Core Viewpoint - Oshkosh Corporation will participate in a fireside chat at Citi's 2026 Global Industrial Tech and Mobility Conference, highlighting its role as a leading innovator in purpose-built vehicles, equipment, and services [1] Company Participation - The event is scheduled for February 18, 2026, at 1:50 p.m. EST, with executive vice president and CFO Matthew Field representing the company [1] - A live webcast of the presentation will be available on the company's website [1]

Core Viewpoint - Oshkosh Defense has been awarded a $25 million contract from the U.S. Army for the delivery of FMTV A2 Low-Velocity Airdrop 4x4 Cargo vehicles and kits, indicating strong demand for tactical mobility solutions in challenging environments [1] Group 1 - The new contract follows a previous order for 97 vehicles, highlighting ongoing customer demand [1] - The award reflects Oshkosh Defense's commitment to supporting the U.S. Army [1]

Core Insights - The construction cycle is currently in a challenging phase, with interest rates having slightly decreased but remaining high compared to historical levels [1] - There is notable capacity expansion in sectors such as data centers, manufacturing, and power generation, while other categories may still be lagging [1] Industry Analysis - The construction industry is experiencing a mixed environment, with some sectors showing growth potential while others face challenges due to high interest rates [1] - The expansion in data centers and manufacturing indicates a shift towards technology-driven infrastructure, which may present investment opportunities [1]

Core Viewpoint - Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) is experiencing mixed signals with a year-over-year decline in earnings despite revenue growth, indicating potential challenges ahead for investors [2][10]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, Oshkosh reported adjusted earnings of $2.26 per share, down from $2.58 in the same quarter last year, while consolidated net sales increased by 3.5% to $2.69 billion [2][10]. - The company anticipates adjusted EPS of approximately $11.50 for 2026, an increase from $10.79 in 2025, driven by strong performance in the Vocational segment and a backlog exceeding $6.6 billion [4][10]. Segment Analysis - The Access segment is under pressure, with expected sales declining by 6-7% in 2026, projected at $4.2 billion, due to weak market conditions in North America [9][10]. - The Vocational and Transport segments are showing strength, supported by a healthy backlog and improving margins, with Vocational operating margins expected to rise to around 17% from 14.6% in 2025 [4][3]. Government Contracts and Strategic Moves - Oshkosh benefits from stable U.S. government programs, securing multiple contracts with the U.S. Army, which enhances revenue visibility [5]. - The company has made strategic acquisitions to expand its capabilities, including AUSA for agriculture, JBT's AeroTech for air transport, and investments in electrification and automation [6]. Shareholder Actions - In January 2025, Oshkosh increased its dividend by 10.9%, marking the 11th consecutive year of double-digit increases, and repurchased shares worth $119 million in Q4 2025 [7][10]. Backlog and Debt Concerns - The consolidated backlog decreased to $14.18 billion at the end of December 2025, down from $14.74 billion a year earlier, raising concerns about future sales commitments [8][10]. - Long-term debt rose to $1.1 billion as of December 31, 2025, up from $599.5 million the previous year, which could impact the company's growth opportunities [12]. Conclusion - Despite near-term challenges, Oshkosh's diversified end markets, strong earnings outlook, and solid execution in core segments enhance its prospects, particularly in Vocational and Transport [13][14].

Core Insights - Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $2.26 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.33 and down from $2.58 in the same quarter last year. However, consolidated net sales increased by 3.5% year over year to $2.69 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.56 billion [1]. Segment Performance - **Access Segment**: Sales increased by 1.3% year over year to $1.17 billion, driven by higher sales volume in North America, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $981 million [2]. - **Vocational Segment**: This segment reported sales of $922.4 million, up 4.7% year over year, attributed to improved pricing, but fell short of the estimate of $1 billion [3]. - **Transport Segment**: Sales reached $566.7 million, a 6.2% increase year over year, benefiting from the ramp-up of the U.S. Postal Service's Next Generation Delivery Vehicle production and higher international sales, beating the estimate of $532 million [5]. Financial Overview - As of December 31, 2025, Oshkosh had cash and cash equivalents of $479.8 million, up from $204.9 million a year earlier. Long-term debt increased to $1.10 billion from $599.5 million [7]. - The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of 57 cents per share, payable on March 3, 2026, to shareholders on record as of February 17, 2026 [7]. 2026 Guidance - Oshkosh expects adjusted earnings per share for 2026 to be approximately $11.50, with full-year net sales projected to be around $11 billion [8]. Zacks Rank & Comparisons - Oshkosh currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold). In comparison, Ford Motor (F), REV Group (REVG), and PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) are better-ranked stocks in the auto sector, each holding a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [9].

Core Insights - Oshkosh reported strong financial results for 2025, with total revenue of $10.4 billion and adjusted EPS of $10.79, while fourth-quarter revenue reached nearly $2.7 billion, reflecting a 3.5% increase year-over-year [3][5][8] - The company is facing challenges from tariffs, which are expected to impact results significantly in 2026, with an estimated cost of about $200 million, primarily affecting the Access segment [2][7][17] - Oshkosh's management remains optimistic about long-term growth, with a 2026 sales outlook of approximately $11 billion and adjusted EPS projected at around $11.50, despite anticipated softer market conditions in certain segments [5][15] Financial Performance - In 2025, Oshkosh's adjusted operating income was just over $1 billion, with a fourth-quarter adjusted operating margin of 8.4% and adjusted EPS of $2.26 [3][6] - The company generated free cash flow of $618 million for the year, exceeding guidance due to improved customer advances and lower capital expenditures [6][8] - Share repurchases totaled $278 million for 2025, with approximately $119 million executed in the fourth quarter [1][6] Segment Performance - The Access segment reported fourth-quarter revenue of $1.2 billion, up 1% year-over-year, but faced margin pressure due to unfavorable price-cost dynamics and tariffs [9][10] - Vocational segment sales reached $922 million in the fourth quarter, with a strong adjusted operating margin of 16.2%, driven by growth in the fire apparatus business [10][11] - Transport segment sales increased to $567 million, with delivery vehicle revenue growing 13% sequentially, although defense vehicle revenue declined due to the wind-down of the JLTV program [13][14] Strategic Initiatives - Oshkosh is investing approximately $150 million to improve fire truck production throughput and reduce lead times, with about $70 million already spent [11] - The company is pursuing tariff mitigation strategies through engineering, sourcing changes, and localization efforts, while also implementing price increases where necessary [18] - Management is confident in achieving its 2028 goals, including an adjusted EPS range of $18 to $22 per share, supported by the 2026 guidance [21]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence and research before making any investment decisions, highlighting that past performance does not guarantee future results [2][3]. Group 1 - The author does not hold any stock, options, or similar derivative positions in the companies mentioned and has no plans to initiate such positions in the near future [1]. - The article is not intended as financial advice, and the author is not a licensed financial advisor, which underscores the need for investors to understand the risks involved in various investment strategies [2]. - The author owns European/Scandinavian and Canadian tickers of the companies discussed, indicating a personal investment interest in these markets [2]. Group 2 - The article clarifies that Seeking Alpha does not provide recommendations or advice on the suitability of investments for individual investors, emphasizing the independent nature of the analysts' views [3]. - It is noted that investing in European and non-US stocks may involve specific withholding tax risks, which investors should consider in their overall investment strategy [2].

Core Insights - Oshkosh reported revenue of $2.69 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, reflecting a 2.5% increase year-over-year and a 4.95% surprise over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.56 billion. EPS was $2.26, down from $2.58 in the same quarter last year, resulting in a -3.18% surprise compared to the consensus estimate of $2.33 [1][2]. Revenue Performance - Total Vocational net sales were $922.4 million, compared to an average estimate of $1 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 4.8% [4]. - Total Transport net sales reached $566.7 million, exceeding the estimated $531.97 million [4]. - Total Access net sales amounted to $1.17 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $981.37 million, with a year-over-year change of 1.3% [4]. - Corporate and other net sales were $28.1 million, above the estimated $24.77 million, reflecting a 5.2% increase year-over-year [4]. - Aerial work platforms within Access generated $548.6 million, exceeding the estimated $462.4 million, with a 0.6% year-over-year change [4]. - Other Access sales were $311.8 million, surpassing the estimated $245.27 million, showing a 7.7% increase year-over-year [4]. - Telehandlers within Access reported $311.2 million, below the estimated $272.9 million, with a -3.4% year-over-year change [4]. Operating Income - Adjusted Access segment operating income (non-GAAP) was $103 million, exceeding the average estimate of $80.58 million [4]. - Transport operating income was $22.8 million, below the average estimate of $29.76 million [4]. - Adjusted Vocational segment operating income (non-GAAP) was $149.6 million, lower than the average estimate of $168.96 million [4]. - Adjusted corporate and other operating loss (non-GAAP) was -$49.5 million, better than the average estimate of -$56.45 million [4]. Stock Performance - Oshkosh shares have returned +16.3% over the past month, significantly outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.8% change [3]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2025, the company reported revenue of $10.4 billion, adjusted operating income of just over $1 billion, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $10.79 [8][20] - In Q4 2025, consolidated sales were nearly $2.7 billion, an increase of $91 million, or 3.5% from the same quarter last year, with an adjusted operating income margin of 8.4% [19][24] - Adjusted EPS for Q4 was $2.26, contributing to a full-year adjusted EPS of $10.79, slightly above the midpoint of guidance [20][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The access segment achieved Q4 sales of $1.2 billion, roughly equal to last year, with an adjusted operating income margin of 8.8% [22][11] - The vocational segment reported Q4 sales of $922 million, with an adjusted operating income margin of 16.2%, reflecting improved pricing [23][14] - The transport segment saw sales increase to $567 million in Q4, with delivery vehicle revenue growing by 13% sequentially [23][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted strong demand in the access segment driven by non-residential construction, although some sectors remain soft [12][11] - The vocational segment's backlog of over $6.6 billion provides visibility for future revenue, with expectations for continued growth in fire apparatus and airport products [16][14] - The transport segment is expected to grow with increased NGDV shipments and new defense contracts, although defense vehicle revenue is anticipated to be lower in 2026 [17][24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on innovation, showcasing technologies at CES that include robotics, AI, and electrification to enhance safety and productivity [4][6] - Strategic investments are being made to improve production throughput and reduce lead times, with a capital investment of about $150 million planned [14][9] - The company aims to achieve an adjusted EPS range of $18-$22 per share by 2028, supported by strong long-term growth opportunities [29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates a continuation of recent economic conditions, with expected lower capital investments from industrial customers in 2026 [10][25] - The company expects Q1 2026 to be the lowest quarter of the year due to seasonal factors and the impact of pricing actions in the access segment [25][26] - Management remains optimistic about the second half of 2026, expecting improved performance across segments as economic conditions stabilize [26][29] Other Important Information - The company plans to invest approximately $200 million in capital expenditures and expects free cash flow of approximately $550-$650 million [27] - A quarterly dividend of $0.57 per share was announced, reflecting confidence in long-term cash flow generation [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Access guidance and disconnect with competitors - Management acknowledged a balanced approach to 2026, noting strong demand from mega projects but pressure in private non-residential construction [33][36] Question: Transport margins and pricing dynamics - Management indicated that transport margins are expected to improve in the second half of 2026, with pricing for new contracts anticipated to enhance margins [40][41] Question: Telematics data and market health - Management reported healthy utilization rates in both U.S. and European markets, with a strong used equipment market [46][48] Question: First Quarter versus Fourth Quarter earnings acceleration - Management expects Q1 2026 earnings to be about half of last year due to lower sales in the access segment and adverse price costs [50][51] Question: Access segment ordering dynamics - Management noted that strong sales in Q4 were influenced by pricing pull forward, and they expect normalization in 2026 [70][71] Question: NGDV revenue expectations - Management confirmed that they are on track to meet production milestones for NGDV, with expectations for increased revenue in the second half of 2026 [62][64]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2025, the company reported revenue of $10.4 billion, adjusted operating income of just over $1 billion, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $10.79 [7][20] - In Q4 2025, consolidated sales were nearly $2.7 billion, an increase of $91 million, or 3.5% from the same quarter last year [18] - Adjusted operating income for Q4 was $226 million, down about $20 million from the prior year, leading to an adjusted operating margin of 8.4%, down 100 basis points from last year [18][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The access segment delivered Q4 sales of $1.2 billion, roughly equal to last year, with an adjusted operating income margin of 8.8% [10][21] - The vocational segment achieved Q4 sales of $922 million, with an adjusted operating income margin of 16.2%, reflecting improved pricing partially offset by lower sales volume [22] - The transport segment saw sales increase to $567 million in Q4, with delivery vehicle revenue growing by 13% sequentially compared to Q3 2025 [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects lower capital investments from industrial customers, particularly in the access equipment and refuse businesses, impacting revenue in the first half of 2026 [9][11] - The backlog for the access segment is $1.3 billion, while the vocational segment has a backlog of over $6.6 billion, providing visibility for future revenue [10][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company showcased its vision for the future at CES, focusing on robotics, autonomy, AI, connectivity, and electrification, indicating a strategic shift towards autonomous equipment [4][5] - The company plans to continue investing in technology and innovation to support long-term profitable growth and improve production throughput [7][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates a continuation of recent economic conditions, with expectations for adjusted EPS in the range of $11.50 for 2026, reflecting strong performance in the vocational segment [9][24] - The company acknowledges challenges in the access segment due to soft market conditions but remains optimistic about long-term growth driven by infrastructure investments [11][14] Other Important Information - The company plans to invest approximately $200 million in capital expenditures and expects free cash flow of approximately $550-$650 million for 2026 [27] - A quarterly dividend of $0.57 per share was announced, reflecting confidence in long-term cash flow generation [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Access guidance relative to competitors - Management noted a balanced approach to 2026, acknowledging strong demand from mega projects while recognizing pressure in private non-residential construction [36][37] Question: Transport margins and expectations - Management expressed confidence in the transport segment's outlook, citing pricing for new contracts and steady production increases for NGDVs as key factors [39][40] Question: Telematics data and market health - Management reported healthy utilization rates for equipment in both the U.S. and European markets, with positive insights from telematics data [46][47] Question: First Quarter versus Fourth Quarter earnings acceleration - Management expects the first quarter to be lower year-on-year, primarily due to strong sales in the fourth quarter and adverse price costs [49][50] Question: Access segment revenue decline and margin expectations - Management indicated that the first quarter would see a higher revenue decline year-over-year, with expectations for normalization throughout 2026 [56][58] Question: Vocational segment backlog and revenue expectations - Management confirmed a healthy backlog in the vocational segment, particularly in fire apparatus and airport products, despite some pressure in the refuse and recycling business [87][88]