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ConocoPhillips(COP) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 17:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated $2.9 per share in adjusted earnings for the first quarter of 2025, with cash flow from operations (CFO) amounting to $5.5 billion, including $200 million from APLNG distributions [14][15] - Capital expenditures were reported at $3.4 billion, with a return of capital to shareholders totaling $2.5 billion, which represents 45% of CFO for the quarter [14][15] - The company ended the quarter with $7.5 billion in cash and short-term investments, plus $1 billion in long-term liquid investments [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total production for the first quarter was 2,389,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, exceeding production guidance [13] - In the Lower 48, production averaged 1,462,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with specific contributions from the Permian (816,000), Eagle Ford (370,000), and Bakken (212,000) [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a softer oil price environment compared to the first quarter, with OPEC plus unwinding voluntary cuts quicker than expected [5][6] - The outlook for global economic growth and oil demand has been revised lower, contributing to the current volatility in the market [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining a disciplined capital allocation framework and has reduced capital spending by $500 million while keeping production guidance unchanged [8][11] - The integration of Marathon Oil is progressing ahead of schedule, with the company finding additional opportunities to enhance capital efficiency and reduce costs [8][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the current macro uncertainties but emphasized the company's strong long-term value proposition and competitive advantages [6][10] - The company is committed to returning a significant portion of cash flow to shareholders, maintaining a long-term track record of distributing 45% of annual CFO [9][10] Other Important Information - Bill Bullock, the CFO, announced his retirement after 39 years, with Andy O'Brien set to take over the role [11][12] - The company expects to see a modest use of cash on a full-year basis, with an operating working capital outflow of $800 million anticipated in the second quarter [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Return of capital and cash flow outlook - The company is tracking towards a $10 billion return of capital for the year, despite a softer commodity macro environment [21] - Management indicated a willingness to use cash on the balance sheet if necessary to support share buybacks [22][24] Question: Capital budget reduction details - The capital budget reduction is largely driven by efficiency improvements and does not impact production guidance [27][30] - Management emphasized a measured approach to capital allocation, focusing on maximizing returns [31] Question: Cost structure and improvement opportunities - The company is continuously benchmarking operations and seeking efficiencies to maintain competitive advantage [35][36] Question: Balancing low-cost supply with macro conditions - The company remains focused on low-cost supply and is not looking to time the market with capital investments [42][45] Question: Breakeven clarification - The capital reduction will lower the breakeven point, with the current free cash flow breakeven in the mid-40s [51][52] Question: Long cycle projects and capital allocation - The company is committed to its long cycle projects and will not slow down investments in key areas like Willow and LNG [80] Question: Non-core asset sales and portfolio optimization - The company is always optimizing its portfolio and may consider non-core asset sales if cost of supply rises [105][106]
Jobless Claims Come in Lower
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 16:15
Economic Indicators - Initial Jobless Claims were reported at 228K, slightly below the estimated 230K, marking a decrease of 13K from the previous week's revised figure of 241K, indicating stability in the labor market [2] - Continuing Claims reached 1.879 million, consistent with trends over the past six months, although the previous week reported 1.916 million, the first print above 1.9 million since November 2021 [3][4] - Q1 U.S. Productivity showed a negative growth of -0.8%, which was 10 basis points lower than expected, following a +1.5% in Q4 2024, marking the first negative print since Q2 2022 [5] - Unit Labor Costs increased by 5.7%, exceeding the expected 5.1%, the highest level since Q3 2020, indicating potential economic challenges [6] Company Earnings - Shopify (SHOP) reported Q1 earnings of 25 cents per share, missing consensus by a penny, while revenues of $2.36 billion exceeded expectations by 1.32%, but shares fell by 7% [7] - ConocoPhillips (COP) surpassed earnings estimates with $2.09 per share, exceeding consensus by 3 cents, and reported revenues of $17.1 billion, outperforming by 3.37% compared to the previous year [8] - Crocs (CROX) reported earnings of $3.00 per share, beating expectations by 19.5%, and revenues of $937.3 million, slightly below year-ago levels, with shares up 4.7% in pre-market trading [9]
Jobless Claims, Q1 Productivity Hit Multi-Year Levels
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 15:30
Market Overview - Pre-market futures indicate a positive market sentiment with the Dow up 300 points, S&P 500 up 50 points, Nasdaq up 250 points, and Russell 2000 up 25 points, despite less favorable economic reports [1] Employment Data - Initial Jobless Claims were reported at 228K, slightly below the estimated 230K, marking a decrease of 13K from the previous week's revised figure of 241K, indicating stability in the labor market [2] - Continuing Claims reached 1.879 million, consistent with trends over the past six months, although the previous week reported 1.916 million, the first print above 1.9 million since November 2021 [3][4] Productivity and Labor Costs - Q1 U.S. Productivity showed a negative growth of -0.8%, which is 10 basis points lower than expectations, following a +1.5% growth in Q4 2024, marking the first negative print since Q2 2022 [5] - Unit Labor Costs increased by 5.7%, exceeding the expected 5.1%, the highest level since Q3 2020, indicating potential challenges for economic growth [6] Company Earnings Reports - Shopify (SHOP) reported Q1 earnings of $0.25 per share, missing consensus by a penny, while revenues of $2.36 billion exceeded expectations by 1.32%, but shares fell by 7% [7] - ConocoPhillips (COP) surpassed earnings estimates with $2.09 per share and revenues of $17.1 billion, outperforming the previous year's $14.48 billion, leading to a 1.6% increase in shares [8] - Crocs (CROX) reported earnings of $3.00 per share, exceeding expectations by 19.5%, with revenues of $937.3 million slightly below year-ago levels, resulting in a 4.7% increase in shares [9]
ConocoPhillips (COP) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 14:36
Group 1: Financial Performance - ConocoPhillips reported $17.1 billion in revenue for the quarter ended March 2025, an 18.1% year-over-year increase [1] - The EPS for the same period was $2.09, compared to $2.03 a year ago, indicating a positive trend [1] - The reported revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $16.54 billion by 3.37% [1] Group 2: Key Metrics - Natural gas liquids produced per day totaled 402 million barrels, surpassing the average estimate of 394.51 million barrels [4] - Total production per day was 2,389 million barrels of oil equivalent, compared to the average estimate of 2,363.2 million barrels [4] - Average sales price for natural gas was $5.62, higher than the estimated $5.28 [4] Group 3: Market Performance - Shares of ConocoPhillips returned -4.2% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by 11.3% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
ConocoPhillips Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Improve Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 13:40
Core Insights - ConocoPhillips reported first-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $2.09, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.06 and up from $2.03 in the prior year [1] - Quarterly revenues reached $17.1 billion, an increase from $14.48 billion year-over-year, and also surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $16.54 billion [1] Production - Total production averaged 2,389 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d), up from 1,902 MBoe/d in the same quarter last year, and exceeded the estimate of 2,340 MBoe/d [3] - Crude oil production rose to 1,166 thousand barrels per day (MBbls/d) from 944 MBbls/d year-over-year, also above the estimate of 1,119 MBbls/d [4] - Natural gas production increased to 4,070 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d) from 3,302 MMcf/d in the prior year [4] Realized Prices - The average realized oil equivalent price decreased to $53.34 per barrel from $56.60 a year ago [5] - The average realized crude oil price was $71.65 per barrel, down from $78.64 year-over-year [5] - The average realized natural gas price increased to $5.62 per thousand cubic feet from $5.02 in the prior year [6] Expenses - Total expenses rose to $12.6 billion from $10.7 billion in the same period of 2024, but were below the projection of $12.8 billion [7] - The cost of purchased commodities increased to $6.2 billion from $5.3 billion year-over-year [7] Balance Sheet & Capital Spending - As of March 31, 2025, ConocoPhillips had $6.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents, with total long-term debt of $23.2 billion and short-term debt of $608 million [8] - Capital expenditure and investments totaled $3.38 billion, with net cash provided by operating activities at $6.1 billion [8] Guidance - For Q2 2025, production is expected to be in the range of 2.34-2.38 MBoe/d, with full-year production guidance unchanged at 2.34-2.38 MBoe/d [10] - Full-year capital expenditure guidance has been lowered to $12.3-$12.6 billion from approximately $12.9 billion [10]
因油价下跌,康菲石油公司削减支出预期
news flash· 2025-05-08 13:29
Core Viewpoint - ConocoPhillips has reduced its spending forecast by 3.5% to $12.45 billion due to falling oil prices, which have dropped below $60 per barrel, while maintaining its production outlook [1] Group 1: Company Actions - ConocoPhillips announced a 3.5% reduction in its spending forecast, bringing it down to $12.45 billion based on the midpoint of its guidance range [1] - The company has kept its production expectations unchanged despite the spending cuts [1] Group 2: Market Context - WTI crude oil prices have decreased by approximately 18% this year and are currently below $60 per barrel [1] - A survey conducted by the Dallas Federal Reserve indicated that U.S. oil executives believe an average oil price of $65 is necessary for profitability [1] Group 3: Management Commentary - CEO Ryan Lance expressed confidence in the company's differentiated portfolio, strong balance sheet, and disciplined capital allocation framework, which prioritize shareholder returns [1]
ConocoPhillips (COP) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 13:10
Core Viewpoint - ConocoPhillips reported quarterly earnings of $2.09 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.06 per share, and showing an increase from $2.03 per share a year ago, indicating a positive earnings surprise of 1.46% [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $17.1 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.37%, and reflecting a year-over-year increase from $14.48 billion [2] - Over the last four quarters, ConocoPhillips has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times and topped revenue estimates twice [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - ConocoPhillips shares have declined approximately 11.6% since the beginning of the year, compared to a 4.3% decline in the S&P 500 [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.57 on revenues of $15.23 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $6.63 on revenues of $62.73 billion [7] Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Integrated - United States industry is currently ranked in the top 34% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8]
ConocoPhillips(COP) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-08 12:31
Financial Performance - ConocoPhillips reported adjusted earnings of $2.7 billion, or $2.09 adjusted EPS for 1Q25[6, 10] - The company generated $5.5 billion in CFO and $2.1 billion in FCF, with an ending cash balance of $7.5 billion[6] - $2.5 billion was distributed to shareholders through $1.5 billion in share repurchases and $1.0 billion in ordinary dividends[6] Operational Highlights - Total company production was 2,389 MBOED, with Lower 48 production at 1,462 MBOED[8] - Completed $1.3 billion in noncore Lower 48 asset sales[6] Segment Performance - Lower 48 adjusted earnings were $1.697 billion in 1Q25[12] - Alaska adjusted earnings were $269 million in 1Q25[12] - Canada adjusted earnings were $256 million in 1Q25[12] Guidance - Full-year production guidance remains unchanged at 2.34 – 2.38 MMBOED[6, 24] - Full-year adjusted operating costs are guided to be $10.7B - $10.9B[24] - Full-year capital expenditures are expected to be $12.3B - $12.6B[24]
ConocoPhillips set open higher after Q1 results exceed forecasts
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-05-08 12:02
Group 1 - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2][3] - The company focuses on medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive's news team operates from key finance and investing hubs, including London, New York, Toronto, Vancouver, Sydney, and Perth [2][3] Group 2 - Proactive employs technology to enhance workflows and has a forward-looking approach to technology adoption [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
ConocoPhillips(COP) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-05-08 12:01
Financial Performance - Total revenues for 2024 reached $56,953 million, with Q4 alone contributing $14,737 million, showing a year-over-year increase[1] - Net income for 2024 was $9,245 million, with Q4 net income at $2,306 million, reflecting a solid performance despite fluctuations in quarterly earnings[1] - The company reported adjusted earnings of $9,224 million for 2024, with Q1 2025 adjusted earnings at $2,679 million, demonstrating consistent profitability[3] - The company reported a basic net income per share of $7.82 for 2024, with Q1 2025 showing a basic net income per share of $2.23[1] - Net income for 2024 was $9,245 million, with a net income of $2,849 million reported in Q1 2025[7] Taxation - The effective income tax rate for the consolidated entity was 32.4% for the full year 2024, with a notable increase to 36.2% in Q1 2025[2] - The effective income tax rate in the Asia Pacific region was 10.9% for the full year 2024, with a slight increase to 17.1% in Q1 2025[4] Costs and Expenses - The total costs and expenses for 2024 were $43,281 million, with Q4 expenses amounting to $11,767 million, highlighting cost management efforts[1] - The company incurred transaction and integration expenses of $37 million in Q1 2025, down from $499 million in Q4 2024, indicating a reduction of 92.6%[5] - The company reported total DD&A expenses of $9,599 million for 2024, with $2,746 million in the first quarter of 2025[9] - Corporate G&A expenses totaled $716 million for the full year 2024, with $110 million in Q1 2025[12] Regional Performance - Earnings from the Lower 48 segment totaled $5,175 million for 2024, with Q1 2025 earnings at $1,790 million, indicating strong regional performance[3] - The Asia Pacific segment generated earnings of $1,724 million for 2024, with Q1 2025 earnings at $311 million, reflecting regional market dynamics[3] - The company reported a total of $93 million in income for the Lower 48 region in Q1 2025, a significant increase from a loss of $4 million in Q4 2024[5] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets increased to $124.254 billion in Q1 2025, up from $122.780 billion in Q4 2024, reflecting a growth of 1.2%[6] - Total liabilities increased to $59.016 billion in Q1 2025, up from $57.984 billion in Q4 2024, representing a growth of 1.8%[6] - Total equity increased to $65.238 billion in Q1 2025, up from $64.796 billion in Q4 2024, representing a growth of 0.7%[6] - Retained earnings reached $66.721 billion in Q1 2025, an increase from $64.869 billion in Q4 2024, reflecting a growth of 2.8%[6] Production and Capital Expenditures - Total capital expenditures and investments for 2024 amounted to $12,118 million, with $3,378 million in Q1 2025[7] - Total production in MBOED for Q1 2025 reached 2,389, an increase from 1,902 in Q1 2024[8] - Consolidated operations crude oil production in Q1 2025 was 1,153 MBD, up from 944 MBD in Q1 2024[8] - Natural gas production in Q1 2025 was 2,840 MMCFD, an increase from 2,035 MMCFD in Q1 2024[8] - The company’s total production for the first quarter of 2025 is projected to be 1,166 MBD, an increase from 982 MBD in the full year of 2024[10] Cash Flow - The company reported a net cash provided by operating activities of $20,124 million for 2024, with $6,115 million in Q1 2025[7] - The company experienced a net cash used in financing activities of $3,137 million in Q1 2025[7] Exploration Expenses - Total exploration expenses for 2024 are projected to be $355 million, with $117 million incurred in the first quarter[9] - U.S. exploration expenses for 2024 totaled $158 million, with $42 million in the first quarter of 2025[9] - International exploration expenses for 2024 were $197 million, with $75 million in the first quarter of 2025[9] Pricing - Average realized price for total production in Q1 2025 was $53.34 per BOE, compared to $56.60 in Q1 2024[8] - Average realized price for crude oil in total consolidated operations was $76.74 per barrel for the full year 2024, down from $78.67 in Q1 2024[11] - Average realized price for NGL in Q1 2025 was $24.86 per BBL, compared to $23.35 in Q1 2024[8] - Average realized price for NGLs in total consolidated operations was $23.19 per barrel for the full year 2024, increasing to $25.40 per barrel in Q1 2025[11] - The average realized price for bitumen in Canada was $47.92 per barrel for the full year 2024, with a slight decrease to $45.29 per barrel in Q1 2025[11] - The average realized price for natural gas in Norway reached $14.86 per MCF in Q1 2025, compared to $11.11 per MCF for the full year 2024[11] - Natural gas price for total consolidated operations increased to $4.76 per MCF in Q1 2025, compared to $2.61 per MCF for the full year 2024[11] Debt and Interest - Total debt stood at $24.324 billion at the end of Q4 2024, with a debt-to-capital ratio maintained at 27%[12] - Net interest expense for corporate and other was $389 million for the full year 2024, with $131 million in Q1 2025[12] Corporate Earnings - Corporate and other earnings reported a loss of $880 million for the full year 2024, with a loss of $256 million in Q1 2025[12]