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State Street (STT) Moves to Strong Buy: Rationale Behind the Upgrade
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 17:01
Core Viewpoint - State Street Corporation (STT) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook based on rising earnings estimates, which significantly influence stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the correlation between changes in earnings estimates and stock price movements, making it a valuable tool for investors [2][4]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically leads to higher fair value calculations by institutional investors, resulting in buying or selling pressure that affects stock prices [4]. Company Performance and Outlook - The recent upgrade for State Street reflects an improvement in its underlying business, suggesting that investors may respond positively by driving the stock price higher [5]. - Analysts have raised their earnings estimates for State Street, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 2.7% over the past three months [8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system categorizes stocks based on earnings estimate revisions, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - State Street's upgrade to Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].
Unlocking Q2 Potential of State Street (STT): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 14:16
Core Insights - Analysts project State Street Corporation (STT) will report quarterly earnings of $2.36 per share, a 9.8% increase year over year, with revenues expected to reach $3.37 billion, up 5.7% from the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 4.5% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings projections are critical for predicting investor behavior and are strongly linked to short-term stock price performance [3] Key Metrics Projections - Analysts expect the 'Basel III Advanced Approaches - Tier 1 Leverage Ratio' to reach 5.4%, up from 5.3% in the same quarter last year [5] - The 'Average balance - Total interest-earning assets' is projected at $291.11 billion, compared to $261.74 billion a year ago [5] - The 'Basel III Standardized Approach - Tier 1 capital ratio' is expected to be 13.6%, an increase from 13.3% year over year [6] - 'Assets under Management (AUM)' is forecasted to be $4800.97 billion, up from $4415.00 billion in the same quarter last year [6] - The 'Basel III Standardized Approach - Total capital ratio' is estimated at 14.7%, down from 15.0% a year ago [7] - 'Assets under Custody and/or Administration (AUC/A)' is projected at $41922.09 billion, compared to $44312.00 billion last year [7] Revenue Projections - 'Net Interest Income' is estimated at $734.82 million, slightly down from $735.00 million in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Total fee revenue' is projected to reach $2.64 billion, up from $2.46 billion a year ago [8] - 'Net Interest Income - fully taxable-equivalent basis' is expected to be $733.49 million, compared to $736.00 million last year [9] - 'Software and processing fees' are estimated at $231.30 million, up from $214.00 million in the same quarter last year [9] - 'Other fee revenue' is projected at $58.70 million, compared to $48.00 million a year ago [10] - 'Management fees' are expected to reach $558.82 million, up from $511.00 million last year [10] Stock Performance - Shares of State Street have increased by 12.4% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 4.4% [10]
Best Momentum Stock to Buy for July 10th
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 12:31
Core Insights - Three stocks with strong momentum and buy rankings are highlighted: Northern Trust, State Street, and Cadence Bank [1][2][3][4] Company Summaries - **Northern Trust (NTRS)**: A leading provider of wealth management and banking solutions, it has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) and a 3.1% increase in the current year earnings estimate over the last 60 days. Its shares gained 45.4% in the last three months, outperforming the S&P 500's 19% gain, and it holds a Momentum Score of A [1][2]. - **State Street (STT)**: This financial holding company serves institutional investors globally and also has a Zacks Rank of 1. The current year earnings estimate increased by 3.1% over the last 60 days. State Street's shares rose by 39.5% in the last three months, again surpassing the S&P 500's 19% gain, with a Momentum Score of A [2][3]. - **Cadence Bank (CADE)**: Providing banking and financial solutions to various clients, Cadence Bank has a Zacks Rank of 1 and a 3.2% increase in the current year earnings estimate over the last 60 days. Its shares increased by 31.7% in the last three months, exceeding the S&P 500's 19% gain, and it also has a Momentum Score of A [3][4].
Rise in NII, Fee Income Likely to Aid State Street's Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 17:26
Core Viewpoint - State Street (STT) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 15, with anticipated year-over-year increases in revenues and earnings [1] Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, STT's earnings exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate, driven by growth in fee revenues and lower provisions, despite higher adjusted expenses and lower net interest income (NII) [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter earnings is $2.39 per share, reflecting an 11.2% increase from the previous year, while sales are estimated at $3.36 billion, indicating a 5.4% year-over-year growth [3] Key Estimates for Q2 - NII is projected to be $734 million, showing a slight year-over-year decline, while average interest-earning assets are estimated at $291.4 billion, representing an 11.3% increase from the prior year [5] - Fee revenues are expected to rise, with FX trading services income estimated at $382 million (up 13.7% year-over-year), management fees at $559 million (up 9.4%), and servicing fees at $1.29 billion (up 3.7%) [6][7][8] - Total adjusted non-interest expenses are anticipated to increase by 3.8% year-over-year to $2.36 billion due to higher information systems and communication expenses [10] Strategic Developments - In May, State Street Global Advisors formed a partnership with India-based smallcase to enhance market access for Indian investors and expand its presence in the fintech sector [11][12] Earnings Outlook - The likelihood of State Street beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate is high, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.28% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [13][14]
What Makes State Street Corporation (STT) a Strong Momentum Stock: Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-07-08 17:00
Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Even ...
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Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-07-04 01:38
Group 1: US Employment Data - US non-farm payrolls increased by 147,000 in June, exceeding expectations of 106,000 and the previous value of 139,000, marking the fourth consecutive month of better-than-expected results [1] - The unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4.1%, lower than the expected 4.3% and the previous 4.2%, indicating a resilient labor market despite hiring uncertainties [1] - Following the non-farm payroll report, market expectations for a July Federal Reserve rate cut diminished significantly, with the probability dropping from 98% to approximately 80% [1] Group 2: Japan Wage Negotiations - Japan's average wage increase for the fiscal year 2025 reached 5.25%, the highest in 34 years, with small enterprises seeing a growth of 4.65% [2] - The wage growth reflects a tight labor market, potentially supporting the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, although persistent inflation pressures may limit consumer spending and corporate profit margins [2] - Global investors are reducing long positions in the yen due to various short-term challenges, including slow progress on US-Japan trade agreements and uncertainties surrounding Japan's elections [2] Group 3: US Banking Sector - All 22 banks passed the Federal Reserve's stress tests, with an average Tier 1 capital ratio of 11.6%, significantly above the 4.5% regulatory requirement [3] - Major banks announced increased dividends and stock buyback plans, with Goldman Sachs raising its dividend by 33% to $4 per share, reflecting its strong capital position [3][4] - The banking sector's performance has led to record highs in bank stock prices, with Goldman Sachs' market capitalization surpassing $220 billion [4] Group 4: EDA Software Market - The US government lifted export restrictions on three major chip design software suppliers: Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens, allowing them to fully resume services to Chinese clients [5] - These three companies dominate the EDA market, holding a combined market share of 82% in China, with Synopsys at 32%, Cadence at 30%, and Siemens at 13% [5] - Following the announcement, Cadence and Synopsys saw stock price increases of 5.1% and 4.9%, respectively, with their combined market capitalization exceeding $170 billion [5] Group 5: Oracle and OpenAI Partnership - OpenAI has agreed to lease significant computing power from Oracle, totaling approximately 4.5 gigawatts, which is enough to power millions of American homes [6] - Oracle's stock price rose over 3%, reaching a new high of $237.03, as the company continues to expand its cloud computing business, particularly targeting AI clients [6][7] - The partnership is part of a larger $500 billion "Star Gate" initiative involving SoftBank, Oracle, and OpenAI, aimed at enhancing cloud computing capabilities [6]
State Street: Offering Resilience Against Macro Uncertainty
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-17 06:02
Group 1 - State Street (NYSE: STT) has shown reasonable performance since November, with fee revenue increasing at a decent rate [1] - The company has effectively managed costs, contributing to its overall financial health [1] - A long-term, buy-and-hold investment strategy is favored, particularly for stocks that can consistently deliver high-quality earnings [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any specific investment recommendations or advice regarding the suitability of investments for particular investors [2][3]
State Street Jumps 9.5% in 3 Months: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 17:10
Core Viewpoint - State Street Corporation (STT) has shown strong stock performance, gaining 9.5% over the past three months, significantly outperforming its industry and the S&P 500 Index [1][8]. Performance Summary - STT's stock performance has surpassed peers such as BankUnited, Inc. (BKU) and Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), with BKU down 1.7% and FITB down 2.6% during the same period [1]. Factors Supporting Performance - **Acquisitions and Restructuring**: State Street has been expanding through acquisitions and restructuring, including a partnership with smallcase for Indian investors and a deal to acquire global custody businesses from Mizuho Financial Group [4][5]. - **Fee Income Growth**: Despite a decline in total fee revenues in 2022 and 2023, the company has achieved a four-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.7% in fee income, driven by increased client activity and market volatility [9]. - **Net Interest Income (NII)**: STT has benefited from relatively higher interest rates, with NII showing a four-year CAGR of 7.4%, expected to improve further due to investment portfolio repositioning [12]. - **Capital Distributions**: Following a successful stress test, STT increased its quarterly dividend by 10% and plans to return approximately 80% of earnings to shareholders this year [13][14]. Challenges to Growth - **Elevated Expense Base**: Total non-interest expenses have a four-year CAGR of 2.3%, with ongoing pressures from inflation and strategic investments likely to keep expenses high [15][16]. - **Fee Income Concentration**: Fee income constituted 78.3% of total revenues in Q1 2025, raising concerns about volatility in capital markets affecting future revenue [18][19]. Future Outlook - The combination of solid business servicing wins, a global footprint, and strategic partnerships is expected to support STT's fee income growth and overall performance [20]. - Sales estimates for the current year are projected at $13.42 billion, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 2.62% [21]. - Earnings estimates for the current year are projected at $9.50 per share, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 9.57% [24].
State Street (STT) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-06-11 14:00
State Street (STT) 2025 Conference June 11, 2025 09:00 AM ET Speaker0 Okay. Terrific. I have to read a disclosure, a disclaimer Just to remind our audience that today's discussion may contain some forward looking statements and that State actual results may differ materially from those statements due to a variety of important factors, including risk factors, in State Street's Form 10 ks and other SEC filings. State Street's forward looking statements speak only as of today and may not be updated even if vie ...
State Street Rides on Relatively High Rates & Buyouts Amid High Costs
ZACKS· 2025-06-05 14:31
Core Viewpoint - State Street Corp (STT) is well-positioned for growth due to higher interest rates, improved fee income efforts, strategic acquisitions, and a solid balance sheet, although rising expenses and concentrated fee-based revenues pose concerns [1] Growth Drivers - Higher interest rates are expected to aid net interest revenues, with net interest income (NII) projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.1% over the next three years, despite a decline in NIM from 1.20% to 1.10% in 2023 [2][3] - Total fee revenues showed a four-year CAGR of 1.7%, driven by increased client activity and market volatility, with AUC/A and AUM recording CAGRs of 4.7% and 8%, respectively [4] Strategic Initiatives - State Street is expanding through strategic acquisitions, including partnerships with smallcase and Ethic Inc., and acquiring global custody businesses from Mizuho Financial Group [7][8] - The company is also restructuring its global operations, consolidating its European joint ventures, and enhancing its service offerings to drive revenue and cost synergies [9] Financial Health - As of March 31, 2025, State Street had total debt of $36.7 billion and cash and deposits totaling $124.1 billion, with a 10% increase in quarterly dividends to 76 cents per share and a $5 billion share buyback authorization [11][12] - The company aims to distribute approximately 80% of its earnings to shareholders this year, indicating a sustainable capital distribution strategy [12] Challenges - Rising operating expenses have been a concern, with total non-interest expenses showing a four-year CAGR of 2.3%, and projected increases of 3%, 2.1%, and 4.7% in the coming years [13][14] - Fee income, which constituted 78.3% of total revenues in Q1 2025, faces risks from market volatility and concentration risk, which could significantly impact the company's financial position [15][16] Market Performance - Shares of STT have increased by 28.9%, outperforming the industry average of 19%, and currently hold a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [17]