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大摩:数据中心折旧费用或被大幅低估
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-04 08:41
责任编辑:山上 摩根士丹利在最新报告中表示,超大型企业正从相对轻资产的商业模式向依赖基础设施的运营模式转 变,因为它们正在扩大数据中心容量,以满足不断增长的AI需求。该行全球研究部主管Katy Huberty表 示,这一转变具有重要的会计方面的影响。报告称,大摩采用了一种修正后的折旧模型,该模型能够对 因在建工程余额上升而产生的偏差进行调整。据此估算,微软、甲骨文、Meta以及谷歌这四家公司在 未来四年内可能总共需要支付超过6800亿美元的折旧费用。大摩表示,传统的预测方法可能会低估未来 的资产贬值幅度,因为这些方法未能充分考虑到资本支出与资产投入使用之间的时滞因素。 美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>> ...
AI算力行业周报:Meta与康宁签订60亿美元光纤大单,英伟达即将举办CPO网络研讨会
Huaxin Securities· 2026-02-04 08:24
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the AI computing industry is maintained as "Buy" for specific companies such as沃尔核材, 天孚通信, and 长飞光纤, while 立讯精密 is rated as "Add" [7]. Core Insights - Meta has signed a long-term supply agreement with Corning for fiber optic cables worth up to $6 billion to accelerate AI data center construction, highlighting the strong demand for fiber optics in computing infrastructure [3]. - Nvidia is hosting a webinar focused on co-packaged silicon photonics (CPO) switches, emphasizing their strategic value in scaling AI computing capabilities [4]. - The report suggests focusing on companies like 天孚通信, 立讯精密, 长飞光纤, and 沃尔核材 for potential investment opportunities [5]. Weekly Market Analysis - From January 26 to January 30, the communication industry saw a significant increase of 5.83%, ranking second among all sectors, while the electronics sector experienced a decline of 2.51% [12][19]. - The AI computing-related sub-sectors mostly showed an upward trend, with the communication network equipment and devices sector leading with an increase of 8.56% [19]. Company Announcements - Lotus Holdings announced progress in its transition to computing power business, including various contracts for GPU servers and cloud services [49]. - Tongfu Microelectronics reported a reduction in shareholding by its major shareholder, which will not affect the company's governance or operations [51]. - Tianfu Communication completed a share reduction plan by a board member, which was executed in accordance with regulations and did not impact company control [52].
特朗普计划启动“金库计划”
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-04 07:47
Group 1 - The rare earth sector showed significant strength in pre-market trading, with NioCorp Developments rising nearly 9% and Critical Metals increasing over 7% [1][2] - Other companies in the sector also experienced gains, including TMC the metals, American Resources, and United States Antimony, all rising over 6% [1][2] Group 2 - The U.S. government is launching a strategic critical minerals reserve project called "Project Vault," with an initial funding of $12 billion aimed at protecting manufacturers from supply shocks [3] - The project will combine $1.67 billion in private capital with a $10 billion loan from the Export-Import Bank of the United States, intended for procurement and storage of mineral resources for various industries [3] - The Export-Import Bank's board is expected to approve this record-scale loan, which is more than double the size of the bank's second-largest transaction in history [3] - The reserve will cover rare earths and other strategic elements, helping companies hedge against price volatility without needing to stockpile materials [3][4] - Over ten companies, including General Motors and Boeing, are participating in the project, which allows them to withdraw materials as needed while stabilizing market prices [4] - The project is similar to the existing strategic petroleum reserve but focuses on critical materials like gallium and cobalt, which are essential for various technologies [4]
25Q4海外债基持仓:国债仓位增加,信用债增配通讯板块
Ping An Securities· 2026-02-04 07:29
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - In Q4 2025, overseas bond funds mainly increased their positions in MBS (+2.6pp) and treasury bonds (+2.4pp), reduced derivatives (-5.3pp), and slightly increased corporate bonds. However, they were still significantly underweight in treasury bonds compared to the benchmark index. The funds slightly extended the duration in Q4 2025 [3]. - In the credit - bond portfolio, in Q4 2025, funds mainly increased their positions in the communications (+1.1pp) and cyclical consumption (+0.5pp) sectors, and reduced their positions in the banking (-0.7pp) and energy (-0.3pp) sectors. The overall credit quality of the portfolio slightly improved as funds mainly reduced their positions in BBB - rated bonds and increased their positions in AA - rated bonds [2][3]. - From an individual bond perspective, the companies that funds increased the most in Q4 last year included internet technology companies such as Meta and Amazon. In absolute terms, the companies that funds were overweight compared to the benchmark index were concentrated in sectors like banking, automotive, and tobacco, and they also maintained an overweight position in sectors such as TMT and health insurance [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Analysis Sample - The report selected US actively managed funds with a large asset management scale and timely data disclosure as observation samples, including comprehensive investment - grade funds and pure corporate - bond funds. Comprehensive funds were used as samples for analyzing the large - asset allocation of funds, and all sample funds were used for analyzing the credit - bond portfolio [3]. 3.2 Asset Allocation - As of Q4 2025, overseas bond funds mainly increased their positions in MBS (+2.6pp), treasury bonds (+2.4pp), and slightly increased corporate bonds compared to Q3, while reducing derivatives (-5.3pp). However, they were still significantly underweight in treasury bonds compared to the benchmark index [3]. - In Q4 last year, the funds slightly extended the duration [3]. 3.3 Credit - Bond Portfolio - **Industry Allocation**: In Q4 2025, funds mainly increased their positions in the communications (+1.1pp) and cyclical consumption (+0.5pp) sectors, and reduced their positions in the banking (-0.7pp) and energy (-0.3pp) sectors. The banking sector still had a relatively high proportion in credit bonds, accounting for 26% as of Q4 2025 [3]. - **Comparison with the Benchmark Index**: Compared with the previous quarter, funds were overweight in the communications (+0.3pp) and cyclical consumption (+0.1pp) sectors and underweight in the technology (-0.2pp), banking (-0.1pp), and power (-0.1pp) sectors. Compared with Q4 2024, in 2025, funds were mainly overweight in the technology (+0.4pp), cyclical consumption (+0.4pp), communications (+0.3pp), and insurance (+0.2pp) sectors and underweight in the banking (-0.5pp) and power (-0.2pp) sectors [3]. - **Rating Allocation**: Funds mainly reduced their positions in BBB - rated bonds and increased their positions in AA - rated bonds, with the credit quality of the portfolio slightly improving. In the industry distribution, funds maintained a BBB - rated - based allocation in most industries but carried out credit downgrades in the communications, cyclical consumption, and public - utility sectors [2]. - **Individual Bond Analysis**: The companies that funds increased the most in Q4 last year included internet technology companies such as Meta and Amazon, possibly affected by new - bond supply. In absolute terms, the companies that funds were overweight compared to the benchmark index were concentrated in sectors such as banking (e.g., JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, UBS), automotive (e.g., Ford, General Motors, Hyundai), and tobacco; in addition, funds also maintained an overweight position in sectors such as TMT (e.g., Oracle, Meta, Broadcom) and health insurance, which were sectors with attractive valuations [2].
Nasdaq Dips Over 300 Points Amid Geopolitical Tensions: Investor Sentiment Declines, Greed Index Moves To 'Fear' Zone - Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG)
Benzinga· 2026-02-04 07:25
The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a decline in the overall market sentiment, while the index moved to the “Fear” zone on Tuesday.U.S. stocks settled lower on Tuesday, with the Nasdaq Composite falling more than 300 points during the session as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East resurfaced.U.S. officials told Reuters that American forces shot down an Iranian drone that approached a U.S. Navy aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea.Most tech stocks closed in the red, with shares of Microsoft Corp. ( ...
美国因素下,韩股遭遇“过山车”
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-02-04 05:46
本报驻韩国特约记者 黎枳银 本报记者 肖震冬 韩国股市此前两日上演"过山车"式震荡,先遭遇大幅下挫,一度触发"熔断",后又强劲反弹,市场在恐 慌性抛售与低价买盘快速回流之间反复拉扯。多方分析称,在全球人工智能(AI)投资预期出现波动 之际,这凸显以AI企业大规模支出为核心的上涨结构在高估值环境下"走钢丝"的现实。 "波动性主导首尔股市" 彭博社报道称,2日韩国综合股价指数(KOSPI)单日下跌5.3%,为去年4月以来最大跌幅,股指期货下 行一度触发程序化交易暂停。此前长期领涨市场的芯片权重股集体承压,三星电子与SK海力士当日盘 中跌幅均超过6%。韩元同步走弱,市场避险情绪瞬间升温,国内外资金在现货市场纷纷转为净卖出。 但仅仅一个交易日后,韩国股市便快速反弹。据韩国《韩民族日报》3日报道,KOSPI时隔一天重返 5000点,在前一交易日跌幅超过5%后,早盘上涨逾3%,盘中一度触发买入侧程序化交易限制。"KOSPI 经历过山车行情,波动性主导首尔股市",《韩国先驱报》3日以此为题报道。对于反弹动因,韩国 Kiwoom证券分析师韩智英指出,在美国市场情绪暂时企稳的背景下,前一日暴跌所引发的低价买盘迅 速回流,推动指 ...
马斯克火箭与AI公司合并,后或与特斯拉合并,地空天机器与AI一体
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 04:15
马斯克火箭与AI公司合并,后或与特斯拉合并,地空天机器与AI一体 ——马斯克是要在太空百万计的卫星和地面超级中心推超算,但由于谷歌在量子计算的绝对领先,可能最后还是谷歌AI接管一切, 除非英伟达和OpenAI重大突破,马斯克也全面介入量子计算,同时都在核电等领域突破和全面接入(咱们说的,是终端全面使用核 电) 邵旭峰 最新消息,马斯克旗下火箭公司与其近年倾力打造的xAI公司合并——全球知名社交平台X(原推特)在xAI旗下。 也就是马斯克旗下火箭、星舰飞船项目和AI及社交平台完全整合。 基于此,我判断,之后马斯克旗下特斯拉也可能与SpaceX继续整合,实现地空天智能机器与AI及社交平台高度整合的独立生态系统 闭环——你依稀可以看到机器人、车、飞行器打通——变形金刚成为现实?依赖AI高度智能化,互相助力发展。 请注意,这个事态,咱们这里还是最先预断的。 现在特斯拉市值已经在全球六七的位置(和博通、meta、台积电相当)——这样整合之后的公司,市值可能仅次于英伟达和谷歌, 从而形成全球最大GPU及综合生态提供者英伟达,独立超级生态谷歌(全球最大搜索、全球最大视频、三四十亿用户的安卓系统, 独立TPU支撑的AI集群以 ...
Alphabet Q4 Earnings Preview: Can AI And Cloud Momentum Sustain The $4 Trillion Valuation?
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-04 03:25
Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding company or industry insights [1]
1月行业月报:AI应用催化密集,同时关注春节档表现
Zhong Guo Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-04 02:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the media and internet industry, particularly highlighting the growth potential driven by AI applications and content quality [1]. Core Insights - The media and internet industry index rose by 17.94% in January 2026, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which increased by 1.65% [6][8]. - The film industry experienced a significant decline in box office revenue, with January 2026 box office at 1.965 billion yuan, down 69.15% year-on-year and 47.08% month-on-month [16][18]. - The gaming industry saw record-high user revenue, with actual sales revenue reaching 350.789 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.68% [30][34]. - The advertising market grew by 5.4% year-on-year in 2025, with notable increases in sectors such as telecommunications and personal goods [16]. - AI applications are rapidly advancing, with companies like Zhihui and Minimax listing in Hong Kong, indicating a strong market interest in AI commercialization [1][4]. Market Dynamics - The media industry index showed a strong performance in January 2026, with all sub-sectors experiencing growth, particularly advertising marketing, which rose by 35.73% [7][8]. - The film industry is expected to see a rebound in February 2026 due to the release of new films during the Spring Festival [25][29]. - The gaming market continues to expand, with a user base of 683 million, marking a historical high [30][34]. Sub-industry Data Tracking Film Industry - January 2026 saw a total of 41 films released, with a box office champion being "Zootopia" at 423 million yuan, accounting for 21.5% of the total box office [16][26]. - The average ticket price in January 2026 was 38.84 yuan, down 17.45% year-on-year [18]. Gaming Industry - The domestic mobile gaming market generated 257.076 billion yuan in revenue in 2025, a 7.92% increase year-on-year [30][34]. - The number of approved domestic game licenses increased significantly, with 177 games approved in January 2026, indicating a stable supply for the market [42][44]. Advertising Industry - The advertising market's total expenditure increased by 5.4% in 2025, with significant growth in sectors like telecommunications and IT products [16].
国内外AI年报分析展望





2026-02-04 02:27
Summary of the Conference Call on AI Annual Report Analysis Industry Overview - The conference focused on the analysis and outlook of AI annual reports, particularly in the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector, with a specific emphasis on domestic and international AI companies [1][2][4]. Key Points and Arguments General Market Sentiment - The period from October 31 to March is characterized as a performance vacuum, where the focus is on thematic investments rather than immediate earnings results [2][3]. - The spring market is expected to see a resurgence, with significant activity anticipated around March [3][4]. North American Companies - North American companies, particularly those involved in AI and cloud computing, have reported earnings that exceeded expectations, indicating strong capital expenditure in AI [4][6]. - Companies like Microsoft and Meta have shown robust spending on AI infrastructure, reflecting a positive outlook for the sector [4][6]. - Despite some domestic companies underperforming, their stock prices have rebounded, suggesting that market sentiment is more focused on thematic trends rather than immediate earnings [5][6]. Domestic AI Companies - Domestic AI companies are experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with strong demand for AI-related products and services, despite some companies reporting earnings below expectations [6][7]. - The industry is characterized by a shortage of materials and components, which is driving prices up and creating a favorable environment for growth [6][7][10]. Future Growth Projections - There is a consensus that the growth trajectory for AI companies will continue to be strong, with expectations for significant growth in 2026 and beyond [8][9]. - Many companies are currently undervalued, trading at price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between 15x to 20x, which presents a potential investment opportunity [8][9]. Specific Company Insights - Companies like Wan, Tianfu Communication, and others are highlighted for their potential despite recent earnings misses, as the overall industry outlook remains positive [4][6][7]. - The demand for GPUs and AI chips is expected to remain high, with domestic companies like Cambrian facing challenges but still showing potential for recovery [9][10]. Application and Innovation - The conference emphasized the importance of AI applications, particularly in gaming and media, with companies like Tencent and ByteDance leading the charge [14][15]. - The emergence of AI-driven applications is seen as a significant growth area, with expectations for increased investment and innovation in this space [14][15]. Regulatory and Market Concerns - There are concerns regarding potential regulatory impacts on the gaming industry, but these are largely viewed as unfounded and not likely to affect the overall market significantly [15][16]. - The market is currently experiencing volatility, but analysts suggest that this presents buying opportunities for fundamentally strong companies [21][22]. Additional Important Insights - The conference highlighted the importance of monitoring capital expenditure trends among major tech companies, as this will influence the demand for AI infrastructure and services [36][37]. - The potential for new technologies, such as diamond-based cooling materials for semiconductors, was discussed as a future growth area [24][25]. - Analysts recommend focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential, particularly in the AI and semiconductor sectors, as the market continues to evolve [22][23][39].