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SHANGHAI, CHINA - 2025/11/08: The Honeywell logo is exhibited at the 8th China International Import Expo. (Photo by Sheldon Cooper/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesHoneywell stock saw a 5% rise on January 29, even though it fell short of revenue targets. The market concentrated on what truly enhances shareholder value: profitability and guidance. The Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.59 exceeded estimates by 2.1%, and more importantly, the 2026 EPS guidance of $10.50 arri ...

US weekly initial unemployment claims fell -1,000 to 209,000, showing a slightly weaker labor market than expectations of 205,000. However, continuing claims fell -38,000 to a 6-month low of 1.827 million, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of 1.850 million.WTI crude oil (CLH26) prices jumped more than +3% to a 4.25-month high on Thursday to lift energy producers after President Trump on Wednesday said that he wants Iran to come to the table and negotiate a nuclear deal that is “a fair and eq ...

Core Insights - Honeywell International Inc. reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $2.59 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.53, with a year-over-year increase of 17% on an adjusted basis. Reported earnings were 49 cents per share, down 72% year over year due to a one-time impairment charge related to certain business classifications [1][10]. Revenue Performance - Total revenues for the fourth quarter were $9.8 billion, missing the consensus estimate of $10.07 billion, but reflecting a 6% increase from the previous year, driven by Aerospace Technologies and Building Automation segments. Organic sales rose 11% year over year [2]. - For the full year 2025, net revenues reached $37.4 billion, an 8% increase year over year, with adjusted earnings of $9.78 per share, up 12% year over year [2]. Business Segment Performance - Aerospace Technologies generated quarterly revenues of $4.52 billion, a 13% year-over-year increase, significantly surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.75 billion. Organic sales in this segment increased by 21% year over year, supported by strong demand in commercial aftermarket and defense markets [4]. - Industrial Automation revenues declined by 8% year over year to $2.40 billion, slightly above the consensus estimate of $2.30 billion. Organic sales grew by 1% year over year, with the decline attributed to reduced demand for measurement and controls products [5]. - Building Automation revenues totaled $1.97 billion, up 10% year over year, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.92 billion. Organic sales increased by 8% year over year, driven by strength in both building solutions and products [6]. - Energy and Sustainability Solutions revenues increased by 10% to $892 million, although organic sales fell by 7% year over year, impacted by decreasing demand for petrochemical catalysts [7]. Cost and Margin Analysis - Total cost of sales was approximately $6.29 billion, an 8.3% increase year over year. Selling, general, and administrative expenses rose by 11.6% to $1.50 billion. Operating income was $996 million, down 34.5% year over year, with an operating income margin of 10.2%, compared to 16.6% in the previous year [8]. Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of the end of Q4 2025, Honeywell had cash and cash equivalents of $12.5 billion, up from $9.9 billion at the end of 2024. Long-term debt increased to $27.1 billion from $25.4 billion [11]. - The company generated net cash of $6.4 billion from operating activities, compared to $6.1 billion in the prior year. Capital expenditure totaled $986 million, up from $871 million in the previous year [11]. - Free cash flow for the year was $5.10 billion, reflecting a 20.3% increase from the previous year [12]. 2026 Guidance - For 2026, Honeywell expects sales to be between $38.8 billion and $39.8 billion, with organic sales projected to increase by 3-6%. Adjusted earnings per share are anticipated to be between $10.35 and $10.65, indicating a year-over-year increase of 6-9% [13].

Group 1 - Honeywell International Inc. is recognized as one of the 12 Best Dow Jones Dividend Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds [1] - JPMorgan upgraded Honeywell from Neutral to Overweight and raised its price target from $218 to $255, citing a valuation gap and a disconnect between the share price and the value of Honeywell's assets, particularly in aerospace [2] - Honeywell's majority-owned quantum computing unit, Quantinuum, plans to confidentially file draft IPO papers with US regulators, aiming to capitalize on the growing interest in quantum technology [3][4] Group 2 - Quantinuum raised approximately $600 million from investors, including Nvidia's venture capital arm, at a valuation of $10 billion, and serves notable customers such as Honeywell, Airbus, BMW Group, HSBC, and JPMorgan Chase [4] - Honeywell has restructured its business into three standalone companies focused on automation, aerospace, and advanced materials, divesting smaller units to enhance its automation segment [5] - Honeywell operates as an integrated company across various industries, supported by its Honeywell Accelerator operating system and Honeywell Forge platform [5]

Core Viewpoint - Honeywell is accelerating its aerospace spin-off, which is expected to occur in the early second half of the year, and the company reported strong organic growth of 21% in its aerospace business [1][2]. Group 1: Aerospace Business - The aerospace business is set for a spin-off in Q3, with a strong exit rate of 6% growth in Q4 and a backlog increase of nearly 15% [2]. - The aerospace division is projected to grow at a high single-digit rate in the cycle, indicating robust future performance [8]. Group 2: Automation Business - The company is restructuring its automation portfolio and has decided to hold two businesses for sale to complete transactions before the spin-off [3]. - The automation business is being positioned for mid-single-digit organic growth, with earnings growth expected to be in the high single digits annually [8]. Group 3: Quantum Business - The quantum business, which is also set to be spun off, has a previous valuation of $10 billion, and there is speculation that it could be worth significantly more due to its client list, including major companies like Amgen and JP Morgan [5]. - The company launched a new quantum machine, Helios, with enhanced computing power, and plans to introduce another machine in about 18 months [6]. Group 4: Overall Growth Strategy - The company is focused on delivering high single-digit earnings growth to shareholders, supported by a diverse exposure to multiple end markets, including buildings, process markets, and industrial sectors [9].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Honeywell reported a strong fourth quarter for 2025, with adjusted sales and adjusted EPS exceeding expectations, and orders increased by 23%, resulting in a backlog of over $37 billion [5][15] - For the full year 2025, sales increased by 7% organically, or 6% excluding the impact of the Bombardier agreement, with adjusted earnings per share rising to $9.78, up 12% year-over-year [21][30] - Free cash flow for 2025 was $5.1 billion, up 20%, representing a 14% margin [21][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerospace sales grew 11% organically, driven by strong demand in both commercial aftermarket and defense and space [15][22] - Building automation experienced 8% organic growth, with solutions growing by 9% and products by 8% [16] - Industrial automation saw a 1% increase in organic sales, while process solutions remained flat due to lower volumes in measurement and controls products [16][17] - Energy and sustainability solutions declined by 7%, attributed to lower petrochemical catalyst shipments [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America and the Middle East led regional performance, with Europe also showing strong mid-single-digit growth [16] - Orders grew 23% organically, with significant contributions from long-cycle aerospace and energy projects [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Honeywell is focused on portfolio simplification, with the aerospace spin expected to be completed in Q3 2026, following the successful spin-off of Solstice Advanced Materials [6][9] - The company is investing in R&D to drive innovation, with a goal of achieving 6%-9% earnings growth in 2026 [6][21] - Honeywell plans to reorganize into four segments: Aerospace Technologies, Building Automation, Process Automation and Technology, and Industrial Automation, to enhance strategic focus and agility [9][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in strong organic growth driven by record backlog conversion, disciplined pricing, and new product introductions [5][6] - The company anticipates continued strength in aerospace and building automation markets, with a gradual recovery expected in process automation [22][24] - Management acknowledged challenges in the petrochemical sector but remains optimistic about long-term demand in LNG and refining [61] Other Important Information - Honeywell's investment in Quantinuum is expected to be a modest headwind to margins in 2026, with significant R&D investments aimed at maintaining leadership in quantum computing [29][56] - The company has made key leadership appointments in preparation for the aerospace spin-off, enhancing operational experience [8][9] Q&A Session Summary Question: Margin progression for the total company - Management indicated that operational margins are expected to expand by 50-90 basis points, with a headwind from Quantinuum in the first quarter [42][43] Question: Aerospace margins and contract renewals - Aerospace margins are expected to improve as contract negotiations progress, with a positive long-term impact anticipated [48][50] Question: Quantinuum IPO and investment spending - Management confirmed a $100 million year-over-year increase in investment spending for Quantinuum, with ongoing efforts to prepare for a potential IPO [54][56] Question: Strength in process orders - Management noted increased capital spending in LNG and refining as a driver for order growth, while cautioning about ongoing pressure in the petrochemical sector [60][61] Question: Pricing strategy and inflation impacts - Management discussed a more mature pricing strategy in response to persistent inflation, with expected price increases of 3%-4% in 2026 [66][70]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Honeywell reported a strong fourth quarter for 2025, with adjusted sales and adjusted EPS exceeding expectations, and orders increased by 23%, resulting in a backlog of over $37 billion [5][20] - For the full year 2025, sales increased by 7% organically, or 6% excluding the Bombardier agreement, with adjusted earnings per share of $9.78, up 12% year-over-year [21][30] - Free cash flow for 2025 was $5.1 billion, up 20%, representing a 14% margin [21][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerospace sales grew 11% organically, driven by strong demand in both commercial aftermarket and defense and space [15][22] - Building automation experienced 8% organic growth, with solutions growing by 9% and products by 8% [16] - Industrial automation saw a 1% increase in organic sales, while process solutions remained flat due to lower volumes in measurement and controls products [16][17] - Energy and sustainability solutions declined by 7% due to lower petrochemical catalyst shipments [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America and the Middle East led regional performance, with Europe showing strong mid-single-digit growth [16] - Orders momentum in UOP continued, with over 40% growth in refining and petrochemicals projects, supporting confidence in a gradual recovery in 2026 [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Honeywell is progressing with its portfolio simplification, expecting to complete the aerospace spin in Q3 2026, which will create three independent public companies [6][9] - The company is focusing on innovation and R&D investments, with a goal of driving organic growth through new product introductions [5][13] - Honeywell plans to reorganize into four segments: Aerospace Technologies, Building Automation, Process Automation and Technology, and Industrial Automation, to enhance operational efficiency [9][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving 6%-9% earnings growth in 2026, driven by strong organic growth and productivity improvements [6][21] - The company anticipates continued strength in orders growth, price execution, and a record backlog as key drivers for 2026 [36] - Management acknowledged challenges in the petrochemical sector but remains optimistic about long-cycle order strength in LNG and refining [61] Other Important Information - Honeywell's investment in Quantinuum is expected to be a modest headwind to margins in 2026, with significant R&D investments to maintain leadership in quantum computing [29][56] - The company has made key appointments to the aerospace leadership team to ensure operational excellence post-spin [8][9] Q&A Session Summary Question: Margin progression for the total company - Management expects operational margins to expand 50-90 basis points, with a headwind from Quantinuum in the first quarter [42][44] Question: Aerospace margins and contract negotiations - Aerospace margins are expected to improve as contract negotiations progress, with a positive long-term impact on margin expansion [48][50] Question: Quantinuum IPO and investment spending - Management confirmed a $100 million year-over-year increase in investment spending for Quantinuum, with ongoing maturation and commercial efforts [54][55] Question: Strength in process orders - Management noted increased capital spending in LNG and refining, contributing to strong order growth, while acknowledging pressure on catalyst demand in petrochemicals [60][61] Question: Pricing strategy and inflation impacts - Management indicated that pricing strategy has evolved to address persistent inflation, with an expected average price increase of 3-4% in 2026 [66][82]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Honeywell reported a strong fourth quarter, with adjusted sales and adjusted EPS exceeding expectations, and orders increased by 23%, resulting in a backlog of over $37 billion [4][15] - For the full year 2025, sales increased by 7% organically, or 6% excluding the Bombardier agreement, with adjusted earnings per share rising to $9.78, up 12% year-over-year [20][29] - Free cash flow for the fourth quarter was $2.5 billion, up 48%, and for the full year, it reached $5.1 billion, up 20% [19][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerospace sales grew 11% organically, driven by strong demand in both commercial aftermarket and defense and space [15][17] - Building automation experienced 8% organic growth, with solutions growing by 9% and products by 8% [15] - Industrial automation saw a 1% increase in organic sales, while process solutions remained flat due to lower volumes in measurement and controls products [16][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America and the Middle East led regional performance, with Europe showing strong mid-single-digit growth [16] - Orders in the UOP segment grew over 40% in refining and petrochemicals projects, indicating a gradual recovery expected in 2026 [17][26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Honeywell is focused on portfolio simplification, with the aerospace spin expected to be completed in Q3 2026, creating three independent public companies [5][9] - The company is investing in R&D to drive innovation, with a goal of achieving 4% organic growth from new product introductions in 2025 [13][19] - Honeywell plans to reorganize into four segments: Aerospace Technologies, Building Automation, Process Automation and Technology, and Industrial Automation, to enhance strategic focus and agility [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving 6%-9% earnings growth in 2026, supported by strong organic growth and disciplined pricing execution [5][20] - The company anticipates continued strength in orders growth and a record backlog, which underpins their guidance for 2026 [35][36] - Management acknowledged challenges in the petrochemical sector but remains optimistic about long-cycle orders in LNG and refining [60] Other Important Information - Honeywell's investment in Quantinuum is expected to be a modest headwind to margins in 2026, with significant R&D investments aimed at maintaining leadership in quantum computing [28][56] - The company is pursuing the sale of its Productivity Solutions and Services and Warehouse and Workflow Solutions businesses in the first half of 2026 [9][92] Q&A Session Summary Question: Margin progression for the total company - Management indicated that operational margins are expected to expand by 50-90 basis points, with a headwind from Quantinuum in the first quarter [41][42] Question: Aerospace margins and contract renewals - Aerospace margins are expected to improve, with ongoing negotiations for contracts that will positively impact future margins [45][48] Question: Quantinuum IPO and investment spending - The company confirmed a $100 million year-over-year increase in investment spending for Quantinuum, with ongoing efforts to prepare for a potential IPO [53][56] Question: Strength in process orders - Management noted increased capital spending in LNG and refining, contributing to strong order growth, while cautioning about ongoing weakness in the petrochemical sector [58][60] Question: Pricing strategy and inflation impacts - Honeywell's pricing strategy has evolved to address persistent inflation, with expected price increases of 3%-4% in 2026 [65][68]

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS FOURTH QUARTER 2025 EARNINGS AND 2026 OUTLOOK JANUARY 29, 2026 We describe many of the trends and other factors that drive our business and future results in this presentation. Such discussions contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), including statements related to the proposed separation of Automation and Aerospace Technologies and the planned sale of the Productivity Solutions and ...