Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that Galaxy Entertainment is expected to face continued pressure on profit margins in the third quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA forecasted to grow by 10% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - The adjusted EBITDA margin for the upcoming quarter is projected to be 26.1%, which represents a decrease of 1.5 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1] - Full-year forecasts for net revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and net profit have been revised downwards by 0.3%, 2.6%, and 4% respectively [1] Future Projections - The forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged [1] - The target price for Galaxy Entertainment is maintained at HKD 50.5, with a rating of "outperform" [1] - Galaxy Entertainment continues to be listed as one of the top two preferred stocks in the industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - Recent roadshow in Tokyo highlighted investor confidence in the view that China's industrial profit growth will continue to drive Macau's gaming revenue [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - Many investors agree with the perspective that the growth in China's industrial profits will positively impact Macau's gaming revenue [1] - The gaming sector is currently trading at an enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiple of 9.4 times for 2026, which is below the "new normal" range of 11 to 12 times set by the firm [1] Group 2: Company Preferences - The firm maintains its existing forecasts and ratings, with Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) being the preferred stocks in the sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - Recent roadshow in Tokyo revealed that many investors agree with the view that growth in China's industrial profits should continue to drive Macau's gaming revenue [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - Investors still prefer high-quality companies despite recent stock price corrections [1] - The gaming sector is currently trading at 9.4 times the 2026 enterprise value to EBITDA, which is below the range of 11 to 12 times set by the bank for Macau's "new normal" [1] Group 2: Company Preferences - The bank maintains its existing forecasts and ratings [1] - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) are the bank's preferred stocks in the sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - Recent roadshow in Tokyo highlighted that many investors agree with the view that growth in China's industrial profits should continue to drive Macau's gaming revenue [1] Industry Summary - Investors are currently favoring high-quality companies, with the gaming sector trading at an enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiple of 9.4 times for 2026, compared to the bank's established "new normal" range of 11 to 12 times [1] Company Summary - The bank maintains its existing forecasts and ratings, with Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) identified as preferred stocks [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that total gaming revenue for the first 12 days of October decreased by 5% year-on-year, which is lower than expected, while revenue for the first 5 days of the month increased by 3% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Industry Analysis - The recent trend reversal in gaming revenue is considered premature by Goldman Sachs, attributing it to factors such as typhoons and overseas travel [1] - The firm believes that the year-on-year comparison basis for November and December through February of next year remains favorable [1] Group 2: Company Outlook - Goldman Sachs slightly lowers its gaming revenue forecast for the year to an 8% year-on-year increase, while maintaining a positive outlook on Sands China (01928) and Galaxy Entertainment (00027), both rated as "Buy" [1] - Expectations are that Wynn Macau (01128) will exceed third-quarter performance forecasts, potentially providing positive momentum for its stock price in the short term [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that total gaming revenue for the first 12 days of October decreased by 5% year-on-year, which is lower than expected, while the revenue for the first 5 days of the month increased by 3% year-on-year [1] - Goldman Sachs believes that the recent positive trend in gaming revenue has reversed, but it is too early to make definitive statements due to factors such as typhoons and overseas travel [1] - The firm slightly lowered its gaming revenue forecast for the year to an 8% year-on-year increase, while maintaining a positive outlook on Sands China (01928) and Galaxy Entertainment (00027), both rated as "Buy" [1] Group 2 - Expectations for Wynn Macau (01128) indicate that its third-quarter performance will exceed expectations, potentially providing positive momentum for its stock price in the short term [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports a 5% year-on-year decrease in total gaming revenue for the first 12 days of October, which is lower than expected, while the first 5 days of the month showed a 3% year-on-year increase [1] Group 1: Gaming Revenue Trends - The recent positive trend in gaming revenue is considered premature to declare as reversed, influenced by factors such as typhoons and overseas travel [1] - The year-on-year comparison basis for November, December, and February next year remains favorable [1] Group 2: Revenue Forecasts and Company Ratings - The gaming revenue forecast for this year has been slightly adjusted to an 8% year-on-year growth, with a positive outlook for Sands China (01928) and Galaxy Entertainment (00027), both rated as "Buy" [1] - Wynn Macau (01128) is expected to exceed third-quarter performance expectations, potentially providing positive momentum for its stock price in the short term [1]

Industry Overview - Despite the impact of a super typhoon in late September, Macau's total gaming revenue for the third quarter reached MOP 62.57 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.5%, marking the highest quarterly gaming revenue since the post-pandemic reopening [1] - The industry EBITDA for the third quarter is expected to grow by 7% year-on-year to USD 2.07 billion [1] Company Insights - Citigroup's top pick is Galaxy Entertainment, maintaining a target price of HKD 54 and a "Buy" rating [1] - Wynn Macau's rating has been upgraded to "Buy," with a target price of HKD 7.2; although the company has lost market share this year due to the lack of new product launches, improvements are anticipated with the completion of the Chairman's Club expansion in the VIP gaming area at Wynn Palace in the first quarter of next year [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong gaming stocks have rebounded after a continuous decline, with Galaxy Entertainment and Wynn Macau rising approximately 3%, while Sands China and Melco International Development increased nearly 2%, and MGM China rose about 1% [1] - Goldman Sachs reported that total gaming revenue for the first 12 days of October decreased by 5% year-on-year, which was lower than expected, but there was a 3% year-on-year increase compared to the first 5 days of the month [1] - The firm believes that the recent reversal of the positive trend is premature, considering factors such as typhoons and overseas travel, and maintains a favorable year-on-year comparison basis for November through February of the following year [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs slightly lowered its gaming revenue forecast for the year to an 8% year-on-year growth, while remaining optimistic about Sands China and Galaxy Entertainment, both receiving "buy" ratings [1] - Wynn Macau's third-quarter performance is expected to exceed expectations, potentially providing positive momentum for its stock price in the short term [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reported that total gaming revenue for the first 12 days of October decreased by 5% year-on-year, which was lower than expected, while revenue for the first 5 days of the month increased by 3% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Revenue Trends - The recent trend reversal is considered premature by Goldman Sachs, attributing it to factors such as typhoons and overseas travel [1] - The year-on-year comparison basis for November and December through February next year remains favorable [1] Group 2: Revenue Forecasts - The firm slightly lowered its annual gaming revenue growth forecast to 8% year-on-year [1] - Goldman Sachs maintains a positive outlook on Sands China and Galaxy Entertainment, both receiving "buy" ratings [1] Group 3: Company Performance Expectations - Wynn Macau's third-quarter performance is expected to exceed forecasts, potentially providing positive momentum for its stock price in the short term [1]