Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 3% year over year, driven by strength in U.S. Domestic package services [7] - Adjusted operating income grew by 7% [7] - Adjusted earnings per share reached $3.83, up 6% year over year [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Federal Express Corporation (FEC) revenue increased by 4% year over year, with adjusted operating income growing by 17% and adjusted operating margin expanding by 70 basis points [8][38] - FedEx Freight faced continued pressure, with average daily shipments declining due to weakness in the industrial economy [24] - U.S. Domestic package yield increased by 3%, while international export package yield grew by 4% [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International priority and economy freight revenue grew by 14% year over year [14] - U.S. Domestic average daily volume (ADV) increased by 5% year over year [21] - The industrial economy remains weak, impacting FedEx Freight's performance [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on reducing structural costs and enhancing service quality through the Tricolor strategy and Network 2.0 [6][14] - A spin-off of FedEx Freight is on track for June 2026, aiming to create a separate public company with a strong customer value proposition [6][49] - The company is leveraging data and technology to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience, with a focus on AI and predictive analytics [15][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's resilience despite global trade volatility and economic uncertainty [5] - The outlook for full-year adjusted earnings is projected to be between $17.2 and $19 per diluted share, reflecting a dynamic global operating environment [18][43] - Management remains optimistic about peak season growth, expecting modest increases in volume driven by larger B2C customers [28] Other Important Information - The company achieved $200 million in transformation-related savings during the quarter [7] - A 5.9% general rate increase is planned for January, with expectations of strong capture from pricing changes [27] - The company is enhancing its cybersecurity posture to protect strategic advantages [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on EPS range - Management indicated that the EPS range is influenced by various factors including global trade evolution and domestic demand [52][54] Question: Understanding cost pressures - Management acknowledged significant headwinds from the global trade environment, impacting operating income [56][57] Question: Data strategy and revenue models - Management highlighted the importance of data and AI in creating new revenue models and enhancing operational efficiency [59][60] Question: Sequential earnings growth expectations - Management expects sequential earnings improvement in Q2 but did not provide specific guidance [67] Question: Clarification on global trade headwinds - Management explained that the majority of the headwind is due to reduced top-line revenue from the China lane [75][76] Question: Domestic volume outlook and competitive landscape - Management noted strong execution in the SMB segment and improvements in pricing, contributing to market share gains [85][88] Question: Customer reaction to de minimis rule expiration - Management reported that small exporters faced challenges due to the expiration, but the company is actively supporting them [103]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 3% year over year, driven by strength in U.S. Domestic package services [7] - Adjusted operating income grew by 7% [7] - Adjusted earnings per share reached $3.83, up 6% year over year [39] - Adjusted operating margin expanded by 20 basis points [39] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Federal Express Corporation (FEC) revenue rose by 4% year over year, with adjusted operating income increasing by 17% [8][42] - FedEx Freight experienced continued pressure, with average daily shipments declining [26] - U.S. Domestic package yield increased by 3%, while international export package yield grew by 4% [27][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International export volumes declined, particularly on the China to U.S. lane [24] - The LTL market remains rational despite prolonged weakness in the industrial economy [9] - U.S. Domestic small business revenue grew by over 10% year over year [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on reducing structural costs while advancing its Tricolor strategy and Network 2.0 [6] - A spin-off of FedEx Freight is on track for June 2026, aiming to create a separate public company [6][53] - The company is leveraging data and technology to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency [16][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's resilience despite global trade volatility [5] - The outlook for full-year adjusted earnings is projected to be between $17.2 and $19 per diluted share [19][47] - Management remains focused on executing commercial priorities and dynamically matching capacity with demand [20] Other Important Information - The company achieved $200 million in transformation-related savings [7] - A new flight linking Dublin and Indianapolis is set to launch, supporting healthcare and high-value verticals [34] - The company plans to host its next Investor Day in February 2026 [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on EPS range - Management indicated that the EPS range is influenced by various factors including global trade evolution and industrial economy health [56][58] Question: Incremental margin growth and headwinds - Management acknowledged the $1 billion headwind from the global trade environment, impacting operating income [60][62] Question: Data strategy and revenue models - The company emphasized the value of its data and AI capabilities, which are expected to create new revenue models [64][66] Question: Sequential earnings growth expectations - Management did not provide specific Q2 guidance but expressed cautious optimism for peak season demand [70][72] Question: Customer reaction to de minimis rule expiry - Management noted that the expiry has been challenging for small exporters, but they are actively supporting customers [107][108] Question: Peak season strength and market conditions - Management expects volume growth during peak season driven by new acquisitions and strong B2C demand [111][115]

Financial Performance - FedEx reported quarterly earnings of $3.83 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.65 per share, and up from $3.6 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +4.93% [1] - The company posted revenues of $22.24 billion for the quarter ended August 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.15%, compared to $21.58 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, FedEx has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - FedEx shares have declined approximately 19.8% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 12.2% [3] - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for future stock performance, with current consensus EPS estimates at $4.04 for the coming quarter and $18.34 for the current fiscal year [4][7] Industry Context - The Transportation - Air Freight and Cargo industry, to which FedEx belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 22% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact FedEx's stock performance [5]

FedEx said it expects 4% to 6% revenue growth this fiscal year, above analysts' estimates as compiled by Visible Alpha. Its forecast for adjusted earnings per share, a range of $17.20 to $19, was roughly in line with projections at the midpoint. FedEx also said it's on track to reduce costs by $1 billion in fiscal 2026 and spin off its freight business by next June, The company logged stronger-than-expected results in its fiscal first quarter. It posted adjusted earnings per share of $3.83 on revenue that c ...

Jeni Hollander VP of Investor Relations Forward-Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures Fiscal first quarter 2026 earnings September 18, 2025 Certain statements in this oress release may be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act, such as statements expected cost savings, the optimization of our network 2.0, the planned tax-free full separation of the FedEx Freight business into a new publicly traded company (the l"FedEx Freight Spi ...

Core Insights - FedEx is experiencing a positive market response, with shares rising due to strong performance despite a challenging transport environment [1] - The company has successfully delivered margins amidst concerns over declining import volumes driven by US tariffs and regulatory changes [2] - FedEx's structural cost initiatives are yielding results, contributing to its profitability [3] Company Performance - FedEx is on track to spin off its freight business, which, despite a weaker quarter, is expected to deliver best-in-class profitability [3] - The freight business is estimated to be worth nearly half of FedEx's market capitalization [4] - FedEx is benefiting from a generational shift in the market, as UPS faces structural decline due to Amazon taking away volumes [4][5] Competitive Landscape - UPS is struggling to maintain margins and is experiencing rising costs per package, which is advantageous for FedEx [5] - FedEx is gaining market share as it merges its domestic networks to achieve lower costs [5] Revenue Outlook - FedEx forecasts a revenue growth rate of 4 to 6% year-over-year for fiscal 2026, which is higher than market expectations [6] - The company is seeing domestic volume gains, which contributed to the positive surprise in this quarter [6][7] - While international shipments face challenges, FedEx is guiding for revenue growth above market consensus, indicating a strong topline outlook [7][8]

PS shares getting a boost as well right now in sympathy. But joining us is Brandon Oglinsky, Barkclay's North America air freight and ground transportation analyst. He has an overweight rating on FedEx.Brandon, it's good to have you on. I mean, shares are soaring here. I realize that expectations were tempered going into this print, but your takeaway.Yeah, Morgan, thanks for having us on and and we're definitely bullish uh FedEx like that last company you just quoted there. Um, but look, I think there's thr ...

Core Viewpoint - FedEx's stock experienced a rally in extended trading after the company reinstated its full-year outlook, indicating confidence in its operational performance and market conditions [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Company Performance - FedEx has reinstated its full-year outlook, which suggests a positive shift in its operational expectations and financial health [1] - The stock price of FedEx saw significant movement in extended trading, reflecting investor optimism following the announcement [1] Market Reaction - The reinstatement of the outlook led to a rally in FedEx's stock, indicating strong market confidence in the company's future performance [1] - The positive market reaction may also suggest a broader confidence in the logistics sector as economic conditions evolve [1]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has cut rates and indicated more cuts are likely through the end of the year, leading to record highs in stocks and rising bond yields [1] - The 10-year Treasury yield briefly fell below 4% but has since risen to 4.116%, influenced by significant jobless claims data [2] - The jobless claims number represents the largest weekly decline in four years, prompting a reassessment of the Fed's rate cut projections [3] Group 2 - The Fed's decision to prioritize employment risks over inflation risks is seen as a necessary move to prevent potential job losses that could negatively impact the economy [4][5] - Despite the Fed's balanced risk assessment, there is a perception that the risks are skewed more towards employment, justifying the recent rate cuts [6] - The Fed has missed its inflation target for seven consecutive years, with inflation consistently exceeding the target by more than 50 basis points in six of those years [7][8]

Market Overview - Wall Street reached new record highs driven by the Federal Reserve's quarter-point interest rate cut and expectations of further reductions in upcoming meetings [2][8] - The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 indices all achieved unprecedented levels, with technology stocks leading the gains [2][8] - Nvidia's $5 billion investment in Intel resulted in a significant 23.1% to 24.6% increase in Intel's shares, marking its largest daily gain since 1987 [2][8] Corporate Performance - FedEx reported a strong first quarter for fiscal year 2025, with adjusted earnings per share of $3.83, surpassing the estimated $3.59, and revenue of $22.2 billion, exceeding predictions of $21.67 billion [3][8] - The company's adjusted operating income reached $1.30 billion, higher than the expected $1.21 billion, indicating a robust start to the fiscal year [3] Capital Flows - U.S. Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for July showed a significant decline in net long-term capital inflows, totaling $49.2 billion, down from $150.8 billion in the same period last year [4][8] - Despite the monthly dip, total foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries reached a record high of $8.339 trillion in July, up from $8.211 trillion in June [4][8] Geopolitical Developments - Former President Trump announced efforts to regain control of Afghanistan's Bagram Air Base, emphasizing its strategic importance due to its proximity to China's nuclear facilities [5][8] Technology Investments - Microsoft announced a $4 billion expansion of its data center investments in Wisconsin, bringing its total investment in the state to over $7 billion [6][8]