), Betta Pharmaceuticals (Pharmaceuticals), Yifeng Pharmacy (Pharmaceutical Retail), Bai'ao Intelligent (Military), Hikvision (Computers), and Luxshare Precision (Electronics) [6][11]

Market Overview - On September 30, the specialized equipment sector declined by 0.23%, with *ST Xinyuan leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3882.78, up 0.52%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13526.51, up 0.35% [1] Top Performers - The top gainers in the specialized equipment sector included: - Hezhan Shuneng (603011) with a closing price of 19.65, up 10.02% [1] - Moke Co., Ltd. (002691) at 8.81, up 9.99% [1] - Tailin Bio (300813) at 36.52, up 8.21% [1] - Bai'ao Intelligent (300836) at 56.70, up 6.62% [1] Underperformers - The notable decliners included: - *ST Xinyuan (300472) at 5.30, down 6.36% [2] - Lihexing (301013) at 29.10, down 5.37% [2] - *ST Xingnong (603789) at 5.71, down 4.99% [2] Capital Flow - The specialized equipment sector experienced a net outflow of 603 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 356 million yuan [2][3] - The top stocks by main fund inflow included: - Hezhan Shuneng with a net inflow of 42.31 million yuan [3] - Moke Co., Ltd. with a net inflow of 83.36 million yuan [3] Summary of Trading Activity - The trading volume and turnover for the top gainers and decliners indicate significant market activity, with Moke Co., Ltd. achieving a turnover of 1.93 billion yuan [1][2] - The overall trading sentiment reflects a mixed response, with some stocks attracting retail interest despite the overall sector decline [2][3]

Core Insights - The specialized equipment sector increased by 1.11% on September 29, with Lingge Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3862.53, up 0.9%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13479.43, up 2.05% [1] Sector Performance - Lingge Technology (code: 833284) saw a significant rise of 14.39%, closing at 29.25 with a trading volume of 125,900 shares and a transaction value of 357 million yuan [1] - Tai Rui Machinery (code: 603289) increased by 6.23%, closing at 11.08 with a trading volume of 180,400 shares and a transaction value of 198 million yuan [1] - Yuejian Intelligent (code: 603095) rose by 5.65%, closing at 16.07 with a trading volume of 110,100 shares and a transaction value of 175 million yuan [1] - Li Hexing (code: 301013) increased by 5.56%, closing at 30.75 with a trading volume of 635,400 shares and a transaction value of 1.94 billion yuan [1] - Other notable performers include Zhongjian Technology (code: 002779) up 5.36%, Ruankong Co. (code: 002073) up 5.34%, and Yongchuang Intelligent (code: 603901) up 5.19% [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The specialized equipment sector experienced a net outflow of 68.17 million yuan from institutional funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 302 million yuan [2] - The overall trend indicates a divergence in fund flow, with institutional investors withdrawing while retail investors increased their participation [2]

Core Viewpoint - Baiao Intelligent experienced a significant price increase, reaching the daily limit of 20% with a trading volume of 4.86 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 14.89% [2] Trading Activity - The stock was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange due to its closing price increase of 20% [2] - Institutional investors net sold 20.35 million yuan, while brokerage seats collectively net bought 16.48 million yuan [2] - The top five trading departments had a total transaction volume of 232 million yuan, with a buying amount of 114 million yuan and a selling amount of 118 million yuan, resulting in a net sell of 387.66 thousand yuan [2] Institutional Participation - Five institutional specialized seats were involved in the trading, with total buying amount of 74.81 million yuan and selling amount of 95.16 million yuan, leading to a net sell of 20.35 million yuan [2] - The main capital flow showed a net inflow of 35.08 million yuan, with large single orders contributing 29.74 million yuan and large orders contributing 5.34 million yuan [2] - Over the past five days, the main capital net inflow was 8.70 million yuan [2] Detailed Trading Data - The top buying and selling departments included: - Buy One: Kaiyuan Securities, 38.02 million yuan bought, 0.00 sold - Buy Two: Institutional specialized, 23.15 million yuan bought, 8.64 million yuan sold - Buy Three: Institutional specialized, 17.14 million yuan bought, 25.79 million yuan sold - Sell One: Institutional specialized, 15.22 million yuan bought, 30.59 million yuan sold [2]

Market Performance - The specialized equipment sector increased by 0.81% on September 22, with Bai'ao Intelligent leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.58, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13157.97, up 0.67% [1] Top Gainers - Bai'ao Intelligent (300836) closed at 56.41, up 20.00% with a trading volume of 94,100 shares and a transaction value of 486 million [1] - Lihexing (301013) closed at 30.50, up 14.62% with a trading volume of 855,800 shares and a transaction value of 2.507 billion [1] - Kaige Precision Machinery (301338) closed at 75.23, up 14.33% with a trading volume of 79,800 shares and a transaction value of 573 million [1] Other Notable Performers - Hezhuan Intelligent (603011) closed at 18.66, up 10.02% with a trading volume of 1,003,600 shares and a transaction value of 1.804 billion [1] - Jinggong Technology (002006) closed at 22.52, up 10.01% with a trading volume of 670,800 shares and a transaction value of 1.470 billion [1] - Yingxiongke (002837) closed at 81.88, up 9.99% with a trading volume of 604,300 shares and a transaction value of 4.837 billion [1] Market Flow - The specialized equipment sector saw a net inflow of 618 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 150 million [2] - The sector experienced a net outflow of 767 million from speculative funds [2] Individual Stock Fund Flow - Yingweike (002837) had a net inflow of 111.7 million from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 78.9 million from speculative funds [3] - Hezhuan Intelligent (603011) saw a net inflow of 31.6 million from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 10.3 million from speculative funds [3] - Jinggong Technology (002006) had a net inflow of 20 million from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 61.1 million from speculative funds [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the military industry [1] Core Views - The military industry is experiencing a revenue rebound, with significant increases in inventory and contract liabilities. In the first half of 2025, 141 listed companies in the military sector achieved a total revenue of 254.549 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.3%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 1.1% to 15.526 billion yuan [7][11][13] - The overall inventory of these companies reached 310.839 billion yuan, up 19.8%, while contract liabilities totaled 152.030 billion yuan, increasing by 14.9% [11][13] - The report suggests focusing on specific sub-sectors for investment opportunities, including the aircraft and aero-engine supply chain, missile and unmanned combat equipment, and military trade-related enterprises [17] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The military industry is showing signs of recovery, with a notable increase in revenue and contract liabilities. The overall gross margin for the industry is 18.7%, which is a slight increase from the previous year [13][16] - The report indicates a shift in industry dynamics, with upstream electronic components benefiting first, followed by downstream core components and equipment [16] Market Performance - In the first two weeks of September 2025, the military sector indices experienced significant adjustments, with the defense and military industry index dropping by 7.90%, underperforming compared to the broader market [18][24] - The report highlights that the military sector's performance was negatively impacted after the "September 3" military parade, leading to a sell-off in military stocks [18][20] Company Dynamics - Notable companies in the sector include: - **博实股份**: Signed a major contract worth approximately 235.1132 million yuan [43] - **埃斯顿**: Became the first domestic robot brand to lead the Chinese industrial robot market with a market share of 10.5% [44] - **融发核电**: Reported a sufficient backlog of orders and is progressing according to production plans [46] - **中航西飞**: Expanding strategic cooperation with Airbus to meet production needs for the A320 series [47] - **晶盛机电**: Achieved domestic production of semiconductor equipment and is advancing global customer validation for silicon carbide substrates [48] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on ETFs related to the military sector, such as 富国中证军工龙头 ETF and 国泰中证军工 ETF, as potential investment vehicles [2]

Core Viewpoint - Baiao Intelligent (300836.SZ) plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Vietnam to optimize its industrial layout and promote business development, with an investment of 3 million USD (approximately 21.32 million RMB) from its wholly-owned company BAIAOSMART TECHNOLOGY PTE. LTD [1] Group 1 - The new subsidiary will be named BAIAOSMART (Vietnam) Co., Ltd, subject to approval from the registration authority [1] - The establishment of the subsidiary is part of the company's long-term strategic development plan [1] - The investment aims to enhance the company's business growth and industry positioning [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company Baiao Intelligent plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Vietnam with an investment of 3 million USD to enhance its smart technology innovation and product upgrades [1] Investment Details - The subsidiary, named Vietnam Baiao, will focus on the development, design, installation, debugging, and sales of smart devices and software/hardware [1] - The investment aims to leverage high-quality industrial resources and research capabilities to deepen market layout related to AI high-speed cables and backplane connectors [1] Strategic Goals - The initiative is intended to continuously enhance the company's core competitiveness through technological innovation and design capabilities [1] - The establishment of an international cooperative industrial system is a key objective of this investment [1]