Microsoft(MSFT)
Search documents
英国养老基金因担忧人工智能泡沫抛售美股
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 10:16
英国养老基金正减少对美股的敞口,背后原因是市场担忧:当前美股市场对少数科技股的集中度不断提 升,且人工智能(AI)领域存在泡沫风险。 管理着超过 2000 亿英镑资产(服务数百万英国储户)的多家养老基金向《金融时报》表示,近几个月 来,它们已开始调整资产配置 —— 要么将资金转向其他地区市场,要么采取措施对冲股价可能下跌的 风险。 这一系列调整的背景是:以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数今年以来涨幅已超 20%,且自 2023 年初至 今涨幅已逾一倍。推动这一涨势的,正是英伟达(Nvidia)、字母表(Alphabet)、元宇宙(Meta)等 所谓的 "七大科技巨头"(Magnificent Seven)。 市场对少数股票的过度集中,以及可能出现的泡沫风险,让养老储户面临股价暴跌的潜在风险,这些担 忧正不断加剧。 "我们意识到美股存在特定风险,例如关祱政策影响,以及对大型科技股的过度集中持仓," 凤凰集团 (Phoenix Group)旗下标准人寿(Standard Life)的投资方案负责人卡勒姆・斯图尔特表示。该公司管 理着规模 360 亿英镑的 "可持续多元资产基金",服务 200 万客户,其中约 60% ...
微软CEO承诺加码欧盟AI投资 强调数字主权不止基建
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 09:31
纳德拉表示:"无论是人工智能系统、前沿模型,还是全球范围内的各类人工智能产品,美国始终保持 领先。这不仅得益于美国科技行业的创新才智,更因为美国的技术体系是全球最受信赖的技术架构。" 纳德拉认为,若欧洲能着力推动人工智能技术在各行业的实际应用与广泛普及,就有望在全球人工智能 领域成为最大赢家之一。 他说:"坦白来讲,未来能在这场竞争中脱颖而出的国家,必然是那些能大规模推广人工智能应用,将 其广泛运用于经济发展、医疗健康、制造业及教育等多个领域,并借此推动经济增长的国家。" 微软首席执行官于周一表示,微软正日益将欧洲视为其人工智能战略布局的核心地区。 萨提亚・纳德拉在《高管面对面》播客节目中称:"我们正投入资本在德国乃至整个欧盟进行有风险的 投资。" 他补充道:"这些并非设在美国的人工智能工厂或云计算中心,而是落地于欧洲大陆及欧洲各国本土的 实体设施。" 在访谈中,纳德拉着重强调,数字主权对任何国家而言都是关键考量因素。 "我认为无论是欧盟层面,还是像德国这样的单个国家层面,主权问题都至关重要。"他说道,"因此, 每个国家都希望保障供应的持续性与抗风险能力,同时拥有自主运营的主动权。这也是我们做出这些投 资承诺 ...
如何看待高成长与经典价值?柏基“传奇基金经理”詹姆斯·安德森2019年深度撰文
聪明投资者· 2025-12-02 07:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving perspectives on growth and value investing, highlighting the need to reassess traditional investment principles in light of modern economic realities and the success of high-growth companies [5][6][25]. Group 1: Growth vs. Value Investing - James Anderson acknowledges a widening divide between growth and value investing, suggesting that traditional value metrics may not suffice in a changing economic landscape dominated by tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon [7][20]. - Despite the differences, Anderson emphasizes that both growth and value investing share common principles, such as the importance of honest long-term cash flow estimation and risk management [8][25]. - The article references the historical context of growth investing, noting a lack of comprehensive literature supporting long-term growth strategies compared to the extensive documentation of value investing [12][14]. Group 2: Case Studies of Companies - Microsoft serves as a prime example of a company that has achieved significant long-term growth, with revenue increasing from $60 billion in 2008 to $110 billion in 2018, showcasing a compound annual growth rate of 24% [22]. - Google, now Alphabet, also illustrates the potential for sustained growth, with revenue rising from $21.8 billion in 2008 to $136.8 billion in 2018 [23]. - The article contrasts Coca-Cola's stagnation in stock value over the past 20 years with Facebook's growth trajectory, suggesting that Facebook may align more closely with value investing principles despite its high valuation metrics [82][88]. Group 3: Economic Structural Changes - The article posits that the current economic environment is undergoing profound changes, necessitating a reevaluation of investment strategies that account for systemic transformations rather than relying solely on historical performance [44][46]. - It highlights the shift from asset-heavy to knowledge-based economies, where companies like Facebook and Google thrive due to network effects and scale advantages [71][73]. - The discussion includes the implications of these changes for future investment returns, suggesting that traditional metrics may not adequately capture the potential of companies operating in rapidly evolving sectors [41][60]. Group 4: Industry Examples - The automotive industry is examined, with General Motors and BMW representing traditional value stocks facing challenges, while Ferrari exemplifies a company achieving high margins and cash flow despite low sales volume [100][104][107]. - The article notes that the automotive sector is experiencing significant disruption, particularly with the rise of electric vehicles and changing consumer preferences, which complicates traditional valuation methods [96][98]. - The contrasting performance of companies within the automotive sector illustrates the broader theme of how different business models and market positions can lead to varying investment outcomes [100][106].
AI stock rally may be driven by fear of missing out, but strategists say hold tight
CNBC· 2025-12-02 07:04
A television broadcasts crypto market news at the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York, US, on Thursday, Nov. 20, 2025.AI-related equity valuations may be driven by fear of missing out, known as FOMO — but now's not the time to get cold feet, according to strategists. Global equities are at persistent highs, the European Central Bank said in its Financial Stability Review on Wednesday. At the same time, concentration among a small group of interconnected U.S. hyperscalers has also intensified, making the market vu ...
7 年前放话“18 个月火速弃用 Office”,这家巨头至今未能摆脱微软。网友:打脸了吧
程序员的那些事· 2025-12-02 06:15
迁移计划:淘汰本地部署的 Office,迈向云端数字化 7 年前, Airbus 时任 CEO Tom Enders 在一份内部备忘录中表示,这一决定将塑造公司的未 来,也是企业数字化转型的新阶段。 转自:CSDN(ID:CSDNnews) 作为 PC 行业的软件巨头,微软的 Windows 和 Office 已成各行各业绕不开的基础软件。然而, 一些公司曾出于成本、协作方式、使用习惯等原因,一度萌生过"弃用"的念头。但事实证明,基础 软件的迁移往往远比想象中复杂得多。 2018 年,欧洲一家民航巨头空客(Airbus)就信心满满地宣布,要摆脱微软的束缚,其计划将 130,000 名 员 工 从 Microsoft Office 办 公 软 件 转 向 Google Workspace ( 彼 时 还 叫 做 G Suite),并预计使用 18 个月就能完成迁移。 然而,时至今日,据外媒 The Register 报道, Airbus 的"去微软化"之路仍然遥遥无期。理论 上,这是一家世界 500 强企业,资金雄厚、人才顶尖,为什么迁移如此困难?这个问题也引发了外 界的广泛关注。 图源 Nano Banana ...
Microsoft: I Don't See An AI Bubble (NASDAQ:MSFT)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-02 05:55
Microsoft ( MSFT ) ( MSFT:CA ) is down 10% after the 1Q FY2026 earnings. The stock did not catch up to the rally this time, even though the equity market rebounded last week. Is MSFT still in an AI bubble? I don'tI'm specialized in fundamental equity research, global macro strategy, and top-down portfolio construction. I'm a senior analyst at a multi-strategy hedge fund with 7 years of experience. I graduated from UCLA with a degree of Business Economics and UMich Ross School of Business with a Master of Ac ...
Microsoft: I Don't See An AI Bubble
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-02 05:55
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft (MSFT) shares have declined by 10% following the 1Q FY2026 earnings report, indicating potential concerns about the company's position in the AI market despite a broader equity market rebound [1]. Financial Performance - The stock did not participate in the recent market rally, raising questions about whether MSFT is experiencing an AI bubble [1]. Analyst Background - The analysis is conducted by a senior analyst with 10 years of experience in investment banking, specializing in fundamental equity research and macro strategy [1].
TrendForce集邦咨询:存储器价格飙升冲击消费市场 2026年游戏主机出货量预估将下调至年减4.4%
智通财经网· 2025-12-02 05:50
智通财经APP获悉,TrendForce集邦咨询最新发布的报告显示,受到存储器价格飙涨影响,消费性电子 产品整机成本大幅拉升,并迫使终端产品定价上调,进而冲击消费市场。TrendForce集邦咨询继11月上 旬下修2026年全球智能手机及笔电的生产出货预测后,此次也下修游戏主机2026年出货预测,从原先预 估的年减3.5%调降至年减4.4%。 TrendForce集邦咨询指出,存储器价格飙升冲击诸多终端消费设备,游戏主机此波亦难独善其身。事实 上,游戏主机因其获利主要来自软件与会员服务,且意在扩大用户基础,过往多以产品售价逐步下调或 定期促销为销售策略。 然而,此次以Switch 2为例,其450美元的首发定价虽高于前代,但考量存储器容量翻倍及颗粒成本上 扬,2026年存储器模组占主机总成本的比例将来到21~23%,显示硬件毛利实已被严重压缩,迫使 Nintendo(任天堂)恐难如过往预留促销空间。 对于Sony(索尼)与Microsoft(微软)而言,2026年存储器成本占BOM cost的比例超过35%,这将导致主机 上市数年后难以执行传统的降价策略,甚至在部分地区需调涨售价以转嫁成本,如Xbox便传将继 ...
美国云厂商也在机场卷“谁是AI云第一”
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-02 04:14
无论是中国还是美国,无论是北京、深圳、杭州,还是旧金山、拉斯维加斯,太平洋两岸的云计算巨头们,不约而同地选择了机场用来展示肌 肉 中国云计算市场,一个常被津津乐道的话题是——机场广告。 机场广告是观察经济"高端局"竞争态势的绝佳窗口。它具有受众精准、封闭环境、高停留时间、高消费能力四大特点。最卷的行业在这里短兵相接。谁能 在这里持续发声,谁就在激烈的行业卡位战中占据了有利地形。 2025年,中国机场的广告是云和智能汽车的战场。阿里云、字节跳动旗下云服务火山引擎、百度智能云的广告2025年针锋相对,"AI云市场第一"广告在机 场随处可见(详见《中国云市场,究竟谁是"第一"》)。 我们发现,2025年美国云厂商也在卷机场广告,争夺"谁是AI云第一"的话语权。 谷歌云GCP的广告内容是Gemini Enterprise is a new way to work(Gemini Enterprise开启全新工作模式);The best of Google AI,now for every business(最 好的谷歌AI,现在提供给所有企业)。 Gemini Enterprise是谷歌云GCP的企业级AI订阅服务平台 ...
AI股龙头易主,谷歌动摇OpenAI优势
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-02 04:14
(Reuters) 谷歌新发布的大模型Gemini 3 Pro在比拼性能的主要指标上居首,市场嗅到OpenAI优势动摇 的可能性。11月,谷歌阵营的博通股价上涨9%,联发科技上涨6.5%。OpenAI阵营的微软下 跌5%,软银集团下跌38%,英伟达下跌13%…… 从日本股票来看,TOPPAN控股也在11月刷新了上市以来的最高点。将于2026年底投产的新加坡半导体 封装基板工厂得到了博通的投资,这被认为是利好因素。 与此形成鲜明对比的是,以此前拉动AI行情的以英伟达为中心的"OpenAI阵营"企业的股价。投资 OpenAI的微软下跌5%,软银集团(SBG)也下跌38%。 人工智能(AI)行情正在发生异变。以曾经拉动行情的美国英伟达为中心,很多股票价格下跌。另一 方面,旗下拥有谷歌的Alphabet股价明显上涨。这是因为谷歌11月发表的生成式AI基础模型受到了高度 评价。市场嗅到了一直领先的美国OpenAI的ChatGPT的优势地位发生动摇的可能性。 Alphabet股票11月上涨14%。总市值接近4万亿美元,时隔6年反超微软,跃居世界第三。与股价下跌 13%的英伟达的差异非常明显。 股票市场评价发生巨大变化的背 ...