Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Citigroup expects a more significant cyclical profit recovery for Mengniu Dairy (02319) compared to its peers in the Chinese consumer staples sector this year [1] - Citigroup forecasts that the group's sales will recover to high single-digit growth from January to February this year, with an overall expected growth of 5% for the year [1] - The company's operating profit margin is anticipated to expand again this year due to the cyclical stabilization of raw milk prices, positive operating leverage, and a relatively low comparison base [1] Group 2 - The target price for Mengniu Dairy has been raised from HKD 18.8 to HKD 21.1, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Summary of Mengniu Dairy Corporate Day Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Mengniu Dairy (2319.HK) - **Industry**: Consumer & Leisure, specifically dairy products Key Takeaways 1. **Sales Guidance for FY25**: - Management reiterated a sales decline guidance of mid-single digits to high-single digits (MSD%-HSD%) for FY25, with expectations of a similar decline in the second half of FY25 [1] - Despite challenges, the company aims for a flat operating profit margin (OPM) year-over-year in 2025, although there are potential pressures from liquid milk pricing adjustments and channel investments [1] 2. **Segment Performance**: - **UHT Milk**: Demand remains soft, with greater pressure on basic milk compared to deluxe milk in the second half of FY25 [1] - **Chilled Fresh Milk**: Expected to achieve double-digit percentage (DD%) sales growth for FY25 and FY26, driven by brand investment and channel expansion [1] - **Chilled Yogurt**: Anticipated slight positive sales growth in FY25, supported by health trends and new initiatives like customized products with Sam's Club [1] - **Cheese and Milk Powder**: Management is optimistic about achieving DD% sales growth in cheese and solid OPM improvement in milk powder for FY25 [1] 3. **Industry Outlook**: - Overall demand in the dairy industry remains weak, with a projected 7-8% volume decline in liquid milk for 2025 [1] - Mengniu Dairy is expected to underperform the industry due to delayed pricing adjustments in response to declining raw milk prices [1] 4. **Financial Adjustments**: - The company anticipates a significant reduction in dry powder impairment losses by 40-50% compared to 2024, with a narrowed volume in dry powder expected in the second half of FY25 [1] - There are ongoing impairments related to the herd size cut at Modern Dairy for FY25 [1] 5. **Shareholder Returns**: - Mengniu Dairy plans to maintain its dividend per share (DPS) and total dividend in 2025 compared to 2024, with a total dividend payout expected to gradually increase [1] - The company will continue its share buy-back program, which will be larger in scale compared to the previous round in 2024 [1] Additional Insights - **Valuation and Price Target**: - Goldman Sachs has a Buy rating on Mengniu Dairy with a 12-month price target of HK$20.50, representing a potential upside of 36.9% from the current price of HK$14.97 [7] - The valuation is based on a 2026E P/E of 15.1x, which is one standard deviation below the prior downcycle P/E in 2015-16 [6] - **Risks**: - Key downside risks include slower-than-expected premium demand, a slower recovery in dairy demand, increased competition in the dairy industry, and wider losses in new product categories [6] This summary encapsulates the critical points discussed during the Mengniu Dairy Corporate Day, highlighting the company's performance expectations, industry challenges, and strategic initiatives for shareholder returns.

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國蒙牛乳業有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年1月7日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02319 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 6,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 HKD | | 600,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 6,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 HKD | | 600,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： HKD 600,000,0 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morningstar maintains a fair value of HKD 20.5 per share for Mengniu Dairy (02319), indicating that the stock is currently undervalued with a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 10 times for 2026 [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company is expected to see a rebound in net profit by 2026, benefiting from limited downward pressure on raw milk prices and a recovery in liquid milk sales [1] - Liquid milk demand is projected to experience a moderate recovery in 2026, with sales expected to grow by 4% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to increase investments in deep-processed dairy products such as cheese, butter, and products for the food service channel [1] - These initiatives are anticipated to capture the increasingly diversified consumer demand in the long term [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morningstar maintains a fair value of HKD 20.5 per share for Mengniu Dairy (02319), indicating that the stock is currently undervalued, with a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 10 times for 2026 [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company is expected to see a rebound in net profit by 2026, benefiting from limited downward space in raw milk prices and a recovery in liquid milk sales [1] - Liquid milk demand is projected to experience a moderate recovery in 2026, with sales expected to grow by 4% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to increase investments in deep-processed dairy products such as cheese, butter, and products for the food service channel [1] - These initiatives are anticipated to capture the increasingly diversified consumer demand in the long term [1]

Group 1 - The company Mengniu Dairy (02319) announced the cancellation of 14.3 million shares that have been repurchased, effective December 30, 2025 [1]

Group 1 - The company Mengniu Dairy (02319.HK) announced the cancellation of a total of 14.3 million shares repurchased, effective December 30, 2025 [1]

FF305 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 中國蒙牛乳業有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年12月30日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02319 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | 事件 | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | | 已發行股份總數 | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份（不包括庫存股 份）數目百分比 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that BlackRock has increased its stake in Mengniu Dairy's H-shares from 6.72% to 7.23% as of December 24 [1] Group 2 - The increase in BlackRock's shareholding indicates a growing confidence in Mengniu Dairy's performance and potential in the market [1] - This change in ownership may influence investor sentiment and market dynamics surrounding Mengniu Dairy [1] - The transaction reflects ongoing interest from major investment firms in the dairy sector, particularly in the context of Hong Kong's stock market [1]

1 設立 公司的董事會（「董事會」）現組成和設立提名委員會（「提名委員會」），其權限、 責任和具體職責如下。 2 成員 3 秘書 提名委員會的秘書（「提名委員會秘書」）應由公司的公司秘書或提名委員會不時指定 的任何其他人士擔任。 4 權限 中國蒙牛乳業有限公司（「公司」） 提名委員會的職權範圍 5.1 提名委員會的職責包括： (a) 至少每年檢討董事會的架構、人數、組成（包括技能、知識及經驗方面）和多元 化程度（考慮因素包括性別、年齡、文化及教育背景、種族、專業、行業或管理 經驗、技能、知識及服務任期）、協助董事會編制董事會技能表，並就任何為配 合公司的策略和目標而擬對董事會作出的變動提出建議； (b) 將按人選的長處，物色具備合適資格可擔任董事的人士，並在考慮人選時以客觀 條件充份顧及董事會成員多元化的禆益，挑選提名有關人士出任董事或就此向董 事會提供意見； (c) 審議董事會的工作表現，評核獨立非執行董事的獨立性及審閱獨立非執行董事各自 對獨立性所作的確認； (d) 就董事委任或重新委任以及董事（尤其是公司主席及行政總裁）繼任計劃向董事 會提出建議並就繼任計劃作定期審閱； (e) 支援公司定期評估董事會表 ...