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BTI Up 13.68% Since 7/1, The 8.45% Yield Exceeds 2024 P/E Of 7.23
Seeking Alpha· 2024-07-29 13:00
Core Viewpoint - BTI is seen as an undervalued company with strong financials and a significant opportunity for growth, particularly in the smokeless product segment, despite the ongoing stigma surrounding the tobacco industry [2][9][13]. Financial Performance - BTI's shares have increased by 16.81% since early April, outperforming the S&P 500, which rose by 4.10%. The total return, including dividends, is 19.62% [2]. - The company generated $15.99 billion in EBITDA over the trailing twelve months, resulting in a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.67x, indicating a strong financial position [6]. - In Q2, BTI reported $7.8 billion in revenue and a gross profit of $6.43 billion, achieving a gross profit margin of 82.46% and a profit margin of 36.4% [13]. Product Portfolio and Market Strategy - BTI has a diverse product portfolio, including traditional cigarettes and a growing range of smokeless products, with 17.9% of revenue now coming from smokeless products, up 1.4% since the end of 2023 [3]. - The company added 1.4 million consumers to its smokeless brands in Q2, bringing the total to 26.4 million [3]. - BTI has received authorization to market its Vuse Alto device in the U.S., which is expected to enhance its performance in the coming years [3]. Valuation and Growth Potential - BTI is trading at less than 8 times earnings, with expected earnings growth of 5.35% over the next two years, making it a compelling value opportunity compared to peers like Altria Group and Philip Morris [7]. - The company is projected to generate $10.8 billion in earnings from operations in the 2024 fiscal year, with a dividend payout of $2.97 per share, representing 61.11% of projected EPS [8]. Share Buyback and Retained Earnings - BTI repurchased 15.19 million shares in the first half of 2024 and plans to allocate GBP700 million ($901.04 million) for buybacks in 2024 and GBP900 million ($1.16 billion) in 2025, while retaining $3.3 billion in earnings for further investments [8]. - After paying dividends, BTI expects to retain $4.2 billion in profitability from 2024's earnings, allowing for continued deleveraging and investment in growth [8]. Market Outlook - The tobacco industry is perceived to be undervalued, and BTI's recent share price increase may signal the beginning of a sustainable rally, driven by strong profitability and a high dividend yield exceeding 8% [9][14]. - The market may start to favor value companies, positioning BTI favorably for future appreciation as it continues to deliver strong financial results [9][14].
British American Tobacco: A Strong Message From The King
Seeking Alpha· 2024-07-26 04:51
Core Viewpoint - British American Tobacco (BTI) remains fundamentally sound despite recent challenges, with a strong dividend yield and potential for growth driven by improved macroeconomic conditions and successful business strategies [4][6][9]. Financial Performance - BTI's total revenue decreased by 0.8%, while adjusted profit from operations declined by approximately 5%. However, earnings per share (EPS) increased by 1.3% due to lower net financing costs and a reduced share count from share buybacks [11]. - The company managed to expand its margins by 100 basis points during H1, 2024, despite a declining top-line, aided by efficiency gains and strong contributions from new category segments [11]. Market Dynamics - The macroeconomic outlook is improving, with lower financing costs expected to enhance consumer demand for BTI's products. Recent data indicates a decrease in inflation and a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut by the end of the year [6][7]. - BTI added 1.4 million smokeless consumers, contributing 18% to group revenue and generating an incremental GBP 165 million in cash flow. The contribution margin from new categories expanded by 10% [11]. Future Outlook - Management anticipates organic revenue growth of 3% to 5% and mid-single-digit adjusted profit from operations growth on an organic constant currency basis by 2026 [11]. - The company aims to achieve a leverage ratio of 2-2.5x adjusted net debt to adjusted EBITDA by the end of 2024, indicating a focus on optimizing the balance sheet and reducing financial risk [8][11].
BAT(BTI) - 2024 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2024-07-25 13:09
Financial Performance - Net cash generated from operating activities declined by £210 million, impacted by a £267 million final payment related to settlement agreements[10] - The Group generated £4,122 million from operating activities in the six months ended 30 June 2024, a decrease of 8.9% compared to £4,522 million in 2023[14] - Net cash generated from operating activities was £3,165 million, down from £3,375 million, reflecting a decline of 6.2%[14] - The Group's total comprehensive income attributable to owners of the parent was £4,526 million, compared to a loss of £599 million in the same period last year[23] - The Group reported a profit for the period of £4,559 million for the six months ended 30 June 2024, compared to £4,035 million for the same period in 2023, representing an increase of 12.9%[34] - Total comprehensive income for the period was £4,590 million, which includes a profit of £4,492 million and other comprehensive income of £98 million[34] - The Group's total profit from operations was £4,258 million, down from £6,020 million in 2023, reflecting a decrease of 29.3%[158] - Profit from operations decreased by 28.3% to £4,258 million, with an operating margin of 34.5%, down 9.7 percentage points[58] - The profit for the period was £3,959 million, compared to £4,035 million in the previous period, reflecting a decrease of approximately 1.9%[45] - The Group's profit for the period for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was £275 million, a significant improvement from a loss of £277 million in the prior year[181] Revenue and Sales - Revenue for the six months ended 30 June 2024 was £12,340 million, down 8.2% from £13,441 million in 2023[53] - Reported revenue decreased by 8.2% to £12,340 million, primarily due to the sale of businesses in Russia and Belarus, lower organic Combustibles volume (down 6.9%), and a translational foreign exchange headwind of 4.5%[63] - Revenue from Combustibles fell by 10.1% to £9,856 million, with an organic revenue decline of 2.6% at constant exchange rates[97] - Revenue from New Categories was £1,651 million, down 0.4%, but up 7.4% on an organic constant rate basis[59] - Modern Oral revenue reported a growth of 41.9%, with volume growth of 50.0%, indicating strong market performance[74] - The Group's revenue from the AME region was £4,376 million, a decrease from £4,730 million in 2023, representing a decline of 7.5%[158] - The APMEA region reported revenue of £2,586 million, slightly up from £2,801 million in 2023, showing a modest increase of 10.4%[158] Cash Flow and Financing - Net cash from investing activities was £1,433 million, an improvement of £1,392 million from the previous year, primarily due to £1,577 million net proceeds from the partial monetisation of investment in ITC[10] - Net cash used in financing activities was an outflow of £3,358 million in 2024, compared to a £3,023 million outflow in the previous year[11] - The Group maintained investment-grade credit ratings from Moody's (Baa2), S&P (BBB+), and Fitch (BBB+), supporting its ability to access debt capital markets[9] - The Group had access to a £5.4 billion revolving credit facility, which was undrawn as of 30 June 2024[9] - The Group repurchased bonds prior to their maturity in a principal amount of £1.8 billion as part of a capped debt tender offer in May 2024[9] - The Group's liquidity remains strong, with an average debt maturity of 9.2 years and a fixed debt profile of 84%[69] - Closing net debt was £33,658 million, down from £38,345 million in June 2023, reflecting a significant reduction in financial liabilities[139] Impairments and Adjustments - The Group recognized an impairment of £472 million for Camel Snus due to a forecasted decline in cash flows, with a 5-year volume CAGR of -10.2%[16] - Amortization and impairment of trademarks and similar intangibles amounted to £1,295 million, significantly higher than £108 million in the same period last year[20] - Total adjusting items included in profit from operations reached £1,306 million, compared to £85 million in 2023, indicating a substantial increase[20] - The effect of impairment of intangibles and other assets was £373 million for the six months ended June 30, 2024, compared to £68 million in 2023, indicating increased impairment charges[171] Market and Consumer Trends - The number of consumers of smokeless products increased by 1.4 million to 26.4 million[58] - The company experienced robust combustibles pricing, with volume and value share gains in AME and APMEA, offset by declines in the U.S.[62] - Modern Oral revenue increased by 122%, driven by a 226% rise in volume following the refreshed Velo brand and the national roll-out of Grizzly Modern Oral[124] - The Group's share of post-tax results of associates and joint ventures showed a significant credit of £1,367 million in the first half of 2024, compared to a charge of £15 million in the same period of 2023[28] Tax and Legal Matters - The Group's tax rate was affected by adjusting items, with a total of £36 million in adjusting items included in taxation for the six months ended 30 June 2024[32] - The Group's exposure to tax obligations includes a provision for potential exposure to tax, interest, and penalties of BRL969 million (£138 million) for the 2020-2023 period due to ongoing tax audits[172] - The Group paid US$332 million (approximately £267 million) to the U.S. Department of Justice in June 2024 as a final settlement for a previously disclosed investigation[179] - As of June 30, 2024, the Group's subsidiaries faced 252 pending Engle progeny cases involving approximately 311 individual plaintiffs[182] Management and Governance - The company appointed Soraya Benchikh as Chief Financial Officer effective May 1, 2024, following changes in the Board[47] - The Group's management believes that value share is particularly useful for investors to understand the performance of BAT's brands relative to competitors in various categories and geographies[200]
BAT(BTI) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-07-25 12:07
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Group revenue decreased by 0.8%, while new category revenue grew over 7% [35] - Profit from operations was down 0.9%, and diluted EPS increased by 1.3% [35] - Adjusted profit from operations was down 5%, but efficiency gains allowed for a 100 basis point margin expansion [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Smokeless products accounted for 18% of group revenue, up 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [3] - Modern Oral revenue increased by 49%, with market share growing by 30 basis points [14] - Combustibles volume declined by 6.9% on an organic basis, primarily due to wholesaler inventory movements [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., total revenue was down 7%, mainly driven by combustibles performance and the impact of illicit products on the vapor category [46] - AME region saw smokeless products represent 25% of regional revenues, driving strong regional delivery [48] - Vapor revenue in AME grew by 15%, while total vapor revenue was up nearly 3% globally [37][40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on balancing top and bottom line delivery while investing in innovation and R&D [33] - Full year gross capex is expected to be around GBP600 million, reflecting an increase to expand production capacity in the Modern Oral category [22] - The company aims to deliver low-single digit organic revenue and adjusted profit from operations growth for the full year [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in delivering full year guidance despite macroeconomic pressures [5][28] - There are signs of improving consumer sentiment and potential stabilization in the U.S. market [25][67] - The company anticipates an acceleration in second half performance driven by new category launches and unwinding of inventory movements [91] Other Important Information - The company is committed to a sustainable share buyback, starting with GBP700 million in 2024 [51] - The cash flow conversion rate was 78% in the first half, with expectations of exceeding 90% for the full year [50] - The company is actively advocating for better regulation and enforcement of new categories, especially in the U.S. vapor market [56][87] Q&A Session All Questions and Answers Question: On combustibles market and consumer elasticity - Management noted that the decline in premium volumes is correlated with consumer sentiment and macroeconomic pressures, including high inflation and interest rates [66][67] Question: On EPS growth and currency impact - Management expressed confidence in driving EPS growth on a constant currency basis, despite structural FX headwinds [102][103] Question: On vapor performance outside the U.S. - The decline in vapor volume was attributed to regulatory impacts in Canada, while other markets like New Zealand and Korea showed strong growth [108][109] Question: On balancing revenue growth and margin expansion - Management emphasized the importance of targeted investments in categories with momentum to balance top and bottom line growth [110][111] Question: On poly-usage and conversion rates - Management clarified that vapor accounts for 65% of consumption in the new no-combustibles space, with both vapor and heated tobacco showing growth potential [114] Question: On PMTA pipeline and future approvals - Management highlighted the successful approval of several PMTAs and ongoing efforts to secure additional approvals for new products [128]
7 Dividend Stocks to Hold On Tight to for the Next Decade
Investor Place· 2024-07-25 11:00
Group 1: Dividend Stocks Overview - Seven outstanding dividend stocks are highlighted for their attractive yields and solid fundamentals, making them ideal for long-term investment strategies [1] - These companies exhibit solid dividend yields, strategic growth initiatives, and diversified portfolios, which are essential for long-term dividend stocks [2] Group 2: Pfizer (PFE) - Pfizer returned $2.4 billion to shareholders via dividends and invested $2.5 billion in internal research in Q1 2024 [3] - The company paid down approximately $1.25 billion in maturing debt and reduced its equity position in Haleon from 32% to 23% [3] - Pfizer's stock has a forward dividend yield of 5.7%, with a goal of achieving at least $4 billion in net cost savings by the end of 2024 [7] Group 3: Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) - Oaktree Specialty Lending focuses on first-lien loans, enhancing portfolio security and stability, with a forward dividend yield of 12.3% [4] - The company's first-lien investments increased from 71% of the portfolio in September 2022 to 81% currently [4] - In Q1 2024, Oaktree Specialty made $396 million in new commitments, with a weighted average yield on new debt investments at 11.1% [10] Group 4: Realty Income (O) - Realty Income is a monthly dividend company with a forward dividend yield of 5.5%, investing $598 million across various regions in Q1 2024 [13] - Over half of the investments, approximately $323 million, were directed towards Europe and the U.K., achieving an initial weighted average cash yield of 8.2% [13] - The company diversifies its investments across retail, industrial, and data centers, leading to risk spread and demand capture [14] Group 5: Verizon (VZ) - Verizon's stock has a forward dividend yield of 6.8%, with significant growth in its broadband business, adding 391,000 broadband users in Q2 2024 [17] - The company now has over 11.5 million broadband customers, reflecting a 17.2% yearly increase, with fixed wireless subscribers growing by approximately 69% [18] - Verizon's focus on broadband expansion and customer retention strategies supports its long-term dividend stock status [19] Group 6: AT&T (T) - AT&T's stock has a forward dividend yield of 6%, with 252,000 new AT&T Fiber subscribers added in Q1 2024 [21] - The total number of fiber locations reached 27.1 million, with nearly 8.6 million fiber subscribers, and consumer broadband revenues increased by 7.7% [21] - The integration of 5G and fiber services enhances customer retention and profitability, solidifying AT&T's position among long-term dividend stocks [22] Group 7: British American Tobacco (BTI) - British American Tobacco has a forward dividend yield of 8.9%, with consumer numbers reaching 23.9 million, excluding 1.5 million in Russia [25] - The company achieved profitability in new categories two years ahead of schedule, with a £400 million improvement from last year [26] - The contribution margin in top new category markets exceeded 20%, indicating strong market demand and strategic execution [26] Group 8: Altria (MO) - Altria's stock has a forward dividend yield of 7.9%, with its e-vapor division (NJOY) expanding to over 80,000 locations [28] - NJOY's retail share in the U.S. multi-outlet and convenience channel grew to 4.3%, indicating strong consumer acceptance [29] - Altria's increasing market share and strong retail presence position it among the top long-term dividend stocks [29]
BAT(BTI) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2024-07-25 09:02
Interim Results 2024 The information contained in this presentation in relation to British American Tobacco p.l.c. ("BAT") and its subsidiaries has been prepared solely for use at this presentation. The presentation is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing w ...
Want $1,000 in Dividend Income? Here's How Much You Have to Invest in British American Tobacco Stock
The Motley Fool· 2024-07-18 13:47
For investors unbothered by "sin stocks," tobacco companies have been solid dividend plays for a great many years. That might be surprising given the concentrated anti-smoking movements throughout the world, but there are still millions of consumers who enjoy lighting up or puffing on a vape regardless. A veteran producer While tobacco consumption remains sufficient to prop up an industry, it hasn't escaped the effects of those antismoking moves. The sales needle isn't moving much for even the most successf ...
British American Tobacco Q2 Preview: Rich Yields And Growing Bullish Support - Reiterate Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2024-07-14 13:00
So, Is BTI Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold? We previously covered British American Tobacco p.l.c. (NYSE:BTI) in April 2024, discussing its robust FY2023 financial metrics as the New Category segment achieved the first year of positive margins. Combined with the growing Free Cash Flow generation, healthier balance sheet, partial monetization of its ITC stake for share repurchases, and inherent undervaluation, we believed that the stock continued to offer a compelling investment thesis across capital appreciation ...
1 Spectacular Dividend Stock Yielding Close to 10% to Buy for the Second Half of 2024
The Motley Fool· 2024-07-10 11:13
With most stocks trading at premium valuations, investors can get a safe and simple return from this dividend giant. The market has soared since the beginning of 2023. The S&P 500 index has posted a total return level of 48% over that time frame, pushing the index's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of nearly 29. This is much higher than the long-term market average, with many popular stocks such as Apple, Nvidia, and Microsoft trading at even higher multiples. High earnings ratios likely mean high risks for st ...
The 3 Most Undervalued Consumer Stocks to Buy in July 2024
Investor Place· 2024-07-09 10:00
The stock market keeps hitting new all-time highs. For investors in growth and technology stocks, the future has never looked brighter. British American Tobacco (BTI) In fact, British American Tobacco took a large writedown on the value of its cigarette brands last year. At the same time, it noted that growth in its alternative nicotine products category is ahead of schedule. The company's long-term business model evolution is working. Even the normally recession-resistant consumer staples stocks are under ...