AI巨头与传统企业软件厂商正在AI代理工具领域展开全面竞争。 2月12日，据The Information报道，OpenAI和Anthropic推出的企业级AI产品正在冲击现有企业软件市 场，而微软、Salesforce、ServiceNow等传统厂商则加速推出代理构建工具和管理平台以应对挑战。 这场竞争涉及四大类产品：基于浏览器的代理、可操作计算机的代理、代理构建工具以及代理管理控制 台。 Anthropic本周二向Windows用户发布了Cowork的研究预览版，而OpenAI上周推出了Frontier平台，帮助 Uber和Thermo Fisher Scientific等企业创建多个AI协作者并分配不同任务。 这些举动加剧了对传统企业软件厂商的压力。市场参与者普遍预期，未来白领员工将不再手动使用企业 应用程序，而是监督一系列能够自主连接应用的AI代理。 微软CEO Satya Nadella早在2024年就表示，传统软件应用将在"代理时代""崩溃"，因为它们"本质上是带 有业务逻辑的数据库"。微软甚至公开讨论过向访问其应用的AI收取订阅费用，就像向人类用户收费一 样。 四类产品激烈竞争 根据The In ...

北京时间2月13日凌晨，金价突然闪崩，现货黄金价格直线跳水超3%，日内跌近200美元。现货白银价格跌超8%。 | | | SNDK | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 | | 美光 | 416.995 | +1.62% | | | | MU | | | | 4 | | 特斯拉 | 420.505 | -1.81% | | | | TSLA | | | | 5 | | 台积电 | 368.920 | -1.38% | | | | TSM | | | | 6 | | 阿里巴巴 | 158.030 | -3.83% | | | | BABA | | | | | △ | 谷歌 | 313.849 | +0.81% | | | | GOOG | | | | ಜಿ | | 苹果 | 266.890 | -3.13% | | | | AAPL | | | | 90 | | 微软 | 399.945 | -1.09% | | | | MSFT | | | | 10 | AMDC | AMD | 207.220 | -2.98% | | | | AMD | | | | 11 | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by more than 10% over the next 6 to 12 months [33]. Core Insights - Major tech companies are significantly increasing their investments in AI for 2026, focusing on talent acquisition, computing power infrastructure, and marketing expenditures. The competition for consumer-facing AI Agent products is expected to intensify during the Spring Festival period in China [2]. - The report emphasizes the transformative potential of AI in changing user interactions with software and the internet, highlighting the value creation from large models. It suggests focusing on companies with the most certainty in computing power and large models, including Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent [2]. Summary by Sections Company Developments - SpaceX has fully acquired xAI, with a post-merger valuation of $1.25 trillion. The merger will allow xAI to operate as a subsidiary of SpaceX, integrating its Grok model with SpaceX's satellite data [17]. - Meta has launched a series of AI advertising tools, including AI Video Generation 2.0, which simplifies the creative production process for advertisers [20]. - Kunlun Technology has released the Skywork desktop version, a local multi-model AI office agent that prioritizes data security and ease of use [21]. - OpenAI has launched two core products, including an upgraded programming model and an enterprise-level AI platform, enhancing its commercial capabilities [22]. - Meta is testing a standalone AI video application called Vibes, focusing on AI-generated content [23]. - Four major tech giants (Google, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft) plan to invest a total of $610 billion in AI infrastructure, representing over 75% of global investment in this area [24]. Underlying Technologies - Step 3.5 Flash model by Jumpshare has been released, utilizing a sparse MoE architecture to address computing power challenges [25]. - Alibaba's Tongyi Qianwen team has open-sourced the Qwen3-Coder-Next programming model, achieving high performance with low computational costs [26]. - Anthropic has released Claude Opus 4.6, significantly expanding its context window to 1 million tokens, enhancing its capabilities for complex document analysis [26]. - The Chinese Academy of Sciences has introduced the "Feiyu-1.0" model, focusing on dual-direction coupling technology for environmental data analysis [27]. Industry Policies - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a notice to enhance AI computing power infrastructure, aiming to establish a national interconnected computing power node system [28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring companies with strong positions in computing power and large models, such as Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent, as they are expected to lead in the rapidly evolving AI landscape [29].

这一警告并非孤例。大规模劳动力替代的问题正困扰着全球各国政府，尽管在更广泛的经济逆风中，真 实的失业人数仍不明朗。 微软人工智能业务负责人发出迄今最激进的自动化预警，称绝大多数白领专业工作可能在一年半内被 AI取代，这一时间表远早于商界和政策制定者的普遍预期，为全球劳动力市场敲响警钟。 微软AI首席执行官Mustafa Suleyman在接受英国《金融时报》采访时表示，律师、会计师、项目经理和 营销人员等从事电脑办公的专业人士，其"大多数任务"将在未来12至18个月内被AI完全自动化。 AI导致的失业已初现端倪。根据职业介绍公司Challenger的报告，今年1月有7624个工作岗位因AI被 裁，占当月裁员总数的7%；2025年全年，AI导致的裁员公告达54836人。自2023年开始追踪以来， 79449个计划裁员岗位归咎于AI。 与此同时，AI安全与滥用风险也在加速升温。Anthropic在最新破坏活动报告中警告，其Claude模型在特 定计算机使用场景下对"有害滥用"更敏感，甚至出现与化学武器开发相关的风险信号。 AI大规模取代白领还有12至18个月的时间窗口 Suleyman的预测标志着科技行业对AI取 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights significant developments in the AI and technology sectors, including price adjustments by companies, substantial funding rounds, and new product launches that indicate a strong growth trajectory in the industry. Group 1: AI and Technology Developments - Zhiyu announced a structural price adjustment for its GLM Coding Plan, with an overall price increase starting from 30%, effective February 12, 2026, while maintaining prices for existing subscribers [2] - Anthropic completed a Series G funding round of $30 billion, achieving a post-money valuation of $380 billion, with annual revenue reaching $14 billion [2] - OpenAI launched its first AI model, GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark, running on Cerebras Systems chips to reduce dependency on Nvidia chips and lower operational costs [2] Group 2: Financial Performance and Investments - SoftBank Group reported a net profit of 248.59 billion JPY (approximately $1.6 billion) for Q3, significantly below market expectations, with a notable gain of $19.8 billion from its investment in OpenAI [3] - Xiechuang Data plans to procure servers worth up to 11 billion CNY to support its expansion in data centers and related businesses [3] Group 3: Company News in Greater China - MiniMax launched its flagship programming model MiniMax M2.5, designed for agent scenarios, competing with top international models [5] - Meitu announced a stock incentive plan for all employees to promote long-term growth [6] - Huahong Semiconductor achieved a record sales revenue of $659.9 million in Q4 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.4% [7] Group 4: Company News in the Americas - Microsoft signed a memorandum of understanding with Saudi Aramco to advance industrial AI and digital talent transformation [9] - Meta announced a quarterly cash dividend and plans to invest over $10 billion in a large-scale AI data center in Indiana [9] - Amazon faced a tax investigation in Italy regarding potential tax evasion from 2019 to 2024 [10] Group 5: Company News in Asia-Pacific - Kioxia reported a net profit of 87.81 billion JPY for Q3, below market expectations, while projecting annual net sales between 2.18 trillion JPY and 2.27 trillion JPY [13] - Toyota is extending the acquisition period for a public offer to improve success rates and is collaborating with a Japanese oil giant to build a solid-state electrolyte factory [13] Group 6: Company News in Europe and Oceania - Mercedes-Benz adjusted its EBIT forecast for 2025 to €8.2 billion, a 40% decline year-on-year, with plans to launch over 15 new models in China by 2026 [16] - Nestlé is recalling specific batches of infant formula in China due to contamination concerns, with no confirmed cases of illness reported [18]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a rare and widespread panic sell-off, driven by concerns over AI's disruptive potential across various sectors [1][3] Market Behavior - Over 40 S&P 500 stocks exhibited abnormal volatility exceeding three standard deviations, marking the highest level observed by Goldman Sachs trader Ryan Shakey [1] - Defensive sectors such as utilities, consumer staples, REITs, and healthcare are leading the market, while technology, media, and telecommunications are facing significant declines [1] - The Goldman Sachs AI risk exposure basket (GSTMTAIR) saw a sharp drop of 510 basis points in a single day, indicating heightened market sensitivity to AI-related risks [1] Investor Sentiment - Investor sentiment has shifted dramatically, with a notable loss of appetite for bottom-fishing, as hedge funds and long institutions are selling off but at smaller scales, indicating a growing sense of fatigue [4] - The market breadth has deteriorated sharply, with 350 S&P 500 stocks declining, and major tech companies like Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, and Cisco dragging down the index [5] Sector-Specific Impacts - The logistics sector has become a recent focal point, with CH Robinson experiencing an eight-standard deviation drop, reflecting the spread of AI panic from tech to traditional industries [6] - Financial stocks, previously seen as safe havens, are also under pressure, with regional banks losing their appeal as attractive investments [6] - The healthcare sector has seen a 32% drop in contract research organizations (CROs) this month, following Pfizer's announcement to utilize AI for most clinical trials [6] Reassessment of AI Winners - The technology, media, and telecommunications sectors, excluding storage chips, are facing widespread declines, as previously regarded "winners" are being sold off amid risk-averse sentiment [7] - Investors are confused about the underlying issues in earnings reports, as fundamental analysis appears to be overlooked in the current panic environment [7]

每经编辑｜金冥羽 大型科技股普跌，苹果跌超5%，博通跌超3%，亚马逊、Meta、特斯拉跌超2%。 | 英伟达(NVIDIA) US NVDA | 186.900 | -1.66% | | --- | --- | --- | | 11 = 19 | 199.560 | -2.21% | | US AMZN | | | | 谷歌 US GOOGL | 309.000 | -0.63% | | 微软 US MSFT | 401.940 | -0.60% | | 脸书(META | 650.050 | -2.79% | | US META | | | | 苹果(APPLE) | 261.680 | -5.02% | | US AAPL | | | | 特斯拉(TESLA) | 416.960 | -2.64% | | US TSLA | | | 思科股价暴跌超12%，原因是这家生产交换机、路由器等网络硬件的公司对本季度给出令人失望的业绩指引。 明星股AI广告技术公司Applovin股价暴跌近20%，消息面上，公司发布四季度业绩并给出展望；关键指标虽高于市场一致预期，但可能不足以消除近期关 于AI相关冲击的担忧。值得一 ...

亚马逊股价连续八个交易日下跌后正式进入技术性熊市，成为Mag7中第二家跌入熊市的公司。投资者对科技巨头激进的人工智能支出计划发起强烈抵制， 导致这些明星股票大幅下挫。 风险提示及免责条款 投资者在Mag 7内部轮动，自由现金流压力凸显 Apex Fintech Solutions风险副总裁Mike Treacy表示，近期抛售凸显出Mag7成员之间日益扩大的分化。自去年秋季以来，投资者已从与微软、英伟达和甲骨文 相关的OpenAI交易中撤出，转而青睐Alphabet和博通生态系统。 Treacy指出，Alphabet垂直整合的技术堆栈在一定程度上抵消了过度支出的担忧，使该股免受科技股抛售的最严重冲击。Alphabet股价周四收盘时较近期高 点下跌9.2%。Treacy表示，谷歌的自给自足能力应该获得相对其他公司的溢价，后者可能受到产业链中某一环节的不利影响。 亚马逊、微软和Meta股价遭受更大冲击，因为投资者对这些公司AI支出能否带来足够投资回报信心不足。对于亚马逊而言，资本支出水平的提高可能导致 其今年自由现金流转为负值，这意味着公司需要开始进入债务市场筹集更多资本。 Treacy认为，AI交易的下一个重要催 ...

美东时间周四，投资者对人工智能（AI）颠覆性的担忧持续发酵，三大指数均跌超1%，纳指以2%的跌幅领跌。 （三大指数日内走势，来源：TradingView） 截至收盘，道琼斯指数跌1.34%，报49,451.98点；标普500指数跌1.57%，报6,832.76点；纳斯达克指数跌2.03%，报22,597.15点。 今年以来，随着一些AI工具的推出，部分板块遭受冲击，包括软件公司、出版商、金融服务企业等。投资者担心，这些AI工具可能复制它们 的业务模式，或至少侵蚀其利润率。 在AI可能颠覆财富管理业务的担忧下，摩根士丹利等金融股承压；卡车运输和物流公司如C.H. Robinson股价暴跌14%，因市场担心AI将优 化货运运营，从而压缩部分收入来源。 AI颠覆担忧甚至蔓延至房地产行业。市场认为更高的失业率将打击办公空间需求，CBRE和SL Green Realty等股票因此走低。 Freedom Capital Markets首席市场策略师Jay Woods表示："AI曾是推动这些股票飙升、估值达到极端水平（虽未极端到离谱）的唯一动 力，如今却成了压制它们表现的因素。" Yardeni Research总裁Ed ...

本轮美股抛售焦点集中在商业地产及相关金融服务领域。市场担忧，随着人工智能工具使用率不断提高，企业对办公空间的需求可能被结构性削弱，从而 冲击写字楼租赁和估值体系。 周四，美股显著走低。围绕人工智能加速渗透、可能冲击软件行业及办公空间需求的担忧再度发酵，商业地产与科技相关板块承压明显。同时，交易员在 最新就业数据公布后重新评估美联储年内降息路径，风险偏好进一步降温。 截至收盘，道琼斯工业指数下跌669.42点，跌幅1.34%，报49451.98点；标普500指数下跌108.71点，跌幅1.57%，报6832.76点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 469.32点，跌幅2.03%，报22597.15点。 热门股表现 科技巨头悉数承压。苹果重挫5%，录得2025年4月以来的最大单日跌幅，此前美国联邦贸易委员会声称苹果新闻打压保守派内容。Meta Platforms下跌 2.82%；亚马逊下跌2.20%；特斯拉下跌2.62%。英伟达下跌1.64%，微软下跌0.63%，谷歌C类股下跌0.63%。 | 苹果(APPLE) | 261.730 | -5.00% | | --- | --- | --- | | US AAPL | 26 ...