Core Insights - Northern Trust has been appointed by the International Finance Facility for Education (IFFEd) to provide global custody services [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Northern Trust is a financial services company listed on Nasdaq under the ticker NTRS [1] - The company will support IFFEd, which is focused on innovative financing for global education [1] Group 2: IFFEd Details - IFFEd is based in Switzerland and has been endorsed by the G20 in 2023 [1] - The organization holds a triple A credit rating and operates with a zero percent administration fee [1] - IFFEd aims to accelerate public-private partnerships in the education sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has adjusted its model for North American large banks' Q3 2025 performance forecasts, indicating a mild impact on EPS growth of 0-1% and a median EPS estimate 3% higher than market consensus [1][2] Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - The median EPS forecast for North American banks in Q3 2025 is 3% above market consensus, with the largest increases expected for money center banks and State Street Bank (STT.US) [1] - Citigroup (C.US) is projected to have an EPS of $1.99, exceeding the market consensus of $1.83 by 9% [1] - Bank of America (BAC.US) is expected to report an EPS of $1.01, which is 7% higher than the consensus of $0.94 [1] - State Street Bank's EPS is forecasted to be 6% above consensus, while Northern Trust (NTRS.US) is expected to be 3% higher [1] - Most super-regional banks are projected to be 1-3% above consensus, with Truist Financial (TFC.US) and Wells Fargo (WFC.US) both expected to be 3% higher [1] Group 2: Key Financial Metrics - The model incorporates a macro assumption of an additional 125 basis points rate cut by the end of 2026, with a focus on Citigroup, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase (JPM.US) due to expected outperformance in investment banking fees and trading income [2] - Money center banks are expected to lead in asset growth, with JPMorgan Chase's average total assets projected to reach $4.43 trillion, an 8.4% year-over-year increase, and Bank of America expected to reach $3.47 trillion, a 5.5% increase [2] - The deposit structure shows a gradual decline in non-interest-bearing deposits, with Bank of America projected to have 26.0% in 2025, down from 26.7% in 2024 [2] - The net interest margin (NIM) is expected to remain stable, with a median estimate of 2.50% for 2025, while super-regional banks are projected to have higher NIMs [2] Group 3: Revenue Growth Drivers - Fee income is a core growth driver, with M&A fees expected to grow 30% year-over-year, significantly above the consensus growth of 11% [3] - Equity Capital Markets (ECM) fees are projected to increase by 41%, compared to a consensus of 30%, while Debt Capital Markets (DCM) fees are expected to grow by 4% against a consensus of 3% [3] - Money center banks like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs are expected to see over 9% year-over-year growth in fee income for 2025 [3] Group 4: Capital Returns - The median dividend payout ratio for banks in 2025 is expected to be around 30%, with money center banks showing a slight decrease from 27% to 29% [3] - JPMorgan is projected to pay $5.80 per share in dividends, while Citigroup is expected to pay $2.32 per share [3] - Stock buybacks are anticipated to increase significantly, with JPMorgan expected to repurchase $38.01 billion in 2025, up from $18.84 billion in 2024, and Citigroup expected to repurchase $13.47 billion, a substantial increase from $2.5 billion in 2024 [3] Group 5: Overall Outlook - The report maintains a cautiously optimistic view on North American large banks, suggesting that money center banks will outperform due to investment banking and trading income, while super-regional banks show stable asset quality [4] - Trust banks are expected to face pressure on net interest margins but still demonstrate resilience supported by fee income [4]

Core Viewpoint - Northern Trust Asset Management has appointed Slava Malkin as senior portfolio manager to enhance its long/short investment offerings, reflecting its commitment to expanding its investment capabilities in the market [1]. Company Overview - Northern Trust Asset Management is a leading global investment management firm with $1.3 trillion in assets under management as of June 30, 2025 [1]. - The firm has over three decades of experience in tax-advantaged and quantitative equity portfolios, positioning itself as a pioneer in these areas [1]. Strategic Development - The appointment of Slava Malkin aims to develop and manage Northern Trust Asset Management's long/short offerings, indicating a strategic move to diversify its portfolio options [1].

Market Overview - The current market is experiencing record highs despite uncertainties surrounding the government shutdown and economic conditions [3][4] - Historical patterns indicate that markets have generally shrugged off past government shutdowns, suggesting a potential for resilience [4] Economic Cycle and Monetary Policy - The economic cycle's current phase, along with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, introduces uncertainty, particularly as the Fed shifts towards more accommodative measures [5] - The labor market is showing signs of softening, which is acknowledged by the Fed, contributing to investor anxiety [6] Interest Rate Outlook - There is a paradox where increased uncertainty may lead to a higher likelihood of future Fed interest rate cuts [7] - The expectation is for continued Fed rate cuts, potentially lowering the Fed funds rate by about 100 basis points over the next 12 months [8][9] Investment Strategy - A balanced portfolio should include both risk assets (stocks) and defensive assets (bonds), with a current preference for risk assets [10] - Confidence in a soft landing for the U.S. economy has led to increased exposure to U.S. markets, with a reduced likelihood of an outright recession [10] - Positive earnings estimates are anticipated, with companies having doubled their earnings estimates last quarter, indicating strong trends moving forward [11] Fiscal Stimulus and Technological Impact - There is a significant amount of fiscal stimulus in the U.S., which is expected to support economic growth [12] - The impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on the market is a critical factor that cannot be overlooked [12]

Core Viewpoint - Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) is expected to report strong earnings growth in its upcoming third-quarter results, with analysts projecting a profit increase of 13.3% year-over-year, reflecting the company's solid performance and historical earnings surprise record [2][5]. Financial Performance - NTRS is anticipated to deliver a profit of $2.13 per share for Q3, up from $1.96 per share in the same quarter last year, indicating a 13.3% increase [2]. - For the full fiscal year 2025, analysts expect an EPS of $8.55, representing an 11% growth from $7.70 in 2024, with further growth projected for fiscal 2026 to $9.32 per share, a 9% year-over-year increase [3]. - Despite a 26.4% year-over-year decline in topline revenue to $2 billion in Q2, the company exceeded market expectations, and its EPS increased by 12.1% year-over-year to $2.13, surpassing consensus estimates by 2.4% [5]. Stock Performance - NTRS stock has appreciated by 50.7% over the past 52 weeks, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index's 17.6% and the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund's 18.2% gains during the same period [4]. - Following the release of Q2 results, the stock experienced a decline of 1.8%, despite reporting better-than-expected financials [5]. Analyst Sentiment - The consensus rating for NTRS is "Hold," with 16 analysts providing varied opinions: two "Strong Buys," one "Moderate Buy," nine "Holds," one "Moderate Sell," and three "Strong Sells" [6]. - The stock is currently trading above its mean price target of $132.46 [6].

Core Viewpoint - Northern Trust Corporation is a financial services company that offers asset servicing, fund administration, and wealth management, recognized for its strong dividend offerings and potential for near-term performance [1][5][6] Company Overview - Northern Trust operates in the finance sector and competes with institutions like State Street and BNY Mellon [1] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $25.49 billion and a trading volume of 1,173,714 shares [4] Stock Performance - As of September 29, 2025, Morgan Stanley maintained an "Underweight" rating but raised the price target from $110 to $131, indicating some optimism despite caution [2][6] - The stock was priced at $133.31, reflecting a year-to-date price change of 28.18% [2] - The stock's current price represents a 1.47% increase from the previous day, with fluctuations between $131.70 and $135 during the trading day [4] Investment Appeal - Northern Trust is recognized as a strong momentum stock by Zacks Investment Research, suggesting it is well-positioned for strong near-term performance [3][6] - The company's consistent dividend payments are a significant attraction for investors seeking steady income, contributing to long-term returns [5][6]

Company Overview - Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) is based in Chicago and operates in the Finance sector, with a year-to-date share price change of 28.18% [3] - The company currently pays a dividend of $0.80 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 2.44%, which is lower than the Banks - Major Regional industry's yield of 3.2% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.54% [3] Dividend Performance - The current annualized dividend of Northern Trust is $3.20, reflecting a 6.7% increase from the previous year [4] - Over the past five years, the company has increased its dividend once on a year-over-year basis, with an average annual increase of 2.01% [4] - The current payout ratio is 36%, indicating that the company paid out 36% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share as dividends [4] Earnings Expectations - Northern Trust is expected to see earnings growth this fiscal year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 at $8.54 per share, representing a year-over-year growth rate of 10.91% [5] Investment Considerations - NTRS is considered a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong dividend profile and current Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6] - The company is viewed as a solid dividend option, particularly in contrast to high-growth businesses or tech start-ups that typically do not offer dividends [6]

CHICAGO--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- #assetmanagement--Northern Trust will announce Q3 earnings on Wednesday, October 22, 2025. ...

Core Viewpoint - Northern Trust and UBD have entered into a collaboration focused on research and development initiatives in digital assets and innovations within financial markets [1] Company Collaboration - The partnership aims to leverage expertise in digital assets to enhance financial market innovations [1] - This collaboration signifies a strategic move towards integrating digital asset research into traditional financial services [1] Industry Implications - The agreement reflects a growing trend in the financial industry towards embracing digital assets and innovative technologies [1] - Such partnerships may lead to advancements in asset management and investment strategies, potentially reshaping market dynamics [1]

Group 1 - Qualcomm has had a lackluster year but is currently making a positive move, particularly after expanding its relationship with Google Cloud to enhance in-car experiences through agentic AI [1] - Qualcomm shares rose 0.7% to close at $165.26 [5] Group 2 - Vertiv Holdings announced the acquisition of Waylay NV, a leader in hyperautomation and generative AI software platforms, which may enhance its market position [2] - Vertiv shares gained 0.1% to close at $136.83 [5] Group 3 - Northern Trust Corporation is expected to break out to the upside following the announcement of Jessica Donohue joining as head of Product Management for Asset Servicing [3] - Northern Trust shares gained 0.2% to close at $129.46 [5] Group 4 - iShares China Large-Cap ETF is expected to benefit from anticipated stimulus in China, with shares gaining 1.4% [2][5]