The EU should water down its new capital rules for banks by ensuring that certain elements never fully bite, according to Deutsche Bank CFO James von Moltke https://t.co/aE3R2FhukP ...

德意志银行认为，各央行与交易所交易基金正成为主要推动力。 受美国降息预期、对美国政府可能停摆的担忧以及地缘政治紧张局势升级影响，投资者选择涌入避险资产，黄金价格周一首次突破3800美元，创下历史新 高。纽约商品交易所12月交割的COMEX黄金期货结算价上涨1.2%，报3855.2美元/盎司。市场分析认为，包括美元指数走弱、央行购买及黄金ETF热销等 因素或将继续主导未来的黄金走势。 多重利好助推 美国商务部上周五公布的数据显示，美联储最倚重的通胀指标核心个人消费支出（PCE）环比上涨0.2%，同比稳定在2.9%。符合预期。 根据芝商所（CME）美联储观察工具（FedWatch Tool）的数据，交易员目前预计美联储在10月降息的概率接近90%，12月再次降息的概率约为65%。 Capital分析师罗达（Kyle Rodda）表示："美国此次温和的通胀数据，让市场有理由相信美联储在年内进一步降息。"他进一步分析称，"当前市场情绪非 常乐观，本周金价有望再次测试历史新高。不过，目前黄金市场的多头仓位较重，这可能成为未来金价上行需谨慎的一个原因。" 投资者也在关注美联储独立性问题。美国总统特朗普提名米兰（Steph ...

Core Insights - Swift is collaborating with Consensys and a consortium of over 30 global banks to integrate a blockchain-based shared ledger into its technology stack, enabling direct recording, sequencing, and validation of financial transactions [1][2] - The initiative aims to enhance real-time, 24/7 cross-border payments, with the architecture and governance shaped by feedback from participating banks [3][4] Group 1: Consortium and Collaboration - The consortium includes major global banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, and others from 16 countries [2] - Swift has engaged Consensys to develop a conceptual prototype focusing on cross-border payments [3] Group 2: Technological Features - The shared ledger will serve as a secure, real-time transaction log, utilizing smart contracts to enforce rules [4] - Interoperability is a key design priority, ensuring compatibility with both private and public distributed ledger networks and existing fiat systems [4] Group 3: Strategic Vision - Swift's CEO emphasized the initiative as a step towards creating the future infrastructure for financial institutions, enhancing the payments experience [5] - The project is part of a broader digital transformation strategy within the financial industry [5] Group 4: Previous Initiatives - Swift, UBS Asset Management, and Chainlink completed a pilot project for settling tokenized fund subscriptions and redemptions, integrating digital asset transactions with traditional fiat systems [6][7]

Core Insights - The current surge in gold prices is driven by two main forces: central banks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) [1] - Gold prices reached a new historical high of $3,830, marking a year-to-date increase of over 45% [1] - Deutsche Bank's report indicates that the influence of ETFs on gold pricing has increased by 50% over the past three years, supporting their bullish target price of $4,000 for gold [1] Group 1: ETF Influence - ETF investors are experiencing one of the highest gold holdings years since the product's inception, with the SPDR Gold Shares ETF being particularly popular [1] - The assets under management (AUM) for ETFs in dollar terms are 70% higher than in 2020, yet the current gold holdings of 15 million ounces are still below the 17 million ounces seen in 2020, indicating potential for growth [1][2] - A recent analysis using the Granger causality test revealed that changes in gold prices drive ETF fund flows, rather than the other way around [2] Group 2: Demand Dynamics - Official demand from central banks is less sensitive to price changes, with an annual increase of 400 to 500 tons of gold demand over the past three years coinciding with significant price increases [4] - In contrast, jewelry demand is highly sensitive to price fluctuations, with rising gold prices leading to decreased jewelry demand, and increased jewelry demand potentially signaling a bearish outlook for gold prices [4] - ETF investors exhibit lower demand elasticity, which may explain why gold prices have consistently exceeded analyst predictions [4] Group 3: Market Trends - Recent data from Michael Hartnett's weekly fund flow report indicates a record inflow of $17.6 billion into gold funds over the past four weeks, highlighting strong demand for gold ETFs [5] - Hartnett attributes the rise in precious metal prices to inflation policies and a "war bull market," suggesting that despite being overbought from a tactical perspective, gold should be held long-term due to its structural underallocation in portfolios [5]

Hsueh 表示："这就解释了为什么我们不会将珠宝需求的下降视为对黄金价格不利的因素。相反，如果 珠宝需求有所增加，那很可能就会对金价产生不利影响，因为这很可能需要更低的黄金价格作为激励条 件。" 最后，如果ETF的增持确实对黄金的上涨起到了重要作用，那么也就可以推断出，如果这些资金流入停 止或出现逆转，那将会构成一种下行风险。Hsueh 补充道，通常情况下，当美国国债收益率下降时，投 资者会更倾向于增加ETF中的黄金持仓量。 德意志银行分析师Michael Hsueh说道："ETF需求如此强劲地重新回归市场，这表明存在两种针对黄金 的'积极买家'行为，一种来自中央银行，另一种来自ETF投资者。这有助于解释为何黄金的表现一直优 于预期。在我们看来，美联储的宽松倾向应会使 2026 年 ETF 持有量更有可能上升而非下降。" 自 2021 年以来，各大央行每年都在增持约 400 至 500 吨的黄金。 其他需求来源的作用则相对减弱。珠宝购买需求依然具有很强的弹性，价格上涨时需求会下降。硬币和 铸币的需求通常对价格不敏感，但影响力较小;而回收黄金供应则对价格敏感，因此是影响价格波动的 一个因素。 智通财经APP获 ...

As the price of gold chalks up yet another all-time high, there are two "aggressor bids†in the market right now that are responsible for the surge: central banks and exchange-traded funds, a leading ... ...

Market Overview - The market is experiencing a broad rally, although the NASDAQ is lagging behind [1] - There are concerns regarding the sustainability of the rally without big tech leading the way [1][2] Sector Performance - Technology sector continues to perform well, with a robust earnings outlook despite concerns over valuations and returns on capital [3] - Financials, utilities, and healthcare are preferred sectors, with expectations of increasing prices in healthcare due to inflation [3] - The Russell 2000 index has seen a decline of 1.4%, reflecting a rethink of expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [4] Economic Indicators - The core PCE inflation rate is at 2.9%, remaining above the Federal Reserve's target for over four years, indicating persistent inflationary pressures [5] - Recent economic data shows strong spending numbers, but there are concerns about whether Fed cuts will lead to lower mortgage rates [8] Interest Rates and Federal Reserve Actions - The expectation is for the 10-year yield to stabilize around 4.25% in the coming year, with potential for slight decreases [9] - There is a belief that the Federal Reserve will cut rates, but the yield curve may steepen, which is favorable for financials and banks [10] Tariff Impact on Companies - U.S. companies, particularly in the S&P 500, are well-managed and capable of navigating challenges posed by new tariffs [14] - The tech sector is expected to see winners emerge, but there is caution that enthusiasm for certain names may be overblown [15]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，9月26日，香港交易所信息显示，德意志银行在理想汽车-W的持股比例于09月23日从 12.92%升至13.05%。 ...

Core Insights - The Risk Asia Awards 2025 recognize excellence in various categories related to risk management and financial services across Asia [1][2][3] Group 1: Derivatives Awards - Derivatives house of the year for Asia is awarded to UBS [1] - Other notable winners include Daiwa Securities for Japan, Crédit Agricole CIB for Hong Kong and South Korea, and OCBC Bank for Singapore [1] - The award for derivatives house of the year in China goes to Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, while CTBC Bank wins for Taiwan [1] Group 2: Specialized Awards - Standard Chartered is recognized as the interest rate derivatives house of the year [1] - BofA Securities wins the currency derivatives house of the year award [1] - UBS is awarded both equity and credit derivatives house of the year [1] Group 3: Technology and Risk Solutions - Murex is named technology vendor of the year and also wins for system support and implementation [2] - S&P Dow Jones Indices is recognized for quantitative investment solutions [2] - FactSet is awarded for risk solutions [2] Group 4: Compliance and Risk Management - The best AI solution for risk management is awarded to SAS Institute [2] - Wolters Kluwer receives multiple awards for various risk management solutions including IFRS 9 and credit risk management [2] - NICE Actimize is recognized for its AML solution of the year [2]

Brazilian waste management company Ambipar has secured a preliminary injunction from a Rio de Janeiro state court temporarily preventing the accelerated maturity of its debt, according to a decision s... ...