Core Insights - The company is attempting to recover its crucial holiday business following a logo controversy that has impacted its brand image [1] Group 1 - The Southern-style chain is facing challenges in rebuilding its holiday business, which is critical for its annual revenue [1] - The controversy surrounding the logo has led to negative public perception, affecting customer loyalty and sales [1] - The company is implementing strategies to address the fallout from the controversy and regain consumer trust [1]

Core Viewpoint - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc is expected to report disappointing first-quarter financial results, reflecting the impact of a recent logo change backlash on its revenue and traffic [1][2][10]. Earnings Estimates - Analysts predict Cracker Barrel will report first-quarter revenue of $802.22 million, a decrease from $845.09 million in the same quarter last year [1]. - The anticipated revenue would represent the lowest quarterly revenue for Cracker Barrel in 15 quarters, dating back to the third fiscal quarter of 2022, which reported $790.2 million [2]. - Analysts expect a loss of 68 cents per share for the first quarter, a significant decline from a profit of 45 cents per share in the previous year [2]. Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have expressed caution regarding Cracker Barrel since the company’s fourth-quarter results, which did not account for the backlash from the logo change [4]. - Bank of America Securities analyst Sara Senatore noted that the negative response to the rebranding could hinder the company's turnaround efforts, leading to a lowered price target from $48 to $42 [5][6]. - Piper Sandler analyst Brian Mullan also reduced the price target from $56 to $49, citing traffic declines and below-consensus guidance for fiscal 2026 [6]. Traffic and Visitor Data - Cracker Barrel's traffic declined by 1% in the fourth quarter and has continued at a similar level into the first quarter, with a notable drop of approximately 8% following the logo change announcement [7]. - Data from Placer.ai indicates that visits to Cracker Barrel locations fell by 5.3% in the week following the logo change, with year-over-year traffic dropping by double digits in subsequent weeks [10][11]. - In September, visits were down 12.1% year-over-year, following a slight decline of 0.1% in August [11]. Future Guidance - Cracker Barrel's fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of $3.35 billion to $3.45 billion is below analyst expectations of $3.47 billion [13]. - The impact of the logo change backlash on first-quarter results and future recovery potential will be critical points of focus for investors and analysts [13]. Stock Performance - Cracker Barrel's stock has decreased by 2.7% to $27.07, with a year-to-date decline of 50.7% in 2025 [13].

Core Insights - Gardners Candies is expanding its national presence by partnering with Cracker Barrel Old Country Store and increasing availability in various retail locations, including over 20 Grandpa Joe's Candy Shop locations [2][3] - The company is introducing new packaging for its products, specifically 3.5-ounce bags designed for retailers, which will be available starting February 1 [6][7] - Gardners is launching new products, including Dubai Chocolate and Milk Chocolate Double O's, to enhance its product line and attract more customers [8][10] Expansion Strategy - Gardners Candies is set to sell its S'mores in approximately 660 Cracker Barrel locations across 43 states starting next spring [3] - The company has gained traction with major retailers, as evidenced by Giant Eagle increasing its product offerings, including Peanut Butter Meltaway Pretzels and other items [7] - The introduction of new 3.5-ounce bags aims to cater to convenience stores and differentiate Gardners' product line from single items [6] Product Development - Gardners is expanding its product range with the introduction of Dubai Chocolate and a third OREO treat, Milk Chocolate Double O's, which features OREO cookies coated in Gardners milk chocolate [8][10] - The new packaging will include seven individually wrapped pieces of various flavors, enhancing the consumer experience [6][7] - Gardners continues to innovate with its offerings, maintaining a focus on quality and customer service since its founding in 1897 [10]

Core Viewpoint - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL) is expected to report a loss of 68 cents per share for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with revenues projected at $801.1 million, indicating a 5.2% decline from the previous year [2][7]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CBRL's fiscal first-quarter bottom line is a loss of 68 cents per share, compared to an earnings per share (EPS) of 45 cents in the same quarter last year [2]. - Revenue estimates for the quarter are set at $801.1 million, reflecting a 5.2% decrease from the prior year's figure [2]. Group 2: Factors Impacting Quarterly Results - A significant decline in guest traffic is anticipated due to a brand refresh in mid-August, leading to an expected 7%-8% drop in quarterly traffic and a projected 4.5% year-over-year decline in same-store sales [3]. - Despite menu upgrades and food quality enhancements, a planned 4%-5% price increase may have further strained customer sentiment, limiting the effectiveness of pricing strategies against traffic declines [4]. - Retail performance is expected to be negatively impacted by tariff-driven adjustments and SKU reductions, with retail revenues predicted to fall 4.6% year over year to $154.1 million [4]. Group 3: Operating Expenses and Profitability - Operating expenses are projected to negatively affect quarterly profitability, with an estimated $16 million in additional costs related to marketing, training, and conferences [5]. - The combination of increased costs and weaker restaurant-level volumes is likely to compress margins, with costs of goods sold expected to rise 2.1% year over year to $264.3 million [5]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal first quarter is predicted to decline 47.7% year over year to $24 million, indicating significant pressure from traffic and cost challenges [6]. Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Cracker Barrel, as the company has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [7][8].

Core Insights - Cracker Barrel is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.68 per share, marking a significant decline of 251.1% year-over-year [1] - Revenue projections are around $802 million, slightly above the anticipated $801 million, but still reflecting a 5.2% year-over-year decrease [2] Financial Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is approximately 13.63, indicating a moderate valuation, while the price-to-sales ratio is about 0.18, suggesting the stock is undervalued [3] - The enterprise value to sales ratio is around 0.51, and the enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is approximately 8.09, providing insights into valuation and cash flow efficiency [4] - The earnings yield stands at 7.34%, indicating a reasonable return on investment for shareholders [4] Liquidity and Financial Health - The current ratio of 0.50 suggests potential liquidity issues, indicating the company may struggle to cover its short-term liabilities [5] - Investors are expected to closely monitor the upcoming earnings release to assess the company's financial health and future prospects [5]

Core Insights - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) is expected to report a quarterly loss of -$0.68 per share, a decline of 251.1% year-over-year, with revenues forecasted at $801.06 million, down 5.2% from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - There has been no revision in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter over the past 30 days, indicating that analysts have not changed their initial projections [2] - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance [3] Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Revenues- Retail' will reach $152.64 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 5.7% [4] - The consensus for 'Revenues- Restaurant' is $648.49 million, indicating a decline of 5.1% year-over-year [5] Company Metrics - The estimated number of 'Company-Owned Units - Cracker Barrel' is projected to be 657, down from 660 in the same quarter last year [5] - Analysts project the 'Number of stores - Total (End of Period)' will reach 717, compared to 658 a year ago [5] Stock Performance - Cracker Barrel shares have decreased by 12.4% over the past month, contrasting with a slight increase of 0.1% in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [6] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting it is expected to underperform the overall market in the near future [6]

Company Overview - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. is a prominent American chain that combines restaurant and gift store experiences with a Southern country theme, operating across the United States [1] - The company competes with other casual dining chains such as Denny's and IHOP [1] Recent Trading Activity - On November 28, 2025, Tim Moore, a representative from North Carolina, sold shares of Cracker Barrel valued between $15,001 and $50,000, as part of broader trading activities that included other companies [2][6] - The current stock price of Cracker Barrel is $28.86, reflecting a slight increase of $0.22 or approximately 0.77% [3][6] Stock Performance - Over the past year, Cracker Barrel's stock has experienced significant volatility, with a high of $71.93 and a low of $25.62, indicating sensitivity to market changes and company performance [4][6] - The company's market capitalization is approximately $642.67 million, representing the total market value of its outstanding shares [4] - The trading volume on the NASDAQ exchange for Cracker Barrel is 996,729 shares, indicating the liquidity of the stock [5]

Core Insights - Crude Value Insights provides an investment service and community focused on the oil and natural gas sectors, emphasizing cash flow and the companies that generate it, which leads to value and growth prospects with real potential [1] Company and Industry Summary - Subscribers gain access to a model account with over 50 stocks, in-depth cash flow analyses of exploration and production (E&P) firms, and live chat discussions about the sector [1]

Group 1 - Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) designs and manufactures high-quality agricultural equipment and provides infrastructure maintenance, with a nearly 10% downward revision in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [1] - Alvotech (ALVO), a biosimilar medicines company, has seen its Zacks Consensus Estimate for current year earnings revised downward by 88.7% over the last 60 days [1] - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL) operates a restaurant and gift store chain, with a 17.3% downward revision in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [2]

Core Insights - The CEO of Cracker Barrel, Julie Masino, acknowledged her missteps in attempting to modernize the brand, stating she felt "fired by America" [1] - The decision to simplify the logo led to significant backlash from customers, who felt the changes abandoned the brand's traditional values [2][3] Brand Modernization Efforts - Masino aimed to attract younger diners by updating the menu and remodeling the restaurant interiors [1] - The new logo design removed the longstanding mascot and the phrase "Old Country Store," which upset loyal customers [3][4] Customer Backlash - The redesign was met with immediate and severe criticism on social media, with customers expressing that the changes were bland and a departure from the brand's roots [3][4] - The backlash was so intense that even public figures, including President Donald Trump, commented on the controversy [3] Company Response - Following the backlash, Cracker Barrel quickly reverted to the old logo, which resulted in a significant drop in stock value, losing $94 million in a single day [5] - The company announced a suspension of all restaurant remodels and issued a message affirming their commitment to the traditional brand identity [5] Financial Impact - Cracker Barrel projected a decline in store traffic of 7% to 8% for the fiscal first quarter and an overall decline of 4% to 7% for the full 2026 fiscal year [6]