Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Agricultural Bank of China (601288.SH) [1][3] Core Views - Agricultural Bank of China demonstrated strong performance in non-interest income, with a year-on-year growth of 15.1% in the first half of 2025, significantly up from 11.1% in the first quarter [7] - The bank's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 2.7% year-on-year, driven by a recovery in revenue growth [4][7] - The bank's total assets reached 46.9 trillion yuan, reflecting an 11.6% year-on-year increase, with loans and deposits growing by 9.6% and 8.3% respectively [4][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Agricultural Bank achieved operating income of 369.9 billion yuan, a 0.8% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 139.5 billion yuan, up 2.7% [4][9] - The annualized return on equity (ROE) was reported at 10.2% [4] Income Breakdown - Non-interest income showed a significant increase, with fee income rising by 10.1% year-on-year, and other non-interest income growing by 23.2% [7][9] - Net interest income decreased by 2.9% year-on-year, influenced by a declining net interest margin of 1.32% [7][9] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.28%, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 4 basis points [8] - The bank's provision coverage ratio stood at 295%, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [8] Future Projections - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 to be 0.84, 0.89, and 0.93 yuan respectively, with corresponding profit growth rates of 4.1%, 5.6%, and 5.4% [7][11] - The price-to-book (P/B) ratios for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.91x, 0.84x, and 0.78x [7][11]

Core Viewpoint - The company has shown fluctuations in revenue and net profit growth rates over the years, indicating potential areas for investment analysis and risk assessment [13][15][22]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue growth rate has varied, with a peak of 9.47% in 2021 and a decline to 0.03% in 2023 [13]. - The net profit growth rate also experienced fluctuations, with a high of 9% in 2021 and a drop to -3.67% in 2022 [13][15]. - For the first half of 2025, the average return on equity was 4.51%, a slight decrease of 0.05 percentage points compared to the same period last year [22]. Cash Flow Analysis - In the first half of 2025, the net cash flow from operating activities was 10,058.04 billion, while financing activities generated 3,038.98 billion, and investment activities resulted in a negative cash flow of -3,835.82 billion [25]. Asset and Liability Changes - As of the first half of 2025, the company's monetary funds increased by 57.55%, raising its proportion of total assets by 2.24 percentage points [30]. - Debt investments rose by 4.48%, but their proportion of total assets decreased by 0.82 percentage points [30]. - The company's liabilities saw significant changes, with a 73.2% increase in sold repurchase financial assets, raising their proportion of total assets by 0.85 percentage points [33]. Historical Trends - The company's asset-liability ratio has shown a consistent trend, with the latest figures indicating a ratio of 92.07% in the first half of 2025, compared to the industry average and median [35].

银行业 买入（维持） 净利润增速领跑国有行，其他非息表现亮眼 农业银行（601288）2025 年半年报点评 2025 年 9 月 2 日 投资要点： 分析师：吴晓彤 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340524070001 电话：0769-22119302 邮箱： wuxiaotong@dgzq.com.cn 主要数据 2025 年 9 月 1 日 | 收盘价(元) | 7.05 | | --- | --- | | 总市值（亿元） | 23,978 | | 总股本(百万股) | 349,983 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 349,983 | | ROE（TTM） | 10.67% | | 12 月最高价(元) | 7.34 | | 12 月最低价(元) | 4.14 | 股价走势 农业银行 深 资料来源：iFinD，东莞证券研究所 事件：农业银行发布2025年半年报。2025年上半年，农业银行实现营业收入 3,699亿元、净利润1,399亿元，同比分别+0.8%、+2.5%，平均总资产回报率 0.62%，加权平均净资产收益率10.16%，成本收入比27.81%。 点评： 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的 ...

美银证券发布研报称，农业银行(01288,601288.SH)今年上半年净利润同比增长2.7%至1,395亿元人民 币，再次领先主要银行，且与该行预期完全一致。美银证券将农业银行将目标价上调0.5%至1.2%，H股 目标价为5.7港元、A股目标价为6.86元人民币;重申H股"买入"评级，因其每股盈利成长领先同业。但美 银证券将农行A股从"买入"降级至"跑输大市"，因农行A股过去三个月上涨近30%，大幅超越同业及H 股，股息收益率降至仅3.6%。 ...

美银证券发布研报称，农业银行（601288）(01288,601288.SH)今年上半年净利润同比增长2.7%至1,395 亿元人民币，再次领先主要银行，且与该行预期完全一致。美银证券将农业银行将目标价上调0.5%至 1.2%，H股目标价为5.7港元、A股目标价为6.86元人民币;重申H股"买入"评级，因其每股盈利成长领先 同业。但美银证券将农行A股从"买入"降级至"跑输大市"，因农行A股过去三个月上涨近30%，大幅超 越同业及H股，股息收益率降至仅3.6%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Agricultural Bank with a target price not specified [9] Core Views - Agricultural Bank's revenue and profit have shown improvement in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 0.85% and a net profit increase of 2.66% [2][6] - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.28% and a provision coverage ratio of 295% [5][28] Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, Agricultural Bank achieved a revenue of approximately 369.94 billion yuan, with net interest income of 282.47 billion yuan, accounting for 76.36% of total revenue [2][14] - Non-interest income was strong, reaching 87.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.10% [3][22] - The bank's net interest margin recorded at 1.32%, slightly down by 2 basis points from Q1 2025 [17][19] Asset and Liability Management - As of H1 2025, the total interest-earning assets amounted to 46 trillion yuan, growing by 8.42% from the end of 2024 [4][23] - The total interest-bearing liabilities reached 42.47 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 13.02% [4][27] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 1.28%, unchanged from the previous quarter, while the overdue rate increased slightly to 1.22% [5][28] - The provision coverage ratio remains high at 295%, indicating strong risk management [5][29] Future Profitability Projections - The report forecasts Agricultural Bank's net profit growth for 2025-2027 at 1.98%, 3.94%, and 4.63% respectively [6][8]

美银证券发表研究报告称，农业银行上半年净利润按年增长2.7%至1,395亿元，再次领先主要银行，且 与该行预期完全一致。该行将农业银行将目标价上调0.5%至1.2%，H股目标价为5.7港元、A股目标价为 6.86元；重申H股"买入"评级，因其每股盈利成长领先同业。但美银证券将农行A股从"买入"降至"跑输 大市"，因农行A股过去三个月上涨近30%，大幅超越同业及H股，股息收益率降至仅3.6%。 ...

美银证券发表研究报告称，农业银行上半年净利润按年增长2.7%至1,395亿元，再次领先主要银行，且 与该行预期完全一致。该行将农业银行将目标价上调0.5%至1.2%，H股目标价为5.7港元、A股目标价为 6.86元；重申H股"买入"评级，因其每股盈利成长领先同业。但美银证券将农行A股从"买入"降至"跑输 大市"，因农行A股过去三个月上涨近30%，大幅超越同业及H股，股息收益率降至仅3.6%。 ...

Core Points - China Agricultural Bank will distribute the "2025 Shanghai Government Refinancing General Bond (Phase IV)" starting September 1, 2025, with a bond code of 2505951 [1] - The bond has a fixed interest rate of 1.6800% and a maturity of 5 years, with annual interest payments [1] - The funds raised will be used to repay the principal of Shanghai government bonds maturing in 2025, as per the Ministry of Finance's requirements [1] Distribution and Subscription - The bond will be available to individual investors, financial institutions, and non-financial institutions nationwide, with subscriptions through various channels including bank branches and online banking [1] - The minimum subscription unit is one bond (face value of 100 yuan), with no upper limit on the number of subscriptions [1] - The subscription period is from 10:00 AM to 4:50 PM on working days, and it operates on a first-come, first-served basis until sold out [1] Payment and Taxation - The Shanghai Municipal Finance Bureau will handle the repayment of principal and interest, with China Agricultural Bank acting as an agent for the payment to customers [2] - Interest income from the bonds is exempt from corporate and personal income tax, according to regulations from the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation [2] - Investors can verify their bond balance through the Central Government Securities Depository Trust and Clearing Co., Ltd. starting from the bond listing date [2]

截至报告期末，农业银行县域贷款余额10.77万亿元，新增9164亿元，增速9.3%，高于全行平均水 平2.0个百分点；余额占境内贷款比重40.9%。 截至报告期末，农业银行乡村产业、乡村建设领域贷款余额分别为2.70万亿元、2.44万亿元，增速 分别为21.3%、8.5%，分别高于全行14.0个、1.2个百分点。大力拓展粮食全产业链信贷服务，粮食和重 要农产品保供相关领域贷款余额1.24万亿元，新增2372亿元，增速23.7%。 截至报告期末，农业银行832个脱贫县贷款余额2.48万亿元，增速8.9%，高于全行1.6个百分点。建 立重点帮扶地区"一县一档案"工作机制和分层分类帮扶机制，160个国家乡村振兴重点帮扶县贷款余额 4758亿元，增速9.0%，高于全行1.7个百分点。"三区三州"地区贷款余额超4797亿元，新增389亿元，增 速8.8%。 责任编辑：杨喜亭 报告期内，农业银行净利润、营业收入保持"双正增长"，增速分别较一季度提升0.7个、0.4个百分 点。其中，净利润1399亿元，同比增长2.53%；营业收入3698亿元，同比增长0.72%。资本充足率 17.45%。 截至报告期末，农业银行不良贷款率 ...