Core Insights - Beyond the Wall Investing offers a subscription service that provides access to high-quality equity research reports, potentially saving investors thousands of dollars annually [1] - Shopify (NASDAQ: SHOP) has received only two articles rated as "Hold," indicating concerns about future growth due to tariffs and macroeconomic deceleration despite its current massive growth rates [1] Group 1 - The subscription service includes features such as a fundamentals-based portfolio, weekly analysis from institutional investors, and alerts for short-term trade ideas based on technical signals [1] - The investing group also provides ticker feedback upon request and facilitates community chat for discussions among investors [1] Group 2 - The analyst has no current stock or derivative positions in any mentioned companies and does not plan to initiate any positions in the near future [1]

Core Insights - Notable companies reporting quarterly results include Disney, Fortinet, and Shopify, all of which have favorable Zacks Rank ratings [1] Disney – DIS - Disney is expected to report its fiscal third quarter results, with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [2] - The stock has risen over 30% in the last year, reaching a 52-week high of $124 in late June [2] - Cost-cutting initiatives and strategic pivots have led to strong performance, with major box office hits like Inside Out 2 and Lilo & Stitch grossing over $1 billion globally [3] - Streaming platforms Disney+ and Hulu have seen increased profitability, aided by measures against password sharing and the introduction of extra-member fees [3] - Q3 is projected to see 2% growth in revenue and 6% growth in earnings [3] - The forward earnings multiple stands at 20.1X, with a price-to-sales ratio below 2X, indicating value [4] Fortinet – FTNT - Fortinet, with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), is gaining traction due to its AI-powered threat detection and post-quantum cryptography readiness [5] - Following a record Q1, Q2 revenue is expected to reach $1.62 billion, a 13% increase, with EPS projected to rise 3% to $0.59 [6] - Fortinet has exceeded earnings expectations for 29 consecutive quarters since May 2018, contributing to a stock gain of over 70% in the past year [6] Shopify – SHOP - Shopify holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) and has seen its stock increase over 15% year-to-date, with a remarkable 140% gain over the last year [10] - The introduction of AI-powered tools has enhanced its commerce platform, driving popularity among merchants [10] - Strategic partnerships with Meta Platforms, Amazon, and TikTok have expanded Shopify's ecosystem [11] - Q2 sales are projected to rise 24% to $2.54 billion, with EPS expected to increase 8% to $0.28 [11] - Analysts anticipate Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) to reach $81 billion, marking seven consecutive quarters of over 20% GMV growth [11] Conclusion - Disney, Fortinet, and Shopify are highlighted as key stocks to watch as they prepare to report quarterly results, with potential for further upside [13]

Core Viewpoint - Shopify is expected to report strong revenue and GMV growth in its upcoming Q2 2025 results, driven by an expanding merchant base and innovative solutions [1][3][9]. Revenue Expectations - Shopify anticipates revenue growth at a mid-twenties percentage rate year-over-year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues at $2.54 billion, reflecting a 24.25% increase from the previous year [1][2]. Earnings Projections - The consensus estimate for earnings is set at 28 cents per share, indicating a 7.69% growth from the same quarter last year [2]. Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) Insights - GMV for Q1 2025 was reported at $74.75 billion, a 22.8% year-over-year increase, with expectations for Q2 GMV to reach $81 billion, representing a 20.8% growth [3][4]. Merchant Growth and Adoption - Shopify's merchant base is growing, contributing to GMV growth, with same-store sales growth and international expansion playing significant roles [3][4][12]. Innovations and Tools - The increasing usage of Shop Pay and new features like Shopify Balance and AI-powered tools are expected to enhance merchant efficiency and cash flow management [5][9][14]. Market Performance - Shopify shares have gained 11.5% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Internet Services industry [7]. Strategic Partnerships - Collaborations with companies like Cognizant and Google Cloud are aimed at modernizing retail commerce platforms and enhancing personalized shopping experiences [13][14]. Valuation Considerations - Shopify's stock is currently trading at a premium, with a forward Price/Sales ratio of 12.74X compared to industry averages [10].

Core Insights - Shopify's stock rebounded by over 5% following positive news regarding the European Union delaying retaliatory tariffs against the U.S. for six months, which helped restore investor optimism despite previous negative economic data [1][4][5] Group 1: Economic Context - Investors are closely monitoring economic indicators ahead of Shopify's Q2 earnings report, with the stock showing a gain of 4.8% as of 11:29 a.m. ET [2] - A weak jobs report for June and revised numbers for May had previously spooked investors, leading to a sell-off in stocks [5] - The U.S. economy's growth is crucial for Shopify, as its performance is tied to the growth of U.S. companies and the creation of new businesses [6] Group 2: Earnings Outlook - Profit growth for Shopify has been slowing, and the upcoming Q2 report will provide insights into the company's current trajectory [4][7] - The next few quarters are critical for Shopify investors, as uncertainties surrounding hiring and tariffs may take time to resolve [7]

Core Viewpoint - US AI application software stocks experienced an initial rise on Monday, indicating positive market sentiment towards this sector [1] Company Summaries - Palantir (PLTR.US) saw an increase of over 3% ahead of its latest earnings report scheduled for after market close today [1] - Unity Software (U.US) rose by more than 7%, reflecting strong investor interest [1] - Shopify (SHOP.US) increased by over 4.5%, suggesting positive market dynamics for e-commerce platforms [1] - Cloudflare (NET.US) experienced a rise of over 3.7%, indicating continued growth in the cloud services sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The AI application software stocks in the US market experienced an upward trend on Monday, with notable gains in several companies ahead of their earnings reports [1] Company Summaries - Palantir (PLTR.US) saw an increase of over 3% and is set to release its latest earnings report after the market closes today [1] - Unity Software (U.US) rose by more than 7% [1] - Shopify (SHOP.US) increased by over 4.5% [1] - Cloudflare (NET.US) gained more than 3.7% [1]

Core Insights - Shopify has experienced significant growth since its IPO in 2015, with a current share price around $120, up from a split-adjusted price of $1.70, resulting in substantial returns for early investors [1][2] Growth Drivers - Shopify's self-service e-commerce platform enables merchants to create online stores, manage payments, fulfill orders, and handle digital marketing, making it an attractive alternative to larger marketplaces like Amazon [4] - From 2014 to 2024, Shopify's revenue grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 56%, expanding its ecosystem with various services such as Shop Pay, Shopify Capital, and Shopify Plus [5] Recent Performance - Shopify's growth accelerated during the pandemic, leading to record stock prices, but growth slowed in 2022 due to macroeconomic challenges [6][8] - In 2023 and 2024, Shopify's GMV and GPV growth rates are expected to accelerate again as the macro environment stabilizes and new tools are introduced [8][9] Strategic Changes - In 2023, Shopify divested its logistics division and laid off employees to stabilize margins, resulting in a return to profitability [9] Future Outlook - Analysts project Shopify's revenue and earnings per share to grow at a CAGR of 22% and 7% from 2024 to 2027, although near-term margins may face pressure from tariffs [10] - At a share price of $120 and a market cap of $158.5 billion, Shopify trades at high multiples, which could pose risks in a market downturn [11] Long-term Potential - While achieving past millionaire-making gains seems unlikely due to slower growth rates, Shopify remains a viable option for benefiting from the long-term expansion of the e-commerce market [12]

Core Insights - Shopify (SHOP) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.28 per share, reflecting a 7.7% increase year over year, with revenues projected at $2.54 billion, a 24.3% year-over-year increase [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of projections [1][2] - Analysts predict significant growth in key metrics, including Merchant solutions revenues and Subscription solutions revenues [4][5] Revenue Projections - 'Revenues- Merchant solutions' are expected to reach $1.88 billion, indicating a 27% year-over-year increase [4] - 'Revenues- Subscription solutions' are projected at $659.92 million, reflecting a 17.2% year-over-year increase [4] Gross Merchandise Volume and Profit - 'Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV)' is anticipated to be $81.36 billion, up from $67.20 billion year-over-year [4] - 'Gross Profit- Merchant solutions' is forecasted to reach $707.92 million, compared to $579.00 million in the same quarter last year [5] - 'Gross Profit- Subscription solutions' is expected to be $535.30 million, up from $466.00 million year-over-year [6] Monthly Recurring Revenue - 'Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR)' is projected to be $191.38 million, an increase from $169.00 million in the previous year [5] Stock Performance - Shopify shares have increased by 4.9% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 2.3% increase [6] - With a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), Shopify is expected to outperform the overall market in the near term [6]

Group 1 - Seeking Alpha welcomes a new contributing analyst, Pau Galindo Ortigosa, encouraging others to share investment ideas for publication and potential earnings [1] - A 20-year-old international wealth and investment manager, currently an Associate at the Chartered Institute for Securities & Investment, focuses on traditional markets and cryptoassets, combining technical and fundamental analysis [2] - The analyst has achieved verified returns of over 190% in traditional markets within less than one month during stock market tournaments, showcasing a strong performance in equity investments [2]

Core Viewpoint - Shopify's stock price may be ahead of its fundamentals, prompting a closer examination of its valuation metrics to assess potential investment opportunities [2][11]. Group 1: Shopify's Valuation - Shopify's valuation is influenced by its growth rates and financial metrics, with the e-commerce platform industry expected to grow at a CAGR of 20% through 2033 [4]. - Shopify holds a 29% market share in the U.S. and 10% globally, positioning it to capture significant growth in the e-commerce sector [4]. - The company's P/E ratio stands at 101, significantly higher than the S&P 500 average of 30, raising concerns about its valuation [5]. - The forward P/E ratio is 90, indicating a high valuation from an earnings perspective, while the price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is 94 [5]. - The price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 17, much higher than the S&P 500 average of around 3, but lower than its 2021 levels above 40 [6]. - The price-to-book ratio is 15, again above the S&P 500 average of 5, but typical for a growth stock [6]. Group 2: Shopify's Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Shopify reported nearly $2.4 billion in revenue, reflecting a 27% increase year-over-year, closely matching the 26% growth rate for 2024 [7]. - The company reported a net loss of $862 million in Q1 2025, primarily due to a $1 billion unrealized net loss from investments, despite earning an operating profit [8]. - Shopify's projected revenue growth for Q2 2025 is in the mid-20s percentage range, with analysts forecasting a 23% increase for the full year, indicating a potential slowdown [9]. - The stock price has increased by over 110% in the past year, although it remains about 30% below its 2021 high [10]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - From a long-term perspective, Shopify's premium valuation may be justified due to its leadership in the e-commerce platform industry [12]. - The projected 20% annual growth in the industry over the next eight years enhances Shopify's potential to capture a significant share of this growth [12]. - Even if Shopify's valuation appears ahead of its growth, it is positioned to outperform the market over time [12].