Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 129.8 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.87 billion yuan, up 37% year-on-year [3]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 49.1 billion yuan, a 0.9% increase year-on-year, but a net profit decrease of 11% year-on-year, primarily due to high non-fuel costs [3]. - The company is adapting to industry changes by maintaining a balanced pricing strategy, with domestic passenger kilometer revenue down 3.0% year-on-year [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company’s operating revenue was 129.8 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.87 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.64 billion yuan [3]. - The third quarter's unit non-fuel costs remained high, with a year-on-year increase of 0.7%, while fuel costs decreased by 6.7% [4]. - The company’s financial expenses improved, with interest expenses down by 598 million yuan year-on-year [4]. - The company plans to raise 20 billion yuan through a new share issuance to enhance liquidity for its subsidiary, Shenzhen Airlines, which has been in a state of insolvency since 2022 [5]. Profit Forecast and Financial Indicators - The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.04 billion yuan in 2025, 5.98 billion yuan in 2026, and 8.22 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 136, 24, and 17 [6][11]. - The company’s total revenue is expected to grow from 166.7 billion yuan in 2024 to 198.7 billion yuan in 2027, with a growth rate of 18.1% in 2024 and gradually decreasing thereafter [12].

Core Viewpoint - China National Airlines reported a decline in its third-quarter performance, with significant underperformance compared to its peers, leading to a negative market reaction following its financial disclosures and capital increase plan [1][6]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, China National Airlines achieved a revenue of 129.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.87 billion yuan, up 37.3% [1][4]. - In the third quarter alone, the company reported a revenue of 49.1 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 0.9%, but the net profit fell to 3.68 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.3% year-on-year [2][4]. Comparison with Competitors - China National Airlines' net profit for the first three quarters was the lowest among the three major airlines, trailing behind Southern Airlines and Eastern Airlines, which reported net profits of 2.31 billion yuan and 2.10 billion yuan, respectively [3][4]. - The company's gross margin was 7.06% and net margin was 1.05%, both ranking last among the seven listed airlines [4][5]. Capital Increase Plan - The company announced a plan to issue shares at a price of 6.57 yuan per share to its controlling shareholder and related parties, aiming to raise up to 20 billion yuan [1][5]. - The issuance price represents a discount of 23% compared to the closing price of 8.55 yuan prior to the announcement, which may dilute the interests of minority shareholders [5][6]. Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the third-quarter results and the capital increase plan, shares of China National Airlines fell sharply, with A-shares dropping by 8.07% and H-shares by 6.87%, indicating a negative market sentiment [6].

Core Viewpoint - China National Airlines reported a mixed performance in its Q3 financial results, with a significant decline in net profit and a proposed low-priced share issuance that may dilute minority shareholders' interests [1][2][11]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved a revenue of 129.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.87 billion yuan, up 37.3% [1]. - In Q3 alone, the revenue was 49.1 billion yuan, reflecting a 0.9% increase, while the net profit dropped to 3.68 billion yuan, a decline of 11.3% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company's net profit for the first three quarters was the lowest among the three major airlines, with Q3 performance being particularly disappointing compared to its peers [3][4]. Share Issuance and Market Reaction - The company announced a plan to issue shares at 6.57 yuan each, which is 23% lower than the closing price of 8.55 yuan on the day before the announcement, aiming to raise up to 20 billion yuan [2][11]. - Following the announcement of the Q3 results and the share issuance plan, the company's A-shares and H-shares fell by 8.07% and 6.87%, respectively, indicating negative market sentiment [1][11]. Debt and Financial Health - Despite raising significant funds in recent years, including 21 billion yuan from A-shares and 2 billion Hong Kong dollars from H-shares, the company's debt ratio remains high at approximately 88%, which is notably higher than its competitors [2][9]. - The funds from the new share issuance are intended for debt repayment and to supplement working capital, but the high debt level raises concerns about financial stability [7][8][11]. Operational Metrics - The company reported a gross margin of 7.06% and a net margin of 1.05%, both of which are the lowest among the seven listed airlines [4][6]. - The passenger load factor was 81.3%, also trailing behind its competitors, despite transporting approximately 120 million passengers in the first three quarters [6].

Core Viewpoint - China International Airlines (Air China) reported a revenue of 129.826 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.31%, and a net profit of 1.87 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 37.31% [2] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Air China generated a revenue of 80.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.6%, but reported a net loss of 1.806 billion yuan, the largest loss among the three major state-owned airlines [2] - In the third quarter of 2025, Air China's revenue was 49.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, and a net profit of 3.676 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [2] - The gross profit margin for the third quarter was 13.78%, an increase of 0.7% year-on-year, while the net profit decreased by 11.3% year-on-year [2] Capacity and Utilization - Air China invested 98.2 billion available seat kilometers (ASK) in the third quarter, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, with a passenger load factor of 82.3%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The unit revenue per ASK was 0.499 yuan, a decrease of 1% year-on-year [2] Industry Context - The civil aviation industry in China saw a total of 371 million passengers in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6%, with an average ticket price for economy class decreasing by 6.9% year-on-year [3] - The industry is facing challenges of oversupply, with high-speed rail (HSR) increasingly competing for market share, particularly in short to medium-haul routes [3][6] Strategic Initiatives - Air China plans to raise up to 20 billion yuan through a private placement to repay debts and enhance liquidity, with a share price set at 6.57 yuan per share [6][7] - The company aims to improve its operational efficiency and safety standards, optimize its capital structure, and enhance its profitability and risk resilience [7] Debt Management - As of the third quarter of 2025, Air China's debt-to-asset ratio was 87.88%, showing a declining trend from previous years [7]

FF301 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國國際航空股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00753 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 4,955,610,672 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 4,955,610,672 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 4,955,610,672 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 4,955,610,672 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 FF301 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國國際航空股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00753 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 4,955,610,672 | | 0 | | 4,955,610,672 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 4,955,610,672 | | 0 | | 4,955,610,672 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | ...

Group 1 - The aviation stocks have shown a recovery, with China National Aviation (601111) up 3.33% to HKD 5.9, Eastern Airlines (00670) up 3.01% to HKD 4.11, Southern Airlines (600029) up 2.78% to HKD 4.81, and Cathay Pacific (00293) up 1.26% to HKD 11.21 [1] - Recent quarterly reports indicate that in Q3, China National Aviation's net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 11%, while Eastern Airlines' net profit increased by 34% and Southern Airlines' net profit increased by 20% [1] - Morgan Stanley noted that despite the poor Q3 performance of China National Aviation and the parent company's suggestion for capital injection, these factors do not alter their constructive view on the upward cycle of mainland airlines [1] Group 2 - Cathay Securities pointed out that during recent important domestic meetings, passenger load factors and domestic ticket prices have shown a year-on-year increase, with estimates indicating a 3-4% rise in domestic oil-inclusive ticket prices for October [2] - The traditional seasonal impact on pre-sales is weaker than in previous years, and the industry remains optimistic about continued demand from business travelers [2] - A-share airline companies are expected to achieve counter-cyclical growth in Q3 2025, exceeding Q3 2019 levels for three consecutive years, indicating an upward trend and potential for profitability [2]

长江商报消息●长江商报记者 徐佳 值得关注的是，在民航强势复苏的背景下，三大航司中的中国国航再次获得大股东真金白银支持。10月30日晚 间，中国国航抛出定增预案，公司拟向控股股东中国航空集团有限公司（以下简称"中航集团"）及其全资子公司 定增募资不超过200亿元，全部用于偿还债务和补充流动资金。 由于航空业具有显著的资本密集型特征，保持合理的资本结构是航司实现长期稳健发展的重要基础。直接获得大 股东注入资金，中国国航的资金实力将得到提升。 长江商报记者粗略计算，包括本次定增在内，三年间，中航集团方面合计将向中国国航注资超333.12亿元。 燃油成本下降毛利率集体回升 在油价下行与需求改善的共同驱动下，三大航司集体实现盈利。 数据显示，2025年前三季度，中国国航实现营业收入1298.26亿元，同比增长1.31%；净利润18.7亿元，同比增长 37.31%；扣除非经常性损益后的净利润（以下简称"扣非净利润"）16.44亿元，同比增长279.95%。 同期，南方航空实现营业收入1376.65亿元，同比增长2.23%；净利润和扣非净利润分别为23.07亿元、14.23亿元， 同比增长17.4%、345.77%。中国 ...

10月31日中国国航（601111）收盘报7.86元，跌8.07%，当日成交2.51亿元，已连续2日下跌。前10个交 易日主力资金累计净流出4.88亿元，股价累计下跌7.2%；融资余额累计减少2168.27万元，融券余量累 计减少2.18万股。近90天内有10家机构给予评级，其中买入评级5家，增持评级5家，机构目标均价为 9.18元。 截至2025年10月31日收盘，中国国航(601111)报收于7.86元，下跌8.07%，换手率2.16%，成交量250.84 万手，成交额19.9亿元。 当日关注点 资金流向方面，10月31日主力资金净流出2.91亿元，占总成交额14.64%；游资资金净流入1.74亿元，占 总成交额8.73%；散户资金净流入1.18亿元，占总成交额5.91%。 股本股东变化 中国国际航空股份有限公司拟向特定对象发行A股股票，发行对象为控股股东中航集团及其全资子公司 中航控股，募集资金总额不超过200亿元，以现金全额认购。发行数量不超过3,044,140,030股，不超过 发行前总股本的30%。当前公司总股本为17,448,421,000股，中航集团直接和间接合计持股约53.71%。 发行完成 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.68 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11%, slightly below expectations due to higher-than-expected non-fuel costs [1][3] - Total operating revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 129.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, with a net profit of 1.87 billion yuan, up 37.3% year-on-year [1] - The company plans to raise no more than 20 billion yuan through a private placement to optimize its capital structure, with full subscription from its controlling shareholder and related parties, indicating confidence in future growth [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company recorded total operating revenue of approximately 49.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, and a net profit of 3.68 billion yuan, down 11.3% year-on-year [1][2] - The company's fleet size at the end of Q3 2025 was 946 aircraft, with a net increase of 16 aircraft in the first three quarters [2] - The company's gross margin improved by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year to 13.8%, despite a decline in unit revenue due to falling ticket prices [3] Revenue and Cost Analysis - In Q3 2025, the unit revenue per RPK was 0.607 yuan, down 2.6% year-on-year, while the unit revenue per ASK was 0.499 yuan, down 1.0% year-on-year [3] - The estimated unit fuel cost per ASK decreased by 11% year-on-year due to falling oil prices, while non-fuel costs increased by 3% [3] Future Outlook - The company expects steady growth in demand and a potential reversal in supply-demand dynamics, with projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at approximately 0.6 billion, 5.5 billion, and 9.1 billion yuan, respectively [5] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating based on the anticipated recovery in the industry [5]