Kraft Heinz(KHC)
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Kraft Heinz posts mixed Q3 results, trims outlook on weaker consumer demand
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-10-29 14:14
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Kraft Heinz(KHC) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a modest year-over-year recovery in top-line performance, although the operating environment remains challenging due to worsening consumer sentiment and ongoing inflation [3][4] - The profit revision of 25% is primarily due to lower expectations of consumption in the U.S. and increased inflation in meat and coffee, rather than additional investments [8][10] - Promotional investment in the U.S. is being increased by approximately $300 million, with an additional $80 million in marketing spending [10][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The North American grocery company experienced a significant improvement in trends in Q3 compared to the first half, but still declined in low single digits [34][35] - The Global Taste Elevation Co also declined in low single digits, but is expected to improve in Q4 [34] - Emerging markets, excluding Indonesia, grew by 9.2%, with the Heinz brand in these markets growing by 13% year-to-date [28][29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer sentiment in Indonesia has declined nearly 10 points year-over-year, leading to a softening of demand [27][29] - Indonesia represents approximately $300 million in revenue, accounting for about 12% of the emerging markets business [29] - The overall market in the U.S. is expected to worsen, impacting consumption despite improvements in market share [45][50] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains on track to separate into two independent companies by 2026, focusing on driving performance and positioning both businesses for long-term success [4][21] - The strategy includes a focus on brand growth and consumer-centric approaches, with an emphasis on R&D and marketing investments to drive product renovation [12][13] - The company is committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet and investment-grade ratings for both future entities [21][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by consumer sentiment and inflation, which are influencing buying behavior globally [3][4] - The outlook for Q4 suggests revenue may decline compared to Q3, primarily due to inventory phasing and lower consumption expectations [42][44] - Management is optimistic about the long-term potential of the brand portfolio, despite current cyclical challenges [60] Other Important Information - The company is actively rightsizing inventory and transitioning to a new distributor in Indonesia to address current challenges [28][30] - There is a focus on tactical investments to build brand equity and drive consumer trial of new products [12][56] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of Weaker Consumer Sentiment on Profit Revision - Management clarified that the profit revision is not linked to additional investments but is due to lower consumption expectations and inflationary pressures [8][10] Question: Thoughts on Potential Pivot for Kraft Heinz - Management emphasized that the decision to separate into two companies was made to unlock shareholder value and that they are committed to the current plan [17][20] Question: Performance of Emerging Markets Excluding Indonesia - Emerging markets, excluding Indonesia, grew by 9.2%, with the Heinz brand showing strong growth [28][29] Question: Promotional Spending and Market Share - Management noted that promotional spending is concentrated around key holidays, and they are focusing on driving household penetration through strategic promotions [46][56] Question: Challenges in Commoditized Categories - Management acknowledged difficulties in categories like coffee and meats but emphasized the ongoing implementation of the brand growth system [62]
卡夫亨氏Q3营收略低于预期,下调全年销售额及盈利指引
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-29 13:20
Core Viewpoint - Kraft Heinz reported third-quarter earnings with revenue of $6.24 billion, slightly below analyst expectations of $6.26 billion, while adjusted earnings per share were $0.61, exceeding the expected $0.58 [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the third quarter was $6.24 billion, which is lower than the anticipated $6.26 billion [1] - Adjusted earnings per share were reported at $0.61, surpassing the forecast of $0.58 [1] Guidance Revision - The company has lowered its full-year sales and profit guidance due to weak demand for its higher-priced snacks and kitchen condiments [1] - Full-year organic sales are now expected to decline by 3% to 3.5%, revised from the previous forecast of a decline of 1.5% to 3.5% [1] - Adjusted earnings per share for the full year are projected to be between $2.50 and $2.57, down from the earlier expectation of $2.51 to $2.67 [1]
Kraft Heinz (KHC) Tops Q3 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 13:16
Core Insights - Kraft Heinz (KHC) reported quarterly earnings of $0.61 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.57 per share, but down from $0.75 per share a year ago [1] - The company posted revenues of $6.24 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.16% and down from $6.38 billion year-over-year [3] Earnings Performance - The earnings surprise for the quarter was +7.02%, and the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates in all four of the last quarters [2] - Kraft Heinz's shares have declined approximately 16.9% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 17.2% [4] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.69 on revenues of $6.58 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.57 on revenues of $25.18 billion [8] - The estimate revisions trend for Kraft Heinz was unfavorable prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [7] Industry Context - The Food - Miscellaneous industry, to which Kraft Heinz belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 26% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [9]
Kraft Heinz(KHC) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 12:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, organic net sales declined by 2.5%, showing a modest year-over-year improvement of 80 basis points from a decline of 3.3% in the first half of the year [34] - Adjusted operating income decreased by 16.9%, with a margin decline of 310 basis points [37] - Free cash flow reached $2.5 billion, with a conversion rate of 109%, up over 30 percentage points from the previous year [42] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America organic net sales declined by 3.8%, with a 100 basis point improvement from the first half of the year [34] - Global away from home organic net sales declined by 2.4%, while international away from home saw growth for the 18th consecutive quarter [11][35] - Emerging markets experienced a 4.7% increase in organic net sales, driven by double-digit growth in Latin America and the Middle East and Africa [36] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. away from home industry remains under pressure, particularly in chains and restaurants, while non-commercial channels are growing [14] - In emerging markets, the Heinz brand grew by 14% in Q3, with a total of nearly 900,000 distribution points [16][18] - The company gained market share across 70% of its U.S. taste elevation portfolio in September [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is on track to separate into two focused entities by 2026, aiming to improve execution and drive efficiencies [5][6] - Investments in marketing, R&D, and technology are central to the company's recovery strategy [19][30] - The brand growth system is being utilized to enhance category growth and brand superiority [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The operating environment remains challenging due to worsening consumer sentiment and inflation [5] - The company anticipates a longer path to consumer recovery, with pressures expected to persist beyond Q4 [50] - The outlook for 2025 has been updated, expecting organic net sales to decline by 3% to 3.5% [47] Other Important Information - The company has returned $1.8 billion to shareholders year-to-date through dividends and share repurchases [45] - Adjusted EPS is expected to be in the range of $2.50 to $2.57, reflecting a higher effective tax rate and interest expense [48] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for the consumer environment moving forward? - Management noted that the consumer is navigating a tough environment with worsening sentiment and rising costs, leading to a longer recovery path [50] Question: How is the company addressing challenges in Indonesia? - The company is executing a comprehensive plan to stabilize the distributor network and reset inventory levels in Indonesia [9] Question: What are the capital allocation priorities post-separation? - The company will focus on investing in the organic business, maintaining net leverage around three times, actively managing the portfolio, and returning excess capital to shareholders [43][44]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-29 11:50
Kraft Heinz lowered its sales outlook in a sign of increasing weakness among US consumers as the company prepares to split its business in two https://t.co/HN2yLM9gu1 ...
Kraft Heinz Lowers Full-Year Outlook Amid Weak Consumption Trends
WSJ· 2025-10-29 11:45
Core Viewpoint - Kraft Heinz reported lower third-quarter sales and adjusted its full-year outlook due to concerns about rising inflation and a decrease in consumer spending [1] Company Summary - Kraft Heinz experienced a decline in third-quarter sales, indicating potential challenges in maintaining revenue growth [1] - The company has revised its full-year outlook downward, reflecting a cautious approach in light of current economic conditions [1] Industry Summary - The food industry is facing pressures from higher inflation, which is impacting consumer purchasing behavior [1] - There is a noticeable pullback in consumer spending, which may affect overall sales across the industry [1]
Kraft Heinz Lowers Full-Year Outlook on Weak Consumption Trends
WSJ· 2025-10-29 11:45
Core Insights - The food producer experienced a decline in quarterly sales, which is attributed to industry-wide concerns regarding higher inflation [1] Company Summary - The company reported a decrease in sales figures for the quarter, indicating potential challenges in maintaining revenue growth amidst rising inflationary pressures [1] Industry Summary - The food industry is facing significant concerns related to higher inflation, which is impacting sales performance across various companies [1]
Kraft Heinz trims annual sales, profit forecasts
Reuters· 2025-10-29 11:10
Core Viewpoint - Kraft Heinz has lowered its annual sales and profit forecasts, indicating ongoing weakness in demand for its higher-priced snacks and pantry condiments among budget-conscious consumers amid macroeconomic challenges [1] Company Summary - The company is experiencing persistent demand issues, particularly for its premium snack products and condiments, as consumers are becoming more price-sensitive [1] - The revised forecasts suggest that Kraft Heinz is facing significant challenges in maintaining sales growth in the current economic environment [1] Industry Summary - The broader industry is witnessing a shift in consumer behavior, with a trend towards more budget-friendly options as economic pressures mount [1] - This trend may impact the overall market dynamics for food and beverage companies, particularly those focused on premium products [1]
Kraft Heinz(KHC) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-10-29 11:01
Financial Performance - Net sales decreased 2.3% year-over-year to $6.2 billion, with Organic Net Sales down 2.5%[5] - Gross profit margin decreased 230 basis points to 31.9%, while Adjusted Gross Profit Margin decreased 200 basis points to 32.3%[5] - Operating income was $1.0 billion, with Adjusted Operating Income down 16.9% to $1.1 billion[5] - For the three months ended September 27, 2025, net sales were $6,237 million, a decrease of 2.3% compared to $6,383 million for the same period in 2024[33] - Gross profit for the three months ended September 27, 2025, was $1,990 million, down from $2,186 million in the prior year, reflecting a gross profit margin decline[33] - The company reported an operating income of $1,025 million for the three months ended September 27, 2025, compared to an operating loss of $101 million in the same period last year[33] - Net income attributable to common shareholders for the three months ended September 27, 2025, was $615 million, a significant recovery from a net loss of $290 million in the prior year[33] - Adjusted Operating Income for Kraft Heinz was $1,106 million for the three months ended September 27, 2025, compared to $1,330 million for the same period in 2024, reflecting a decline of 16.9%[41] - For the nine months ended September 27, 2025, Kraft Heinz reported net sales of $18,588 million, down 3.5% from $19,270 million in the same period of 2024[39] - Kraft Heinz's overall adjusted operating income for the nine months ended September 27, 2025, was $3,581 million, down from $3,975 million in the prior year[46] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - Year-to-date net cash provided by operating activities was $3.1 billion, up 10.4%, and Free Cash Flow was $2.5 billion, up 23.3%[5] - The company returned $1.8 billion to stockholders year-to-date, including $1.4 billion in cash dividends and $435 million in share repurchases[9] - Free Cash Flow Conversion is expected to be at least 100%, improved from the previous expectation of at least 95%[18] - Free cash flow increased to $2.490 billion, up from $2.019 billion year-over-year, representing a growth of 23.3%[71] - The company reported a free cash flow conversion rate of 109%, up from 75% in the prior year[71] - The company repurchased $435 million in common stock during the period, compared to $538 million in the same period last year[69] Future Outlook - The company plans to separate into two independent publicly traded companies in the second half of 2026[10] - For fiscal year 2025, the company expects Organic Net Sales to decline 3.0% to 3.5%[14] - Adjusted EPS is projected to be in the range of $2.50 to $2.57, down from the previous expectation of $2.51 to $2.67[18] - The company anticipates a Constant Currency Adjusted Operating Income decline of 10% to 12% versus the prior year[14] Impairment and Restructuring - The company experienced goodwill impairment losses of $35 million for the three months ended September 27, 2025, compared to $707 million in the same period last year[33] - The company experienced a significant impairment loss of $9,301 million for the nine months ended September 27, 2025[41] - Impairment losses totaled $35 million, while separation costs were $17 million, both affecting the overall financial performance[48] - The financial results indicate a focus on restructuring and managing impairment losses as part of the company's strategy[50] Market Performance - North America net sales decreased by 3.8% year-over-year, totaling $4,641 million for the same period[36] - Emerging Markets showed a year-over-year growth of 3.8%, with net sales reaching $701 million for the three months ended September 27, 2025[36] - Kraft Heinz's International Developed Markets reported a slight decline in net sales of 0.5% year-over-year, totaling $2,609 million for the nine months ended September 27, 2025[39] Earnings and Taxation - Basic earnings per share for the three months ended September 27, 2025, were $0.52, recovering from a loss of $0.24 per share in the prior year[33] - Adjusted EPS for the three months ended September 27, 2025, was $0.61, down from $0.75 in the same period last year, reflecting a decrease of $0.14[59] - For the nine months ended September 27, 2025, the adjusted EPS was $1.92, down from $2.22 in the prior year, a decrease of $0.30[62] - The effective tax rate impact on adjusted EPS for the three months ended September 27, 2025, was a decrease of $0.02[59] Asset and Liability Management - Total assets decreased from $88.287 billion to $81.695 billion, a decline of approximately 7.2%[66] - Total current liabilities increased from $7.253 billion to $8.863 billion, a rise of approximately 22.1%[66] - Total shareholders' equity decreased from $49.185 billion to $41.450 billion, a decline of approximately 15.7%[66] - Cash and cash equivalents rose to $2.251 billion, an increase of $765 million compared to the beginning of the period[69] Non-GAAP Measures - Adjusted EBITDA and other non-GAAP measures are used to provide a clearer view of the company's operational performance, excluding certain impacts like restructuring costs[24][25] - The company continues to emphasize the importance of adjusted results for a clearer view of operational performance amidst significant GAAP fluctuations[50]