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Ferroglobe(GSM) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-05-07 21:00
[Q1 2025 Financial & Operational Highlights](index=4&type=section&id=Ferroglobe%20Reports%20First%20Quarter%202025%20Financial%20Results) This section provides an overview of Ferroglobe's financial and operational performance in Q1 2025, highlighting key results and management's perspective [Overall Performance Summary](index=4&type=section&id=First%20Quarter%20Highlights) Ferroglobe reported a challenging first quarter with a net loss of $66.5 million and a negative Adjusted EBITDA of $(26.8) million, which was in line with the company's budget Q1 2025 Financial Highlights | Financial Highlights | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | % Q/Q | Q1 2024 | % Y/Y | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Sales ($M) | $307.2 | $367.5 | (16.4)% | $391.9 | (21.6)% | | Net loss attributable to the parent ($M) | $(66.5) | $(28.1) | (136.3)% | $(2.0) | (3184.7)% | | Adj. EBITDA ($M) | $(26.8) | $9.8 | (372.2)% | $25.8 | (203.9)% | | Adjusted diluted EPS ($) | $(0.20) | $0.03 | (849.2)% | $(0.00) | (4872.9)% | | Operating cash flow ($M) | $19.4 | $32.1 | (39.6)% | $198.0 | (90.2)% | | Free cash flow ($M) | $5.1 | $14.1 | (64.2)% | $179.8 | (97.2)% | - The company is maintaining its full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of **$100-$170 million**[7](index=7&type=chunk)[47](index=47&type=chunk)[85](index=85&type=chunk) - CEO Dr. Marco Levi stated that the negative first-quarter adjusted EBITDA was in line with the budget and anticipates significant improvement from the second quarter forward, believing the market is at or near a trough[8](index=8&type=chunk)[9](index=9&type=chunk) - Key operational achievements include generating **$5.1 million** of free cash flow, receiving a favorable final decision in the U.S. ferrosilicon case, increasing the quarterly dividend by **8%**, and repurchasing **720,008 shares**[11](index=11&type=chunk) [Consolidated Sales Analysis](index=4&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Sales) In Q1 2025, Ferroglobe's sales were $307.2 million, a significant decrease of 16.4% quarter-over-quarter and 21.6% year-over-year - Q1 2025 sales of **$307.2 million** were down **16.4%** from Q4 2024 and **21.6%** from Q1 2024[10](index=10&type=chunk) - Compared to the prior quarter, sales of silicon metal and manganese-based alloys declined by **$56.7 million** and **$4.0 million**, respectively, while silicon-based alloys sales increased by **$5.8 million**[12](index=12&type=chunk) [Segment Performance Analysis](index=5&type=section&id=Product%20Category%20Highlights) This section details the financial performance of Ferroglobe's key product segments, including Silicon Metal, Silicon-Based Alloys, and Manganese-Based Alloys, for Q1 2025 [Silicon Metal](index=5&type=section&id=Silicon%20Metal) The Silicon Metal segment experienced a significant downturn in Q1 2025, with revenue falling 35.2% quarter-over-quarter to $104.6 million Silicon Metal Performance (Q1 2025 vs. Q4 2024) | Metric | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | % Q/Q | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Shipments (MT) | 36,308 | 49,797 | (27.1)% | | Avg. Selling Price ($/MT) | $2,881 | $3,240 | (11.1)% | | Revenue ($'000) | $104,603 | $161,342 | (35.2)% | | Adj. EBITDA ($'000) | $(15,447) | $16,849 | (191.7)% | | Adj. EBITDA Margin | (14.8)% | 10.4% | - | - The decrease in Adjusted EBITDA margin was attributed to lower prices, volume declines, reduced fixed cost absorption, and higher energy costs[13](index=13&type=chunk) - Outlook: Management believes Q1 likely marked the trough for the year, expects Q2 volumes to increase significantly, and anticipates benefits from the U.S. silicon metal trade case and EU safeguards[58](index=58&type=chunk) [Silicon-Based Alloys](index=5&type=section&id=Silicon-Based%20Alloys) Silicon-based alloy revenue rose 6.8% to $90.9 million in Q1 2025, driven by an 8.7% increase in shipment volumes due to higher demand in the US Silicon-Based Alloys Performance (Q1 2025 vs. Q4 2024) | Metric | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | % Q/Q | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Shipments (MT) | 42,864 | 39,417 | 8.7% | | Avg. Selling Price ($/MT) | $2,120 | $2,159 | (1.8)% | | Revenue ($'000) | $90,872 | $85,101 | 6.8% | | Adj. EBITDA ($'000) | $2,414 | $3,093 | (22.0)% | | Adj. EBITDA Margin | 2.7% | 3.6% | - | - Outlook: The company is seeing initial positive impacts from trade cases, with U.S. FeSi index prices increasing **17%** through April, and expects market improvement to accelerate with potential EU safeguard implementation[63](index=63&type=chunk) [Manganese-Based Alloys](index=5&type=section&id=Manganese-Based%20Alloys) Manganese-based alloy revenue decreased by 5.1% to $74.5 million in Q1 2025, as a 4.4% drop in average selling prices overshadowed nearly flat shipment volumes Manganese-Based Alloys Performance (Q1 2025 vs. Q4 2024) | Metric | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | % Q/Q | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Shipments (MT) | 67,229 | 67,712 | (0.7)% | | Avg. Selling Price ($/MT) | $1,108 | $1,159 | (4.4)% | | Revenue ($'000) | $74,490 | $78,478 | (5.1)% | | Adj. EBITDA ($'000) | $(5,574) | $7,091 | (178.6)% | | Adj. EBITDA Margin | (7.5)% | 9.0% | - | - The decrease in Adjusted EBITDA margin was mainly due to higher energy costs and idling in France[15](index=15&type=chunk) - Outlook: The company expects a meaningful increase in volumes in the second quarter and believes affirmed EU safeguards should benefit pricing and help local producers[68](index=68&type=chunk) [Cost and Profitability Analysis](index=5&type=section&id=Cost%20and%20Profitability) This section analyzes Ferroglobe's cost structure and profitability metrics, including raw materials, energy consumption, net loss, and Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 [Raw Materials and Energy Consumption](index=5&type=section&id=Raw%20materials%20and%20energy%20consumption%20for%20production) Raw materials and energy consumption for production decreased 5.0% to $238.3 million in Q1 2025, but increased as a percentage of sales to 77.6% - Raw materials and energy consumption as a percentage of sales was **77.6%** in Q1 2025, up from **68.2%** in Q4 2024[17](index=17&type=chunk) - The increase in costs as a percentage of sales was driven by lower pricing and higher energy costs[17](index=17&type=chunk) [Net Loss and Adjusted EBITDA](index=6&type=section&id=Net%20(Loss)%20Income%20Attributable%20to%20the%20Parent) In Q1 2025, Ferroglobe reported a net loss attributable to the parent of $66.5 million, or $(0.36) per diluted share, with Adjusted EBITDA turning negative to $(26.8) million - Q1 2025 net loss attributable to the parent was **$(66.5) million**, or **$(0.36)** per diluted share[18](index=18&type=chunk) - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was **$(26.8) million**, compared to **$9.8 million** in Q4 2024, with the decrease mainly driven by lower pricing and higher energy costs[19](index=19&type=chunk) - Adjusted diluted earnings per share was **$(0.20)** for Q1 2025, compared with **$0.03** in the prior quarter[18](index=18&type=chunk) [Financial Position and Cash Flow](index=7&type=section&id=Financial%20Position%20and%20Cash%20Flow) This section reviews Ferroglobe's balance sheet, working capital management, and cash flow generation, including capital returns to shareholders, for Q1 2025 [Balance Sheet and Working Capital](index=7&type=section&id=Total%20Cash,%20Adjusted%20Gross%20Debt%20and%20Working%20Capital) As of March 31, 2025, Ferroglobe maintained a net cash position of $19.2 million, with total working capital decreasing by $25.1 million to $435.7 million Key Balance Sheet Metrics (as of March 31, 2025) | ($ in millions) | March 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | March 31, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total Cash | $129.6 | $133.3 | $159.8 | | Adjusted Gross Debt | $110.4 | $94.4 | $80.8 | | Net Cash | $19.2 | $38.9 | $79.0 | | Total Working Capital | $435.7 | $460.8 | $487.5 | - The **$25.1 million** decrease in working capital was due to a **$32.3 million** decrease in inventories and a **$17.7 million** increase in trade and other payables, partially offset by increases in receivables[22](index=22&type=chunk) - CFO Beatriz García-Cos noted that the company achieved about **50%** of its full-year working capital reduction target in Q1 and expects a modest increase in the next two quarters as production ramps up, followed by a meaningful reduction in Q4[23](index=23&type=chunk) [Cash Flow and Capital Returns](index=7&type=section&id=Cash%20Flow%20and%20Capital%20Returns) Despite the challenging market, Ferroglobe generated positive free cash flow of $5.1 million in Q1 2025 and continued its capital return program - Generated positive free cash flow of **$5.1 million**, calculated from **$19.4 million** in operating cash flow less **$14.3 million** in capital expenditures[8](index=8&type=chunk)[81](index=81&type=chunk) - During Q1, the company repurchased **720,008 shares** at an average price of **$3.75** per share for a total of **$2.7 million**[24](index=24&type=chunk) - A quarterly cash dividend of **$0.014** per share was paid on March 26, 2025, with the next dividend of the same amount to be paid on June 26, 2025[24](index=24&type=chunk) [Outlook and Guidance](index=4&type=section&id=Outlook%20and%20Guidance) This section outlines Ferroglobe's forward-looking statements, including its full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance and the factors influencing its optimistic market outlook [Company Outlook](index=4&type=section&id=Company%20Outlook) Ferroglobe maintains its full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $100-$170 million, expecting significant performance improvement from Q2 onwards due to market trough and trade actions - The company is maintaining its 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of **$100-$170 million**[7](index=7&type=chunk)[85](index=85&type=chunk) - The optimistic outlook is driven by the belief that the market is at or near a trough, combined with supportive trade actions[9](index=9&type=chunk) - Key trade actions include a favorable final determination in the U.S. ferrosilicon case, a newly filed petition by U.S. silicon metal producers, and expected EU safeguard measures covering all main products, which should benefit the company in the second half of the year[9](index=9&type=chunk)[51](index=51&type=chunk) [Appendix: Financial Statements and Reconciliations](index=10&type=section&id=Appendix) This appendix provides detailed unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and reconciliations of non-IFRS financial measures to their IFRS equivalents [Consolidated Financial Statements](index=10&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements) This section presents the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for the three months ended March 31, 2025, including the Income Statement, Statement of Financial Position, and Statement of Cash Flows - The Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Income Statement details revenues, costs, and the resulting net loss for the period[35](index=35&type=chunk)[36](index=36&type=chunk) - The Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statement of Financial Position provides a snapshot of the company's assets, liabilities, and equity at the end of the quarter[37](index=37&type=chunk)[38](index=38&type=chunk) - The Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows outlines the cash movements from operating, investing, and financing activities during the quarter[39](index=39&type=chunk)[40](index=40&type=chunk) [Non-IFRS Reconciliations](index=13&type=section&id=Non-IFRS%20Reconciliations) This section provides reconciliations for non-IFRS financial measures used by management, such as Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Profit, and Adjusted Diluted EPS, to their nearest IFRS equivalents Reconciliation of Net Loss to Adjusted EBITDA (Q1 2025, $ in thousands) | Description | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | Loss attributable to the parent | $(66,482) | | Loss attributable to non-controlling interest | $(416) | | Income tax expense | $625 | | Finance income | $(873) | | Finance costs | $4,555 | | Depreciation and amortization | $17,520 | | **EBITDA** | **$(45,071)** | | Exchange differences | $6,914 | | Impairment (gain) loss | $(268) | | New strategy implementation | $682 | | PPA Energy | $2,768 | | Fines inventory adjustment | $8,172 | | **Adjusted EBITDA** | **$(26,803)** | Reconciliation of Diluted EPS to Adjusted Diluted EPS (Q1 2025) | Description | Amount ($) | | :--- | :--- | | Diluted (loss) per ordinary share | $(0.36) | | Tax rate adjustment | $0.11 | | Impairment (gain) loss | $(0.00) | | New strategy implementation | $0.00 | | PPA Energy | $0.01 | | Fines inventory adjustment | $0.03 | | **Adjusted diluted (loss) per ordinary share** | **$(0.20)** |
Ferroglobe Reports First Quarter 2025 Financial Results
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-05-07 21:00
Core Insights - Ferroglobe PLC reported a significant decline in financial performance for Q1 2025, with a net loss of $66.5 million, compared to a loss of $28.1 million in Q4 2024, indicating a 136.3% increase in losses [3][11][12] - The company anticipates a market recovery, citing supportive trade actions in the U.S. and expected safeguard measures in the EU, which could lead to improved demand and revenue in the upcoming quarters [4][5] Financial Highlights - Sales for Q1 2025 were $307.2 million, down 16.4% from Q4 2024 and down 21.6% year-over-year [3][5] - Adjusted EBITDA was $(26.8) million, a decrease of 372.2% from the previous quarter and a decline of 203.9% year-over-year [3][12] - The adjusted diluted EPS was $(0.20), compared to $0.03 in Q4 2024, marking an 849.2% decrease [3][11] Product Category Performance - **Silicon Metal**: Revenue decreased by 35.2% to $104.6 million, with shipments down 27.1% and average selling prices down 11.1% [7][8] - **Silicon-Based Alloys**: Revenue increased by 6.8% to $90.9 million, with shipments up 8.7%, although adjusted EBITDA decreased by 22.0% [8][9] - **Manganese-Based Alloys**: Revenue decreased by 5.1% to $74.5 million, with shipments flat and adjusted EBITDA dropping to $(5.6) million [9][10] Cash Flow and Capital Management - Operating cash flow was $19.4 million, down 39.6% from Q4 2024, while free cash flow was $5.1 million, a 64.2% increase from the previous quarter [3][14] - The company repurchased 720,008 shares at an average price of $3.75 per share and increased the quarterly cash dividend to $0.014 per share, up 8% from the prior quarter [6][17] Balance Sheet Overview - Total cash as of March 31, 2025, was $129.6 million, down from $133.3 million at the end of 2024 [13] - Adjusted gross debt increased to $110.4 million, resulting in net cash of $19.2 million [13][15] - Total working capital decreased to $435.7 million, down from $460.8 million at the end of 2024 [15][16]
Ferroglobe(GSM) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-04-25 11:55
Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION (Mark One) ☐ REGISTRATION STATEMENT PURSUANT TO SECTION 12(b) or (g) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 OR ☒ ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 OR ☐ SHELL COMPANY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 Date of even ...
Ferroglobe PLC Schedules First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call for May 8, 2025
Newsfilter· 2025-04-24 21:00
Group 1 - Ferroglobe PLC will release its first quarter 2025 financial results after market close on May 7, 2025 [1] - The quarterly earnings call is scheduled for May 8, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time [1] - Participants can join the conference call by pre-registering to receive dial-in numbers and a personal PIN [1] Group 2 - Ferroglobe PLC is a leading global producer of silicon metal, silicon- and manganese-based specialty alloys, and ferroalloys [2] - The company serves a diverse customer base in rapidly growing markets such as solar, electronics, automotive, consumer products, construction, and energy [2] - Ferroglobe is headquartered in London [2]
Coreshell Raises $24M To Commercialize the Lowest-Cost and Domestically-Sourced Lithium-Ion Battery Anode
Prnewswire· 2025-03-18 15:00
Core Insights - Coreshell has secured $24 million in strategic funding to scale production of its 60 Ah battery cells made from 100% domestically-sourced metallurgical silicon [1][2] - The funding will facilitate the expansion of Coreshell's manufacturing capabilities at its new 4 MWh facility in San Leandro, California, with plans for a 100 MWh facility in development [2][4] - The company aims to deliver commercial samples of its battery cells to global automakers in 2025, addressing the growing demand for silicon-based batteries [2][3] Market Demand and Production Scaling - The funding will accelerate efforts to meet increasing market demand for silicon-based batteries and enhance the executive and R&D teams to refine production processes [4] - Coreshell's manufacturing utilizes standard equipment from South Korea's TopMaterial, allowing for rapid scaling without specialized infrastructure [4] Strategic Partnerships - Ferroglobe PLC, a key materials partner, supplies the micrometric silicon essential for Coreshell's battery technology [5] - The partnership is seen as critical for scaling a domestic supply chain and addressing cost and supply chain challenges in the EV industry [6] Technological Advancements - Coreshell's battery technology utilizes metallurgical silicon, providing over 30% more range and reducing costs by up to 25% compared to traditional graphite [7] - The battery cells have demonstrated significant performance metrics, including 30-40% higher energy density than graphite-based cells and over 475 cycles with more than 90% capacity retention [8][9] Safety and Reliability - Coreshell's silicon anode batteries are reported to be as reliable and safe as traditional graphite batteries while offering higher energy density [9]
Ferroglobe(GSM) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-02-20 19:21
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $1.6 billion for 2024, with adjusted EBITDA of $154 million and free cash flow of $164 million [6][41] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $10 million, down from $60 million in the previous quarter, impacted by lower prices, higher costs, and softer volumes [25][38] - The full year adjusted EBITDA decreased from $315 million in 2023 to $154 million in 2024, primarily due to higher energy costs and lower realized prices [41][42] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Silicon metal revenue declined 17% in Q4 to $161 million, with adjusted EBITDA dropping to $17 million due to higher costs and reduced volumes [26][27] - Silicon-based alloys segment adjusted EBITDA improved slightly to $3 million in Q4, driven by cost improvements despite lower volumes [29] - Manganese alloys revenue decreased 13% to $78 million in Q4, with adjusted EBITDA down $9 million due to tighter spreads and higher costs [32][33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., the International Trade Commission imposed antidumping duties exceeding 1,000% on Russian ferrosilicon, which is expected to benefit domestic producers [14][15] - The European market has seen a decline in silicon metal consumption by approximately 12% from 2019 to 2024, with increased imports from Eastern countries impacting local pricing [16][17] - The World Steel Association forecasts a 3.5% growth in European steel production for 2025, which may drive demand for the company's products [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on a capital return program, including quarterly dividends and share buybacks, while maintaining a strong balance sheet [7][10] - The implementation of Sales and Operation Planning (S&OP) is expected to drive operational efficiency and improve cash flow [21] - The company is optimistic about the role of silicon metal in EV batteries and is increasing investment in innovative technologies [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the first half of 2025 may continue to face challenging market conditions, but signs of market stabilization are emerging [18] - The company anticipates a gradual improvement in market conditions in the second half of 2025, supported by trade measures and increased steel production [19][50] - The guidance for adjusted EBITDA in 2025 is set between $100 million and $170 million, reflecting uncertainty in market conditions and trade measures [24][47] Other Important Information - The company paid an initial dividend in Q1 2024 and plans to increase it by approximately 8% in Q1 2025 [8][44] - A noncash impairment and goodwill write-off of $61 million was recognized in Q4 [42] - The company ended Q4 with a cash balance of $133 million and a positive net cash position of $39 million [45] Q&A Session Summary Question: Annual guidance and its components - Management explained that the wider guidance range reflects a volatile environment and uncertainty regarding trade measures, with the low end being conservative and the high end dependent on potential government duties [55][56] Question: Sensitivity of volumes and pricing - Management indicated that a 1% variance in pricing impacts EBITDA by approximately $14 million [58] Question: Growth markets for silicon metal - Management expressed confidence in silicon's role in battery technology and noted challenges in the solar market due to overcapacity in polysilicon [60][62] Question: Share repurchase strategy - Management confirmed an opportunistic approach to share buybacks, emphasizing no additional debt will be taken to support the program [68] Question: Impact of European quota system on production costs - Management stated that increased capacity utilization in Europe would favor better cost absorption, but specifics on cost per ton remain uncertain [90] Question: Ferrosilicon import reductions and pricing cadence - Management noted a significant reduction in imports from Russia and anticipated a positive impact on ferrosilicon demand due to new contracts signed [92][95] Question: Rate of return expectations for new U.S. facility - Management expects a return higher than the company's weighted average cost of capital (WACC) for the new facility investment [97]
Ferroglobe Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-02-19 22:00
Core Viewpoint - Ferroglobe PLC reported a challenging financial performance for Q4 2024, with significant declines in sales and adjusted EBITDA, while providing guidance for 2025 adjusted EBITDA between $100 million and $170 million, reflecting market uncertainties [2][4]. Financial Highlights - Q4 2024 sales were $367.5 million, down 15.2% from Q3 2024 and 2.2% year-over-year [3][5]. - Net loss attributable to the parent was $46.4 million in Q4 2024, compared to a profit of $18.8 million in Q3 2024 [3][13]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 was $9.8 million, a decrease of 83.7% from Q3 2024 [3][15]. - Full-year 2024 adjusted EBITDA was $153.8 million, down 51.2% from $315.2 million in 2023 [3][16]. Product Category Performance - **Silicon Metal**: Revenue decreased by 16.6% in Q4 2024 to $161.3 million, with shipments down 12.5% [7][9]. - **Silicon-Based Alloys**: Revenue fell 16.4% in Q4 2024 to $85.1 million, with shipments down 13.3% [8][9]. - **Manganese-Based Alloys**: Revenue decreased by 12.5% in Q4 2024 to $78.5 million, despite a 5.0% increase in shipments [10][11]. Cash Flow and Capital Management - Operating cash flow for Q4 2024 was $32.1 million, with full-year operating cash flow at $243.3 million [18][19]. - The company repurchased approximately 482,000 shares in Q4 2024 and increased its quarterly dividend by 7.7% to $0.014 per share [5][21]. Trade Measures and Market Outlook - Ferroglobe is benefiting from trade measures in the U.S. and Europe aimed at stabilizing the market by imposing duties on imports from certain countries [2][5]. - The company anticipates demand improvement in the second half of 2025, despite current market uncertainties [2][4].
Ferroglobe PLC Schedules Fourth Quarter and Full-year 2024 Earnings Call for February 20, 2025
Globenewswire· 2025-02-06 13:00
Core Viewpoint - Ferroglobe PLC will release its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 financial results on February 19, 2025, and will conduct a quarterly earnings call on February 20, 2025 [1] Company Overview - Ferroglobe is a leading global producer of silicon metal and silicon and manganese-based ferroalloys, serving diverse and rapidly growing markets such as solar, automotive, consumer products, construction, and energy [2] - The company is headquartered in London [2] Investor and Media Contacts - Investor relations are managed by Alex Rotonen, CFA, Vice President of Investor Relations [3] - Media inquiries can be directed to Cristina Feliu Roig, Vice President of Communications & Public Affairs [3]
Ferroglobe: Betting On A Likely Rebound
Seeking Alpha· 2024-12-13 14:55
Core Viewpoint - Ferroglobe PLC (NASDAQ: GSM) has faced weak demand throughout 2024, but recent developments may enhance demand in 2025, despite the stock being negatively affected [1]. Group 1 - The company has struggled with soft demand for all of 2024 [1]. - There is potential for improved demand in 2025 due to recent positive news [1].
Ferroglobe(GSM) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-11-07 19:09
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2024 was $60 million, up from $58 million in the previous quarter, driven by higher realized pricing, improved spreads in manganese alloys, and lower energy costs [3][15][28] - Revenue decreased by 4% in Q3 to $434 million, with lower volumes across all three segments [26] - Operating cash flow improved to $11 million, an increase of $9 million over the prior quarter, while free cash flow was negative $10 million, an improvement of $10 million from the previous quarter [15][31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Silicon metal revenue declined 5% in Q3 to $196 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 17% due to a 5% improvement in realized pricing [16][29] - Silicon-based alloys segment had an adjusted EBITDA of $2 million in Q3, down from $10 million in the previous quarter, primarily due to lower fixed cost absorption [19] - Manganese alloys revenue decreased 9% to $90 million in Q3, but adjusted EBITDA increased by 100% to $28 million due to a 16% price increase [22][29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. ferrosilicon market is expected to improve in early 2025 due to trade cases initiated earlier in the year, which resulted in duties on imports from several countries [4][6] - European FeSi index is at a four-year low, reflecting weak demand and increased imports [20] - Global steel demand is forecasted to rebound by more than 3% in 2025, excluding China [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is implementing a new sales and operation planning process to optimize demand planning, raw material purchases, production, logistics, and sales [7] - Long-term brownfield expansion plans are underway to increase silicon metal capacity in the U.S. to meet expected demand from solar and EV batteries [8] - The company is focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet to withstand the current downcycle while investing in growth markets [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects end markets to improve in the second half of 2025, with the U.S. FeSi market improving in the first half due to favorable trade cases [10][34] - The aluminum market is anticipated to see better conditions in the second half of 2025 as interest rates decline [11] - Management highlighted the importance of the new silicon metal supply contract in the Middle East for renewable energy initiatives [12] Other Important Information - The company paid a quarterly dividend of $0.013 per share in Q3 and executed a small portion of its stock buyback program [13] - The company is committed to reducing carbon emissions by at least 26% by 2030 compared to the 2020 baseline [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more details on the U.S. expansion? - Management confirmed that the brownfield expansion will be cost-competitive, with estimated CapEx between 30% and 50% lower than greenfield projects, and a minimum capacity of 60,000 tons expected [37][40] Question: What is the outlook for free cash flow in Q4? - Management expects a release of working capital around $15 million in Q4, with the early idling of French plants contributing to this [41][42] Question: Can you elaborate on the silicon-based alloy segment's performance? - Management noted that the flat demand in Europe and increased imports have led to price erosion and margin compression in the silicon-based alloy segment [44][46] Question: Are the U.S. ferrosilicon import tariffs sufficient? - Management indicated that the tariffs on imports from Russia exceeded expectations, while the final decisions on tariffs for Kazakhstan, Malaysia, and Brazil are still pending [50][52] Question: Can you provide details on the new silicon contract in the Middle East? - Management confirmed a new contract for silicon metal related to a large polysilicon production unit in the Middle East, with a capacity of 100,000 tons ramping up in 2025 [54]