Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 3% year over year, driven by strength in U.S. Domestic package services [7] - Adjusted operating income grew by 7% [7] - Adjusted earnings per share reached $3.83, up 6% year over year [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Federal Express Corporation (FEC) revenue increased by 4% year over year, with adjusted operating income growing by 17% and adjusted operating margin expanding by 70 basis points [8][38] - FedEx Freight faced continued pressure, with average daily shipments declining due to weakness in the industrial economy [24] - U.S. Domestic package yield increased by 3%, while international export package yield grew by 4% [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International priority and economy freight revenue grew by 14% year over year [14] - U.S. Domestic average daily volume (ADV) increased by 5% year over year [21] - The industrial economy remains weak, impacting FedEx Freight's performance [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on reducing structural costs and enhancing service quality through the Tricolor strategy and Network 2.0 [6][14] - A spin-off of FedEx Freight is on track for June 2026, aiming to create a separate public company with a strong customer value proposition [6][49] - The company is leveraging data and technology to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience, with a focus on AI and predictive analytics [15][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's resilience despite global trade volatility and economic uncertainty [5] - The outlook for full-year adjusted earnings is projected to be between $17.2 and $19 per diluted share, reflecting a dynamic global operating environment [18][43] - Management remains optimistic about peak season growth, expecting modest increases in volume driven by larger B2C customers [28] Other Important Information - The company achieved $200 million in transformation-related savings during the quarter [7] - A 5.9% general rate increase is planned for January, with expectations of strong capture from pricing changes [27] - The company is enhancing its cybersecurity posture to protect strategic advantages [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on EPS range - Management indicated that the EPS range is influenced by various factors including global trade evolution and domestic demand [52][54] Question: Understanding cost pressures - Management acknowledged significant headwinds from the global trade environment, impacting operating income [56][57] Question: Data strategy and revenue models - Management highlighted the importance of data and AI in creating new revenue models and enhancing operational efficiency [59][60] Question: Sequential earnings growth expectations - Management expects sequential earnings improvement in Q2 but did not provide specific guidance [67] Question: Clarification on global trade headwinds - Management explained that the majority of the headwind is due to reduced top-line revenue from the China lane [75][76] Question: Domestic volume outlook and competitive landscape - Management noted strong execution in the SMB segment and improvements in pricing, contributing to market share gains [85][88] Question: Customer reaction to de minimis rule expiration - Management reported that small exporters faced challenges due to the expiration, but the company is actively supporting them [103]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 3% year over year, driven by strength in U.S. Domestic package services [7] - Adjusted operating income grew by 7% [7] - Adjusted earnings per share reached $3.83, up 6% year over year [39] - Adjusted operating margin expanded by 20 basis points [39] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Federal Express Corporation (FEC) revenue rose by 4% year over year, with adjusted operating income increasing by 17% [8][42] - FedEx Freight experienced continued pressure, with average daily shipments declining [26] - U.S. Domestic package yield increased by 3%, while international export package yield grew by 4% [27][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International export volumes declined, particularly on the China to U.S. lane [24] - The LTL market remains rational despite prolonged weakness in the industrial economy [9] - U.S. Domestic small business revenue grew by over 10% year over year [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on reducing structural costs while advancing its Tricolor strategy and Network 2.0 [6] - A spin-off of FedEx Freight is on track for June 2026, aiming to create a separate public company [6][53] - The company is leveraging data and technology to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency [16][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's resilience despite global trade volatility [5] - The outlook for full-year adjusted earnings is projected to be between $17.2 and $19 per diluted share [19][47] - Management remains focused on executing commercial priorities and dynamically matching capacity with demand [20] Other Important Information - The company achieved $200 million in transformation-related savings [7] - A new flight linking Dublin and Indianapolis is set to launch, supporting healthcare and high-value verticals [34] - The company plans to host its next Investor Day in February 2026 [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on EPS range - Management indicated that the EPS range is influenced by various factors including global trade evolution and industrial economy health [56][58] Question: Incremental margin growth and headwinds - Management acknowledged the $1 billion headwind from the global trade environment, impacting operating income [60][62] Question: Data strategy and revenue models - The company emphasized the value of its data and AI capabilities, which are expected to create new revenue models [64][66] Question: Sequential earnings growth expectations - Management did not provide specific Q2 guidance but expressed cautious optimism for peak season demand [70][72] Question: Customer reaction to de minimis rule expiry - Management noted that the expiry has been challenging for small exporters, but they are actively supporting customers [107][108] Question: Peak season strength and market conditions - Management expects volume growth during peak season driven by new acquisitions and strong B2C demand [111][115]

Financial Performance - FedEx reported quarterly earnings of $3.83 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.65 per share, and up from $3.6 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +4.93% [1] - The company posted revenues of $22.24 billion for the quarter ended August 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.15%, compared to $21.58 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, FedEx has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - FedEx shares have declined approximately 19.8% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 12.2% [3] - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for future stock performance, with current consensus EPS estimates at $4.04 for the coming quarter and $18.34 for the current fiscal year [4][7] Industry Context - The Transportation - Air Freight and Cargo industry, to which FedEx belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 22% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact FedEx's stock performance [5]

FedEx said it expects 4% to 6% revenue growth this fiscal year, above analysts' estimates as compiled by Visible Alpha. Its forecast for adjusted earnings per share, a range of $17.20 to $19, was roughly in line with projections at the midpoint. FedEx also said it's on track to reduce costs by $1 billion in fiscal 2026 and spin off its freight business by next June, The company logged stronger-than-expected results in its fiscal first quarter. It posted adjusted earnings per share of $3.83 on revenue that c ...

Jeni Hollander VP of Investor Relations Forward-Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures Fiscal first quarter 2026 earnings September 18, 2025 Certain statements in this oress release may be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act, such as statements expected cost savings, the optimization of our network 2.0, the planned tax-free full separation of the FedEx Freight business into a new publicly traded company (the l"FedEx Freight Spi ...

Core Insights - FedEx is experiencing a positive market response, with shares rising due to strong performance despite a challenging transport environment [1] - The company has successfully delivered margins amidst concerns over declining import volumes driven by US tariffs and regulatory changes [2] - FedEx's structural cost initiatives are yielding results, contributing to its profitability [3] Company Performance - FedEx is on track to spin off its freight business, which, despite a weaker quarter, is expected to deliver best-in-class profitability [3] - The freight business is estimated to be worth nearly half of FedEx's market capitalization [4] - FedEx is benefiting from a generational shift in the market, as UPS faces structural decline due to Amazon taking away volumes [4][5] Competitive Landscape - UPS is struggling to maintain margins and is experiencing rising costs per package, which is advantageous for FedEx [5] - FedEx is gaining market share as it merges its domestic networks to achieve lower costs [5] Revenue Outlook - FedEx forecasts a revenue growth rate of 4 to 6% year-over-year for fiscal 2026, which is higher than market expectations [6] - The company is seeing domestic volume gains, which contributed to the positive surprise in this quarter [6][7] - While international shipments face challenges, FedEx is guiding for revenue growth above market consensus, indicating a strong topline outlook [7][8]

FedEx Performance & Strategy - FedEx delivered margins despite transport industry concerns about lower import volumes due to US tariffs and rule changes [2] - FedEx is on track to spin off its freight business, which is considered almost worth half the company's market capitalization [3][4] - FedEx is benefiting from structural market share gains as it merges domestic networks to lower costs, while competitor UPS faces challenges [5] Market Dynamics & Competition - UPS's business is in structural decline as Amazon takes volumes off it, leading to increased cost per package [4][5] - FedEx is gaining structural market share due to UPS's challenges [5] Financial Outlook - FedEx forecasts a 4-6% year-over-year revenue growth rate for fiscal year 2026, exceeding previous expectations [6] - Domestic volume gains are driving the revenue growth, while international side faces challenges with mixed priority shipments [6][7] - Management is expected to have a somber outlook for global trade [7]

Core Viewpoint - FedEx's stock experienced a rally in extended trading after the company reinstated its full-year outlook, indicating confidence in its operational performance and market conditions [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Company Performance - FedEx has reinstated its full-year outlook, which suggests a positive shift in its operational expectations and financial health [1] - The stock price of FedEx saw significant movement in extended trading, reflecting investor optimism following the announcement [1] Market Reaction - The reinstatement of the outlook led to a rally in FedEx's stock, indicating strong market confidence in the company's future performance [1] - The positive market reaction may also suggest a broader confidence in the logistics sector as economic conditions evolve [1]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has cut rates and indicated more cuts are likely through the end of the year, leading to record highs in stocks and rising bond yields [1] - The 10-year Treasury yield briefly fell below 4% but has since risen to 4.116%, influenced by significant jobless claims data [2] - The jobless claims number represents the largest weekly decline in four years, prompting a reassessment of the Fed's rate cut projections [3] Group 2 - The Fed's decision to prioritize employment risks over inflation risks is seen as a necessary move to prevent potential job losses that could negatively impact the economy [4][5] - Despite the Fed's balanced risk assessment, there is a perception that the risks are skewed more towards employment, justifying the recent rate cuts [6] - The Fed has missed its inflation target for seven consecutive years, with inflation consistently exceeding the target by more than 50 basis points in six of those years [7][8]

Market Overview - Wall Street reached new record highs driven by the Federal Reserve's quarter-point interest rate cut and expectations of further reductions in upcoming meetings [2][8] - The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 indices all achieved unprecedented levels, with technology stocks leading the gains [2][8] - Nvidia's $5 billion investment in Intel resulted in a significant 23.1% to 24.6% increase in Intel's shares, marking its largest daily gain since 1987 [2][8] Corporate Performance - FedEx reported a strong first quarter for fiscal year 2025, with adjusted earnings per share of $3.83, surpassing the estimated $3.59, and revenue of $22.2 billion, exceeding predictions of $21.67 billion [3][8] - The company's adjusted operating income reached $1.30 billion, higher than the expected $1.21 billion, indicating a robust start to the fiscal year [3] Capital Flows - U.S. Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for July showed a significant decline in net long-term capital inflows, totaling $49.2 billion, down from $150.8 billion in the same period last year [4][8] - Despite the monthly dip, total foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries reached a record high of $8.339 trillion in July, up from $8.211 trillion in June [4][8] Geopolitical Developments - Former President Trump announced efforts to regain control of Afghanistan's Bagram Air Base, emphasizing its strategic importance due to its proximity to China's nuclear facilities [5][8] Technology Investments - Microsoft announced a $4 billion expansion of its data center investments in Wisconsin, bringing its total investment in the state to over $7 billion [6][8]