Affirm(AFRM)

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Affirm Holdings (AFRM) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 23:30
Core Insights - Affirm Holdings reported revenue of $783.14 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 35.9% [1] - The company's EPS was $0.01, a significant improvement from -$0.43 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of +111.11% [1] - The reported revenue was slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $783.85 million, indicating a surprise of -0.09% [1] Key Financial Metrics - Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) reached $8,558 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $8,129.51 billion [4] - Transactions per Active Consumer were 6, surpassing the estimated average of 5 [4] - Active Consumers totaled 22, slightly above the average estimate of 21 [4] - Revenue from the Merchant network was $213.97 million, compared to the estimated $199.48 million, marking a year-over-year increase of 34.3% [4] - Revenue from the Card network was $58.57 million, exceeding the estimated $46.40 million, with a year-over-year growth of 64.2% [4] - Revenue from Interest income was $402.70 million, slightly below the estimated $414.44 million, but still reflecting a year-over-year increase of 27.6% [4] - Revenue from Servicing income was $32.05 million, above the estimated $31.25 million, representing a year-over-year change of 26.7% [4] - Revenue from Gain on sales of loans was $75.84 million, below the estimated $81.19 million, but showing a significant year-over-year increase of 88.7% [4] Stock Performance - Affirm Holdings' shares have returned +16.3% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +11.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting potential for outperformance in the near term [3]
Affirm Holdings (AFRM) Q3 Earnings Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 22:50
Core Viewpoint - Affirm Holdings reported quarterly earnings of $0.01 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.09 per share, marking an earnings surprise of 111.11% [1] - The company has consistently exceeded consensus EPS estimates over the last four quarters [2] Financial Performance - Affirm Holdings generated revenues of $783.14 million for the quarter ended March 2025, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.09%, compared to $576.16 million in the same quarter last year [2] - The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times in the last four quarters [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Affirm Holdings shares have declined approximately 15.4% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 has decreased by 4.3% [3] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for assessing future stock performance, with current consensus EPS estimates at $0.08 for the upcoming quarter and -$0.06 for the current fiscal year [4][7] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, to which Affirm Holdings belongs, is currently ranked in the top 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable environment for stock performance [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked using tools like the Zacks Rank [5][6]
Affirm(AFRM.US)Q3扭亏为盈 Q4营收预测不及预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 22:31
Core Viewpoint - Affirm reported stronger-than-expected earnings for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, but its revenue forecast for the fourth quarter fell short of analyst expectations, leading to a 10% drop in stock price during after-hours trading [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For Q3 FY2025, Affirm's earnings per share were $0.01, exceeding the expected loss of $0.03 per share, with a net profit of $2.8 million compared to a loss of $133.9 million in the same period last year [1]. - Revenue for the quarter was $783 million, matching expectations, and represented a 36% year-over-year increase from $576 million [1]. - The total Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) reached $8.6 billion, surpassing the market expectation of $8.2 billion, reflecting a 36% year-over-year growth [1]. Group 2: Future Outlook - Affirm's revenue forecast for Q4 is between $815 million and $845 million, with a midpoint of $830 million, which is below the expected $841 million, disappointing investors [1]. - The company anticipates Q4 GMV to be between $9.4 billion and $9.7 billion, with a midpoint of $9.55 billion, exceeding market expectations of $9.2 billion [2]. - Adjusted operating margin is expected to be between 23% and 25%, aligning closely with the market estimate of 23.8% [2]. Group 3: User Growth and Partnerships - The total number of active users has increased to 22 million, with 2 million new users added [2]. - The "Affirm Card" business saw GMV surge by 115% year-over-year, with the number of active card users doubling [2]. - Partnerships with major platforms like Apple, Amazon, and Shopify continue to drive transaction volume growth [2]. Group 4: Regulatory Environment - The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) announced the cessation of a regulation that increased compliance difficulties for BNPL providers, which is viewed as a positive development for Affirm and similar companies [2]. - The volume of 0% interest loans has increased significantly, rising 44% year-over-year, often subsidized by merchants to boost sales [2]. - Affirm's core "4-installment payment" product maintains stable credit quality, with a default rate below 1% [2]. Group 5: Stock Performance - Despite improvements in fundamentals, Affirm's stock has declined by 11% year-to-date, while the Nasdaq index has decreased by approximately 7% during the same period [3].
Affirm, Costco Launch BNPL Partnership for eCommerce
PYMNTS.com· 2025-05-08 22:05
Affirm is partnering with Costco to offer online shoppers the option to pay over time for transactions.The financial services company announced the collaboration Thursday (May 8) in a shareholder letter. Customers, if approved, will be to able select monthly Affirm payment plans when shopping on Costco’s website.“[We] are proud to announce our online partnership with Costco — a brand and a retailer I have personally admired for a long time because of their unwavering commitment to customer experience and tr ...
Affirm(AFRM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is pleased to improve its outlook for the current quarter and the fiscal year, indicating a positive trend in financial performance [6][7] - The quarter showed strong growth in GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume), with March being the strongest month at 40% year-on-year growth [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong growth was observed across various business lines, particularly in direct-to-consumer services, which outpaced the overall business growth [19] - The zero APR product is gaining traction, although it has a lower revenue and return on loan compared to interest-bearing loans [10][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted broad-based strength in GMV across its merchant base, with only one category experiencing a decline [19] - The company is actively engaging with merchants to promote zero APR offers, which are seen as beneficial for both parties [11][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to balance growth and profitability while continuing to take market share [7] - There is a focus on enhancing the Affirm app to improve user engagement and repayment rates, with ongoing updates and features being rolled out [61][63] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management is mindful of potential economic challenges, including the impact of student loan enforcement and broader economic conditions [59] - The company is prepared for recession scenarios and has a proactive approach to adjusting credit quality and underwriting standards as needed [34][112] Other Important Information - The partnership with Costco is highlighted as a significant development, although specific timelines and metrics are not disclosed [70][71] - The company is committed to reporting loan data to credit bureaus, which is seen as beneficial for consumers and the company's brand [40][42] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the balance of economics between zero APR and interest-bearing loans? - Management indicated that while zero APR loans generate less revenue, they enhance brand loyalty and customer acquisition, leading to better credit quality in the long term [10][12] Question: What are the pockets of strength in GMV? - The company reported strong growth across most categories, with direct-to-consumer services leading the charge [19][20] Question: How does the company view the impact of student loan enforcement? - Management is monitoring the situation closely and has already factored student loan delinquencies into their underwriting processes [59] Question: Can you elaborate on the competition and funding structure? - The competitive landscape remains intense, but the company focuses on conversion and impact rather than pricing to maintain its market position [122][123] - A bank charter is not seen as a solution for the current funding strategy, but the company remains open to pursuing one if necessary for product development [116][120]
Affirm(AFRM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is pleased to improve its outlook for the current quarter and the fiscal year, indicating a positive trend in financial performance [6] - The company is on a journey towards becoming GAAP profitable, balancing growth and profitability [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The strength in GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume) was broad-based, with strong growth across various categories, particularly in direct-to-consumer services, which grew faster than the overall business [18][19] - March was highlighted as the strongest month of growth, achieving a 40% year-on-year GMV growth [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that the 0% APR product is gaining excellent traction, with a focus on maintaining high credit quality [10][12] - The company is actively responding to merchant requests for promotional financing, which is seen as a growth opportunity [10][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to balance growth opportunities with excellent credit quality while being judicious in spending [6] - The management emphasized the importance of the 0% APR product as a tool for market share growth and customer acquisition, viewing it as a long-term value booster [12][28] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management is mindful of the potential implications of student loan enforcement and has factored this into their underwriting processes [59] - The company is continuously monitoring credit trends and is prepared to adjust its strategies based on market conditions [110][115] Other Important Information - The company is focused on enhancing its app to improve user engagement and repayment rates, with ongoing updates and improvements [61][64] - The partnership with Costco is seen as a significant opportunity, although specific timelines for impact were not disclosed [70][71] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the balance between zero APR loans and interest-bearing loans? - Management indicated that while zero APR loans generate slightly lower revenue, they significantly improve credit quality and customer acquisition, leading to long-term benefits [10][12] Question: What are the pockets of strength in GMV? - The company reported strong growth across various categories, with direct-to-consumer services leading the charge [18][19] Question: How does the company view the competitive landscape? - Management acknowledged the competitive environment but emphasized their focus on conversion and impact rather than pricing [126][129] Question: What are the implications of student loan enforcement? - The company is monitoring the situation closely and has already incorporated student loan data into their underwriting processes [59] Question: Can you provide an update on international expansion? - The partnership with Adyen is expected to speed up integration in the UK, with ongoing efforts to educate the market about the company's offerings [91][92] Question: How is AI being utilized within the company? - The company is leveraging machine learning for credit scoring and operational efficiency, while also exploring generative AI for customer interactions [96][100]
Affirm(AFRM) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-05-08 21:36
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from __________ to __________ Commission File Number: 001-39888 Affirm Holdings, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 84-2224323 (I ...
Affirm(AFRM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-08 20:37
FY Q3 2025 Earnings Supplement May 8, 2025 Safe Harbor Statement/Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Cautionary Note About Forward-Looking Statements 2 OUR MISSION This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, that involve risks and uncertainties. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, inclu ...
Affirm drops 10% on weaker-than-expected guidance for current quarter
CNBC· 2025-05-08 20:21
Core Insights - Affirm's revenue forecast for the current quarter is below analysts' estimates, leading to a 10% drop in stock price during extended trading [1] - The company reported a gross merchandise volume (GMV) of $8.6 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $8.2 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 36% [1] - Revenue for the quarter rose 36% to $783 million compared to $576 million a year ago, with net income of $2.8 million, a significant improvement from a loss of $133.9 million a year earlier [2][5] Financial Performance - The revenue less transaction costs (RLTC) margin was reported at 4.1%, slightly above the long-term target range of 3% to 4% [2] - Adjusted operating margin was 22%, surpassing the estimate of 21.6% [2] - Earnings per share were reported at 1 cent, compared to an expected loss of 3 cents [5] Future Guidance - For the current quarter, Affirm is guiding for revenue between $815 million and $845 million, with a midpoint of $830 million, which is below the average estimate of $841 million [3] Market Context - Affirm's business is closely linked to consumer spending, particularly in sectors like electronics, apparel, and travel [4] - The U.S. economy experienced contraction in early 2025, influenced by an import surge as companies and consumers anticipated tariffs [4]
Affirm(AFRM) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-05-08 20:07
affirm) Third Fiscal Quarter 2025 We continued to lean into 0% APR monthly installments which grew 44% year over year, and constituted 13% of total GMV, the highest level in the past two years. While Shareholder Letter (a) ·1234 Pay over time Pay in full a Purchasing power ( $1,200 Plan a purchase Get as low as 0% APR on all essential electronics at Radio City -> Fellow Affirm Shareholders, In FQ3'25 we delivered another strong set of results: Gross Merchandise Volume Revenue Less Transaction Revenue Costs ...