Core Insights - The importance of the "14th Five-Year Plan": The upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to significantly impact China's economic and social development over the next five years, shifting focus from production to a balance between production and consumption due to the current issue of insufficient effective demand [1] - Strengthening consumption policies: Starting in 2024, consumption policies will be significantly enhanced, including the allocation of special government bond funds to support consumption upgrades. Continued funding is expected in 2025 and 2026 [1] - Potential of service consumption: China's service consumption still lags behind developed economies, indicating a substantial opportunity for growth in this sector to stimulate consumer interest and optimize the consumption environment [1] - Rise of technology consumption: With a rapid technological development and an engineering talent surplus, products like robotic vacuum cleaners and drones are gaining market attention, likely creating new consumer demand [1] - Optimization of the overall consumption mechanism: Measures such as consumption tax reform will encourage local governments to transition from production-oriented to service-oriented, promoting the internationalization of quality consumption companies and enhancing residents' consumption capacity [1] Investment Recommendations - Food and Beverage: Recommended companies include Dongpeng Beverage and Lihigh Food, with a focus on Youran Dairy and Bairun Co [2] - Service Sector: Recommended companies include Guming, Mixue Group, and Bubugao, with a focus on Zhongsheng Holdings [2] - Light Industry: Companies to watch include Hengfeng Paper and Xilinmen [3] - Trendy Toys: Recommended companies include Pop Mart and Blokus [4] - Home Appliances: Recommended companies include Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, TCL Electronics H, Roborock, and Ecovacs, with a focus on Yingshi Innovation [5] - Agriculture: Recommended companies include Zhongchong Co, Petty Co, Muyuan Foods, and Haida Group [11] - Textile and Apparel: Recommended companies include Anta Sports, Xtep International, 361 Degrees, and Hailan Home, with a focus on Li Ning and Sanfu Outdoor [11] Report Content Analysis - Expanding consumption share: The report emphasizes that expanding consumption share is essential for achieving Chinese-style modernization, as China's consumption rate is significantly lower than that of developed countries [9] - Shift in fiscal spending: During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, fiscal spending will shift from material investments to human capital investments, increasing support for education, healthcare, and housing [9] - Promotion of common prosperity: The report highlights the need for income distribution reform and the promotion of the Zhejiang common prosperity model to achieve balanced development [9] - Consumption tax reform: The report suggests that consumption tax reform will help local governments transition from production-oriented to service-oriented, enhancing the consumption environment [9] - Transition from traditional to new consumption: The report analyzes the maturation of traditional consumption markets and the rise of new consumption, which is characterized by a focus on quality and personal satisfaction [9] - Stimulating interest in service consumption: The report indicates that the shift from physical to service consumption is crucial for expanding domestic demand, with growing demand for events and performances benefiting local consumption [9]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Wanlian Securities indicates that Lihigh Food's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 reached 171 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.24% [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses were 82 million yuan and 80 million yuan, respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 40.84% and 40.36% [1] - The company's performance is improving, with major products maintaining high growth rates [1] Revenue Growth - In the first half of 2025, the revenue from cream products grew by over 28%, demonstrating the effectiveness of the company's high-end strategy [1] - Innovative channels such as catering, tea drinks, and new retail continue to experience rapid growth [1] Cost and Efficiency - In the first half of 2025, the cost and expense input-output ratio improved, with some period expense ratios declining year-on-year, further releasing profit space through scale effects [1] Industry Outlook - The company is expected to maintain growth as the baking industry in China continues to expand, and the domestic substitution of frozen baking raw materials opens up market space for domestic brands [1] - The company is projected to recover positive growth in 2024 and maintain a favorable trend in the first half of 2025 [1]

Group 1 - Wanlian Securities issued a report on September 10, giving a "Buy" rating to Lihigh Food (300973.SZ, latest price: 47.52 yuan) [1] - The report highlights that the revenue growth of cream is expected to exceed 28% in the first half of 2025, demonstrating the effectiveness of the high-end strategy [1] - Innovative channels such as catering, tea drinks, and new retail continue to maintain rapid growth [1] - The gross profit margin is expected to decline in the first half of 2025 due to changes in channel and product structure, as well as rising raw material costs [1] - Effective cost control has led to a significant decrease in both sales expense ratio and management expense ratio [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [4] Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in its core products, with significant revenue growth in the first half of 2025, achieving a revenue of 2.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.20%, and a net profit of 171 million yuan, up 26.24% year-on-year [1] - The company is successfully implementing a high-end strategy, with cream revenue growth exceeding 28% in the first half of 2025, and a notable increase in revenue from baking food raw materials by 32.12% [2] - The company is adapting to market trends by diversifying its distribution channels, with innovative channels such as catering and new retail showing a growth rate of approximately 40% [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.07 billion yuan, with a net profit of 171 million yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 167 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 16.20%, 26.24%, and 33.28% respectively [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 1.02 billion yuan, with net profit and non-recurring net profit reaching 82 million yuan and 80 million yuan, marking year-on-year increases of 40.84% and 40.36% respectively [1] Product Performance - The revenue from frozen baked goods was 1.125 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.08%, accounting for 54.35% of total revenue, while revenue from baking food raw materials reached 933 million yuan, up 32.12%, making up 45.09% of total revenue [2] - The revenue breakdown for key products includes cream at 558 million yuan (up 28.70%), fruit products at 83 million yuan (up 7.70%), sauces at 142 million yuan (up 36.45%), and other baking raw materials at 151 million yuan (up 63.84%) [2] Channel Development - The distribution channel for the company is diversified, with nearly 50% of revenue coming from circulation channels, and approximately 30% from supermarkets, which saw a growth of nearly 30% year-on-year [3] - Innovative channels, including catering and new retail, accounted for slightly over 20% of total revenue, with a combined growth rate of about 40% [3] Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin decreased by 2.25 percentage points to 30.35% in the first half of 2025, influenced by changes in channel and product structure as well as rising raw material costs [3] - The net profit margin increased by 0.56 percentage points to 8.05% due to effective cost control, with significant reductions in sales and management expense ratios [9] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain growth, with projected net profits of 321 million yuan, 390 million yuan, and 454 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 19.70%, 21.45%, and 16.56% [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating, emphasizing the resilience of leading companies and the valuation recovery opportunities in the livestock and restaurant chains [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights that national beer companies have shown stable revenue and profit performance, while regional companies exhibit better elasticity in performance. The cost decline has contributed to gross profit growth, and the improvement in expense ratios is gradually releasing profitability [5][24]. - In the snack food sector, the report notes a divergence in channel performance, with emerging channels like bulk snacks and membership supermarkets maintaining high momentum, while traditional channels face challenges. The focus is shifting from revenue growth to profitability logic [25]. - The restaurant chain sector is experiencing a bottoming out of fundamentals and sentiment, with a gradual recovery expected as policies adjust and consumption peaks approach. The report suggests focusing on undervalued companies like Haidilao and Guangzhou Restaurant [29][31]. - The livestock sector is anticipated to see a fundamental reversal as raw milk prices stabilize and beef prices rise, which could significantly enhance profitability for companies like China Shengmu [36][45]. Summary by Sections Beer - National beer companies have demonstrated operational resilience, with stable revenue growth driven primarily by volume recovery. Regional companies like Yanjing and Zhujiang Beer have shown stronger revenue performance [12][13]. - Cost improvements from raw material price declines and stable pricing have driven gross margin increases for beer companies. The report anticipates continued upward potential in the beer sector as terminal demand gradually recovers [18][24]. Snack Foods - The snack food sector is characterized by a split in channel performance, with new channels like bulk snacks and membership supermarkets thriving, while traditional channels face challenges. The report emphasizes the importance of profitability over revenue growth moving forward [25][26]. - Companies like Wancheng Group and Yuyuan Foods are highlighted for their strong performance in emerging channels, while others are advised to focus on cost optimization to enhance profitability [25][26]. Restaurant Chains - The restaurant sector has been under pressure due to policies and competition, but a recovery is expected as restrictions ease and consumption peaks. The report suggests focusing on companies with low valuations and potential for recovery, such as Haidilao and Green Tea Group [29][31]. - The report notes that the overall restaurant revenue for H1 2025 was 2.75 trillion yuan, reflecting a 4.3% increase, but with high-end dining facing significant challenges [29][30]. Livestock - The livestock sector is expected to see a turnaround as raw milk prices stabilize and beef prices rise, which could significantly enhance profitability for companies like China Shengmu. The report indicates that the most challenging phase for livestock companies may be over [36][45]. - The report highlights that the decline in raw milk prices has pressured revenue, but a stabilization is anticipated, which could improve the valuation of biological assets and overall profitability [36][38].

证券日报网讯 9月9日晚间，立高食品发布公告称，公司不存在逾期担保、涉及诉讼的担保及因担保被 判决败诉而应承担损失的情况。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

证券代码：300973 证券简称：立高食品 公告编号：2025-052 债券代码：123179 债券简称：立高转债 立高食品股份有限公司 关于公司为全资子公司提供担保的进展公告 一、担保情况概述 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 立高食品股份有限公司（以下简称"立高食品"或"公司"）于2025年3月12日召开 第三届董事会第十三次会议及第三届监事会第九次会议，审议通过了《关于2025年度对 外担保额度预计的议案》，同意公司及下属子公司在2025年度为合并报表范围内子公司 （含新增子公司）提供担保额度合计不超过人民币（或等值外币）8亿元（含）。具体内 容详见公司于2025年3月12日在巨潮资讯网（www.cninfo.com.cn）披露的《关于2025年度 对外担保额度预计的公告》（公告编号：2025-014）。 为满足全资子公司广州奥昆食品有限公司（以下简称"广州奥昆"）、河南奥昆食 品有限公司（以下简称"河南奥昆"）、浙江奥昆食品有限公司（以下简称"浙江奥昆"） 生产经营和发展需要，公司近日与中信银行股份有限公司中山分行签署 3 份《最高额保 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 2.07 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.20%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 171 million yuan, up 26.24%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 167 million yuan, an increase of 33.28% [2][5]. - In Q2 2025, the total revenue reached 1.02 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.4% year-on-year growth. The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 82.39 million yuan, a 40.84% increase, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was about 80.24 million yuan, up 40.36% [2][5]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue from frozen baked goods accounted for approximately 55% of total revenue, growing about 6% year-on-year. Revenue from baking ingredients (cream, sauces, fruit products, etc.) made up about 45% and saw a growth of over 30%, driven by strong sales of cream and sauces [11]. - The gross profit margin decreased by 2.25 percentage points to 30.35%, while the net profit margin increased by 0.66 percentage points to 8.25% in the first half of 2025. The operating expense ratio decreased by 3.28 percentage points to 19.84% [11]. Channel Development - The company is actively diversifying its sales channels, with nearly 50% of revenue coming from distribution channels, which remained stable year-on-year. Revenue from supermarket channels grew nearly 30%, while innovative channels such as restaurants and new retail accounted for over 20% of total revenue, with a combined growth rate of about 40% [11]. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 350 million yuan, 427 million yuan, and 517 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.07 yuan, 2.52 yuan, and 3.05 yuan, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 23, 19, and 16 times, respectively [11].

Market Overview - The leisure food sector increased by 0.16% on September 5, with Laiyifen leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3812.51, up 1.24%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12590.56, up 3.89% [1] Key Performers - Laiyifen (603777) closed at 14.78, up 3.07% with a trading volume of 290,800 shares and a turnover of 421 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include: - Huangshanghuang (002695) at 12.33, up 1.40% [1] - Guangzhou Restaurant (603043) at 17.61, up 1.32% [1] - Yuanzu Co. (603886) at 13.34, up 1.14% [1] Underperformers - Salted Fish (002847) closed at 72.17, down 1.65% with a trading volume of 58,900 shares and a turnover of 420 million yuan [2] - Other underperformers include: - Ximai Food (002956) at 21.25, down 1.62% [2] - Youyou Food (603697) at 12.58, down 0.94% [2] Capital Flow - The leisure food sector experienced a net outflow of 80.43 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 72.85 million yuan [2] - Notable capital flows include: - Laiyifen had a net inflow of 11.73 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Yuanzu Co. saw a net inflow of 12.58 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Summary of Lihigh Food's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Lihigh Food - **Industry**: Food Production and Distribution Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - Lihigh Food achieved a **16% revenue growth** in the first half of 2025, despite the negative impact from the misalignment of the Spring Festival [2][4] - The company expects revenue growth in the second half of 2025 to either remain stable or accelerate, benefiting from the base effect of Sam's Club shelf adjustments and inventory preparations for the Spring Festival [2][4] - The overall target for 2025 is to achieve **double-digit revenue growth** and a **net profit margin** reaching high single digits [3][4] Cost Management - The company does not anticipate significant special expenses in the second half of 2025, focusing on normal marketing costs [7] - Lihigh Food has locked in orders for bulk materials like marinated products and oils until the end of 2025, expecting cost fluctuations to be more stable than market prices [7] - There is an expectation of increased raw material pressure potentially leading to a decline in gross margin [2][6] Product Innovation and Lifecycle - Products at Sam's Club have a lifecycle of about one year, necessitating continuous innovation to meet market demands [8] - New product launches are planned, including a new version of the popular **Creamy Little Square** expected to relaunch in October 2025, with annual sales potentially exceeding **200 million** [9][10] Market Expansion - Lihigh Food is expanding its customer base by entering the national chain tea beverage market, providing base milk and frozen baking products to approximately **7,000 stores** [16][17] - Other supermarket channels, such as Yonghui and Hema, are actively promoting customized services, providing more growth opportunities for the company [11] Strategic Direction - The company emphasizes a balance between supply and demand, with product managers responsible for production planning based on market feedback [21] - Lihigh Food's long-term net profit margin target is set between **8% and 10%**, with ongoing employee incentive measures and shareholder returns being considered [24][28] Competitive Advantages - Lihigh Food's flagship product, **360 Pro**, offers high cost-performance and quality stability, maintaining over **40% year-on-year growth** since its launch [29] - The domestic cream market benefits from lower prices compared to imported products, with domestic cream priced around **360 to 300 yuan per kg**, while imports are priced at **400 to 500 yuan per kg** [32] Future Outlook - The company is cautious about predicting future revenue growth across channels, needing to adjust based on market performance [33] - Lihigh Food is well-positioned to handle raw material price fluctuations, maintaining competitiveness as long as domestic fresh milk prices do not exceed **3.5 yuan/kg** [34] Additional Important Information - The company has implemented a dual assessment approach focusing on both revenue and expense efficiency [22] - The strategic execution involves continuous adjustments based on actual performance rather than rigid targets [23]