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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners(CCEP) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-06 12:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of €10.3 billion for H1 2025, an increase of 2.5% compared to the previous year [24] - Comparable volumes were marginally ahead, up 0.3%, despite challenges in Indonesia [24] - Operating profit increased by 7.2% to €1.4 billion, with an operating margin expansion of approximately 60 basis points to 13.5% [26] - Comparable diluted earnings per share rose by 3.1% on an FX neutral basis [26] - Comparable free cash flow generation was €425 million for H1, with a target of at least €1.7 billion for the full year [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core NARTD category grew by more than 5% in the last twelve months, with significant contributions from Monster and other brands [8] - Monster volumes increased nearly 15%, driven by innovation and distribution gains [17] - Fanta Zero volumes grew by around 7%, and Sprite Zero by approximately 13% [18] - The away-from-home business saw a return to volume growth in Q2, supported by better weather and Easter timing [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The European market returned to volume growth in Q2, contributing positively to overall performance [24] - The Philippines market performed well despite strong comparables from the previous year, with a 10 basis point increase in overall value share [12] - Indonesia faced a weaker consumer backdrop, impacting group volumes by around 1% in Q2 [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving profitable revenue growth while maintaining affordability and relevance for consumers [13] - A multiyear view on promotional and pricing strategies is emphasized to create sustainable value [12] - The company is investing heavily in technology and digital capabilities to enhance productivity and efficiency [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the midterm growth objectives, reaffirming full-year profit and cash guidance [40] - The company anticipates volume growth for the full year, particularly in Europe and APS, despite challenges in Indonesia [30] - Management acknowledged the competitive landscape but remains focused on sustainable value creation [70] Other Important Information - The company completed around €460 million in share buybacks and maintained a dividend payout policy of around 50% [7] - The launch of new campaigns, such as "This Is My Taste" for Diet Coke, is expected to drive consumer engagement [32] - The company is transitioning to a partner distributor model in Indonesia to enhance distribution efficiency [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on top line and bottom line growth - Management noted that despite a slight change in revenue guidance, they expect acceleration in the second half driven by volume growth and pricing strategies [44][46] Question: Performance in Europe and away-from-home growth - Management highlighted strong performance in Europe, particularly due to favorable weather and increased consumer engagement in away-from-home settings [52][54] Question: Medium-term growth outlook considering Indonesia - Management indicated that while Indonesia presents challenges, it is a small part of the overall business, and they remain optimistic about long-term opportunities [90] Question: Update on COGS and hedging for 2026 - The company is well-hedged for 2025 and has around 60% hedging in place for 2026, with expectations of flat commodity prices [94] Question: Australian margin turnaround - Management expressed confidence in the Australian business's margin recovery, emphasizing ongoing structural changes and efficiency improvements [99]
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners(CCEP) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-06 12:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of €10.3 billion for H1 2025, an increase of 2.5% compared to the previous year [23] - Comparable volumes were marginally ahead, up 0.3%, despite challenges in Indonesia [23] - Operating profit increased by 7.2% to €1.4 billion, with an operating margin expansion of 60 basis points to 13.5% [25] - Comparable diluted earnings per share rose by 3.1% to €2, reflecting a higher effective tax rate of 26% [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core NARTD category grew by more than 5% in the last twelve months, with significant contributions from Monster and other brands [7] - Operating profit growth of 7.2% was driven by strong top-line performance and efficiency programs [13] - The energy category, particularly Monster, saw volumes increase nearly 15%, with retail value share growing by around 140 basis points [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - European markets returned to volume growth in Q2, supported by favorable weather and the Easter holiday [11] - The Philippines market performed well despite strong comparables from the previous year, with overall value share growing by 10 basis points [12] - Indonesia's weaker consumer backdrop impacted total first half volumes, contributing to a 1% decline in group volumes [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving profitable revenue growth while maintaining affordability and relevance for consumers [13] - A multiyear view on promotional and pricing strategies is emphasized to create sustainable value [12] - The company is investing in technology and digital capabilities to enhance productivity and drive future growth [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management reaffirmed full-year profit and cash guidance, indicating a revenue growth range of 3% to 4% for the year [8] - The company remains optimistic about long-term opportunities in Indonesia despite current challenges [37] - Management highlighted the importance of digital transformation and technology investments to unlock value [39] Other Important Information - The company completed around €460 million in share buybacks and maintained a dividend payout policy of approximately 50% [6] - The return of the "Share a Coke" campaign was well received, contributing positively to brand performance [15] - The company is recognized for its sustainability efforts, retaining inclusion on CDP's A List for Climate for nine consecutive years [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on top line and bottom line growth - Management indicated that despite a slight change in revenue guidance, they expect acceleration in the second half driven by volume growth and pricing strategies [45][46] Question: Performance in Europe and away from home growth - Management noted strong performance in Europe due to favorable weather and increased consumer engagement, with a focus on cooler placements and promotional activities [52][55] Question: Competitiveness in the market - Management acknowledged ongoing competition but emphasized a commitment to sustainable value creation and effective pricing strategies [68][71] Question: Metrics for the "Share a Coke" campaign - Management tracks metrics such as shelf distribution and consumption rates to evaluate the success of the campaign, which has positively impacted volume and price mix [75][76] Question: Acceleration in away from home growth - Management highlighted the return of consumers to public spaces and the impact of weather on away from home sales, indicating a positive trend for the remainder of the year [80][86] Question: Medium-term growth outlook considering Indonesia - Management reiterated that while Indonesia presents challenges, it is not critical to achieving midterm growth objectives, as other markets can offset weaknesses [90][93] Question: Update on COGS and hedging - Management reported being over 90% hedged for 2025 and around 60% for 2026, with expectations of flat commodity prices [96][97] Question: Update on Australian margin turnaround - Management expressed optimism about the Australian business's margin recovery, supported by structural changes and efficiency improvements [101][102]
1 Green Flag for Coca-Cola Stock Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-06 08:37
Core Viewpoint - Coca-Cola's stock is currently appealing for investment due to its reasonable valuation and strong business model, making it a potential long-term portfolio addition [1][4]. Financial Metrics - The forward-looking price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 22.8, slightly below its five-year average of 23.3, while the price-to-sales ratio is 6.2, just below its five-year average of 6.3 [4]. Business Resilience - Coca-Cola's business is somewhat tariff-resistant, with a significant portion of its operations conducted locally around the world [5]. - The company is prepared to switch packaging from aluminum to plastic if necessary, showcasing adaptability [5]. Defensive Nature - In economic downturns, consumers may still opt for affordable treats like soda, indicating Coca-Cola's defensive business characteristics [5]. Brand Strength - Coca-Cola's brand is ranked seventh globally by Interbrand in 2024, with an estimated value of $61.2 billion, providing a competitive advantage [5]. Dividend Performance - Coca-Cola is a dividend-paying stock with a recent yield of 3%, having increased its payout for 63 consecutive years, which can help investors keep pace with inflation [5]. Product Diversification - The company has a diversified portfolio that includes water, sports drinks, coffee, and tea brands such as Dasani, smartwater, vitaminwater, Topo Chico, BODYARMOR, Powerade, Costa, Georgia, Fuze Tea, and Gold Peak [5].
Could This Bear Market-Buy Help You Become a Millionaire?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-06 07:20
Core Viewpoint - Coca-Cola is a reliable stock known for stability and consistent dividends, but it may not provide significant capital appreciation compared to broader market indices like the S&P 500 [1][11]. Company Performance - Over the past 30 years, Coca-Cola's stock has increased nearly 320%, with a total return of almost 780% when including reinvested dividends, while the S&P 500 has soared 1,030% [2]. - A $10,000 investment in Coca-Cola in 1995 would be worth about $88,000 today, generating approximately $2,600 in annual dividends, which outpaces inflation [4]. Business Model - Coca-Cola's business model focuses on producing concentrates and syrups, allowing it to maintain cost control and generate stable cash flows [4]. - The company has diversified its product portfolio to include bottled water, teas, fruit juices, sports drinks, energy drinks, coffee, and alcoholic beverages to counter declining soda consumption [5]. Growth Metrics - From 1994 to 2024, Coca-Cola's earnings per share (EPS) grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5%, while its annual free cash flow (FCF) increased at a CAGR of 3% [6]. Future Outlook - Trends such as the shift towards healthier drinks and tougher regulations could impact Coca-Cola's soda business and drive acquisitions of health-oriented beverages [7]. - Coca-Cola's reliance on emerging markets for growth presents challenges, including competition from regional brands and geopolitical risks [8]. Financial Projections - If Coca-Cola maintains a 5% CAGR for EPS from 2024 to 2054, EPS could rise from $2.46 to $10.63 [9]. - Assuming a price-to-earnings ratio of 20, Coca-Cola's stock price could exceed $213 in 30 years, but significant investment would be required to achieve millionaire status [10]. Investment Perspective - Coca-Cola is viewed as a stable, safe-haven stock that may not generate millionaire-making returns but serves as a reliable dividend-generating component in a diversified portfolio [11][12].
The 3 Best Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-05 17:32
Group 1: Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett - Warren Buffett will step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway by the end of 2025 but will remain as chairman of the Board of Directors [1][2] - Berkshire Hathaway's public stock holdings are valued at approximately $280 billion, with Buffett's investment strategies still significantly influencing the company's direction [2] - The company has a cash reserve exceeding $340 billion, allowing it to capitalize on investment opportunities during market volatility [11][12] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Kroger, the largest grocery chain in the U.S., benefits from the trend of consumers dining in more, with annual revenue around $150 billion and a 15% increase in digital sales in Q1 [4][5] - Coca-Cola has increased its cash payments to shareholders for 63 consecutive years and offers a 3% yield, while diversifying its product lineup to include healthier options [8][10] - Berkshire Hathaway's diverse business segments, including railroads and insurance, generated over $10 billion in operating cash flow in Q1, providing stability and growth potential [13]
Top 3 dividend stocks for H2, 2025
Finbold· 2025-08-05 14:53
Core Viewpoint - With ongoing uncertainty in interest rates and market volatility expected to persist into the second half of 2025, dividend stocks are gaining popularity among investors seeking passive income Group 1: Sirius XM Holdings - Despite a nearly 28% decline in stock price this year, Sirius XM Holdings offers a compelling dividend yield of 4.7% [2] - The company is adjusting its pricing and investing in exclusive content to compete with larger rivals like Spotify, with expected annual dividend payments totaling $364 million [2][3] Group 2: Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola continues to outperform its competitors in the consumer staples sector, reporting $12.6 billion in revenue for Q2 2025 and a 63% increase in operating income [4] - The company has a remarkable track record of 63 consecutive years of dividend increases, currently offering a dividend yield of 2.96% [4] Group 3: Realty Income - Realty Income stands out among REITs due to its reliable income stream, having delivered monthly dividends for over 30 years and increasing its annual payout at a 4.3% compound annual growth rate [5] - The company generated $4.19 in adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) per share in 2024, distributing $3.13 per share in dividends, indicating potential for growth in its current model [6]
后悔,可口可乐对Costa表现不满,350亿元收购案为何令人失望?
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-05 03:43
Core Viewpoint - Coca-Cola is reassessing its investment in Costa Coffee, reflecting on past experiences and exploring new growth avenues in the coffee category after the acquisition did not meet expectations [1][3]. Group 1: Acquisition and Initial Expectations - Coca-Cola acquired Costa Coffee for $5.1 billion in 2018, aiming to enter the hot beverage market, which lacked a global brand presence [1][3]. - At the time of acquisition, Costa was the second-largest coffee chain globally, with nearly 4,000 stores and a robust supply chain [3]. - The acquisition was seen as a strategic move to compete with Starbucks and Nestlé in the rapidly growing beverage category [3]. Group 2: Performance Issues - Costa's revenue declined from approximately £1.3 billion in the 2018 fiscal year to £1.22 billion in the 2023 fiscal year, indicating underperformance post-acquisition [3]. - Analysts noted that while new products launched in the UK received positive feedback, Costa struggled in the competitive U.S. market, primarily focusing on B2B channels due to challenges in retail [6]. - Coca-Cola's lack of experience in operating coffee shops contributed to the difficulties in integrating Costa into its business model [6][7]. Group 3: Market Challenges in China - Costa entered the Chinese market in 2006 but has seen stagnation, with only about 400 stores compared to Starbucks' 7,596 stores as of 2024 [8][10]. - The brand has been overshadowed by local competitors like Luckin Coffee, which has rapidly expanded to over 21,000 stores [8][10]. - Despite plans to open 1,000 stores by 2025, Costa's store count has remained stagnant since 2020, with reports of closures in various cities [10][11]. Group 4: Strategic Adjustments - Coca-Cola has restructured Costa's operations in China, transferring management of coffee shop operations to its European division, which may slow decision-making [11]. - The focus for Costa in China is shifting towards ready-to-drink coffee products, an area where Coca-Cola has more expertise [13]. - Despite speculation about selling Costa, Coca-Cola has integrated the brand into its regular operations, indicating a commitment to the coffee segment for the time being [13].
1 Dividend Champion Stock Beating the Market in 2025
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-04 07:23
Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of consumer-facing Dividend Champions in 2025, highlighting that Coca-Cola has outperformed the S&P 500 despite a market trend favoring high-beta growth stocks [1][3][5]. Company Overview - Coca-Cola has 30 billion-dollar brands, including Coca-Cola, Sprite, and Fanta, with 15 brands developed organically and 15 through acquisitions [6][8]. - The company is a leader in the commercial beverage industry, holding the top market share in sparkling soft drinks, water, sports drinks, and juice [9]. Market Position - Coca-Cola has a 14% market share in developed beverage markets and a 7% share in emerging markets, indicating significant growth potential [10]. - The company benefits from a long-term trend where non-commercial drinks in emerging markets (68%) are expected to decrease, potentially increasing Coca-Cola's market share [12]. Financial Performance - Coca-Cola has increased its value share for 17 consecutive quarters, contributing to its stock performance in 2025 [13]. - The company has a dividend yield of 2.9%, which is more than double that of the S&P 500, and has grown its dividend payments for 62 consecutive years [14]. Dividend and Valuation - Coca-Cola utilizes 69% of its net income for dividend payments, allowing room for future increases, although its dividend growth rate has slowed to 5% annually over the last decade [15]. - The stock currently has a P/E ratio of 24, slightly below its five-year average of 27, indicating it is fairly valued [19]. Future Outlook - Management aims to grow earnings per share by 8% over the long term, suggesting that Coca-Cola could provide market-similar returns, making it a suitable option for income-seeking investors [20].
1 Magnificent S&P 500 Dividend Stock Down 4% to Buy and Hold Forever
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-03 09:12
Core Viewpoint - Coca-Cola's recent stock price decline presents a buying opportunity for dividend-seeking investors despite the overall market rebound [1][12] Financial Performance - Coca-Cola's revenue grew by 5% year-over-year when excluding foreign-currency translation effects and acquisitions/divestitures, driven by higher prices and a favorable product mix [6] - Adjusted operating income increased by 15% year-over-year, indicating profitability even in a challenging quarter [6] - The company experienced a drop in volume during the second quarter, which disappointed investors [5] Dividend Information - Coca-Cola raised its quarterly dividend payout by more than 5% to $0.51, marking 63 consecutive years of dividend increases, qualifying it as a Dividend King [9] - The company maintains a payout ratio of 69%, suggesting it can comfortably sustain its dividend payments [10] - Coca-Cola's dividend yield stands at 3%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's yield of 1.2% [10] Valuation Metrics - The recent decline in Coca-Cola's share price has improved its valuation, with a current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24, down from 29 [11] - Compared to the S&P 500, which has a P/E ratio of 30, Coca-Cola offers a more attractive valuation [11] - The company's long-term growth targets are 4% to 6% annual revenue growth and 7% to 9% earnings per share increases [11]
Should You Forget Costco? Why These Unstoppable Stocks Are Better Buys
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-03 07:14
Core Viewpoint - Costco's stock is currently overvalued despite its strong business performance, making Coca-Cola and PepsiCo more attractive investment options for income and value-focused investors [4][14]. Group 1: Costco - Costco operates on a membership model, providing a reliable revenue stream with a high member renewal rate of approximately 90% [2]. - The company is experiencing growth through new store openings and increased customer spending, but its stock valuation is high with P/S, P/E, and P/B ratios above five-year averages [4]. - The dividend yield for Costco is low at around 0.6%, which is disappointing for income-focused investors [5][4]. Group 2: Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola has shown strong performance with a 5% growth in organic revenues in the second quarter, appealing to consumers despite inflation concerns [6][7]. - The stock is reasonably priced with P/S, P/E, and P/B ratios at or slightly below five-year averages, and a dividend yield of 3% [8]. - Coca-Cola is considered a better value than Costco due to its strong business performance and reasonable stock valuation [8][14]. Group 3: PepsiCo - PepsiCo's stock is undervalued with P/S, P/E, and P/B ratios significantly below five-year averages, and a dividend yield of approximately 4% [10]. - The company reported a lower organic sales growth of 2.1% in the second quarter compared to Coca-Cola, indicating underperformance [11]. - PepsiCo is a diversified business with a history of dividend growth, and recent acquisitions may help it regain momentum [12][13].